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Chapter 21
Trade And BOP Of India




                International Marketing
             Chapter-21 Trade And BOP Of
                         India
Objectives
What is the outcome of India’s foreign
trade plan
What are the determinants of exports
What are major exports
What is the direction of India’s foreign
trade
What are the determinants of payments
balance
What are the major problems of India’s
export sector
                International Marketing
             Chapter-21 Trade And BOP Of
                         India
Introduction
 This chapter provides a brief account of
 the foreign trade of India under the
 five plans, trends in the direction and
 composition of trade, determinants of
 exports and imports and trends in the
 balance of payments.


                International Marketing
             Chapter-21 Trade And BOP Of
                         India
Foreign Trade Under The
     Plans
a)   The share of India in the total world exports fell
     from about per cent in 1950 to 0.4 per cent in
     1980. so there is some improvement in mid-
     eights.
b)   India was the 13th largest exporter in 1950, but
     there are more than 30 countries above India
     now.
c)   India’s exports as a percentage of the GDP had
     been stagnating around 5 percent. It has
     improved since the liberalization, it is still very
     low even in comparison with many other
     developing countries.
                         International Marketing
                      Chapter-21 Trade And BOP Of
                                  India
Determinants Of Exports
     The external factors are
1.   The rate of growth of the economies of
     the importing countries
2.   The rate of growth of the world trade
3.   The rate of change in the price level in
     the importing country

                    International Marketing
                 Chapter-21 Trade And BOP Of
                             India
The internal factors are
1.   The rate of growth of the Indian
     economy
2.   The rate of change in the domestic
     price level.


                  International Marketing
               Chapter-21 Trade And BOP Of
                           India
Impact of The Inter-
relationship
 Good growth in the economies of the
 industrial countries has been associated
 with good growth in India’s exports.
 The volume of India’s exports broadly kept
 pace with the growth in the economies of
 the industrial countries.
 During certain periods, despite modest
 growth in the industrial countries and in
 world trade, the volume of India’s exports
 fell because of the rise in the RERx.
                 International Marketing
              Chapter-21 Trade And BOP Of
                          India
Determinants Of Imports
1.   The rate of growth of the Indian economy
2.   The relative price of imports
3.   In a number of years, the volume of imports
     was kept down by moderate growth of the
     economy together with relatively high price
     of imports.
4.   Large imports in several years were
     associated with moderate growth of the
     economy and substantial fall in the relative
     price of imports
                       International Marketing
                    Chapter-21 Trade And BOP Of
                                India
Major Exports
After Independence, India has achieved
considerable diversification in exports, both
product-wise and country-wise.
Today manufactures account for about
three-fourths of the total exports compared
to 45 per cent in 1960-61
Though there has been a significant growth
of non-traditional items, a number of
traditional  items           continue    to have
considerable weightage in India’s export
basket.          International Marketing
                Chapter-21 Trade And BOP Of
                            India
Export Product-Country Matrix
  On 27 December 1995, Mr. P.
  Chidambaram, the then Minister for
  Commerce presented a 15 country –
  15 product export matrix, proposing
  an export thrust strategy.



               International Marketing
            Chapter-21 Trade And BOP Of
                        India
The 15 destination markets in the matrix
are United States, Japan, Germany, U.K.,
Hong Kong, U.A.E., Belgium, Italy, Russia,
Singapore,    Bangladesh.     Netherlands,
France, South Africa and Thailand.
The 15 products are jems and jewellery;
cotton and accessories; cotton yarn, fabric
etc.
                International Marketing
             Chapter-21 Trade And BOP Of
                         India
Major Imports
Petroleum oil lubricants now account for a
considerable part of India’s import bill.
Pearls and precious stones account for a
large share of the import bill. These imports
are mostly for export processing.
Other important import items, in terms of
value, are edible oils, fertilizers and fertilizer
materials; chemicals, iron and steel, cereals
and pulses and nonferrous metals.
                     International Marketing
                  Chapter-21 Trade And BOP Of
                              India
Balance Of Payments
The trade balance is often a major
determinant of the payments balance.
Trade deficit has often caused balance of
payments deficits for India.
One of the important reasons for the recent
balance of payments (BOP) problem was the
decline in the role of the invisibles surplus in
financing the trade deficit. Except for brief
periods, India’s BOP has shown deficit.
                    International Marketing
                 Chapter-21 Trade And BOP Of
                             India
BOP Problem Of India
1.   Large trade deficit
2.   Fall in the invisible surplus, caused by:
a)   Sharp increase in the invisibles
     payments due to the increase in the
     debt service.
b)   Setback to the invisible receipts,
     mainly the emigrant remittances and
     travel income.nternational Marketing
                    I
                 Chapter-21 Trade And BOP Of
                             India
3.   Sensitive behavior of foreign creditors,
     including NRI        foreign currency
     depositors.
4.   The declining role of concessional
     external finance.



                    International Marketing
                 Chapter-21 Trade And BOP Of
                             India
Major Problems Of India’s
Export Sector
 Lack of integrated approach
 Problem recognition and action lags
 Technological factors
 High costs
 Poor quality image
 Unreliability
 Supply problems
                International Marketing
             Chapter-21 Trade And BOP Of
                         India
Faceless presence
Infrastructural bottlenecks
Structural weakness
Uncertainties, procedural complexities
and institutional rigidities
Inadequacy of trade information system

               International Marketing
            Chapter-21 Trade And BOP Of
                        India
Summary
     Indian export in last two decades show
1.   Good growth in the economies
2.   Low recession conditions
3.   Decline in the RERx.
     BOP problem of India was caused by
1.   Large trade deficit
2.   Fall in invisible surplus
3.   Sensitive behavior of foreign creditors
4.   Declining role of concessional external finance.
                           International Marketing
                        Chapter-21 Trade And BOP Of
                                    India

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Trade and BOP in India

  • 1. Chapter 21 Trade And BOP Of India International Marketing Chapter-21 Trade And BOP Of India
  • 2. Objectives What is the outcome of India’s foreign trade plan What are the determinants of exports What are major exports What is the direction of India’s foreign trade What are the determinants of payments balance What are the major problems of India’s export sector International Marketing Chapter-21 Trade And BOP Of India
  • 3. Introduction This chapter provides a brief account of the foreign trade of India under the five plans, trends in the direction and composition of trade, determinants of exports and imports and trends in the balance of payments. International Marketing Chapter-21 Trade And BOP Of India
  • 4. Foreign Trade Under The Plans a) The share of India in the total world exports fell from about per cent in 1950 to 0.4 per cent in 1980. so there is some improvement in mid- eights. b) India was the 13th largest exporter in 1950, but there are more than 30 countries above India now. c) India’s exports as a percentage of the GDP had been stagnating around 5 percent. It has improved since the liberalization, it is still very low even in comparison with many other developing countries. International Marketing Chapter-21 Trade And BOP Of India
  • 5. Determinants Of Exports The external factors are 1. The rate of growth of the economies of the importing countries 2. The rate of growth of the world trade 3. The rate of change in the price level in the importing country International Marketing Chapter-21 Trade And BOP Of India
  • 6. The internal factors are 1. The rate of growth of the Indian economy 2. The rate of change in the domestic price level. International Marketing Chapter-21 Trade And BOP Of India
  • 7. Impact of The Inter- relationship Good growth in the economies of the industrial countries has been associated with good growth in India’s exports. The volume of India’s exports broadly kept pace with the growth in the economies of the industrial countries. During certain periods, despite modest growth in the industrial countries and in world trade, the volume of India’s exports fell because of the rise in the RERx. International Marketing Chapter-21 Trade And BOP Of India
  • 8. Determinants Of Imports 1. The rate of growth of the Indian economy 2. The relative price of imports 3. In a number of years, the volume of imports was kept down by moderate growth of the economy together with relatively high price of imports. 4. Large imports in several years were associated with moderate growth of the economy and substantial fall in the relative price of imports International Marketing Chapter-21 Trade And BOP Of India
  • 9. Major Exports After Independence, India has achieved considerable diversification in exports, both product-wise and country-wise. Today manufactures account for about three-fourths of the total exports compared to 45 per cent in 1960-61 Though there has been a significant growth of non-traditional items, a number of traditional items continue to have considerable weightage in India’s export basket. International Marketing Chapter-21 Trade And BOP Of India
  • 10. Export Product-Country Matrix On 27 December 1995, Mr. P. Chidambaram, the then Minister for Commerce presented a 15 country – 15 product export matrix, proposing an export thrust strategy. International Marketing Chapter-21 Trade And BOP Of India
  • 11. The 15 destination markets in the matrix are United States, Japan, Germany, U.K., Hong Kong, U.A.E., Belgium, Italy, Russia, Singapore, Bangladesh. Netherlands, France, South Africa and Thailand. The 15 products are jems and jewellery; cotton and accessories; cotton yarn, fabric etc. International Marketing Chapter-21 Trade And BOP Of India
  • 12. Major Imports Petroleum oil lubricants now account for a considerable part of India’s import bill. Pearls and precious stones account for a large share of the import bill. These imports are mostly for export processing. Other important import items, in terms of value, are edible oils, fertilizers and fertilizer materials; chemicals, iron and steel, cereals and pulses and nonferrous metals. International Marketing Chapter-21 Trade And BOP Of India
  • 13. Balance Of Payments The trade balance is often a major determinant of the payments balance. Trade deficit has often caused balance of payments deficits for India. One of the important reasons for the recent balance of payments (BOP) problem was the decline in the role of the invisibles surplus in financing the trade deficit. Except for brief periods, India’s BOP has shown deficit. International Marketing Chapter-21 Trade And BOP Of India
  • 14. BOP Problem Of India 1. Large trade deficit 2. Fall in the invisible surplus, caused by: a) Sharp increase in the invisibles payments due to the increase in the debt service. b) Setback to the invisible receipts, mainly the emigrant remittances and travel income.nternational Marketing I Chapter-21 Trade And BOP Of India
  • 15. 3. Sensitive behavior of foreign creditors, including NRI foreign currency depositors. 4. The declining role of concessional external finance. International Marketing Chapter-21 Trade And BOP Of India
  • 16. Major Problems Of India’s Export Sector Lack of integrated approach Problem recognition and action lags Technological factors High costs Poor quality image Unreliability Supply problems International Marketing Chapter-21 Trade And BOP Of India
  • 17. Faceless presence Infrastructural bottlenecks Structural weakness Uncertainties, procedural complexities and institutional rigidities Inadequacy of trade information system International Marketing Chapter-21 Trade And BOP Of India
  • 18. Summary Indian export in last two decades show 1. Good growth in the economies 2. Low recession conditions 3. Decline in the RERx. BOP problem of India was caused by 1. Large trade deficit 2. Fall in invisible surplus 3. Sensitive behavior of foreign creditors 4. Declining role of concessional external finance. International Marketing Chapter-21 Trade And BOP Of India