“Managers make manydecisions each day, anda great majority of themrefers to future events”Spyrog Makridakis
Roger BaconScientific Studies, 1260
195019601970198019902013
The exploration offutures stronglybases on theparticipants abilities.Ossip K. Flechtheim
Social FabricTechnology Fabric
Zeitgeist describesthe interactions,values and believes ofa society. It is the“spirit of times” andthe “soul of society”.
It describes the period after the present.The Future is inevitable, partial or notknown and symbolizes changes anduncertai...
Future ofthe PastFuture ofthe PresentFuture of theFuture
We live, already lived or are reallyclose to the Future of the Past. That iswhy we have more facts andinformation that tra...
1966“Probe of the future”, TRW66 forecastsMostly wrong1967“The Year 2000”, Macmillian100 inventions15% corrects10% partial...
The Future of the Present generates newrealities and identifies new possiblechanges, logics, risks and opportunities. Itis...
IsomorphicCyclesTrendsNewVariablesFutureFuture
The spread of computersand the Internet will putjobs in two categories:People who tellcomputers what to do,and people who ...
After Next (AN) is a vision that is exploredupon a created and selected future. It usesFiction and variables from scenario...
FutureAfter NextVariables ofthe futureNewVariables
SocialZeitgeistFunctionTechnologyScienceParts
It is the process of exploring,understanding and creating new futurerealities. Its objectives is to create anew future con...
Linear/ProgressiveCyclic Open/Complex
Cognitive(inspired by Metaverse Roadmap)Unseen FutureVirtualMirrorExistingNewPhysicalCognitiveUnseen FutureVirtualMirrorEx...
(Daniel Egger 2013)
MicroVariablesMacroVariablesMegaVariables
Dr. Vannevar Bush “The 3rd Eye”, 1945Core Vision DetailsGoogle Glass, 2013
1913,TheArtofNoises,LuigiRussoloThe CoolHunterThe TrendResearcherThe Futurist
The CoolHunterThe TrendResearcherThe Futurist
The CoolHunterThe TrendResearcherThe Futurist
Planner Futurist(Specific Theme; 3-5 years;may use inputs from theFuturists)(Multiple perspectives; morethan 5 years; cons...
ExploratoryQualitativeNormativeQuantitativeFuture Studiesapplies multipletools to explorenew realities.
- Mechanical Extrapolation- Unexplored Assumptions- Not to imagine- Work only with ONE future- Search for a solution inste...
“We did not invent time travel yet(unknonw)too change the past.Our only opportunity isto create a new future.
@Daniel_Eggerdaniel@foltigo.comwww.foltigo.com
First steps into Futuring @daniel_egger
First steps into Futuring @daniel_egger
First steps into Futuring @daniel_egger
First steps into Futuring @daniel_egger
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First steps into Futuring @daniel_egger

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This presentation provides a short introduction into futuring and futures that are divided in: the future of the past, the future of the present, the future of the future (After Next).

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First steps into Futuring @daniel_egger

  1. 1. “Managers make manydecisions each day, anda great majority of themrefers to future events”Spyrog Makridakis
  2. 2. Roger BaconScientific Studies, 1260
  3. 3. 195019601970198019902013
  4. 4. The exploration offutures stronglybases on theparticipants abilities.Ossip K. Flechtheim
  5. 5. Social FabricTechnology Fabric
  6. 6. Zeitgeist describesthe interactions,values and believes ofa society. It is the“spirit of times” andthe “soul of society”.
  7. 7. It describes the period after the present.The Future is inevitable, partial or notknown and symbolizes changes anduncertainty.It is a combination of new or existingvariables and their amplitudes.
  8. 8. Future ofthe PastFuture ofthe PresentFuture of theFuture
  9. 9. We live, already lived or are reallyclose to the Future of the Past. That iswhy we have more facts andinformation that transforms it into apool of insights and deeperunderstanding of changes.
  10. 10. 1966“Probe of the future”, TRW66 forecastsMostly wrong1967“The Year 2000”, Macmillian100 inventions15% corrects10% partial correctSteven P. Schnaars
  11. 11. The Future of the Present generates newrealities and identifies new possiblechanges, logics, risks and opportunities. Itis a combination of several variables fromtrends to fictions.The primary objective is to amplify andcreate new perspectives anticipatingdecisions.
  12. 12. IsomorphicCyclesTrendsNewVariablesFutureFuture
  13. 13. The spread of computersand the Internet will putjobs in two categories:People who tellcomputers what to do,and people who are toldby computers what todo.” Only one of thesetwo job categories will bewell paid.Marc Andreessen
  14. 14. After Next (AN) is a vision that is exploredupon a created and selected future. It usesFiction and variables from scenarios as astarting points. AN identifies new possiblerealities, logics and not yet existingopportunities. Once created it turnsatemporal, a reality, that we do not knowwhen it will happen.
  15. 15. FutureAfter NextVariables ofthe futureNewVariables
  16. 16. SocialZeitgeistFunctionTechnologyScienceParts
  17. 17. It is the process of exploring,understanding and creating new futurerealities. Its objectives is to create anew future consciousness of possiblechanges, identify new opportunities,risks and logics for the present context.
  18. 18. Linear/ProgressiveCyclic Open/Complex
  19. 19. Cognitive(inspired by Metaverse Roadmap)Unseen FutureVirtualMirrorExistingNewPhysicalCognitiveUnseen FutureVirtualMirrorExistingNewPhysical
  20. 20. (Daniel Egger 2013)
  21. 21. MicroVariablesMacroVariablesMegaVariables
  22. 22. Dr. Vannevar Bush “The 3rd Eye”, 1945Core Vision DetailsGoogle Glass, 2013
  23. 23. 1913,TheArtofNoises,LuigiRussoloThe CoolHunterThe TrendResearcherThe Futurist
  24. 24. The CoolHunterThe TrendResearcherThe Futurist
  25. 25. The CoolHunterThe TrendResearcherThe Futurist
  26. 26. Planner Futurist(Specific Theme; 3-5 years;may use inputs from theFuturists)(Multiple perspectives; morethan 5 years; constantly in theflux)
  27. 27. ExploratoryQualitativeNormativeQuantitativeFuture Studiesapplies multipletools to explorenew realities.
  28. 28. - Mechanical Extrapolation- Unexplored Assumptions- Not to imagine- Work only with ONE future- Search for a solution instead of opportunities- Predict the future- Judge the future with todays values- Low Flexibility- “Fashion” Tools- Super simplified Tools
  29. 29. “We did not invent time travel yet(unknonw)too change the past.Our only opportunity isto create a new future.
  30. 30. @Daniel_Eggerdaniel@foltigo.comwww.foltigo.com

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