Agi foresight presentation data and technology 20100714


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Summary presentation of the conclusions of the AGI Fo

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Agi foresight presentation data and technology 20100714

  1. 1. AGI Foresight Study A Vision of the Geospatial industry in 2015 Andrew Coote AGI Chairman 1
  2. 2. Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future. Neils Bohr (1885-1962)
  3. 3. Defining the Geospatial Market • Information, processes, products and services where location is a significant component. or • Any endeavour where geospatial expertise can be used to the benefit of citizens, business and good governance
  4. 4. Paradigm Shifts • Over last 20 years the industry has been changing but in relatively small increments – there were breakthroughs but their effects emerged at a rate businesses and Government could absorb and adapt to. • What we are seeing now is the biggest paradigm shift the industry has seen in my professional career . • Radical changes are occurring not just in technology but also in political and social attitudes. • Furthermore, this is happening against a backdrop of economic turmoil. • The industry will look a lot different in 5 years time.
  5. 5. What is different now? • Pace of change (demise of the record industry: as we knew it) • Speed of Communication (e.g. Twitter) • Medium of Communication (television / newspapers -> web) • Chips with everything (e.g. intelligent fridge) • Globalisation (China has more internet users than the US) • Artificial Intelligence (the web has a level of consciousness) • Cultural Change – Generation Y – Work / Life balance – Social networking
  6. 6. Globalisation in Action
  7. 7. Data and Technology
  8. 8. Geospatial Information is Pervasive Position will be “always available” through Smartphones, RFID tags and other sensors. The value to each application will be variable, but it will always be there.
  9. 9. Global Navigation Satellite System “Multi-constellation GNSS providing 100 satellites will mean centimetre positioning is commonly achievable in a mobile environment.” Alan Dodson Source:
  10. 10. Sub-metre accuracy 3D data is available for all urban areas “Imagery becomes a commodity, viewed and distributed on the web almost for free. The mass market is removed and specialist capture returns”. Andy Wells
  11. 11. Earth Observation Satellites “By 2015 governmental organisations will operate over 200 EO satellites carrying 385 different instruments. Turning data from such a range of systems into information calls for a corresponding range of scientific and technical competencies.” Alan Belward
  12. 12. Cloud Computing: the dominant delivery mechanism “Essentially it will mean that users of IT-related services will be able to focus on what the service provides them rather than how the services are implemented or hosted.” Gartner (2009)
  13. 13. Location based Services “Mainstream consumer-focused location aware smartphones and related location based services will make significant inroads into the enterprise, significantly reducing the cost and effort required for many mobile applications.” Peter Batty
  14. 14. Augmented Reality
  15. 15. Open Source Geospatial Software GRASS OpenLayers “In 5 years time, Open Source Geospatial won't be a niche or a specialism, it will be a standard way that things are done.” Jo Cook
  16. 16. Crowd sourcing “Five years ago OpenStreetMap didn't exist, so forecasting the future of crowd sourced data feels particularly futile.” “However, the UK is predicted to be complete, at the street level, in 14 months time.” “There will be more than 1,000,000 users in much less than five years time.” Chris Osborne
  17. 17. OpenStreetMap
  18. 18. Geomatics an envisage a large market for 3D point cloud ata from lidar combined with mobile scanning ground vehicles.” Richard Groom
  19. 19. Semantic Web Google will parse complete natural language sentences in a single query – Gary Gale
  20. 20. Geospatial in Political Debate Courtesy of Ed Parsons
  21. 21. Some Resulting Challenges • We need to discard the location-specific baggage and embrace being in the mainstream of ICT. • Adjust our business models to ensure we survive and prosper alongside Google and other emerging global players. • Engage with LBS developers and service providers and take advantage of their expertise. • Provide services to help users migrate through these paradigm shifts. • Take location information into significant applications, e.g. climate change, participatory democracy, mega city planning • Improve how we communicate with end users who don’t understand maps.