Ucla luskin center pev infrastructure

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UCLA Luskin Center - PEV Infrastructure. Presentation given by JR DeShazo, Director UCLA Luskin Center on October 26th, 2011 at the E-Mobility Symposium organized by the German State of Baden-Wuerttemberg at the W-Hotel in Los Angeles.

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Ucla luskin center pev infrastructure

  1. 1. W Hotel (Westwood)|Los Angeles October 26, 2011
  2. 2. Projected PEV Base in Los Angeles: 2000-2020 800,000 700,000 600,000Installed  Base 500,000 400,000 300,000 200,000 100,000 0 2000 2001 2002 2004 2006 2007 2008 2009 2011 2012 2013 2014 2016 2018 2019 2020 2003 2005 2010 2015 2017 BEV  Cumulative PHEV  Cumulative Hybrid  Cumulative Source: Jeffrey Dubin, et.al., UCLA Luskin Center for Innovation, 2011.
  3. 3. Market Analysis ž  PEVs projected to be 9% of new car sales in 2015, and 11.7% in 2020 ž  Based on demographic and conjoint survey of 2,072 LA residents in 2010-2011.Source: Jeffrey Dubin, et.al., UCLA Luskin Center for Innovation, 2011.
  4. 4. PEV Charging & Multifamily Dwellings ž  Residential Parking a problem for Early Adopters ž  “How much of a problem would it be if there were no EV chargers in your building?” —  Would prevent from buying an EV: 42% —  Serious problem, but could work: 27%Source: Jeffrey Dubin, et.al., UCLA Luskin Center for Innovation, 2011.
  5. 5. PEV Charging & Multifamily Dwellings ž  Unlocking Multifamily Dwelling Charging = Unlocking the Market Other,  0.7%Los Angeles Housing Stock (2009) Single   Family,  46% Multifamily,   51% Duplex,  3%Source: David Peterson, UCLA Luskin Center for Innovation, 2011.
  6. 6. PEV Charging & Multifamily Dwellings ž  LA Green Building Code mandates new construction to install EVSE electrical conduits in low rise multifamily. ž  LAGBC mandates designated PEV spaces for new high-rise constructionSource: City of Los Angeles Green Building Code, 2010.
  7. 7. PEV Charging & Multifamily Dwellingsž  New residential construction is too slow to meet demandž  SR solutions? —  PHEVs & Extended range vehicles —  Workplace and publicly-accessible chargingž  What are actual installation costs in overlapping areas of high nighttime demand and high concentrations of multifamily?ž  What role can public policy play to expedite installations?
  8. 8. Siting & Managing Public Chargingž  Workplace,Commercial and other Publicly-accessible charging addresses key need for niche markets: —  PEV drivers without residential charging —  PEVs with small batteries wanting to charge “opportunistically” —  Reducing range anxietyž  Whereshould they go, and how should they be managed?
  9. 9. Siting & Managing Public Chargingž  Many siting methodologies exist: —  #1: Ad-hoc —  #2 Informedž  Estimating demand, identifying low cost supply sites, and matching supply and demand gives cities the power to: —  Leverage private investment —  Know where to upgrade old infrastructure —  Informs electric utility where to expect demand —  Plan for integration with transportation demand strategies (e.g., parking pricing)
  10. 10. Concentrations of Nighttime PEV Charging 2020Source: Jeffrey Dubin, et.al., UCLA Luskin Center for Innovation, 2011.
  11. 11. Siting & Managing Public Charging First Generation Charging Stations (07.2011) •  Appx 35% of U.S. Gen 1 1000 charging stations are in 800 LA CountyEVSE (units) 600 312 •  Most are 220-240 Volts 400 •  Opportunity for low-cost 484 200 refurbishment 0 2 3 •  Need to strategically target sites Public EVSE 1.0 L1 Public EVSE 1.0 L2 U.S. (ex-CA) CA (ex-LA County) LA County EV Charging Station Locations by Land Use Category (07.2011)•  Over 50% of publicly-accessible Gen 1 Miscellaneous 1 charging stations on commercial Recreational 4 property. Industrial 6•  Opportunity to leverage private Institutional 7 Government Owned Property 32 investment. Commercial 59 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Source: Peterson & Goepel, UCLA Luskin Center for Innovation, 2011. Number of Locations
  12. 12. Conclusionž  Need to responsibly site and manage infrastructure to avoid wasteful spending and costly decommissioning of stranded assetsž  Public sector can have a hand in guiding this processž  Innovative solutions need to emerge for multi-unit dwellingsž  Need for greater sharing of best practices across California and U.S.
  13. 13. www.luskin.ucla.eduž  J.R. DeShazo, Director —  310.593.1198 —  deshazo@ucla.eduž  David Peterson, PEV Project Manager —  650.477.4883 —  davidpeterson@ucla.edu

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