How dangerous are wind turbines in cold climate regions? Can we do something about it?

Winterwind
WinterwindWinterwind
HOW DANGEROUS ARE WIND TURBINES IN COLD CLIMATE
AND CAN WE DO SOMETHING ABOUT IT?
Winterwind, Skellefteå 8 February 2012
Bengt Göransson, Pöyry SwedPower
ARE WIND TURBINES DANGEROUS?




                   COPYRIGHT©PÖYRY   PÖYRY POWERPOINT 2010 TEMPLATE   2
                                                    17 JANUARY 2012
HAZARDS IN COLD CLIMATE



•  Ice throw
•  Noise increase

•  Slipping
•  Trapping
•  Freezing




                    COPYRIGHT©PÖYRY   PÖYRY POWERPOINT 2010 TEMPLATE   3
                                                     17 JANUARY 2012
THE MACHINERY DIRECTIVE SAYS…




”Machinery must be designed and constructed so
that it….can be operated, adjusted and
maintained without putting persons at risk”




                                        4 | WINTERWIND 2011 | 2011-02-09
                      COPYRIGHT©PÖYRY                                PÖYRY POWERPOINT 2010 TEMPLATE   4
                                                                                    17 JANUARY 2012
RISK




  Risk = probability of a hazard x consequence of failure




                       COPYRIGHT©PÖYRY          PÖYRY POWERPOINT 2010 TEMPLATE   5
                                                               17 JANUARY 2012
EN 50308 REVISION BY CENELEC




                     COPYRIGHT©PÖYRY   PÖYRY POWERPOINT 2010 TEMPLATE   6
                                                      17 JANUARY 2012
PROCEDURE FOR RISK ASSESSMENT ACCORDING TO
MACHINERY DIRECTIVE


        1    Determine the limits of the machinery

        2    Identify the hazards

        3    Estimate the risks

        4    Evaluate possible design solutions

        5    Eliminate the hazard or reduce the risks

        6    Inform about residual hazards




                      COPYRIGHT©PÖYRY                   PÖYRY POWERPOINT 2010 TEMPLATE   7
                                                                       17 JANUARY 2012
PROBABILITY OF ICE SHEDDING
Distance from tower




                                 Ice throw probability/m2/year with 5 icing days
                                              Turbine in operation

                                             COPYRIGHT©PÖYRY                   PÖYRY POWERPOINT 2010 TEMPLATE   8
                                                                                              17 JANUARY 2012
PROBABILITY OF ICE SHEDDING




            Ice throw probability/m2/year with 5 icing days
                         Turbine at standstill

                        COPYRIGHT©PÖYRY                   PÖYRY POWERPOINT 2010 TEMPLATE   9
                                                                         17 JANUARY 2012
CASES


Service staff                     Public


Icing                             Winter season
occurrence

Rotating                          Parked turbine
turbine
                COPYRIGHT©PÖYRY            PÖYRY POWERPOINT 2010 TEMPLATE   10
                                                          17 JANUARY 2012
RISK LEVELS AT 5 ”ICE DAYS” ANNUALLY WITH ICE
 In operation

Case Service staff                        Recurrence time
Parked car 1 hr / 20 m                    27 years

Driving by row of turbines for 7          5800 years
min
Person staying 1 hr/10 m                  530 years




                            COPYRIGHT©PÖYRY                 PÖYRY POWERPOINT 2010 TEMPLATE   11
                                                                           17 JANUARY 2012
WINTER SEASON (6 MONTHS)


In operation

Case Public                           Recurrence time
Person 1hr/10 m                       1,3 million years
Person 1hr/50 m                       53 million years
Person 1 hr/100 m                     143 million years


Parked

Case Public                           Recurrence time
Person 1hr/10 m                       19000 years
Person 1 hr/50 m                      230000 years
Person 1 hr/100 m                     -


                    COPYRIGHT©PÖYRY                       PÖYRY POWERPOINT 2010 TEMPLATE   12
                                                                         17 JANUARY 2012
ARE THESE FIGURES HIGH RISK OR LOW RISK?




•  For public:
           Risk of being hit by lightning in the US during one year is 7 times staying 50 m
           from turbine for 1 hour during winter season

           Risk of being hit by ice cone in Stockholm city street equals staying 10 m
           for 1 hour during winter season

•  Risk for service staff:
           Risk for personal injury in traffic 4 times staying 1 hour 10 m from turbine at
           icing condition




                                     COPYRIGHT©PÖYRY                        PÖYRY POWERPOINT 2010 TEMPLATE   13
                                                                                           17 JANUARY 2012
WHAT TO DO?



•  Don´t build turbines in cold climate (No option)

•  Do not operate from October to May (No option)

•  Include ice detection/closing down

•  Include active heating equipment

•  Include passive deicing equipment

•  Put up warning signs




                                      COPYRIGHT©PÖYRY   PÖYRY POWERPOINT 2010 TEMPLATE   14
                                                                       17 JANUARY 2012
CONCLUSION



•  For service staff recurrence period of 530 years – Not neglectible

•  Active heating system solves the problem

•  If adding passive de-icing system additional information is needed

•  For the public warning signs are sufficient




                                  COPYRIGHT©PÖYRY                       PÖYRY POWERPOINT 2010 TEMPLATE   15
                                                                                       17 JANUARY 2012
THANK YOU!




         CONTACT:
         NAME: Bengt Göransson
         MAIL: bengt.goransson@poyry.com
         PHONE: 010-4047



                           COPYRIGHT©PÖYRY   PÖYRY POWERPOINT 2010 TEMPLATE   16
                                                            17 JANUARY 2012
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How dangerous are wind turbines in cold climate regions? Can we do something about it?

  • 1. HOW DANGEROUS ARE WIND TURBINES IN COLD CLIMATE AND CAN WE DO SOMETHING ABOUT IT? Winterwind, Skellefteå 8 February 2012 Bengt Göransson, Pöyry SwedPower
  • 2. ARE WIND TURBINES DANGEROUS? COPYRIGHT©PÖYRY PÖYRY POWERPOINT 2010 TEMPLATE 2 17 JANUARY 2012
  • 3. HAZARDS IN COLD CLIMATE •  Ice throw •  Noise increase •  Slipping •  Trapping •  Freezing COPYRIGHT©PÖYRY PÖYRY POWERPOINT 2010 TEMPLATE 3 17 JANUARY 2012
  • 4. THE MACHINERY DIRECTIVE SAYS… ”Machinery must be designed and constructed so that it….can be operated, adjusted and maintained without putting persons at risk” 4 | WINTERWIND 2011 | 2011-02-09 COPYRIGHT©PÖYRY PÖYRY POWERPOINT 2010 TEMPLATE 4 17 JANUARY 2012
  • 5. RISK Risk = probability of a hazard x consequence of failure COPYRIGHT©PÖYRY PÖYRY POWERPOINT 2010 TEMPLATE 5 17 JANUARY 2012
  • 6. EN 50308 REVISION BY CENELEC COPYRIGHT©PÖYRY PÖYRY POWERPOINT 2010 TEMPLATE 6 17 JANUARY 2012
  • 7. PROCEDURE FOR RISK ASSESSMENT ACCORDING TO MACHINERY DIRECTIVE 1 Determine the limits of the machinery 2 Identify the hazards 3 Estimate the risks 4 Evaluate possible design solutions 5 Eliminate the hazard or reduce the risks 6 Inform about residual hazards COPYRIGHT©PÖYRY PÖYRY POWERPOINT 2010 TEMPLATE 7 17 JANUARY 2012
  • 8. PROBABILITY OF ICE SHEDDING Distance from tower Ice throw probability/m2/year with 5 icing days Turbine in operation COPYRIGHT©PÖYRY PÖYRY POWERPOINT 2010 TEMPLATE 8 17 JANUARY 2012
  • 9. PROBABILITY OF ICE SHEDDING Ice throw probability/m2/year with 5 icing days Turbine at standstill COPYRIGHT©PÖYRY PÖYRY POWERPOINT 2010 TEMPLATE 9 17 JANUARY 2012
  • 10. CASES Service staff Public Icing Winter season occurrence Rotating Parked turbine turbine COPYRIGHT©PÖYRY PÖYRY POWERPOINT 2010 TEMPLATE 10 17 JANUARY 2012
  • 11. RISK LEVELS AT 5 ”ICE DAYS” ANNUALLY WITH ICE In operation Case Service staff Recurrence time Parked car 1 hr / 20 m 27 years Driving by row of turbines for 7 5800 years min Person staying 1 hr/10 m 530 years COPYRIGHT©PÖYRY PÖYRY POWERPOINT 2010 TEMPLATE 11 17 JANUARY 2012
  • 12. WINTER SEASON (6 MONTHS) In operation Case Public Recurrence time Person 1hr/10 m 1,3 million years Person 1hr/50 m 53 million years Person 1 hr/100 m 143 million years Parked Case Public Recurrence time Person 1hr/10 m 19000 years Person 1 hr/50 m 230000 years Person 1 hr/100 m - COPYRIGHT©PÖYRY PÖYRY POWERPOINT 2010 TEMPLATE 12 17 JANUARY 2012
  • 13. ARE THESE FIGURES HIGH RISK OR LOW RISK? •  For public: Risk of being hit by lightning in the US during one year is 7 times staying 50 m from turbine for 1 hour during winter season Risk of being hit by ice cone in Stockholm city street equals staying 10 m for 1 hour during winter season •  Risk for service staff: Risk for personal injury in traffic 4 times staying 1 hour 10 m from turbine at icing condition COPYRIGHT©PÖYRY PÖYRY POWERPOINT 2010 TEMPLATE 13 17 JANUARY 2012
  • 14. WHAT TO DO? •  Don´t build turbines in cold climate (No option) •  Do not operate from October to May (No option) •  Include ice detection/closing down •  Include active heating equipment •  Include passive deicing equipment •  Put up warning signs COPYRIGHT©PÖYRY PÖYRY POWERPOINT 2010 TEMPLATE 14 17 JANUARY 2012
  • 15. CONCLUSION •  For service staff recurrence period of 530 years – Not neglectible •  Active heating system solves the problem •  If adding passive de-icing system additional information is needed •  For the public warning signs are sufficient COPYRIGHT©PÖYRY PÖYRY POWERPOINT 2010 TEMPLATE 15 17 JANUARY 2012
  • 16. THANK YOU! CONTACT: NAME: Bengt Göransson MAIL: bengt.goransson@poyry.com PHONE: 010-4047 COPYRIGHT©PÖYRY PÖYRY POWERPOINT 2010 TEMPLATE 16 17 JANUARY 2012