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  1. 1. Thinking about Global Infrastructure The Next Few Years Global Infrastructure Summit May 19th, 2010 London, UK
  2. 2. Agenda Strategic Infrastructure Public Works Economics Internal Issues Trends Politics Projects Economics People Trends Public Sector Enhance Country/Regional Competitiveness • Public Goods Creation
  3. 3. World Infrastructure Spending 1980-2030 $3,000,000 Infrastructure Spending in Millions of Dollars $2,250,000 $1,500,000 $750,000 $0 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 Source: CG/LA Infrastructure Global 2030 Projections Model 3
  4. 4. PART 1 - Overall Market Shape
  5. 5. GRAPH 6 The Two Infrastructures - Old/Liquids & New/Electrons General Fund Venture Infrastructure Bank Renewables Central Generation (Coal) Smart Meters & Batteries Analog Grid Massive Technology Innovation Big Utilities 1.3% of GDP +1.7% of GDP State-Centered Federal Driven Interstate Highway System High Carbon Carbon Neutral Smart Grid Public Control Public + Private Liquids Electrons Diesel Rail Electric Rail Large Vehicles Electric & Hybrid Cars Diesel Trucks High Speed Rail A 50 Year Old Infrastructure Matrix Innovation - Business Model, Finance, & Project Delivery Model Technology, Operation
  6. 6. GRAPH 10 The Ebb & Flow of Infrastructure Creation Models 1960 - 1990 1990-1999 2000-2009 2010 - State Investment Privatization Public/Private Partnership Public Leadership Concept Public Private Public or Private Public or Private Feasibility Public Private Private Private Bid Public Public Public Public Finance Public Private Private Public Public Construct Private Private Private Private O&M Public Private Private Private REG Public Public Public Public
  7. 7. PART 2 - Country Infrastructure Capacity (CIC)
  8. 8. BRAZIL 48.9/1 !"#$ +,-,./$ *($ &$ 0123,4$5647.8$964:/,4;3$ B.4;3$FH1,7>$<;=;4,7>$ <;=;4,7>$ '"#$ '$ !"%$ %$ )$ 0123,4$5647.8$578;76?,4$ B.4;3$F0<$G,8D-$ ($ <;=;4,7>$ &"($ %"&$ B./?$968D$08.A647$ @86;7$08.A647-$ 068E.8D;/46$ '"%$ '"($ B6;C68-:,=$ !"'$ Source: CG/LA Annual CIC Survey 8
  9. 9. Russia 47.8/1 !"!# ,-.-/0# +&# C/5<4#GI2-8?#=<><5-8?# (# 1234-5#6758/9# :75;0-5<4#=<><5-8?# $# )"&# $"%# )# *# 1234-5#6758/9#689<87@-5# C/5<4#G1=#H-9E.# &# =<><5-8?# $"(# !"&# C/0@#:79E#19/B758# A97<8#19/B758.# 179F/9E<057# '"%# $"(# C7<D79.;-># $"%# Source: CG/LA Annual CIC Survey 9
  10. 10. India !"#$ 51.3/3 ,-.-/0$ +'$ C/5<4$GI2-8?$ )$ 1234-5$6758/9$ )"'$ =<><5-8?$ :75;0-5<4$=<><5-8?$ !$ %"&$ *$ ($ 1234-5$6758/9$ C/5<4$G1=$H-9E.$ '$ 689<87@-5$=<><5-8?$ &")$ %"'$ C/0@$:79E$19/B758$ A97<8$19/B758.$ 179F/9E<057$ %"($ &"'$ C7<D79.;->$ !"#$ Source: CG/LA Annual CIC Survey 10
  11. 11. China !"#$ 65.3/8 +,-,./$ *&$ !$ 0123,4$5647.8$964:/,4;3$ B.4;3$FH1,7>$<;=;4,7>$ <;=;4,7>$ !"%$ )$ !"%$ ($ '$ 0123,4$5647.8$578;76?,4$ B.4;3$F0<$G,8D-$ &$ <;=;4,7>$ #"#$ !"#$ B./?$968D$08.A647$ @86;7$08.A647-$ 068E.8D;/46$ #"%$ !"#$ B6;C68-:,=$ !"#$ Source: CG/LA Annual CIC Survey 11
  12. 12. U.S. 41.2/0 !"#$ ,-.-/0$ +#$ C/5<4$GI2-8?$ *$ 1234-5$6758/9$ =<><5-8?$ :75;0-5<4$=<><5-8?$ !$ %"($ %"&$ %$ )$ 1234-5$6758/9$ C/5<4$G1=$H-9E.$ #$ 689<87@-5$=<><5-8?$ ("&$ %"'$ C/0@$:79E$19/B758$ A97<8$19/B758.$ 179F/9E<057$ ("!$ (")$ C7<D79.;->$ %"&$ Source: CG/LA Annual CIC Survey 12
  13. 13. United States Infrastructure Investment 2008-2015 296,935.0 $300,000 254,777.0 $225,000 192,306.0 158,116.0 $150,000 133,726.0 126,396.0 128,165.0 112,972.0 $75,000 $0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 13
  14. 14. BRICUS SCORING 9 6.75 4.5 2.25 VISION PS TECHNICAL PS STRATEGIC GREAT PROJECTS LEADERSHIP 0 LT PERFORMANCE EPC EQUITY 15
  15. 15. PART 3 - What’s the Strategy Meaning?
  16. 16. BNDES - An Example of Strong Local Finance Financial Piece - The Limiting Fact? Brazil Does this Internally, through Their Development Bank $US B 30 22.5 15 25.2 19.4 7.5 13.6 3.4 5.2 7.1 8 2003 2004 2005 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 Source: BNDES; CG/LA Interviews 17

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