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The Future of Influence Nate Elliott Research Director Forrester Research October 23, 2008
As the nature of influence changes, marketers must choose which type can help them reach their goals
Agenda ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Marketers Have Always Used Consumer-to-Consumer Influence Source: JupiterResearch (9/08)
Agenda ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Definitions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
New Influentials Exert Active Influence but Are Rarely Sought Out Source: JupiterResearch (9/08) ! ! ! ! ! ! ? ? ? ? ? ? New Influentials Classic Influentials Primarily exert active influence by proactively giving advice Primarily exert passive influence by responding to requests for advice
Young Men Are Most Likely to Exert Influence on Others Base: European online consumers Source: JupiterResearch/Ipsos Consumer Survey (9/07)
Influential Consumers are Well-Positioned to Advise Others on Media Base: European online consumers Source: JupiterResearch/Ipsos Consumer Survey (9/07)
Influentials are Also Early Adopters of New Consumer Technologies Base: European online consumers Source: JupiterResearch/Ipsos Consumer Survey (9/07)
Agenda ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
New Influence Will Continue to Grow As Social Computing Becomes More Popular Base: European online consumers Source: JupiterResearch/Ipsos Consumer Survey (9/07, 9/06)
As Users Grow Overwhelmed by Influence, They Will Look for Greater Context Difficulty identifying relevant advice Trust of consumer advice Value Of New Influence Not enough reviews Present Future Past Too few centralized sources of advice Critical mass of reviews Richer, deeper advice Privacy concerns Spread of reviewer profiles Integration of social graph
Solicited Recommendations from Known Sources Will Carry Highest Value Solicited Recommendations Unsolicited Recommendations Personal Recommendations MEDIUM INFLUENCE Highest volume: 55% of new influentials make personal product recommendations Medium trust: Unsolicited recommendation from a known source Example: IM from friend, Facebook Beacon Broadcast Recommendations WEAK INFLUENCE Lowest volume: 12% of classic influentials make broadcast product recommendations Medium trust: Solicited recommendation from an unknown source Example: Message boards, forums STRONGEST INFLUENCE High volume: 46% of classic influentials make personal product recommendations High trust: Solicited recommendation from a known source Example: Personal request WEAK INFLUENCE Low volume: 20% of new influentials make broadcast product recommendations Lowest trust: Unsolicited recommendation from an unknown source Example: Reviews on commerce sites
Agenda ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Marketers Must Identify and Prioritize Different Types of Influentials Brand awareness Brand affinity Purchase intent Purchase New Influentials Classic  Influentials
Look for Actions that Help You Understand What Type of Influence People Have Base: European social marketers Source: JupiterResearch/ClickZ Social and Mobile Marketing Executive Survey (2/08) New Influence Classic  Influence
Marketers Must Help Users Influence Each Other in Person, Through E-mail and IM Base: European online consumers Source: JupiterResearch/Ipsos Consumer Survey (9/07)
Only Advanced Social Marketers Should Focus on Building Widgets Base: European online advertisers Source: JupiterResearch/ClickZ Social and Mobile Marketing Executive Survey (2/08) Base: European online users Source: JupiterResearch/Ipsos Consumer Survey (9/07) European Users Who Have Put Widgets on Their Own Pages European Marketers Who Offer Branded Widgets 21% 10%
Summary ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Thank you ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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The Future of Influence

  • 1.  
  • 2. The Future of Influence Nate Elliott Research Director Forrester Research October 23, 2008
  • 3. As the nature of influence changes, marketers must choose which type can help them reach their goals
  • 4.
  • 5. Marketers Have Always Used Consumer-to-Consumer Influence Source: JupiterResearch (9/08)
  • 6.
  • 7.
  • 8. New Influentials Exert Active Influence but Are Rarely Sought Out Source: JupiterResearch (9/08) ! ! ! ! ! ! ? ? ? ? ? ? New Influentials Classic Influentials Primarily exert active influence by proactively giving advice Primarily exert passive influence by responding to requests for advice
  • 9. Young Men Are Most Likely to Exert Influence on Others Base: European online consumers Source: JupiterResearch/Ipsos Consumer Survey (9/07)
  • 10. Influential Consumers are Well-Positioned to Advise Others on Media Base: European online consumers Source: JupiterResearch/Ipsos Consumer Survey (9/07)
  • 11. Influentials are Also Early Adopters of New Consumer Technologies Base: European online consumers Source: JupiterResearch/Ipsos Consumer Survey (9/07)
  • 12.
  • 13. New Influence Will Continue to Grow As Social Computing Becomes More Popular Base: European online consumers Source: JupiterResearch/Ipsos Consumer Survey (9/07, 9/06)
  • 14. As Users Grow Overwhelmed by Influence, They Will Look for Greater Context Difficulty identifying relevant advice Trust of consumer advice Value Of New Influence Not enough reviews Present Future Past Too few centralized sources of advice Critical mass of reviews Richer, deeper advice Privacy concerns Spread of reviewer profiles Integration of social graph
  • 15. Solicited Recommendations from Known Sources Will Carry Highest Value Solicited Recommendations Unsolicited Recommendations Personal Recommendations MEDIUM INFLUENCE Highest volume: 55% of new influentials make personal product recommendations Medium trust: Unsolicited recommendation from a known source Example: IM from friend, Facebook Beacon Broadcast Recommendations WEAK INFLUENCE Lowest volume: 12% of classic influentials make broadcast product recommendations Medium trust: Solicited recommendation from an unknown source Example: Message boards, forums STRONGEST INFLUENCE High volume: 46% of classic influentials make personal product recommendations High trust: Solicited recommendation from a known source Example: Personal request WEAK INFLUENCE Low volume: 20% of new influentials make broadcast product recommendations Lowest trust: Unsolicited recommendation from an unknown source Example: Reviews on commerce sites
  • 16.
  • 17. Marketers Must Identify and Prioritize Different Types of Influentials Brand awareness Brand affinity Purchase intent Purchase New Influentials Classic Influentials
  • 18. Look for Actions that Help You Understand What Type of Influence People Have Base: European social marketers Source: JupiterResearch/ClickZ Social and Mobile Marketing Executive Survey (2/08) New Influence Classic Influence
  • 19. Marketers Must Help Users Influence Each Other in Person, Through E-mail and IM Base: European online consumers Source: JupiterResearch/Ipsos Consumer Survey (9/07)
  • 20. Only Advanced Social Marketers Should Focus on Building Widgets Base: European online advertisers Source: JupiterResearch/ClickZ Social and Mobile Marketing Executive Survey (2/08) Base: European online users Source: JupiterResearch/Ipsos Consumer Survey (9/07) European Users Who Have Put Widgets on Their Own Pages European Marketers Who Offer Branded Widgets 21% 10%
  • 21.
  • 22.