Successfully reported this slideshow.
We use your LinkedIn profile and activity data to personalize ads and to show you more relevant ads. You can change your ad preferences anytime.

Viet Nam Case Study - impacts of drought and saltwater intrusion to agricultural production

250 views

Published on

High-level inter-ministerial workshop held in Hanoi June 6-7, 2017 hosted by the Ministry of Agricultural Development (MARD) of Viet Nam and supported under the Integrating Agriculture in National Adaptation Plans (NAP-Ag) Programme. The meeting was attended by over 75 national and provincial level government officials, including MONRE, MARD, MPI and the Ministry of Finance (MOF), UN and development partners, private sector representatives including insurance companies, as well as non-governmental organisations.

Published in: Government & Nonprofit
  • Be the first to comment

  • Be the first to like this

Viet Nam Case Study - impacts of drought and saltwater intrusion to agricultural production

  1. 1. CASE STUDY ON THE IMPACTS OF DROUGHT AND SALTWATER INTRUSION TO AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION IN VIET NAM IN 2016 Tran Dại Nghia Hanoi, 6-7/06/2017
  2. 2. Content • Introduction • Level of CC impacts to agricultural production in Viet Nam • Potential loss mitigation of adaptive measures in agriculture • Case study of drought/saltwater intrusion in 2016
  3. 3. Disaster-caused damage in Viet Nam in 2016 • Heavy damage to 700,000 ha of rice and crops, 400,000 ha of fruit trees and sunk 1,410 fishing boats; • Total damage estimated at 39 trillion VND, or 1.7 billion USD, equivalent to 0.88% GDP (MARD report); • Lost rice production about 800,000 tons (MOIT); • Threatening food security of 1.1 million people living in affected areas; • 18 provinces declared disaster emergency; • Affecting the livelihoods of 1.75 million people.
  4. 4. Level of damage in terms of income by different disaster types 2006 2008 2010 2012 Total income damage 60% 25% 12% 15% 1st income group 89% 36% 16% 19% 2nd income group 45% 22% 11% 17% 3rd income group 34% 16% 9% 11% Level of damage by different shock types: Natural disasters 50% 68% 48% 30,9 Typhoons, floods,... 24% 34% 20% 17,5 Epidemic 26% 34% 28% 13,4 IPSARD, 2014
  5. 5. Level of CC damage to agricultural production, 2014 Types of CC damage Frequency Percentage of affected households (%) Level of damage (1-5) Crops Livestock Aquaculture Crops Livestock Aquaculture Typhoons 2.25 28.91 1.49 10.75 3.12 2.67 2.64 Drought 2.27 29.55 1.79 14.93 3.19 2.60 3.28 Flooding 2.25 32.24 2.39 3.88 3.29 2.25 3.73 Extreme sunshine 2.92 28.36 5.07 20.30 3.22 2.35 3.18 Out-of-season rains 2.73 28.13 1.79 16.12 3.17 2.43 3.39 Saltwater intrusion by raised tides 1.33 5.07 0.60 2.99 2.33 3.00 2.67 Land erosion along rivers/coast 1.31 3.28 0.30 2.99 2.80 3.00 2.67 Water shortage 1.50 11.04 1.19 4.48 3.18 3.33 2.83 Cyclones 2.01 16.72 1.49 2.69 2.92 3.00 1.65 Average 3.02 2.73 2.89 Source: Nghia et CS, 2016
  6. 6. Disaster-caused damage in recent years (current price of 2016) 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000 45,000 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Totaldamage(trillionVND Years Tổng thiệt hại TH do mưa, lũ, lụt TH do hạn mặn Source: NSC on Disaster Control Total damage Caused by Drought, saltwater Caused by Typhoons, floods
  7. 7. Potential income loss mitigation by applying adaptive measures Reduced income of affected forms of production (Lndinc) Correlating coefficient reflecting the levels of impact by different CC adaptive measures M1 M2 M3 M4 Rice production -0.183*** - 0.036* - - Shrimp farming - -0.091* - 0.061* - Fish farming - -0.172** - - M1: Changed seed structure, M2: Changed farm season, M3: Improved irrigational canal systems/infrastructure, M4: Maintenance and management. Source: Nghia et CS, 2016
  8. 8. 4.06 12.86 5.2 15.7 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 lúa SX NN Totaldamage(trillionVND) Impacts on agricultural production Nếu áp dụng các GPTƯ Hiện trạng 2016 2.83 1.14 2016 Current With adaptive measures Rice Agriculture production Damagebydrought/saltwater intrusionin2016andimpactsof adaptivemeasuresinlossmitigation

×