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Ministry of National planning


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Mid-term report on the performance of National Planning Commission by Dr. Shamsuddeen Usman, CON

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Ministry of National planning

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  6. 6. OUTLINE…1.0: INTRODUCTION2.0: The NPC Mandate3.0: State of the Nigerian Economy4.0: Key Achievements of the NationalPlanning Commission, May 2011 to Date- Major Reform Initiatives and Outcomes- Achievements on Core Mandates5.0: Outlook and Prospects of the NationalPlanning Commission, May 2013 - 20156.0: Conclusion6
  8. 8. v1.0 Introduction8• Ensuring effective realisation of the objectives of NV20:2020 -Has reinforced the need for institutionalising strategic planning in Nigeriaduring May 2011 to date• The strategic planning framework of the country is anchored on Nigeria’s Vision(NV) 20:2020• Overarching objective of NV20:2020 is for Nigeria to become one of the 20largest economies in the world by year 2020• To be actualised through implementation of three medium term strategic plans 1st NIP, 2010 - 2013 2nd NIP, 2014 - 2017 3rd NIP, 2018 - 2020And the Transformation Agenda (TA) 2011-2015• The Commission is responsible for the coordination of strategic planning processof the country Including monitoring and evaluation of policies, programmes and projects
  9. 9. v1.0 Introduction (Cont’d)9• NPC is established by Act No 12 of 1992- Subsequently amended by Act No 71 of 1993 To determine and advise on policies that will best promote growth anddevelopment of NigeriaDr. Shamsuddeen Usman, CONHonourable Minister/Deputy ChairmanNational Planning Commission• Supported by three parastatals in actualising the objective:- National Bureau of Statistics (NBS)- Centre for Management Development (CMD)- Nigerian Institute for Social and Economic Research (NISER)
  10. 10. v1.0 Introduction (Cont’d)10NBS is the apexstatistical agencyfor all the threetiers ofGovernment andis the coordinatorof the NationalStatistical SystemCMD co-ordinates the activitiesof, and gives proper direction to,institutions engaged in trainingand retraining of managerialpersonnel in Nigeria.It stimulates, promotes andcoordinates managementdevelopment for the achievementof management excellence inevery state of Nigeria and beyondNISER was established toconsistently generate credibleknowledge through qualityresearch, conduct specialisedtraining and consultancy serviceswhile interacting with relevantsegments of Nigerian society inthe task of national developmentS.G (NBS) D-G (CMD) D-G (NISER)
  11. 11. 2222The NPC MandateSECTION 211
  12. 12. 122.0 The NPC MANDATE Policy research and advice to national and sub-national governments Formulation and coordination of national development plans- Including oversight of the implementation of TA and theNV20:2020 Monitoring and evaluation of policies, programmes and projects Managing multi-lateral, bi-lateral and regional economic co-operation- Including development aid and technical assistance Carry out surveillance on the economy Coordinating and production of official statistics & managing theNational Statistical System Capacity development for efficient and effective utilization ofresources Generation of credible knowledge for national development Serves as secretariat to the National Economic Council
  13. 13. 3333State of the Nigerian EconomySECTION 313
  14. 14. 3.0: STATE OF THE NIGERIAN ECONOMY14 The NPC has been actively involved in the economic management process of thecountry during May 2011 to date- Role undertaken through the implementation of core mandateCoordinated effective development and implementation of the TA andNV20:2020Projects monitoring and evaluationHMNP is key member of the National Economic Management Team (NEMT)and the Economic Management Implementation Team (EMIT)• The Nigerian economy recorded remarkable progress in the implementation ofthe TA and NV20:2020 in the last two years- The various macroeconomic polices implemented have broadly yieldedpositive outcomes
  15. 15. 3.0: STATE OF THE NIGERIAN ECONOMY Cont’d)15Average growth 2011 &2012• Robust average GDP growth of 7.01% was recorded in2011 and 2012;•- Despite the continued slow down in the global economy•GDP growth rate stood at 6.56 percent at the end of the Q12013;•Eight out of the fourteen broad sectors surpassed theirgrowth targets in the TA• Solid minerals• Financial Institution & Insurance• Building & Construction• Transport• Education• Roads, Estate• Public Administration• Other Services•Growth driven largely by the non-oil sector of the economy• Agriculture - 27.64%• Wholesale and retail trade – 28.4%• Telecommunications - 24.38%GDP Performance
  16. 16. 3.0: STATE OF THE NIGERIAN ECONOMY (Cont’d)16 NV20:2020 on course:- Nigeria moved eight positions in the past three years in global rankingon GDP basis (World Bank/IMF ranking)Moved from 44th in 2010 to 36th position in 2012• Recorded highest FDI inflow of $7.01 billion in 2012 overtaking South Africa forthe first time- After a remarkable rise of $8.9 billion in 2011• Performance is expected to be sustained in the medium term• Given the massive reform measures being implemented
  17. 17. 3.1: STATE OF THE NIGERIAN ECONOMY -Development in Price Level170246810121416M1M3M5M7M9M11M1M3M5M7M9M11M1M32011 2012 2013PercentHeadlineCoreFoodInflation Rate May, 2011 to May 2013•Through single digitinflation target yet to beachieved• - Significant success wasrecorded over the reviewperiodHigh butStableInflationrate•Headline Inflation (Y-on-y)decelerated to 12.0% in2012 from 12.4% in May2011, .•As at March, April and May2013, Headline Inflation (y-on-y) stood at 8.6 and 9.1percent respectively.Inflationwithin thesingle digitbracket
  18. 18. 3.2: STATE OF THE NIGERIAN ECONOMY –The Capital Market18•Market capitalization rose to 8.98trillion in 2012 from N6.55 trillion in2011 (37.3% increase).- Stood at N12.07 trillion as at end May2013.- Bond market expanded significantlyby 55.61 percent to N5.82 trillion in2012 from N3.74 trillion in 2011.- All-Share Index rose by 35% from20,773.98 in 2011 to 28,078.81 in 2012.•Over 37,794 as at end May 2013
  19. 19. 3.3: State of the Nigerian Economy –The External Sector1932.34 32.6443.8348.5714614815015215415615816001020304050602010 2011 2012 2013 Q1External Reserves (US$’ Billion)Exchange Rate (N/$)Growth in non-oil exports averaged 29.57% in2011 and 2012, surpassing TA target of25.92%;Growth in the Balance of Trade was 13.01%,- 1.52% short of the TA target of 14.53%FDI averaged US$7.97 billion par annual in2011 and 2012 from US$6.10 billion in 2010.Still the highest in Africa;Home remittances increased from US$19.20billion in 2009 to US$20.61 billion in 2011 andUS$21.89 billion in 2012;Gross external reserves improved fromUS$32.34 billion in 2010, to US$48.8 billion asat April 26, 2013.
  20. 20. 3.3: State of the Nigerian Economy –The External Sector (Cont’d)20 While much progress has been made, especially with the macroeconomy- There remains some challengesTranslating the robust growth rates to jobsIssue of securityAddressing the issue of unemployment/under employment• Good news is that the TA focuses at addressing the issues- Through the following key initiatives:SURE-PYouWinAgric Transformation AgendaQuarterly job survey/mapping- Massive infrastructure development in the Roads, Rail, Aviation and Power• Other sectoral reforms
  21. 21. 4444Key Achievementsof the National PlanningCommission,May 2011 to DateSECTION 421
  22. 22. 4.0: Key Achievements of the National PlanningCommission, May 2011 - Date22Over the last two years, NPC has championedvarious strategic initiatives- At the Federal- And State levels- Implemented several reforms and initiativesLeading to improved outcomes
  23. 23. 4.1 Major Reform Initiatives and Outcomes23 Institutionalization of Strategic Planning Process at the Federal level- Cascading the strategic planning to subnational levels and MDAs- Professionalization of DPRs at the federal level- Conducting Needs Assessment of States’ Planning and Statistical Agencies forenhanced service deliveryImprovement in human and infrastructural capacity of the institutions- MDAs and States are encouraged to develop the culture of strategic planning- To align budgetary submissions of MDAs to the plan provisions Institutionalisation of Performance Management System & Contracting- Aimed at measuring ministerial and individual officers’ performance, againstnegotiated performance targetsWith the introduction of the PMS, the public service has recorded improvement &clarity in the alignment of institutional & individual performance
  24. 24. 4.1 Major Reform Initiatives and Outcomes (Cont’d)24 Progress made under PMS are: Establishment of specialised M&E Department in NPC and M&E units in theMDAs Development of KPIs for tracking service delivery of MDAs Development of performance agreements for Ministers & key governmentofficials Signing of 2012 Performance Contract Agreement between the Ministers andMr. PresidentLed to regular ministerial performance reporting at the FEC
  25. 25. 4.1 Major Reforms Initiatives and Outcomes (Cont’d)25• Reform of Data Generating Process spearheaded by NBS• Encouraged the establishment of States’ Statistical BureauxNumber of States’ Statistical Bureaux increased from 2 in 2010 to 8 in 2013:Embarked on States’ GDP Computation programme- This involves the disaggregation of economic activities by States- SGDP computation process is to be implemented in 2 phasesPhase 1 is ongoing in 7 StatesResults from the 7 Pilot States are expected to be ready by end July/Aug 2013• NBS has began the process for rebasing GDP in line with global best practice• Development Assistance Database (DAD) currently being developed at NPC- 1st phase of the programme is completed- To facilitate the tracking of ODA inflows into the country
  26. 26. 4.2 Achievements in Core Mandate- PolicyResearch and Advice to National Government26Conducted several policy based Research &Studies• - Educational Manpower Supply Study inNigeria, Phase 1• - The Scrutinized Elite: A Deconstruction of“Cabals” in the Nigerian Political Economy• - Social Protection Policy & Bill PreparationProcesses in Nigeria• - Study on Effective ness of Expatriate QuotaUtilization in manufacturing Industries inNigeria• - Scalable Model for Demand-Led SanitationApproaches in Africa• - Agent-Based Modeling of Herders’Vulnerability and Adaptation StrategiesRegarding Water Resources in the Context ofClimate Change• Informal sector study is ongoing• Underlook Policy Dialogues• - 1st Annual NISER Policy Dialogue onSocial-Economic Development• - Review of the Performance of theEconomy in six geopolitical zones• - Assessment of impact of flood on theeconomy
  27. 27. Picture A Picture BPicture CPicture A: Workshop on Development ofSugar and Wheat Value Chains in Nigeria –Lagos 23 February 2012Picture B: The First Annual NISER NationalPolicy Dialogue on Socio- EconomicDevelopment held on 28th – 29 November2012, AbujaPicture C: Participants at the NISER ResearchSeminar Series “Rural poverty reduction undera changing climate: Is Agriculture still the Key inNigeria?” – 12 February 2013, Ibadan274.2 Achievement on Core Mandates - Policy Research andAdvice to National Governments (Cont’d)
  28. 28. 4.3 Ensuring Effective Formulation and Coordinationof National Development Plans28Transformation Agenda (2011-2015)TransformationAgendaMid-term Review of theTransformation Agenda•Coordinated the production of the TA-Key policies, programmes and projects to beimplemented by the Federal Government,2011-2015Guides annual budgetary allocation to MDAs-To speed up actualisation of NV20:2020•Production of the mid term review of the TA- Review provides comprehensive appraisal ofthe first two years of this AdministrationAllows for a reflection on progress made tochart a way forwardConsistent with global best practice andprinciple of accountability- Detailed edition of the mid term review ofthe TA is on NPC’s
  29. 29. 4.3 Ensuring Effective Formulation and Coordinationof National Development Plan (Cont’d)291st NationalImplementationPlan (NIP(2010 – 2013)National IntegratedInfrastructure MasterPlan(2014 – 2043)•NPC is responsible for the development of a30- year National Integrated InfrastructureMasterplan (NIIMP) (2014-2043)-Working closely with all the relevantstakeholders, including the DevelopmentPartners•The final NIIMP document to be ready byAugust 2013-Interim NIIMP has been produced to harvestquick win infrastructure projectsTo feed into the 2014 budget•1st NIP, 2010-13 is currently beingimplemented•A Mid Term Review of 1st NIP been carriedout-In line with international best practice-Report to be presented to FEC-Outcome of the review to serve as criticalinput for development of 2nd NIP, 2014-2017
  30. 30. 304.3 Ensuring Effective Formulation and Coordinationof National Development Plan (Cont’d)•Improving capacity of MDAs to deliver on plan formulation and implementation- NPC organises conferences and technical sessions for Directors & Seniorofficials of Department of PRS in MDAs- 2012 edition held in Katsina- 2013 conference planning is ongoing- To be held in Ibadan
  31. 31. 4.4 Institutionalising, Monitoring and Evaluation(M&E) System for Enhanced Performance31Joint development ofKPI with MDAsPerformanceagreements signed andcascadedData VerificationProcess for 2011M&E PerformanceReportProduction of 2011Annual M&EPerformance ReportProduction of Annualand 1st Year 2011 and2012 EconomicPerformance ReportsM&E CapacityBuilding/Training Events•NPC spearheaded the institutionalisation of the M&E system for enhancedservice delivery•The key activities undertaken from May 2011 to date are highlighted in thematrix below
  32. 32. 4.4 Institutionalising, Monitoring and Evaluation(M&E) System for Enhanced Performance (Cont’d)32National and sub-national healthprojects2006-2011 TertiaryEducation Trust FundProjectsFederal Governmentwater projects in theStateSpecial InterventionFund for Agriculture(SIFA) projectsCommunity-basedAgricultural RuralDevelopmentprojectsDFID Educationsector supportprogramme inNigeria (ESSPIN)Partnership fortransforming healthsystems programmes(PATH2)UNDFA projects ineleven States•Undertakinge Joint Monitoring and Evaluation of National and Subnationalprogrammes
  33. 33. 334.4 Institutionalising Monitoring and Evaluation (M&E) for EnhancedPerformance (Cont’d)Picture on Inter-ministerial inspection of national water projects –South East Zone February 2012The team with Contractor @ the GreaterOnitsha water supply schemeDilapidated office block of Waterpumping stationAnambra River inlet for water pumpingstation, Feb 2012Headrace canal inspection, Feb 2012
  34. 34. 444.4: Institutionalising Monitoring and Evaluation (M&E) System forEnhanced Delivery Service (Cont’d)Picture on Projects – Tertiary Education Trust Fund Monitoring,April 2012TETF ICT funded projects 34Vehicle donated by TETFTETF funded classroom
  35. 35. 4.5: Enhancing Development Assistance Coordination35Review of 488 joint/bi-National agreements (bi-lateralcooperation)Review of ODA policy 2012 - 2015Producing operational manual for Development AssistanceDatabase (DAD)Development of a competencies DAD frameworkRegular Donor Coordination meetings held under thecoordination of HMNPOfficial Engagements with INGOs, WAMI,UNDP, World Bank andother donor agencies•Improving Donor Coordination in Nigeria•Through active participation in innovative financing initiatives- Nigeria emerged Presidency of the Leading Group on Innovative Financing for Development- With HMNP as focal person- Nigeria is leading the group to propose innovative financing resolution at the upcoming UN GeneralAassembly in September 2013
  36. 36. 4.5: Enhancing Development Assistance Coordination(Cont’d)36GTZ - 15 people on PerformanceManagement (Malaysia)China, Korea, India trainingprogrammesIDPs focal persons trained on DAD•Enhanced Capacity building programme for officials through bi-lateralagreements
  37. 37. 374.5: Enhancing Development Assistance Coordination(Cont’d)Africa Human Development Report, 21 May, 2012Dialogue with Development Partners – May 2012
  38. 38. 384.5: Enhancing Development Assistance Coordination(Cont’d)Signing of 10th EDF Agreement with the EU, 29 October, 2012Signing of Bi-lateral Agreement with the Democratic Republic ofGermany, 2012
  39. 39. • Improving data generation at national andsubnational levels•NBS has developed a framework for improvedand better coordination of the national statisticalsystem•Timely production of regular statistical series- CPI and Inflation report (Monthly)- Economic Review / Outlook (Annually)- General Household Survey (Annually)- GDP Report (Quarterly/Annually)- Foreign Trade News (Quarterly/Annually)- Access to ICT Report (Annually)- Sectoral Wages & Emoluments (Annually)- Unemployment (Annually,>> Quarterly)- Gender Statistics Newsletter (Quarterly)- National Literacy Survey (Annually)-Consumption Pattern in Nigeria (Annually)•NBS has strengthened its ICT infrastructure- Over 20 States’ statistical agencies have beenlinked to the National Data Centre4.6: Improving Data Generation and Coordination of StatisticalSystems
  40. 40. 4.7: Capacity development and Training for efficientand effective utilization of resources• The Centre for Management Development delivered several training andcapacity building programmes for public and private sector officials during thelast 2 years40Conducted over 8000 management training programmes during 2011-2013Undertook accreditation visits to management trainers and institutionsTraining manuals developed for several specialised coursesCarried out training needs assessment of all MDAs and States’ DPRS’Undertook trainers and training Institutions’ awareness raising seminarsConducted train the trainers workshops
  41. 41. 41Capacity building programme for the police, 2012PPP capacity building programme for ICRC , 27 – 30 August 20124.7: Capacity development and training for efficientand effective utilization of resources (Cont’d)
  42. 42. 4.8: Strengthening the Plan-Budget Link42• Ensuring capital budgetary proposals of Federal MDAs are aligned with prioritiesof TA and V20:2020:- Transformation Agenda as basis for 2012 and 2013 budgetsAlso to guide 2014 -2015 budgetsBudget outcomes and economic performance to be enhanced in 2013 and beyond4.9: Improving Economic Management at Subnational Level• Critical Role of NPC in facilitating improved economic management at the sub-national level- NPC as secretariat for monthly National Economic Council meetings- Monitoring and evaluation of specific FGN projects-Water Resources Projects-TET Fund projects-Other projects
  43. 43. 4.9: Improving Economic Management at theSubnational Level (Cont’d)43• Coordinating activities of Joint Planning Board and National Council onDevelopment Planning- Assisting State Governments to establish and strengthen their StatePlanning Commissions and State Bureaux of Statistics for enhancedplanning and quality data production.- Positive results in virtually all zones of the Federation, with many States’planning and statistical offices now up and running4.10: Economic Performance Tracking• To enhance tracking of implementation of our plans:- Revived production of Nigeria’s Economic Performance Report- Economic reports produced on bi-annual and annual basis- Stocktaking of macroeconomic and sectoral performance
  44. 44. 4.10: Economic Performance Tracking (Cont’d)44• Four reports published in the last one year- Annual report for 2010- Half year report for 2011- Annual report for 2011- Annual report for 2012- Performance monitoring report of Federal MDAs for 2010 and2011• Reports received commendation by all stakeholders in the Nigerianeconomy, including the media
  45. 45. 454.11 Enhancing Public Private Partnership in Nigeria•Deepening relations with the private sector, in particular the Nigerian Economic SummitGroup (NESG)17th – 18th Nigerian Economic Summit (NES17) organised by NESG in closecollaboration with NPC-NES#17 November 2011-NES#18 – December 2012The Summit, as platform for key stakeholders from public and private sectorsto discuss and articulate strategies for development•Planning for NES#19 in progress- Expected to take place in September 2013
  46. 46. 4.12: Reforming the NPC to Deliver its Mandate46• In pursuit of its reform mantra of becoming a pace setting agency, NPC has:- Enhanced staff capacity for improved service delivery• Improved IT infrastructure , e.g. Enhanced public access to all reports, including the NV20:2020, 1st NIP,Transformation Agenda, Economic reports, M&E reports and key policyoutputs of the NPC available via website Increased ICT use by all staff Intranet and Internet access for all staff
  47. 47. 4.12: Reforming the NPC to Deliver its Mandate (Cont’d)47• Regular Management meetings, chaired by the HMNP to enhance decisionmaking• Encouraging needs-driven training and capacity building• Streamlining Knowledge Management into our processes• Encouraging transformational management in the organisation
  48. 48. 5.0 Outlook and Prospects of The National Planning CommissionMay 2013-201548•Outlook and prospects in the medium term very bright• Key benchmarks and targets for May 2013 – 2015, to:-Consolidate gains made in the last two years-Deepen the institutionalisation of strategic planning process atthe Federal and subnational levelsFacilitate the realisation of the goals and objectives of TA andNV20:2020-Deepen performance management system in the country-Coordinating the implementation of the 30 year NationalIntegrated Infrastructure Master Plan (NIIMP)-Development and effective implementation of the 2nd NationalImplementation Plan (NIP 2014-2017Strengthening the link between the annual budgets and theNational plans
  49. 49. 5.0 Outlook and Prospects of The National Planning CommissionMay 2013-2015 (Cont’d)49•Other key targets are:-Ensuring effective coordination of Official DevelopmentAssistance inflow to the country-Professionalisation of the planning cadreAnd the repositioning of PRS Departments in the MDAs forenhanced service delivery-Complete the computation of States’ GDPInstitutionalise process for computation at the State level onannual basis
  50. 50. 6.0 Conclusion50• NPC has succeeded in achieving significant aspects of its mandate- Especially with respect to output and outcome targets for May 2011 to Date• NPC’s outlook and prospects in the short and medium term remain very bright• The outlook to be shaped by the following key targets- Institutionalisation of the strategic planning process at all levels- Deepening performance management system in the country- Ensuring evidence based polices and decision making- Strengthening effective link between annual budgets and National plan
  51. 51. THANK YOUFOR YOUR ATTENTION!421, Constitution Avenue,Central Business District, Abuja.Website: Shamsuddeen Usman, CONHONOURABLE MINISTER OF NATIONAL PLANNING51