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Don Adams CTO Worldwide Public Sector TIBCO Software Inc. Predictive Battlespace
Network Centric Warfare /Network Enabled Capabilities   <ul><li>Speed </li></ul><ul><li>Precision </li></ul><ul><li>Agilit...
PredictiveBusiness TM Source:  Ranadiv é , V.,  The Power to Predict , 2006.
What is Complex Event Processing? Detecting Threats and Opportunities with PredictiveBusiness®
Notional Predictive Battlespace Environment EVENT PRE-PROCESSING EVENT SOURCES .  .  .  LEVEL ONE EVENT REFINEMENT USER IN...
A Traditional Event-Driven Architecture HTTP request / response  Structured messages Screen  Audit events Message Audit ev...
Emerging Event-Decision Architecture POEI Profiles Purpose-Built Analytics Distributed Multisensor Infrastructure Joint/Co...
Structured Processing for Complex Events <ul><li>Multi-level inference in a distributed event-decision architectures </li>...
Example Bayesian Logic Hi-Res Imagery Linguist Grids Impact Assess Human Sources Alert Service VIQ Imagery Watch Center Kn...
TIBCO BusinessEvents™ Overview FDS/IDS Logfiles Edge Devs Collection, Normalization Metric of Managed Objects, Normalized ...
A Scenario
Safe Haven
The convoy rushes off
AeroVironment Global Observer
Reaper
An out of the way restaurant
Chang Industries SkySeer
The Door of the Restaurant
Aurora Flight Sciences Excalibur
A bad day
 
Detailed Predictive Battlespace Environment
Example Publications, Webinars and Tools
Questions
Thank  You! <ul><li>Don Adams </li></ul><ul><li>Vice President, CTO WW Public Sector </li></ul><ul><li>TIBCO Software Inc ...
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The “Predictive” Battlespace: Leveraging the Power of Event-Driven Architecture in Defense

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The “Predictive” Battlespace: Leveraging the Power of Event-Driven Architecture in Defense

  1. 1. Don Adams CTO Worldwide Public Sector TIBCO Software Inc. Predictive Battlespace
  2. 2. Network Centric Warfare /Network Enabled Capabilities <ul><li>Speed </li></ul><ul><li>Precision </li></ul><ul><li>Agility </li></ul><ul><li>Efficiency </li></ul><ul><li>Responsiveness </li></ul><ul><li>“ Just in Time” Logistics </li></ul><ul><li>Smaller Inventory </li></ul><ul><li>Smaller Footprint </li></ul>Network-Centric Enterprise Network-Centric Warfare Infostructure <ul><li>Increased Tempo </li></ul><ul><li>Increased Lethality </li></ul><ul><li>Increased Survivability </li></ul>Integrated Enterprise More TEETH Less Tail
  3. 3. PredictiveBusiness TM Source: Ranadiv é , V., The Power to Predict , 2006.
  4. 4. What is Complex Event Processing? Detecting Threats and Opportunities with PredictiveBusiness®
  5. 5. Notional Predictive Battlespace Environment EVENT PRE-PROCESSING EVENT SOURCES . . . LEVEL ONE EVENT REFINEMENT USER INTERFACE Predictive Battlespace Environment DB MANAGEMENT Historical Data Profile & Patterns DISTRIBUTED LOCAL EVENT SERVICES . . EVENT PROFILES . . DATA BASES . . OTHER DATA LEVEL TWO SITUATION REFINEMENT LEVEL THREE IMPACT ASSESSMENT LEVEL FOUR PROCESS REFINEMENT & SPECIALIZED ANALYSIS
  6. 6. A Traditional Event-Driven Architecture HTTP request / response Structured messages Screen Audit events Message Audit events Screen/ message Audit events Indicator Detection Rules Indicator Detection Rules Queue Client/Server Channel Queue Indicator Detection Rules EMS Channel Queue Indicator Detection Rules Screen Based Channel Indicator Event Sensor Preprocessing Service API Queue Indicator Detection Rules HTTP Channel Queue Indicator Detection Rules API Channel … 1234Joe01021970….. Indicator Event Indicator Event Indicator Event Indicator Event Structured messages Queue Unix/ VT Channel Indicator Detection Rules Indicator Event Network TAP
  7. 7. Emerging Event-Decision Architecture POEI Profiles Purpose-Built Analytics Distributed Multisensor Infrastructure Joint/Coalition Sensors Human Sensors Edge Sensors Intel Watch Center Order of Battle Predictive Battlespace Environment Sensors are Everywhere!
  8. 8. Structured Processing for Complex Events <ul><li>Multi-level inference in a distributed event-decision architectures </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Level 5 – User Interface </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><ul><li>Human visualization, interaction and situation management </li></ul></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Level 4 – Process Refinement </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><ul><li>Decide on control feedback, for example resource allocation, sensor management, parametric and algorithm adjustment </li></ul></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Level 3 – Impact Assessment </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><ul><li>Impact threat assessment, i.e. assess intent on the basis of situation development, recognition and prediction </li></ul></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Level 2 – Situation Refinement </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><ul><li>Identify situations based on sets of complex events </li></ul></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Level 1 – Event Refinement </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><ul><li>Identify events & make initial decisions based on association and correlation </li></ul></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Level 0 – Event Preprocessing </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><ul><li>Cleansing of event-stream to produce semantically understandable data </li></ul></ul></ul>Level of Inference Low Med High
  9. 9. Example Bayesian Logic Hi-Res Imagery Linguist Grids Impact Assess Human Sources Alert Service VIQ Imagery Watch Center Known Terror Sites Multi-Int Correlate Thermal Imagery Watch Correlate Imagery analysis
  10. 10. TIBCO BusinessEvents™ Overview FDS/IDS Logfiles Edge Devs Collection, Normalization Metric of Managed Objects, Normalized Non-Contextual Events Metadata Repository Semantic Model Events Rules Design Environment State Model Event Management, Correlation, Aggregation, Inference and Analysis Correlated, Analyzed, Contextual Dialogue Events Rules, Knowledge, Patterns, Models Visualization, Reporting, Alert Management Application Interface Feeds Visualization: Detection Metrics Sensors Agents Synthetic Warehouse Visualization: Process View Dialogue Manager Inference Engine
  11. 11. A Scenario
  12. 12. Safe Haven
  13. 13. The convoy rushes off
  14. 14. AeroVironment Global Observer
  15. 15. Reaper
  16. 16. An out of the way restaurant
  17. 17. Chang Industries SkySeer
  18. 18. The Door of the Restaurant
  19. 19. Aurora Flight Sciences Excalibur
  20. 20. A bad day
  21. 22. Detailed Predictive Battlespace Environment
  22. 23. Example Publications, Webinars and Tools
  23. 24. Questions
  24. 25. Thank You! <ul><li>Don Adams </li></ul><ul><li>Vice President, CTO WW Public Sector </li></ul><ul><li>TIBCO Software Inc </li></ul><ul><li>Contact Information: </li></ul><ul><li>+1 (650) 846-8553 </li></ul><ul><li>[email_address] </li></ul>

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