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ABA Ipsos Polling 4.6.15

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ABA Ipsos Polling 4.6.15

  1. 1. © 2014 Ipsos. All rights reserved. Contains Ipsos' Confidential and Proprietary information and may not be disclosed or reproduced without the prior written consent of Ipsos. American Bar Association April 2015 April 2015
  2. 2. Methodology and Technical Details This is the third wave of research for an ongoing Ipsos survey:  Current fieldwork period: April 2-6, 2015  The first wave was conducted February 21-24, 2014  The second wave was conducted December 2-6, 2014  The current survey interviewed a national sample of 1,005 adults  The first wave included 1,005 adults  The second wave included 1,004 adults  These slides also contain some data filtered on just those respondents reporting that they know ‘A great deal’, ‘A fair amount’, or ‘ A little bit’ about the ICC at Q1 (cutting out those who say they know ‘Nothing at all’). This reduced the filtered base size to 408, and is referred to in the data as ‘Aware of ICC’ audience. ─ The first wave included 379 of these respondents ─ The second wave included 338 of these respondents  Weighting then employed to balance demographics and ensure that the sample's composition reflects that of the U.S. adult population according to Census data and to provide results intended to approximate the sample universe.  Statistical margins of error are not applicable to online polls because they are based on samples drawn from opt-in online panels, not on random samples that mirror the population within a statistical probability ratio.  All sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error, and measurement error. 2
  3. 3. Knowledge of International Criminal Court 3 1.How much, if anything, would you say you know about the International Criminal Court? 2% 9% 30% 59% A great deal A fair amount A little bit Nothing at all Base: All Respondents (n=1,005)
  4. 4. Knowledge of International Criminal Court- TREND 4 1.How much, if anything, would you say you know about the International Criminal Court? 4% 8% 28% 60% 7% 8% 21% 64% 2% 9% 30% 59% A great deal A fair amount A little bit Nothing at all Feb-14 Dec-14 Apr-15
  5. 5. Attitudes towards US participation in ICC 5Base: All Respondents (n=1,005); All at least aware of ICC (n=408) 31% 49% 64% 73% 20% 30% 53% 63% 20% 27% 7% 15% 9% 14% 41% 50% 14% 19% 47% 54% 62% 37% 27% 12% 39% 20% 34% 18% 34% 19% Agree Disagree Don't know The United States is currently a member of the International Criminal Court It is important for the United States to participate in international organizations that support human rights and that hold individuals accountable for mass atrocities Joining international organizations concerned with human rights and holding individuals accountable for mass atrocities is a risk to the US because it could hurt our autonomy We should dedicate US resources (financial, military, intelligence, etc) to international organizations that support human rights and that hold individuals accountable for mass atrocities It is not in our best interests to dedicate US resources (financial, military, intelligence, etc.) to supporting international organizations that support human rights and that hold individuals accountable for mass atrocities 2. Please indicate whether you agree or disagree with each of the statements ALL Aware of ICC ALL Aware of ICC ALL Aware of ICC ALL Aware of ICC ALL Aware of ICC
  6. 6. Attitudes towards US participation in ICC-TREND 6 28% 35% 31% 60% 60% 64% 24% 23% 20% 47% 48% 53% 21% 20% 20% 8% 6% 7% 11% 11% 9% 37% 40% 41% 18% 16% 14% 43% 45% 47% 64% 59% 62% 29% 29% 27% 39% 38% 39% 34% 36% 34% 36% 35% 34% Agree Disagree Don't know All-Feb 2014 All-Dec 2014 All-April 2015 All-Feb 2014 All-Dec 2014 All-April 2015 All-Feb 2014 All-Dec 2014 All-April 2015 All-Feb 2014 All-Dec 2014 All-April 2015 2. Please indicate whether you agree or disagree with each of the statements All-Feb 2014 All-Dec 2014 All-April 2015 The United States is currently a member of the International Criminal Court It is important for the United States to participate in international organizations that support human rights and that hold individuals accountable for mass atrocities Joining international organizations concerned with human rights and holding individuals accountable for mass atrocities is a risk to the US because it could hurt our autonomy We should dedicate US resources (financial, military, intelligence, etc) to international organizations that support human rights and that hold individuals accountable for mass atrocities It is not in our best interests to dedicate US resources (financial, military, intelligence, etc.) to supporting international organizations that support human rights and that hold individuals accountable for mass atrocities
  7. 7. Joining the International Criminal Court 7 37% 23% 40% 50% 26% 24% The US should become more involved in or fully join the ICC The US should not join the ICC Don't know All Aware of ICC 3. The International Criminal Court (ICC)is the world’s only permanent international tribunal created by a treaty for the purpose of investigating and prosecuting war crimes, genocide, and crimes against humanity (mass atrocities). Currently, 122 countries are members of the International Criminal Court. The United States formally announced in 2002 that it would not become a member of the International Criminal Court for a multitude of reasons, including questions about the court’s jurisdiction and structure. Some people believe that the US should become more involved in or fully join the ICC so that we can use our considerable power, influence, and resources to support the important efforts of the Court to pursue individuals who have committed mass atrocities (when the perpetrator’s own country’s courts have failed to do so) Some people believe that the US should not join the ICC because it compromises our sovereignty as a nation, and because our standing in the world means our military personnel and civilian officials might be prosecuted via the ICC for political reasons Which of these statements comes closer to your personal opinion? Base: All Respondents (n=1,005); All at least aware of ICC (n=408)
  8. 8. Joining the International Criminal Court - TREND 8 34% 24% 42% 37% 25% 38% 37% 23% 40% The US should become more involved in or fully join the ICC The US should not join the ICC Don't know All-Feb 2014 All-Dec 2014 All-April 2015 3. The International Criminal Court (ICC)is the world’s only permanent international tribunal created by a treaty for the purpose of investigating and prosecuting war crimes, genocide, and crimes against humanity (mass atrocities). Currently, 122 countries are members of the International Criminal Court. The United States formally announced in 2002 that it would not become a member of the International Criminal Court for a multitude of reasons, including questions about the court’s jurisdiction and structure. Some people believe that the US should become more involved in or fully join the ICC so that we can use our considerable power, influence, and resources to support the important efforts of the Court to pursue individuals who have committed mass atrocities (when the perpetrator’s own country’s courts have failed to do so) Some people believe that the US should not join the ICC because it compromises our sovereignty as a nation, and because our standing in the world means our military personnel and civilian officials might be prosecuted via the ICC for political reasons Which of these statements comes closer to your personal opinion?
  9. 9. Attitudes towards US participation in ICC 9 43% 53% 26% 35% 32% 47% 24% 39% 20% 28% 31% 42% 26% 31% 29% 32% 37% 19% 43% 24% 42% 22% 46% 28% Agree Disagree Don't knowThe US should continue to dedicate moderate resources to supporting some actions of the ICC without formally joining, such as by providing satellite photos if our satellites are passing an area of interest to the ICC Joining the ICC would compromise America's sovereignty as a nation The US should become more engaged and involved in the ICC without becoming a member by making all forms of our vast governmental resources available to support the work of the ICC The US should become a full member of the International Criminal Court and robustly support all of its work. 4. For each of the statements below, please indicate whether you agree or disagree with the statement. ALL Aware of ICC Base: All Respondents (n=1,005); All at least aware of ICC (n=408) ALL Aware of ICC ALL Aware of ICC ALL Aware of ICC
  10. 10. Attitudes towards US participation in ICC- TREND 10 44% 47% 43% 26% 28% 26% 28% 31% 32% 22% 25% 24% 19% 18% 20% 31% 30% 31% 29% 27% 26% 31% 32% 29% 37% 35% 37% 43% 41% 43% 43% 41% 42% 47% 43% 46% Agree Disagree Don't know 4. For each of the statements below, please indicate whether you agree or disagree with the statement. The US should continue to dedicate moderate resources to supporting some actions of the ICC without formally joining, such as by providing satellite photos if our satellites are passing an area of interest to the ICC Joining the ICC would compromise America's sovereignty as a nation The US should become more engaged and involved in the ICC without becoming a member by making all forms of our vast governmental resources available to support the work of the ICC The US should become a full member of the International Criminal Court and robustly support all of its work. All-Feb 2014 All-Dec 2014 All-April 2015 All-Feb 2014 All-Dec 2014 All-April 2015 All-Feb 2014 All-Dec 2014 All-April 2015 All-Feb 2014 All-Dec 2014 All-April 2015
  11. 11. Palestinian Membership in the Courts 11 24% 28% 15% 34% 30% 36% 18% 16% All Aware of ICC Advances Neutral/No impact Hinders Don't know 5A. As you may have heard, on April 1st, 2015 Palestine officially became a member of the International Criminal Court (ICC). This membership makes it possible for both Israelis and Palestinians to be investigated by the ICC for alleged international atrocity crimes. Do you personally think Palestine’s membership at the ICC hinders or advances international justice? Base: All Respondents (n=1,005); All at least aware of ICC (n=408)
  12. 12. Palestinian Membership in the Courts 12 19% 24% 20% 36% 24% 31% 28% 17% Good Neutral/No impact Bad Don't know All Aware of ICC Short term impact on the peace process 5B. Now that Palestine is a member, the ICC Prosecutor could investigate the summer 2014 Gaza conflict involving rocket attacks against Israel by Hamas and the Israeli military action, could also investigate the Israeli settlements. Do you personally think a criminal investigation into these incidents would be good or bad for the peace process in the short term? And the long term? Base: All Respondents (n=1,005); All at least aware of ICC (n=408) 26% 22% 14% 38%35% 27% 19% 19% Good Neutral/No impact Bad Don't know All Aware of ICC Long term impact on the peace process
  13. 13. Palestinian Membership in the Courts 13 23% 24% 53% 30% 36% 34% All Aware of ICC 5C. Israel and the United States oppose Palestine’s ICC membership, arguing that Palestine’s membership will harm the peace process. Others argue that justice is needed for long-term peace to occur, and the ICC will help deter future violent conflicts. Which of these comes closer to your own personal opinion? Palestine’s ICC membership will harm the peace process Palestine’s ICC membership will help the peace process Don't know Base: All Respondents (n=1,005); All at least aware of ICC (n=408)
  14. 14. Ipsos Contacts 14 Clifford Young President, US Ipsos Public Affairs 2020 K Street, NW, Suite 410 Washington, DC 20006 Phone: +1 202.420.2016 eMail: clifford.young@ipsos.com Julia Clark Senior Vice President 222 S Riverside Plaza, Fifth Floor Chicago, IL 60606 Phone: +1 312.526.4919 eMail: julia.clark@ipsos.com Elizabeth Brashares Research Manager 222 S Riverside Plaza, Fifth Floor Chicago, IL 60606 Phone: +1 312.526.4744 eMail: elizabeth.brashares@ipsos.com

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