Amg investor presentation q2 2011 september hcs notes


Published on

Published in: Business, Technology
  • Be the first to comment

  • Be the first to like this

No Downloads
Total views
On SlideShare
From Embeds
Number of Embeds
Embeds 0
No embeds

No notes for slide

Amg investor presentation q2 2011 september hcs notes

  1. 1. Investor Presentation September 2011
  2. 2. Cautionary Note THIS DOCUMENT IS STRICTLY CONFIDENTIAL AND IS BEING PROVIDED TO YOU SOLELY FOR YOUR INFORMATION BY AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V. (THE “COMPANY”) AND MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED IN ANY FORM OR FURTHER DISTRIBUTED TO ANY OTHER PERSON OR PUBLISHED, IN WHOLE OR IN PART, FOR ANY PURPOSE. FAILURE TO COMPLY WITH THIS RESTRICTION MAY CONSTITUTE A VIOLATION OF APPLICABLE SECURITIES LAWS. This presentation does not constitute or form part of, and should not be construed as, an offer to sell or issue or the solicitation of an offer to buy or acquire securities of the Company or any of its subsidiaries nor should it or any part of it, nor the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or commitment whatsoever. This presentation has been prepared by, and is the sole responsibility of, the Company. This document, any presentation made in conjunction herewith and any accompanying materials are for information only and are not a prospectus, offering circular or admission document. This presentation does not form a part of, and should not be construed as, an offer, invitation or solicitation to subscribe for or purchase, or dispose of any of the securities of the companies mentioned in this presentation. These materials do not constitute an offer of securities for sale in the United States or an invitation or an offer to the public or form of application to subscribe for securities. Neither this presentation nor anything contained herein shall form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any offer or commitment whatsoever. The information contained in this presentation has not been independently verified. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy or completeness of the information or the opinions contained herein. The Company and its advisors are under no obligation to update or keep current the information contained in this presentation. To the extent allowed by law, none of the Company or its affiliates, advisors or representatives accept any liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise) for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with the presentation. Certain statements in this presentation constitute forward-looking statements, including statements regarding the Companys financial position, business strategy, plans and objectives of management for future operations. These statements, which contain the words "believe,” “expect,” “anticipate,” “intends,” “estimate,” “forecast,” “project,” “will,” “may,” “should” and similar expressions, reflect the beliefs and expectations of the management board of directors of the Company and are subject to risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially. These risks and uncertainties include, among other factors, the achievement of the anticipated levels of profitability, growth, cost and synergy of the Company’s recent acquisitions, the timely development and acceptance of new products, the impact of competitive pricing, the ability to obtain necessary regulatory approvals, and the impact of general business and global economic conditions. These and other factors could adversely affect the outcome and financial effects of the plans and events described herein. Neither the Company, nor any of its respective agents, employees or advisors intend or have any duty or obligation to supplement, amend, update or revise any of the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation. The information and opinions contained in this document are provided as at the date of this presentation and are subject to change without notice. This document has not been approved by any competent regulatory or supervisory authority.2
  3. 3. Overview Listed: NYSE-Euronext Amsterdam: AMG Founded: 2006 Revenues: $1,197.5M LTM June 2011 EBITDA: $96.6M LTM June 2011 Employees: 3,000 Facilities: Netherlands, Germany, UK, USA, Brazil, France, Canada, China, Belgium, Turkey, Poland, India, Sri Lanka, Czech Republic Market cap: €217.5M ($292.6M) Shares outstanding: 27.5M Average Trading Vol: 495,000/day 52 week range: €6.25–€16.76 Recent share price: €7.63 (September 26, 2011)  Sustainable Metals Technology Products:  High purity raw materials, metals and complex metal products3  Vacuum furnaces used to produce high purity metals
  4. 4. Products & Markets Advanced Materials Engineering Systems Graphit Kropfmühl  High-value alloys  Capital equipment for  Silicon metal  Critical raw materials high purity materials  Natural graphite Specialty Metals & Energy Aerospace Infrastructure Chemicals4
  5. 5. Critical Raw Materials  The EU identified 14 critical raw materials(1) to the European economy – focusing on two determinants – economic importance and supply risk  AMG currently has raw material sources for 4 of those elements • Sovereign control of raw materials • China tariffs and export restrictions • AMG has mines in Ta, Sb, C, Nb (1) European Commission Annex V to the Report of the Ad-hoc Working Group on defining critical raw materials5
  6. 6. AMG’s Built in Stabilizers in an uncertain time ■ Aerospace - full commercial aerospace order books • Global economic uncertainty may affect business in Q4; no ■ Energy - long term growth trends for clean energy impact in Q3 • Similar dynamic to Q4 2008 • AMG has a different business ■ Forward Contracts – Ta, Si Metal, Natural Graphite modelbacklog V, more diverse ESD – AMG ■ Engineering Backlog - $200 million as of June 30, 2011 ■ Metal Portfolio - niche specialty metals with different economic drivers ■ Recycling Fees – adjusted FeV business model6
  7. 7. Aerospace End Market: a growing market  27% of H1 2011 revenue; 45% growth over 2010  Titanium in commercial aircraft is expected to grow over 25%(1) in 2012  Increases in Airbus and Boeing production rates  Light weight materials used to improve fuel efficiency  Master alloy demand expected to double by 2018 (B787, A350) Commercial Aircraft Delivery Forecast % of Titanium in Airframes (No. of planes) (‘% of total weight) 12.0 11.0 B 787 1,829 10.0 11% CAGR 1,704 9.0 B 777 A 350 8.0 1,514 7.0 1,384 6.0 5.0 B 757 A 318 1,246 A 320 A380 4.0 B 747 SP 1,097 3.0 A 300 A 340 B 747 A 330 2.0 B 737 B 767 A 321 1.0 B 727 B 707 0.0 2010 2011e 2012e 2013e 2014e 2015e 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 Source: Davenport & Company Source: Airbus, Boeing and Company estimates7 (1) Davenport & Company
  8. 8. AMG’s Five Year EBITDA Development • New AMG business model reduces 175,000 downside risk associated with FeV that impacted AMG in 2009 150,000 • Difference between 2008 and 2011e is FeV (prices averaged $20 per Lb greater in 2008 – or $40mm in EBITDA) and ESD 125,000 solar revenue 100,000 75,000 50,000 25,000 - 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011e  AMG’s changed business model has provided 2 years of EBITDA growth8 2011e is based upon AMG’s guidance of 25% growth over 2010 EBITDA. Figures in USD thousands.
  9. 9. Outlook ■ Demand for Ta, Ti alloys, Si Metal and Natural graphite is strong ■ Engineering Systems backlog is impacted by solar slowdown; other markets are stable ■ Engineering Systems Own and Operate business is growing to meet demand ■ AMG is accelerating the expansion of mining activities: ■ Expanding capacity to over 5,000/MT of antimony metal per annum by Q2 2012, subject to completion of the detailed mine plan ■ Expanding the tantalum mining and concentration capacity to 400,000/lb tantalum oxide per annum by Q1 2012 ■ Gareth Penny to lead AMG’s Mining activities ■ AMG targets over 25% EBITDA growth in 2011 ■ AMG announces Q3 2011 financial results on November 9, 20119