**Original Question “How do we understandSuccess in the Modern Human Society?”*The Correct Question - “Let me tell you a Storywhich is Not the One of Natural Selection byDarwin. Its called the Rule of 1 or 2Selections.”
** We need to be able to understand why some people succeed andsome don’t* Traditionally we have all believed that Darwin’s theory of naturalselection was the only answer available* This deck is not about Strategy in any direct way and yet is probablymy most important (My personal opinion) collection of thoughts on, ifI may say, “How success in this world works?”* By the end of this deck, you would understand why the terms“Winner takes all” “All is fair in love and war” etc. make sense* You will get an important perspective into our Education System andSociety and various other things.* You will also get ideas on how to maximize chances of success, andthings like inflexion and “brutally uniform tests of selection”
** Variation exists within all populations of organisms. This occurs partlybecause random mutations cause changes in the genome of anindividual organism, and these mutations can be passed to offspring.Throughout the individuals’ lives, their genomes interact with theirenvironments to cause variations in traits.* Individuals with certain variants of the trait may survive andreproduce more than individuals with other variants. Therefore thepopulation evolves.* Natural selection is an important process (though not the onlyprocess) by which evolution takes place within a population oforganisms. Natural selection can be contrasted with artificialselection, in which humans intentionally choose specific traits(although they may not always get what they want). In naturalselection there is no intentional choice. In other words, artificialselection is teleological and natural selection is not teleological.*** Wikipedia
**…We Humans spent centuries trying to find those“Traits” that lead to natural selection in a HumanSociety. Because Darwin said populations progress bysuch means*We identified things likeIntelligence, Strength, Charm, Influence, we evendefined Emotional Intelligence and Social Intelligence*Obviously (Our Fallacious) Assumption is that by virtueof Such Traits -> We Get Selected -> We Succeed. I’mgoing to show you that its actually not true*And we have spent an enormous amount of time tryingto articulate and find these Universal Traits (???)
** Most of these programs in the Academia and Businesses are just shortof nonsense* They contain things like Discovering Your Inner Self, Your Drive, YourPassion, Your Inner Peace…* Ref: My deck on “How Democracy Really Works” to understand whysuch things don’t help at all w/ Leading Organizations* But then why does it seem that participants of such LDP’s succeed?* The answer is very simple. They succeed not by virtue of anythingthat can be attributed to what is learnt or gained at the program butmore so “Just By Virtue Of Them Being Selected Into The Program”* Their Selection is the Direct Reason behind their Future Success…* And they could have gotten selected for something as illogical (readunrelated) as putting the most gorgeous reports in front of themanagement or being the most popular manager.
**We have seen why competition is necessary ina world of scarce resources.*We have discussed that atleast theoreticallyvirtually any arbitrary criteria can be appliedfor selection/competition though its obviouslybetter if there is some correlation*We have also seen that criteria’s don’tnecessarily correlate with future success butrather future success can be attributed to justthe act of selection itself
** The premise is that everyone is virtually indistinguishableinitially* But by virtue of Selection they go on to better themselvesand succeed* Every successful person on this planet has had 1 or 2 majorlycritical selections (scenarios where he has been selectedover others) which has led him to succeed in the long term* Corollary: If you just take away those one or twoopportunities of being selected you take away their entirelifetime of success* Now we will begin to understand why things like WinnerTakes All, All Is Fair In Love And War, By Hook Or Crook I’mThe First In Your Book, Early Mover Advantage starts to makesense…
**The First Selection For Steve Jobs was whenSteve Wozniak created a computer and yet let(or not resist) Jobs being the CEO… that had aneverlasting impact on Jobs, if he wasn’t theCEO or #1 nobody would have accomodatedhim much in the future*Had Einstein not cleared the UniversityEntrance Exam with some guidance, you couldforget relativity theory for another 20-50years, being created by someone else.
** I have been able to identify just 2 categories of Selections in the world. (i)Complex Kind, and (ii) Brutally Uniform Tests and Selections* For example admission into a US University or an Industry Job is a complexselection process.* Entrance into Indian Institute Of Technologies and Indian StatisticalInstitute used to be brutally uniform test and selection* The Indian Education systems has more or less alternating instances ofthese types of selection while the US Education system is more or lesssteadily a chain of Complex Selection* India see’s much more of what I call Inversions (Or inflection points) in theroad to success than US, where if you are doing well in school you wouldprobably do well in college and then in your job also everything else beingequal* India see’s a lot of inversions where mediocre performers overtake topperformers (swapping/inversion), especially at boundaries of these twoselection sequences
** 99% of the work people do in this world requires virtually no special skill that you better had been bornwith, and had someone else being selected couldn’t have learnt and done in the same process or careergraph.* We give ourself’s too much credit. SERIOUSLY!!!* In statistical terms once a subgroup is selected from a group they would have gone on to becomebankers, consultants, engineers and performed in the same proportion as some other reasonablesubgroup from the same original group* The Golden Rule: Success can be attributed to Selection.* The Golden Rule: There is no trait(s) which uniformly leads to Selection* The Golden Rule: As you keep getting Selected you work harder, smarter and keep becoming better andbetter than the original group you started from.* 50% of US companies and a lot of Indian companies are family run. Their kids are smart no doubt but byvarious other measures there are way way smarter people in the world but they don’t get selected torun those companies. But once the family/son is selected to be the CXO he does reasonably beautifullywith the support of people around him. They even go on to become legends.* Your kid is not a Loser if he doesn’t get selected (OK some are) but nevertheless given some help if hecan make him pass one or two critical selections HE WILL SUCCEED just as well as the median of otherpeople who got selected. He could also go on and become Einstein.* Golden Rule: If you don’t Fcukup and get booted out from everywhere once you are beyond theselection stage gates you will do reasonably better than the ones who are not through those gates.Whatever be the criteria of selection or the guidance or help (not cheating but help) you took to clearthose selection gates. Self belief is the best but guidance, coaching and help works swell too.
** I’m not Sheryl Sandberg, I’m not the COO of Facebook neither a Mckinsey Alum or a Billionaire like her and I didn’twrite the book “Lean In”* My point here is very simple and I would reiterate “Just 1 or 2 critical selections are required”* It really doesn’t matter whether women are not liked if they are assertive or successful. I know more men who arevirtually assholes and would have been killed had killing been legal ;-)* It doesn’t matter if you take 10 years off to raise a family. If you retire at 75 years of age you still have ampletime. It takes just 10-14 years to make Partner at a top consulting company* It doesn’t matter if you take care of the family or not, if you are communal, caring or giving as Sheryl says or morelike men with aggressive leadership (Really???) qualities…* Or whether you lean in or lean out…* You know what? Nothing of that matters…* What matters is…* 1 or 2 selections will determine if you end up at the top or not.* Never ever waive your right to be nominated. Never ever opt yourself out or step back when its important* It doesn’t matter if you think or not think if you are the best in your peer group because HAMAM MEIN SAB NANGEY HAIN(everyone is naked in the bathroom)… you WILL BECOME better once selected and put in the spot, unless you fcukup so badthat you are thrown out. If you manage to hang in there you should be good.* Nobody can calculate which 1 or 2 selections will determine success in their career* You just have to make sure that in the selections that matter or you think that matter you are atleast running the race andnot sitting on the side and clapping for most other people.* That’s all that’s required. Good Luck!
** Darwins Theory of Natural Selection (Of Prefered Traits) doesn’t work in the Human Society* Traits don’t lead to Selection in the Human Society, don’t spend an eternity looking for them.* There are so many factors that come into play, country of origin, location, income, cashposition, information, timing, preparation, mood, frame ofmind, upbringing, confidence, belief, complex selection criteria, background and predisposition of theselectors, backup options, geography, awareness and a lot of times Pure Luck!!!… What Traits??? OrNatural Selection??? [@Darwin]* But rather just the Act of Selection leads to Success eventually* Every selection drives you and makes you better, you yourself learn and make yourself better at everystep distancing yourself from the original group* 1 or 2 critical selections are all that determine success in the long term* Losing 1 or 2 critical selection opportunities is enough to keep you out for ever.* I quote “Some are born great, some achieve greatness and some have greatness thrust upon them”* In the human society forget the first debatable part, once selected you WILL achieve greatness inreasonable probability and someone will come along and thrust greatness upon you also. So we are goodin 2 of 3 parts of that quote. And considering once you succeed you can also claim or others willattribute on you by themselves “That you were born great” So we are actually good on all 3 or 3 partsof that quote.