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A Tryst with Valuation
GDA Management Consulting Pvt. Ltd
GDA
Consulting
14th September, 2014. Pune 1
Why Valuation?
Merger/
Demerger
Private Equity
IPO
Family
Separation
Portfolio Value
of Investments
Regulatory
Approval
Litigation
Test of
Impairment
Buyback of
Shares
Purchase / Sale
of Business
Valuation is
essentially for
a given
purpose.
GDA
Consulting
2
What is value?
Value is what you get ;
Price is what you pay
– Warren Buffet
GDA
Consulting
3
Value drivers
Assets
P&M, Land &
Building, Other
Fixed Assets etc.
Income
Revenues, Cash
Flows, EBIDTA,
PAT etc.
Intangibles
Brand, Intellectual
property Rights,
Trademark,
Copyrights,
Employee skill etc.
Market
P/E multiples,
Revenue Multiples
etc,
GDA
Consulting
4
Everything that can be counted does not necessarily count; everything
that counts cannot necessarily be counted
- Albert Einstien
……..But everything that can or cannot be counted can be necessarily
valued
GDA
Consulting
5
What is Valuation?
• Skillful application of certain
scientific techniques to
determine the “value” of a
business /asset/
project/company etc.
• A reliable estimate of
economic value
Science
Reliability
Skill
GDA
Consulting
6
Valuation considerations
• Purpose of valuation
• Background of the Promoters, Management & Company
• Market Conditions- Present & Future
• Element of bias
• Statutory requirements such as Compliance with Income Tax Act,
FEMA, RBI Regulations etc.
GDA
Consulting
7
Valuation Approaches
Asset
Based
Approach
Income
Based
Approach
Market
Based
Approach
GDA
Consulting
8
Methods of Valuation
Asset based (Net
Asset method)
• Book Value
• Market Value
• Replacement Value
Income Based
• Discounted cash
flow method
• Capitalization of
earnings method
Market based
• Market mutiples
method
GDA
Consulting
9
Net Asset Method
• All Assets (-) Liabilities excluding Reserves and Accumulated
Losses
• Book Value Vs. Replacement Value Vs. Market Value Vs. Distress
value
• Impact of Off Balance Sheet items
• What about Intangible Assets?
• Involvement of Government registered valuors
• Historical method; does not capture the potential
GDA
Consulting
10
Discounted Cash Flow
• Net Present Value of future cash flows discounted by Weighted
Average Cost of Capital(WACOC)
• Realistic business plan and estimation of future cash flows
• Relevance of discounting factor
• Terminal Value
GDA
Consulting
11
Market Multiples method
• Revenue/EBIDTA/P.E Multiple
• Broader method of valuation
• Takes into consideration, market and competition
• Thumb rule method
• Multiple –a product of micro and macroeconomic factors
• More relevant for large ticket transactions
GDA
Consulting
12
Intangibles
Separately identifiable although not tangible
Can be sold /transferred/licensed/rented
seperately
Can be recognised legally
Can arise from a legal/contractual right
Is capable of offering a competitive advantage
to its owner
GDA
Consulting
13
Recognition of Intangibles
for Valuation purpose
 Definition of intangible asset + Future economic benefits + Cost can
be measured = Recognized as intangible asset
 Recognition of an Intangible is a relatively challenging process
 Differentiation factor must be established
 Significant competitive advantage must be present
GDA
Consulting
14
Methods of
Intangibles Valuation
Intangibles
Valuation
Income
Relief from royalty
Excess Earnings
method
Cost
Reproduction Cost
Method
Replacement Cost
Method
Market
(Sales Comparison
Method)
GDA
Consulting
15
Deciding the method
of valuation
Is the
Company a
Going
Concern?
Is the
Company
Capital
intensive?
Is the
Company
listed/unlisted
?
Are there
Comparable
Companies in
the Market?
Are there any
significant
intangibles
associated with
the Company?
GDA
Consulting
16
Valuation- More of an art;
less of a science
• Valuation is never Precise;
• Uncertainties of;
– Assumptions
– Firm-specific factors
– Macroeconomic factors
GDA
Consulting
17
Other Value Drivers
Final Price is a result of negotiations
GDA
Consulting
Distress Sale
Illiquidity
Discount
Final
Value
18
Importance of reliable
valuation
Loss of
opportu
nity
Loss of
capital
Legal
repercu
ssions
Long lasting
negative impact
GDA
Consulting
19
Responses to uncertainty
• Better Valuation models
• Combination of two or more methods
• Valuation ranges
• Judgment and skill of valuor
GDA
Consulting
20
Case study 1
Brand valuation
• Background:
– Brand valuation of one of the top 10 consumer product Brands
– Six product lines; existence of two decades
– Scope extended to understanding the industry, the market, the strategies
employed for Marketing, Pricing and Distribution, and last but not the least,
competitors; not just logo or registered trademark
GDA
Consulting
21
Case study 1
Brand valuation
• Methodologies: used
– Brand earning Multiple Method
– Terminal value method
– Discounted Cash flow method
 Discussion of Brand Earning Multiple Method
 Brand Value = Average Recurring Annual Brand Earnings * Brand Earning
Multiple
 Brand Earning Multiple based on Sovereign Earning Multiple P.E multiple and
Brand Strength score of the Company
GDA
Consulting
22
Case study 1
Brand valuation
• Challenges involved:
– Calculation of Brand Strength Score: Scoring of the Brand on 7 different
parameters vis-à-vis it comeptitors; 14 in nos; Substantial subjectivity involved
– Since Company under consideration incorporated multi Branding strategy, it was
important to remove the effect of multibrands from their revenue.
– Accounting for remuneration of non brand capital while calculating Average
recurring Brand earnings
GDA
Consulting
23
Case study 1
Brand valuation
• Valuation Conclusions
– Detailed discussions with the Company and understanding of operations
– Understanding of Brand and Non Brand Operations
– Adopting a “devil’s advocate” perspective while evaluating each assumption
– Justifying the value using two other methods
GDA
Consulting
24
Case study 2-
Acquisition of a Company
• Background:
– Acquisition of a pharmaceutical Company engaged in the manufacture
of intravenous fluids
• Challenges Involved
– Post mortem exercise
– Valuation after the acquisition was carried out
– On slump sale basis by offering a lumpsum amount for assets to be
purchased
– Valuation done for the acquiring Company
– Assesment of Goodwill
• Methodology used:
– Involvement of Government Approved Valuors- Civila nd Mechanical
– Valuation of Goodwill on the basis of past financials
GDA
Consulting
25
Case study 2-
Acquisition of a Company
• Valuation Conclusions:
• Acquiring Company had negotiated an amount on the basis of WDV of Assets +
Premium
• Identification of recently purchased Plant and Machinery which was overvalued in
the books
• Acquring Company had paid excess amount for acquiring plant and Machinery
• Ideally Goodwill=Premium
• However, Goodwill was calculated as per widely accepted valuation methods such
as Super Profits Method and capitalisation of profits method
GDA
Consulting
26
Case study 3-
Valuation for seeking Equity
• Background
– Valuation of an I.T Company- into niche software development
– Objective was to seek equity infusion of a strategic international Company ins
imilar line of Business
• Methodology used: Weighted Average of
• Discounted Cash Flow method
• Net Assets Method
• EBIDTA Multiple method
• Challenges involved
• Very niche offerings
• Very few comparable Companies
• Non linear growth pattern prevalent in , not only the Company , but also the
industry
• Calculation of Future projections- difficult
GDA
Consulting
27
Case study 3-
Valuation for seeking Equity
• Approach to valuation
– Detailed discussions with the Company
– Trying to understand the investors’ perspective
– Strategy involved in such similar transactions studied
– Justifying of assumptions for the purpose of valuation proved to be a real
challenge which was successfully addressed
GDA
Consulting
28
Takeaways
• Valuation is essentially for a given purpose.
• Value is what you get ; Price is what you pay
• Valuation need not be Precise
• Valuation is a reliable measurement of economic value
• Value changes with perspective
GDA
Consulting
29
Need for Valuation
• Comparison with peers: Self Assessment
• Succession planning
• Reduction of cost of capital
• Assess marketability of business
• Strengthen credibility
GDA
Consulting
30
About GDA Consulting
• Consulting arm of G.D.Apte & Co. Chartered Accountants
• Team comprises Chartered Accountants, Management
Professionals, Financial experts from industry, Ex-Bankers, Legal
experts, technical experts etc.
• Over three decades of experience in Valuation
• Body of Work comprises
– Assistance in setting up new units
– Techno Economic Viability studies
– Debt syndication/ Arrangement of Private equity
– Assistance in Merger/Demerger cases
GDA
Consulting
31
GDA Consulting
Pune
GDA House
Plot No. 85, Bhusari Colony (Right)
Paud Road, Pune - 411 038, India
Email : ranjeet.kulkarni@gdaconsulting.in
Phone : +91 20 2528 0081
Fax : +91 20 2528 0275
Mumbai
Office No.83 – 87 ,8th Floor, B Wing ,Mittal Tower,
Nariman Point, Mumbai, India
Phone : +91 22 4922 0555
Bangalore
D-II, 207, Shriram White House,
15th Cross, 6th Main, R.T. Nagar,
IInd Block, Bangalore - 560 032
Phone : +91 80 2354 2436
GDA
Consulting

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A tryst with valuation

  • 1. . A Tryst with Valuation GDA Management Consulting Pvt. Ltd GDA Consulting 14th September, 2014. Pune 1
  • 2. Why Valuation? Merger/ Demerger Private Equity IPO Family Separation Portfolio Value of Investments Regulatory Approval Litigation Test of Impairment Buyback of Shares Purchase / Sale of Business Valuation is essentially for a given purpose. GDA Consulting 2
  • 3. What is value? Value is what you get ; Price is what you pay – Warren Buffet GDA Consulting 3
  • 4. Value drivers Assets P&M, Land & Building, Other Fixed Assets etc. Income Revenues, Cash Flows, EBIDTA, PAT etc. Intangibles Brand, Intellectual property Rights, Trademark, Copyrights, Employee skill etc. Market P/E multiples, Revenue Multiples etc, GDA Consulting 4
  • 5. Everything that can be counted does not necessarily count; everything that counts cannot necessarily be counted - Albert Einstien ……..But everything that can or cannot be counted can be necessarily valued GDA Consulting 5
  • 6. What is Valuation? • Skillful application of certain scientific techniques to determine the “value” of a business /asset/ project/company etc. • A reliable estimate of economic value Science Reliability Skill GDA Consulting 6
  • 7. Valuation considerations • Purpose of valuation • Background of the Promoters, Management & Company • Market Conditions- Present & Future • Element of bias • Statutory requirements such as Compliance with Income Tax Act, FEMA, RBI Regulations etc. GDA Consulting 7
  • 9. Methods of Valuation Asset based (Net Asset method) • Book Value • Market Value • Replacement Value Income Based • Discounted cash flow method • Capitalization of earnings method Market based • Market mutiples method GDA Consulting 9
  • 10. Net Asset Method • All Assets (-) Liabilities excluding Reserves and Accumulated Losses • Book Value Vs. Replacement Value Vs. Market Value Vs. Distress value • Impact of Off Balance Sheet items • What about Intangible Assets? • Involvement of Government registered valuors • Historical method; does not capture the potential GDA Consulting 10
  • 11. Discounted Cash Flow • Net Present Value of future cash flows discounted by Weighted Average Cost of Capital(WACOC) • Realistic business plan and estimation of future cash flows • Relevance of discounting factor • Terminal Value GDA Consulting 11
  • 12. Market Multiples method • Revenue/EBIDTA/P.E Multiple • Broader method of valuation • Takes into consideration, market and competition • Thumb rule method • Multiple –a product of micro and macroeconomic factors • More relevant for large ticket transactions GDA Consulting 12
  • 13. Intangibles Separately identifiable although not tangible Can be sold /transferred/licensed/rented seperately Can be recognised legally Can arise from a legal/contractual right Is capable of offering a competitive advantage to its owner GDA Consulting 13
  • 14. Recognition of Intangibles for Valuation purpose  Definition of intangible asset + Future economic benefits + Cost can be measured = Recognized as intangible asset  Recognition of an Intangible is a relatively challenging process  Differentiation factor must be established  Significant competitive advantage must be present GDA Consulting 14
  • 15. Methods of Intangibles Valuation Intangibles Valuation Income Relief from royalty Excess Earnings method Cost Reproduction Cost Method Replacement Cost Method Market (Sales Comparison Method) GDA Consulting 15
  • 16. Deciding the method of valuation Is the Company a Going Concern? Is the Company Capital intensive? Is the Company listed/unlisted ? Are there Comparable Companies in the Market? Are there any significant intangibles associated with the Company? GDA Consulting 16
  • 17. Valuation- More of an art; less of a science • Valuation is never Precise; • Uncertainties of; – Assumptions – Firm-specific factors – Macroeconomic factors GDA Consulting 17
  • 18. Other Value Drivers Final Price is a result of negotiations GDA Consulting Distress Sale Illiquidity Discount Final Value 18
  • 19. Importance of reliable valuation Loss of opportu nity Loss of capital Legal repercu ssions Long lasting negative impact GDA Consulting 19
  • 20. Responses to uncertainty • Better Valuation models • Combination of two or more methods • Valuation ranges • Judgment and skill of valuor GDA Consulting 20
  • 21. Case study 1 Brand valuation • Background: – Brand valuation of one of the top 10 consumer product Brands – Six product lines; existence of two decades – Scope extended to understanding the industry, the market, the strategies employed for Marketing, Pricing and Distribution, and last but not the least, competitors; not just logo or registered trademark GDA Consulting 21
  • 22. Case study 1 Brand valuation • Methodologies: used – Brand earning Multiple Method – Terminal value method – Discounted Cash flow method  Discussion of Brand Earning Multiple Method  Brand Value = Average Recurring Annual Brand Earnings * Brand Earning Multiple  Brand Earning Multiple based on Sovereign Earning Multiple P.E multiple and Brand Strength score of the Company GDA Consulting 22
  • 23. Case study 1 Brand valuation • Challenges involved: – Calculation of Brand Strength Score: Scoring of the Brand on 7 different parameters vis-à-vis it comeptitors; 14 in nos; Substantial subjectivity involved – Since Company under consideration incorporated multi Branding strategy, it was important to remove the effect of multibrands from their revenue. – Accounting for remuneration of non brand capital while calculating Average recurring Brand earnings GDA Consulting 23
  • 24. Case study 1 Brand valuation • Valuation Conclusions – Detailed discussions with the Company and understanding of operations – Understanding of Brand and Non Brand Operations – Adopting a “devil’s advocate” perspective while evaluating each assumption – Justifying the value using two other methods GDA Consulting 24
  • 25. Case study 2- Acquisition of a Company • Background: – Acquisition of a pharmaceutical Company engaged in the manufacture of intravenous fluids • Challenges Involved – Post mortem exercise – Valuation after the acquisition was carried out – On slump sale basis by offering a lumpsum amount for assets to be purchased – Valuation done for the acquiring Company – Assesment of Goodwill • Methodology used: – Involvement of Government Approved Valuors- Civila nd Mechanical – Valuation of Goodwill on the basis of past financials GDA Consulting 25
  • 26. Case study 2- Acquisition of a Company • Valuation Conclusions: • Acquiring Company had negotiated an amount on the basis of WDV of Assets + Premium • Identification of recently purchased Plant and Machinery which was overvalued in the books • Acquring Company had paid excess amount for acquiring plant and Machinery • Ideally Goodwill=Premium • However, Goodwill was calculated as per widely accepted valuation methods such as Super Profits Method and capitalisation of profits method GDA Consulting 26
  • 27. Case study 3- Valuation for seeking Equity • Background – Valuation of an I.T Company- into niche software development – Objective was to seek equity infusion of a strategic international Company ins imilar line of Business • Methodology used: Weighted Average of • Discounted Cash Flow method • Net Assets Method • EBIDTA Multiple method • Challenges involved • Very niche offerings • Very few comparable Companies • Non linear growth pattern prevalent in , not only the Company , but also the industry • Calculation of Future projections- difficult GDA Consulting 27
  • 28. Case study 3- Valuation for seeking Equity • Approach to valuation – Detailed discussions with the Company – Trying to understand the investors’ perspective – Strategy involved in such similar transactions studied – Justifying of assumptions for the purpose of valuation proved to be a real challenge which was successfully addressed GDA Consulting 28
  • 29. Takeaways • Valuation is essentially for a given purpose. • Value is what you get ; Price is what you pay • Valuation need not be Precise • Valuation is a reliable measurement of economic value • Value changes with perspective GDA Consulting 29
  • 30. Need for Valuation • Comparison with peers: Self Assessment • Succession planning • Reduction of cost of capital • Assess marketability of business • Strengthen credibility GDA Consulting 30
  • 31. About GDA Consulting • Consulting arm of G.D.Apte & Co. Chartered Accountants • Team comprises Chartered Accountants, Management Professionals, Financial experts from industry, Ex-Bankers, Legal experts, technical experts etc. • Over three decades of experience in Valuation • Body of Work comprises – Assistance in setting up new units – Techno Economic Viability studies – Debt syndication/ Arrangement of Private equity – Assistance in Merger/Demerger cases GDA Consulting 31
  • 32. GDA Consulting Pune GDA House Plot No. 85, Bhusari Colony (Right) Paud Road, Pune - 411 038, India Email : ranjeet.kulkarni@gdaconsulting.in Phone : +91 20 2528 0081 Fax : +91 20 2528 0275 Mumbai Office No.83 – 87 ,8th Floor, B Wing ,Mittal Tower, Nariman Point, Mumbai, India Phone : +91 22 4922 0555 Bangalore D-II, 207, Shriram White House, 15th Cross, 6th Main, R.T. Nagar, IInd Block, Bangalore - 560 032 Phone : +91 80 2354 2436 GDA Consulting

Editor's Notes

  1. Give example of a educational course; Why do people buy or sell stocks on a stock exchange? Because they are under/over valued. If stocks anre undervalued, people will buy them, if stock are overvalued, they are sold.
  2. Give example of a educational course; Why do people buy or sell stocks on a stock exchange? Because they are under/over valued. If stocks anre undervalued, people will buy them, if stock are overvalued, they are sold.
  3. Give example of a educational course; Why do people buy or sell stocks on a stock exchange? Because they are under/over valued. If stocks anre undervalued, people will buy them, if stock are overvalued, they are sold.
  4. Improvement in strategic decision making ability