6. Climate Change, Globalization and War.
Mapping International Policy and Markets.
Data. All the data.
Emerging ecosystems. Privacy.
Collaboration & change.
7. #todo list
Give everything an energy identity
Build “smart-grid” behaviour into everything
Measure and map all of it
Lobby for, or create, open standards
Sort out data ownership before-the-fact
12. EFFICIENCY + TECHNOLOGY
Rapid innovation in energy efficiency
technologies has created a consumerist,
low-carbon world.
Society balances delicately with
ever-increasing reliance on new technology
to mitigate continuing climate change.
http://www.forumforthefuture.org/projects/climate-futures
13. SERVICE TRANSFORMATION
High carbon prices mean businesses sell services
rather than products.
Car ownership is prohibitive but public transport is
highly efficient.
A 'share with your neighbour' ethos exists and global
carbon emissions decline for the first year in history
14. REDEFINE PROGRESS
People rethink what a fulfilling life means.
Meaningful jobs are valued and stronger
links with local communities are cultivated.
People are attracted to simplicity and
focus much more on quality of life than
economic prosperity.
15. ENVIRONMENTAL WAR ECONOMY
Governments leave it too late and are forced
to rationalise whole sectors and take control
of citizens' lives.
Environmental refugees must find countries
willing to accommodate them. GHGs begin to
decline, but at great cost to civil liberty.
16. PROTECTIONIST WORLD
The world is divided into protectionist blocs.
Countries wage war over scarce resources
such as water.
Communities are divided and terrorists
take advantage of the flux, targeting
collapsed states.
17. “the cull during this century is
going to be huge, up to 90%.
The number of people
remaining at the end of
the century will probably
be a billion or less.”
source: Lovelock
18. “If we burn all the coal, we might kick
in a runaway greenhouse effect ...
if we burn all the tar shale and
tar sands we definitely will ... leading
to the Venus Syndrome.
Caps aren’t going to work – we need
a Carbon tax”
source: Hansen, Nasa
19. Are we finally moving to
a post-capitalist society?
Is “triple-bottom-line”
actually possible?
20. “capitalism is not up to the challenge
... it improperly and systemically
undervalues the future ... it has
become a kind of multi-generational
Ponzi scheme
... we need a Carbon tax”
source: McKinsey
21. THINGS TO
DO MORE OF
TECHNOLOGY INNOVATION
SERVICES NOT PRODUCTS
THINGS TO EXPLORE REFRAMING VALUE
RATIONING
WAR
THINGS TO
REALLY AVOID
22. “Carbon will be part
of the US budget
by 2011”
Source: The White House
27. EU POLICY STACK
Kyoto Protocol
EU ETS
Climate Change Bill
= 30min monitoring
Carbon Reduction Commitment = mandatory purchases
(>6GWh or >£500k/yr)
Energy Efficiency
Renewable Obligations
28. We are moving to an economic age
where we need to start obeying
the first law of thermodynamics*
quot;Energy can be transformed (changed from one form to another), but it can neither be created nor destroyed.quot;
29. 20 largest cities use 75% of world's energy
500m+ people will migrate to cities in <5yr
Future = many, smaller cities
“Countries as cities”?
30. There is no time left for closed systems
i/o models of everything
Democratization of energy
31. Data. All the data.
citizens + things
private sector
public sector
cities
countries
Earth
32. Data. All the data.
purchases
materials
buildings
travel + transport
fuel + water + waste
Energy Identity
35. Everyone else assumes they own your data
(e.g. utilities, suppliers, banks, retailers, etc.)
START HERE
ARRIVE HERE
You own your data and you share/license
it with those who need it.
37. EMERGING ECOSYSTEMS
“unifying monitoring, measuring, and managing rural environments,
rural to urban interconnects, and urban environments”
=
+
“95% of people are interested in receiving detailed
information on their energy use”
quot;If Edison would wake up today and look
at the grid he'd say 'that's where I left itquot;
“Data on your personal energy use belongs
to you ... in a standard, non-proprietary format”
Tim Berners-Lee on “unlock all your raw data”
Tim O'Reilly on “instrumenting the world”
38. Standards-Public Carbon/Energy Consultancies Buildings
Special Projects
EQ2
DECC (UK Government)
NaturalLogic
CarbonVision
Standards-Commercial/Registries Greenmonk.net
Travel & Transportation
CO2code
CarbonVoyage
Specia lProjects
Software/SaaS & Dopplr
Systems Integrators
Media Carbonetworks
The Guardian Data Store Carbonmetrics
Supply Chain
Carbon Hub
SUN (OpenEco)
Communities dcarbon8
MakeMeSustainable Julies Bicycle
2Degrees LivingLifeGreen
The Climate Group Special Projects
Smart Meters
Agencies
Carbonmetrics
Torchbox
ISE
Jelerang
Avvio
Trading
Clearleft
EuroRSCG
Misys (OpenCarbonWorld)
EarthCP
Sandbag
41. We need to bend the space-time of policy and commerce
42. #todo list
Give everything an energy identity
Build “smart-grid” behaviour into everything
Measure and map all of it
Lobby for, or create, open standards
Sort out data ownership before-the-fact
