INTERNATIONAL SEMINARINDONESIAN STUDENTS IN ASEAN" Green Technology, Social Work and PublicHealth for Development of Indon...
AGENDA   INTRODUCTION   FLOWCHART   DEMPSTER-SHAFER   WEB MAPPING   IDENTIFICATION   ARCHITECTURE   CONCLUSION
INTRODUCTION   World Health Organization (WHO): In the 2011 from 15    countries, Indonesia has the largest number death ...
FLOWCHARTFlowchart of Avian Influenza (H5N1) Warning System                      Start                   Location         ...
DEMPSTER-SHAFERThe advantages of the Dempster-Shafer theory: It has the ability to model information in a flexible way  w...
WEB MAPPINGWeb      mapping      is    the     process      ofdesigning, implementing, generating and deliveringmaps on th...
IDENTIFICATIONAvian Influenza (H5N1) Symptoms:1. Depression2. Combs, wattle, bluish face region3. Swollen face region4. Na...
IDENTIFICATIONSymptom 1Depression is a symptom of Avian Influenza (AI), Newcastle Disease (ND), Fowl Cholera (FC),    Inf...
IDENTIFICATIONSymptom 2 Combs, wattle, bluish face region are symptoms of Avian  Influenza with a bpa of 0.9, so that:   ...
IDENTIFICATIONSymptom 3 Swollen     face    region    is a symptom  of     Avian  Influenza, Newcastle Disease, Fowl Chol...
IDENTIFICATIONSymptom 4 Narrowness of eyes is a symptom of Swollen Head Syndrome with a  bpa of 0.9, so that:       m6 (S...
IDENTIFICATIONSymptom 5 Balance disorders are symptoms of Newcastle Diseases and Swollen  Head Syndrome with a bpa of 0.6...
ARCHITECTUREArchitecture of Avian Influenza (H5N1) Warning System                                                         ...
IMPLEMENTATIONSelecting Region and Symptoms
IMPLEMENTATIONResults
CONCLUSION   Identification of avian influenza can be performed using    Dempster Shafer Theory and Web Mapping.   Appli...
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Avian Influenza (H5N1) Warning System Using Dempster-Shafer Theory and Web Mapping

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Presented at THE INTERNATIONAL SEMINAR
INDONESIAN STUDENTS IN ASEAN
" Green Technology, Social Work and Public Health for Development of Indonesia"

Bangkok, Thailand
28 - 29 Oktober 2011

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Avian Influenza (H5N1) Warning System Using Dempster-Shafer Theory and Web Mapping

  1. 1. INTERNATIONAL SEMINARINDONESIAN STUDENTS IN ASEAN" Green Technology, Social Work and PublicHealth for Development of Indonesia"Bangkok, Thailand28 - 29 Oktober 2011 Avian Influenza (H5N1) Warning System using Dempster-Shafer Theory and Web Mapping Andino Maseleno andinomaseleno@yahoo.comDEPARTMENT OF COMPUTER SCIENCE FACULTY OF SCIENCE UNIVERSITI BRUNEI DARUSSALAM
  2. 2. AGENDA INTRODUCTION FLOWCHART DEMPSTER-SHAFER WEB MAPPING IDENTIFICATION ARCHITECTURE CONCLUSION
  3. 3. INTRODUCTION World Health Organization (WHO): In the 2011 from 15 countries, Indonesia has the largest number death because Avian Influenza which 146 deaths. Early warning is the provision of timely and effective information, through identified institutions, that allows individuals exposed to a hazard to take action to avoid or reduce their risk and prepare for effective response. Dempster-Shafer theory to combine beliefs in certain hypotheses under conditions of uncertainty and ignorance, and allows quantitative measurement of the belief and plausibility in our identification result. Web Mapping for displaying maps on a screen to visualize the result of identification process.
  4. 4. FLOWCHARTFlowchart of Avian Influenza (H5N1) Warning System Start Location Yes Input Symptoms m1 (B) m2 (C) No m (A) = 1 Location and Disease End
  5. 5. DEMPSTER-SHAFERThe advantages of the Dempster-Shafer theory: It has the ability to model information in a flexible way without requiring a probability to be assigned to each element in a set. It provides a convenient and simple mechanism (Dempster’s combination rule) for combining two or more pieces of evidence under certain conditions. It can model ignorance explicitly.
  6. 6. WEB MAPPINGWeb mapping is the process ofdesigning, implementing, generating and deliveringmaps on the World Wide Web.The web mapping server is the engine behind themaps. The mapping server or web mapping programneeds to be configured to communicate betweenthe web server and assemble data layers into anappropriate image.
  7. 7. IDENTIFICATIONAvian Influenza (H5N1) Symptoms:1. Depression2. Combs, wattle, bluish face region3. Swollen face region4. Narrowness of eyes5. Balance disorders
  8. 8. IDENTIFICATIONSymptom 1Depression is a symptom of Avian Influenza (AI), Newcastle Disease (ND), Fowl Cholera (FC), Infectious Bronchitis respiratory form (IBRespi), Infectious Bronchitis reproduction form (IBRepro), and Swollen Head Syndrome (SHS).The measures of uncertainty, taken collectively are known in Dempster Shafer Theory terminology as a ``basic probability assignment (bpa ). m1{AI, ND, FC, IBRespi, IBRepro, SHS} = 0.7 m1{Θ} = 1 - 0.7 = 0.3
  9. 9. IDENTIFICATIONSymptom 2 Combs, wattle, bluish face region are symptoms of Avian Influenza with a bpa of 0.9, so that: m2{AI} = 0.9 m2 {Θ} = 1 – 0.9 = 0.1 calculate the new bpa value
  10. 10. IDENTIFICATIONSymptom 3 Swollen face region is a symptom of Avian Influenza, Newcastle Disease, Fowl Cholera with a bpa of 0.83, so that m4 {AI, ND, FC} = 0.83 m4 (Θ) = 1 – 0.83= 0.17 calculate the new bpa value
  11. 11. IDENTIFICATIONSymptom 4 Narrowness of eyes is a symptom of Swollen Head Syndrome with a bpa of 0.9, so that: m6 (SHS) = 0.9 m6 (Θ) = 1 – 0.9 = 0.1 Calculate the new bpa value
  12. 12. IDENTIFICATIONSymptom 5 Balance disorders are symptoms of Newcastle Diseases and Swollen Head Syndrome with a bpa of 0.6, so that: m8 {ND,SHS} = 0.6 m8 {Θ} = 1 - 0.6 = 0.4 Calculate the new bpa value
  13. 13. ARCHITECTUREArchitecture of Avian Influenza (H5N1) Warning System Dempster-Shafer Map Database Map Dempster-Shafer Database Map Dempster- Components Shafer Model Spatial Knowledge Database Base Web Server Data Preparation, File Management, Application Execution Web Browser Menu, Hyperlinks, Map Display, Query Spasial, Diseases Identification, Location Identification
  14. 14. IMPLEMENTATIONSelecting Region and Symptoms
  15. 15. IMPLEMENTATIONResults
  16. 16. CONCLUSION Identification of avian influenza can be performed using Dempster Shafer Theory and Web Mapping. Application is built to display the map of the region by the villages, districts, and regencies or municipalities. Web Mapping and Dempster-Shafer theory can be built as an early warning system of avian influenza. Dempster-Shafer theory to combine beliefs in certain hypotheses under conditions of uncertainty and ignorance, and allows quantitative measurement of the belief and plausibility in identification result. Web Mapping is also used for displaying maps on a screen to visualize the result of the identification process.
  17. 17. Thank You

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