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Global Talent Market Quarterly
                     FIRST QUARTER   l   2012
Global Talent Market Quarterly




CONTENTS




 3       Global Economic Situation
 	       	 •	Briefing	      			
 	       	 •	Outlook


 6       Global Labor Market Update
 	       	 •	Americas	      			
 	       	 •	EMEA	          			
 	       	 •	APAC
 	       	 •	Global	Labor	Market	Spotlight
 	       	 •	Legislative	Update


 12      U.S. Labor Market Overview
 	       	 •	Current	Employment	Conditions	   			
 	       	 •	Supply	and	Demand	       			
 	       	 •	Labor	Market	Spotlight


 16      Workforce Solutions Industry Insight
 	       	 •	Talent	Supply	Chain	Management
 	       	 •	Workforce	Mobility
 	       	 •	Kelly	Webcast	Series
Global Economic Situation
                 FIRST QUARTER   l   2012
Global Talent Market Quarterly


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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        TABLE OF CONTENTS



        GLOBAL	
  ECONOMIC	
  BRIEFING	
  
        	
  
        A	
  series	
  of	
  poli>cal,	
  environmental,	
  and	
  fiscal	
  issues	
  kept	
  global	
  economic	
  growth	
  muted	
  in	
  2011.	
  Con>nued	
  modest	
  growth	
  is	
  forecast	
  for	
  
        the	
  global	
  economy	
  in	
  2012,	
  with	
  the	
  ongoing	
  European	
  financial	
  crisis	
  represen>ng	
  a	
  key	
  risk.	
  	
  


        AMERICAS	
                                                                                                                EMEA	
                                                                                                                   APAC	
  
        Moderate	
  growth	
  of	
  2-­‐3%	
  is	
  forecast	
                                                                    The	
  ongoing	
  fiscal	
  crisis	
  is	
  expected	
  to	
  trigger	
  a	
                                              The	
  APAC	
  region	
  will	
  con>nue	
  to	
  lead	
  the	
  
        throughout	
  the	
  Americas	
  region	
  in	
  2012,	
                                                                  Eurozone	
  recession	
  in	
  2012,	
  dampening	
  global	
                                                            world’s	
  economic	
  growth,	
  but	
  it	
  will	
  face	
  
        helped	
  by	
  the	
  U.S.	
  economy’s	
  posi>ve	
                                                                     and	
  regional	
  economic	
  prospects.	
                                                                              some	
  challenges	
  in	
  2012,	
  par>cularly	
  from	
  a	
  
        momentum.	
  	
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    weak	
  export	
  climate.	
  
                                                                                                                                  Eurozone	
  
        Canada	
                                                                                                                  The	
  Eurozone	
  con:nues	
  to	
  confront	
  numerous	
                                                              Japan	
  
        Economic	
  expansion	
  is	
  expected	
  to	
  con:nue	
  at	
                                                          fiscal	
  challenges.	
  As	
  a	
  result,	
  few	
  of	
  the	
  region’s	
                                             Recovery	
  from	
  the	
  2011	
  natural	
  disasters	
  
        a	
  slow	
  pace	
  in	
  Canada	
  in	
  2012.	
  An	
  improving	
                                                     economies	
  will	
  be	
  able	
  to	
  avoid	
  contrac:on	
  in	
                                                     con:nues	
  on	
  an	
  accelera:ng,	
  if	
  uneven,	
  pace.	
  
        performance	
  in	
  the	
  U.S.	
  will	
  help	
  prop	
  up	
                                                          the	
  first	
  part	
  of	
  2012,	
  with	
  minimal	
  growth	
  at	
                                                  The	
  economy	
  is	
  expected	
  to	
  grow	
  nearly	
  3%	
  in	
  
        domes:c	
  business	
  and	
  consumer	
  op:mism.	
                                                                      best	
  expected	
  in	
  the	
  back	
  half	
  of	
  the	
  year.	
                                                    2012—a	
  considerable	
  improvement	
  over	
  the	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           previous	
  year’s	
  contrac:on.	
  
        U.S.	
                                                                                                                    U.K.	
  
        The	
  outlook	
  for	
  the	
  U.S.	
  economy	
  points	
  to	
                                                         The	
  U.K	
  economy	
  is	
  expected	
  to	
  struggle	
  greatly	
                                                   China	
  
        modest	
  growth	
  in	
  2012	
  as	
  business	
  and	
                                                                 over	
  the	
  next	
  few	
  months	
  in	
  the	
  face	
  of	
  low	
                                                 China	
  s:ll	
  boasts	
  growth	
  rates	
  that	
  are	
  among	
  
        consumer	
  ac:vity	
  con:nues	
  on	
  a	
  gradually	
                                                                 consumer,	
  government,	
  and	
  business	
  spending	
                                                                the	
  highest	
  in	
  the	
  world,	
  but	
  the	
  economy	
  
        improving	
  trend.	
  	
  Risks	
  	
  to	
  the	
  posi:ve	
  outlook	
                                                 levels.	
  Slight	
  growth	
  will	
  return	
  in	
  the	
  second	
                                                   slowed	
  in	
  2011.	
  Growth	
  is	
  expected	
  to	
  remain	
  
        include	
  the	
  Eurozone	
  debt	
  crisis,	
  and	
  poli:cal	
                                                        half	
  of	
  2012,	
  with	
  the	
  Olympics	
  providing	
  a	
                                                       soX	
  in	
  2012—well	
  below	
  the	
  10%	
  average	
  seen	
  
        and	
  fiscal	
  policy	
  issues.	
                                                                                       much-­‐needed	
  boost.                     	
                                                                           in	
  the	
  past	
  decade.	
  Weak	
  export	
  and	
  domes:c	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           demand	
  are	
  the	
  main	
  challenges.	
  
        La>n	
  America	
                                                                                                         Central	
  and	
  Eastern	
  Europe	
  
        Despite	
  some	
  nega:ve	
  effects	
  from	
  global	
                                                                  Solid	
  economic	
  growth	
  in	
  the	
  CEE	
  region	
  is	
                                                        India	
  
        economic	
  condi:ons,	
  the	
  region’s	
  economies	
                                                                  being	
  muted	
  by	
  spillover	
  from	
  the	
  Eurozone	
                                                           Economic	
  growth	
  is	
  projected	
  to	
  stay	
  in	
  the	
  7%	
  
        are	
  forecast	
  to	
  grow	
  in	
  the	
  3%	
  range	
  in	
  2012.	
                                                crisis;	
  countries	
  are	
  looking	
  to	
  boost	
  domes:c	
                                                       range	
  in	
  2012,	
  as	
  India	
  feels	
  the	
  effects	
  of	
  
        Countries	
  such	
  as	
  Brazil,	
  Mexico,	
  and	
  Peru	
  are	
                                                     demand	
  to	
  support	
  their	
  momentum.	
                                                                          :ghter	
  fiscal	
  policies	
  and	
  the	
  shaky	
  global	
  
        enac:ng	
  monetary	
  and	
  fiscal	
  s:mulus	
                                                                                                                                                                                                   economic	
  climate.	
  
                                                                                                                                  Middle	
  East	
  and	
  North	
  Africa	
  
        measures	
  to	
  help	
  alleviate	
  the	
  impact	
  of	
                                                                                                                                                                                       Australia	
  
                                                                                                                                  Poli:cal	
  turmoil	
  took	
  its	
  toll	
  on	
  the	
  region	
  in	
  
        slower	
  global	
  demand.	
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Healthy	
  economic	
  ac:vity	
  is	
  expected	
  to	
  
                                                                                                                                  2011,	
  but	
  modest	
  economic	
  growth	
  is	
  expected	
  
        	
                                                                                                                        to	
  resume	
  in	
  2012.	
                                                                                            con:nue	
  in	
  2012,	
  with	
  growth	
  largely	
  driven	
  by	
  
        	
                                                                                                                        	
                                                                                                                       mining	
  sector	
  investment.	
  	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           	
  
4	
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      	
  
               Sources:	
  IHS	
  Global	
  Insight	
  reports	
  (January	
  2012);	
  Japan	
  Revises	
  Down	
  GDP,	
  WSJ,	
  12/09/11;	
  GDP	
  Growth	
  Slows	
  Down	
  In	
  China,	
  WSJ,	
  01/18/12;	
  For	
  investors	
  Arab	
  Spring	
  dangers	
  remain,	
  Jerusalem	
  Post,	
  01/19/12	
  	
  
Global Talent Market Quarterly


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g"
Global Labor Market Update
                  FIRST QUARTER   l   2012
Global Talent Market Quarterly


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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    TABLE OF CONTENTS
        GLOBAL	
  LABOR	
  MARKET	
  UPDATE:	
  AMERICAS	
  
        	
   U.S.	
  hiring	
  climate	
  has	
  improved	
  heading	
  into	
  2012,	
  an	
  encouraging	
  sign	
  for	
  regional	
  employment	
  prospects.	
  The	
  near-­‐term	
  outlook	
  
        The	
  
        shows	
  unemployment	
  remaining	
  stable	
  or	
  improving	
  modestly	
  in	
  most	
  of	
  the	
  Americas,	
  but	
  uncertainty	
  arising	
  from	
  the	
  cooler	
  global	
  
        economic	
  climate	
  will	
  keep	
  employment	
  gains	
  subdued.	
  

        	
  
        UNITED	
  STATES	
                                                                 BRAZIL	
                                                                              CANADA	
                                                                              MEXICO	
  
        Employment	
  trends	
  in	
  the	
  U.S.	
                                        The	
  Brazilian	
  economy	
  con:nues	
                                             Canada	
  saw	
  healthy	
  employment	
                                              The	
  Mexican	
  unemployment	
  rate	
  
        picked	
  up	
  in	
  the	
  last	
  part	
  of	
  2011,	
                         to	
  create	
  jobs,	
  albeit	
  at	
  a	
  slightly	
                              growth	
  of	
  1.2%	
  in	
  2011,	
  	
  with	
  the	
                              remained	
  over	
  5%	
  in	
  2011—a	
  
        with	
  the	
  economy	
  adding	
  jobs	
  at	
                                   lower	
  rate	
  when	
  compared	
  to	
                                             economy	
  adding	
  nearly	
  200,000	
                                              somewhat	
  elevated	
  level	
  
        a	
  healthy	
  pace	
  and	
  the	
                                               prior	
  years.	
  The	
  labor	
  market	
                                           jobs.	
  Recent	
  labor	
  force	
  figures	
                                         compared	
  to	
  its	
  historical	
  
        unemployment	
  rate	
  falling	
  to	
                                            outlook	
  is	
  encouraging,	
  with	
  the	
                                        have	
  shown	
  weaker	
  job	
  gains	
                                             average	
  of	
  around	
  4%	
  —but	
  
        8.5%	
  in	
  December.	
  Moderate	
                                              largest	
  risks	
  coming	
  from	
                                                  and	
  a	
  stagnant	
  unemployment	
                                                formal	
  job	
  crea:on	
  con:nued	
  at	
  
        hiring	
  ac:vity	
  is	
  expected	
  to	
                                        decelera:ng	
  global	
  economic	
                                                   rate,	
  however,	
  sugges:ng	
  that	
                                              a	
  healthy	
  pace.	
  The	
  labor	
  market	
  
        con:nue	
  in	
  2012,	
  as	
  the	
                                              condi:ons	
  and	
  the	
  possibility	
  of	
                                        the	
  country’s	
  strong	
  labor	
                                                 is	
  expected	
  to	
  remain	
  rela:vely	
  
        economy	
  improves	
  and	
  business	
                                           domes:c	
  infla:on.	
                                                                 market	
  may	
  be	
  losing	
  some	
                                               resilient	
  in	
  2012	
  in	
  light	
  of	
  stable	
  
        confidence	
  remains	
  posi:ve.	
                                                 	
                                                                                    momentum	
  heading	
  into	
  2012.	
  	
  	
                                        U.S.	
  export	
  demand.	
  
        	
  


                                                                                                                                    Average	
  Annual	
  Unemployment	
  Rate	
  
                                                                           10%	
  
                                                                              8%	
                  9.0%	
   8.8%	
  

                                                                                                                                                                                7.4%	
   7.2%	
  
                                                                              6%	
  
                                                                                                                                          6.3%	
   6.2%	
                                                                                                         2011	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       5.3%	
  
                                                                              4%	
                                                                                                                                                4.8%	
                          2012	
  (p)	
  
                                                                              2%	
  
                                                                              0%	
  
                                                                                                        U.S.	
                               Brazil	
                            Canada	
                               Mexico	
  


        Sources:	
  IHS	
  Global	
  Insight	
  reports	
  (January	
  2012);	
  RBC	
  Economic	
  Forecast,	
  December	
  2011;	
  Congressional	
  Budget	
  Office	
  Economic	
  Outlook,	
  January	
  2012;	
  Sta:s:cs	
  Canada;	
  Brazil	
  cuts	
  growth	
  view,	
  jobless	
  rate	
  falls,	
  Reuters,	
  
        12/22/11;	
  Canada	
  adds	
  jobs	
  in	
  December,	
  but	
  jobless	
  rate	
  up,	
  Reuters,	
  01/06/12;	
  US	
  job	
  market	
  ends	
  year	
  in	
  bejer	
  shape,	
  AP,	
  12/29/11	
  
7	
  
Global Talent Market Quarterly


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        GLOBAL	
  LABOR	
  MARKET	
  UPDATE:	
  EMEA	
  
        	
  
        The	
  ongoing	
  economic	
  crisis	
  in	
  the	
  Eurozone	
  is	
  affec>ng	
  employment	
  levels	
  in	
  the	
  EMEA	
  region	
  and	
  throughout	
  the	
  rest	
  of	
  the	
  world.	
  	
  
        European	
  companies	
  are	
  under	
  pressure	
  to	
  keep	
  their	
  labor	
  forces	
  as	
  >ght	
  as	
  possible,	
  and	
  will	
  be	
  reluctant	
  to	
  take	
  on	
  more	
  workers	
  un>l	
  
        the	
  economic	
  situa>on	
  improves	
  considerably.	
  In	
  addi>on,	
  public	
  sector	
  employment	
  con>nues	
  to	
  fall	
  due	
  to	
  ongoing	
  government	
  	
  
        austerity	
  measures.	
  Germany	
  and	
  Russia	
  are	
  among	
  the	
  EMEA	
  countries	
  that	
  have	
  remained	
  rela>vely	
  immune	
  to	
  the	
  labor	
  market	
  malaise.                                                                                                                                                         	
  
        GERMANY	
                                                                               FRANCE	
                                                                                   UNITED	
  KINGDOM	
                                                                       RUSSIA	
  
        Germany’s	
  labor	
  market	
  has	
                                                   Labor	
  market	
  condi:ons	
                                                             Unemployment	
  is	
  expected	
  to	
                                                    Unemployment	
  in	
  Russia	
  	
  fell	
  
        been	
  remarkably	
  resilient	
  in	
  the	
                                          worsened	
  	
  in	
  the	
  last	
  part	
  of	
                                          con:nue	
  to	
  rise	
  in	
  the	
  U.K.	
  in	
                                        significantly	
  in	
  2011	
  as	
  high	
  
        face	
  of	
  the	
  economic	
  crisis.	
                                              2011,	
  and	
  lijle	
  relief	
  is	
  expected	
                                        2012.	
  Job	
  losses	
  are	
  forecast	
  in	
                                         demand	
  for	
  energy	
  exports	
  drove	
  
        Employment	
  reached	
  a	
  record	
                                                  in	
  2012.	
  Concerns	
  about	
  the	
                                                  both	
  the	
  public	
  and	
  private	
                                                 economic	
  growth.	
  The	
  
        high	
  in	
  2011,	
  and	
  is	
  expected	
  to	
                                    economic	
  outlook	
  are	
  severely	
                                                   sectors,	
  as	
  austerity	
  measures	
                                                 employment	
  situa:on	
  is	
  
        remain	
  stable	
  in	
  2012	
  despite	
  the	
                                      curtailing	
  private	
  companies'	
                                                      and	
  lowered	
  business	
  confidence	
                                                 expected	
  to	
  remain	
  on	
  a	
  posi:ve	
  
        region’s	
  challenges.	
  	
                                                           hiring	
  ac:vity,	
  and	
  the	
  public	
                                               combine	
  to	
  create	
  a	
  bleak	
                                                   trend	
  in	
  2012.	
  	
  	
  
                                                                                                sector	
  con:nues	
  to	
  shed	
  jobs.	
                                                employment	
  outlook.	
                                                                  	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     ITALY	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Demand	
  for	
  labor	
  soXened	
  in	
  the	
  
                                                                                   Average	
  Annual	
  Unemployment	
  Rate	
                                                                                                                                                       last	
  part	
  of	
  2011	
  as	
  the	
  Italian	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     economy	
  slid	
  towards	
  recession.	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Unemployment	
  is	
  expected	
  to	
  
                        10%	
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        intensify	
  in	
  2012	
  as	
  the	
  Italian	
  
                                                                                     9.7%	
   9.8%	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     government’s	
  short-­‐term	
  work	
  
                           8%	
                                                                                                     8.8%	
                                                                  9.1%	
  
                                                                                                                         8.1%	
                                                                  8.3%	
                                                                              scheme	
  is	
  scaled	
  back	
  and	
  the	
  
                           6%	
                  7.1%	
   7.2%	
                                                                                                                                                                                                                     economy	
  con:nues	
  to	
  shrink.	
  
                                                                                                                                                             6.5%	
  
                                                                                                                                                                        5.7%	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              2011	
  
                           4%	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              2012	
  (p)	
  
                           2%	
  

                           0%	
  
                                               Germany	
                              France	
                               U.K.	
                            Russia	
                              Italy	
  



         Sources:	
  IHS	
  Global	
  Insight	
  reports	
  (January	
  2012);	
  Record	
  number	
  of	
  Germans	
  in	
  work	
  in	
  2011,	
  Agence	
  France	
  Presse,	
  01/02/12;	
  Unemployment	
  In	
  U.K.	
  Hits	
  17-­‐Year	
  High,	
  WSJ	
  Europe,	
  01/19/12;	
  Italy	
  Jobless	
  Rate	
  Hits	
  New	
  High	
  ,	
  WSJ,	
  
         01/05/12	
  
8	
      	
  
Global Talent Market Quarterly


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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    TABLE OF CONTENTS
         GLOBAL	
  LABOR	
  MARKET	
  UPDATE:	
  APAC	
  
         	
  
         APAC’s	
  labor	
  markets	
  appear	
  to	
  be	
  holding	
  steady	
  in	
  2012,	
  ajer	
  facing	
  numerous	
  challenges	
  –	
  par>cularly	
  from	
  natural	
  disasters	
  –	
  in	
  2011.	
  
         Post-­‐disaster	
  reconstruc>on	
  will	
  boost	
  investment	
  spending	
  in	
  2012,	
  but	
  private	
  sector	
  hiring	
  will	
  be	
  somewhat	
  moderate	
  –	
  par>cularly	
  in	
  
         countries	
  with	
  high	
  exposure	
  to	
  export	
  demand	
  –	
  	
  as	
  companies	
  remain	
  cau>ous	
  as	
  a	
  result	
  of	
  the	
  Eurozone	
  economic	
  condi>ons.	
  	
  

         	
  
         CHINA	
                                                                                 JAPAN	
                                                                                   INDIA	
                                                                                    AUSTRALIA	
  
         In	
  2011,	
  China’s	
  unemployment	
                                                Employment	
  condi:ons	
  are	
                                                          The	
  Indian	
  job	
  market	
  is	
                                                     Australia’s	
  job	
  market	
  remains	
  
         rate	
  remained	
  at	
  4.1%	
  and	
  around	
                                       recovering	
  at	
  a	
  very	
  moderate	
                                               expected	
  to	
  see	
  posi:ve	
  but	
                                                  stable,	
  with	
  a	
  steady	
  outlook.	
  
         12	
  million	
  new	
  jobs	
  were	
  created,	
                                      pace,	
  with	
  the	
  unemployment	
                                                    somewhat	
  subdued	
  hiring	
                                                            Weak	
  consumer	
  spending	
  and	
  
         similar	
  to	
  2010.	
  The	
  government	
                                           rate	
  hovering	
  at	
  around	
  4.5%.	
                                               ac:vity	
  in	
  2012.	
  Employers	
  are	
                                               fears	
  of	
  a	
  poten:al	
  global	
  
         will	
  con:nue	
  proac:ve	
  policies	
  to	
                                         Sectors	
  such	
  as	
  construc:on	
  and	
                                             embracing	
  a	
  cau:ously	
  op:mis:c	
                                                  economic	
  slowdown	
  are	
  crea:ng	
  
         boost	
  employment	
  in	
  2012;	
  jobs	
                                            healthcare	
  are	
  showing	
  the	
                                                     approach	
  as	
  they	
  predict	
                                                        lower	
  worker	
  demand	
  in	
  areas	
  
         for	
  new	
  college	
  graduates	
  and	
                                             greatest	
  job	
  gains	
  while	
                                                       rela:vely	
  bejer	
  hiring	
  plans	
                                                    such	
  as	
  tourism,	
  retail	
  and	
  
         encouraging	
  small	
  business	
                                                      manufacturing	
  employment	
                                                             despite	
  a	
  climate	
  of	
  economic	
                                                manufacturing,	
  but	
  hiring	
  in	
  the	
  
         crea:on	
  are	
  key	
  priori:es.	
                                                   con:nues	
  to	
  drop.	
                                                                 uncertainty.	
                                                                             mining	
  industry	
  is	
  s:ll	
  strong.	
  

         	
  	
  
         	
  
                                                                                                                                       Average	
  Annual	
  Unemployment	
  Rate	
  
         	
                                                                     10%	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                9.6%	
   9.7%	
  
                                                                                   8%	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                2011	
  
                                                                                   6%	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           5.1%	
   5.2%	
                      2012	
  (p)	
  
                                                                                   4%	
                    4.5%	
   4.4%	
  
                                                                                                                                                      4.1%	
   4.1%	
  

                                                                                   2%	
  

                                                                                   0%	
  
                                                                                                              Japan	
                                    China	
                                    India	
                               Australia	
  

    Sources:	
  IHS	
  Global	
  Insight	
  reports	
  (January	
  2012);	
  Australia	
  Loses	
  Jobs	
  Despite	
  Steady	
  Rate,	
  WSJ,	
  01/19/12;	
  Slow	
  hiring	
  but	
  double-­‐digit	
  pay	
  hikes	
  forecast	
  in	
  India,	
  Asia	
  Pulse,	
  12/27/11;	
  Japan's	
  unemployment	
  rate	
  in	
  Nov.	
  unchanged	
  at	
  4.5%,	
  
    Kyodo	
  News,	
  12/27/11;	
  China’s	
  urban	
  jobless	
  rate	
  at	
  4.1%	
  in	
  2011,	
  China	
  Informa:on	
  Daily,	
  01/30/12	
  

9
Global Talent Market Quarterly


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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            TABLE OF CONTENTS



         GLOBAL	
  LABOR	
  MARKET	
  SPOTLIGHT:	
  WAGE	
  TRENDS	
  
         	
   ongoing	
  concern	
  about	
  the	
  health	
  of	
  the	
  global	
  economy	
  is	
  keeping	
  salary	
  increases	
  in	
  check	
  in	
  most	
  developed	
  countries.	
  However,	
  
         An	
  
         the	
  need	
  to	
  keep	
  up	
  with	
  rising	
  infla>on	
  and	
  skilled	
  talent	
  shortages	
  are	
  giving	
  rise	
  to	
  greater	
  wage	
  increases	
  in	
  emerging	
  markets,	
  
         par>cularly	
  in	
  La>n	
  America	
  and	
  APAC.	
  

         	
  
         AMERICAS	
                                          	
  
                                                             	
  
         Salary	
  increases	
  in	
  the	
  U.S.	
  and	
  Canada	
  are	
  projected	
  to	
  remain	
  in	
  the	
  3%	
  range	
  in	
                                                                              Projected	
  Salary	
  Increases	
  and	
  Infla>on	
  Rates	
  	
  
         2012,	
  as	
  companies	
  remain	
  very	
  anxious	
  to	
  control	
  costs	
  in	
  light	
  of	
  an	
  uncertain	
                                                                                                     Select	
  Markets	
  2012	
  
         economic	
  environment.	
  Employees	
  in	
  La:n	
  America,	
  however,	
  are	
  set	
  to	
  see	
  larger	
  
         salary	
  hikes,	
  due	
  in	
  part	
  to	
  much	
  higher	
  infla:on	
  rates.	
  Companies	
  in	
  Argen:na,	
  for	
                                                                                                                                          Avg.	
  Salary	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                            Country/	
  Region	
                                                                                 Infla>on	
  Rate	
  
         example,	
  are	
  forecas:ng	
  a	
  20%	
  pay	
  increase	
  for	
  workers;	
  aXer	
  accoun:ng	
  for	
                                                                                                                                                         Increase	
  
         infla:on,	
  the	
  real	
  wage	
  increase	
  is	
  s:ll	
  more	
  than	
  8%.	
                                                                                                                 AMERICAS	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                            La>n	
  America	
                                                         6.3%	
                               6.2%	
  
         EMEA	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                            Canada	
                                                                  3.0%	
                               2.0%	
  
         Employers	
  in	
  Western	
  Europe	
  and	
  the	
  U.K.	
  are	
  forecas:ng	
  the	
  lowest	
  salary	
  increases	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                            U.S.	
                                                                    3.0%	
                               1.5%	
  
         in	
  the	
  EMEA	
  region.	
  Similar	
  to	
  the	
  U.S.,	
  the	
  forecasts	
  are	
  in	
  the	
  3%	
  range,	
  and	
  also	
  
         reflect	
  the	
  shaky	
  economic	
  climate.	
  Employees	
  in	
  Central	
  and	
  Eastern	
  Europe	
  can	
  look	
                                                                          EMEA	
  
         forward	
  to	
  rela:vely	
  higher	
  pay	
  increases	
  in	
  2012,	
  averaging	
  5.7%	
  across	
  the	
  region.	
  In	
                                                                   U.K.	
                                                                    3.0%	
                               2.7%	
  
         the	
  Middle	
  East	
  and	
  Africa,	
  pay	
  increase	
  forecasts	
  are	
  healthy	
  but	
  not	
  strong	
  enough	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                            Western	
  Europe	
                                                       2.7%	
                               1.8%	
  
         to	
  keep	
  up	
  with	
  the	
  higher	
  infla:on	
  forecast	
  for	
  the	
  region,	
  although	
  there	
  is	
  
         significant	
  varia:on	
  among	
  countries	
  given	
  the	
  diverse	
  nature	
  of	
  their	
  economies.	
                                                                                   Eastern/Central	
  Europe	
                                               5.7%	
                               5.3%	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                            Middle	
  East	
  &	
  North	
  Africa	
                                  5.9%	
                               7.5%	
  
         APAC	
                                                                                                                                                                                             APAC	
  
         APAC	
  workers	
  can	
  expect	
  higher	
  salary	
  increases	
  in	
  general,	
  with	
  developing	
  countries	
                                                                           China	
                                                                   8.5%	
                               3.5%	
  
         such	
  as	
  India,	
  China	
  and	
  Vietnam	
  needing	
  to	
  hike	
  salaries	
  to	
  keep	
  pace	
  with	
  infla:on	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                            India	
                                                                  12.0%	
                               7.1%	
  
         and	
  to	
  ajract	
  talent	
  to	
  meet	
  rapidly	
  growing	
  markets.	
  The	
  excep:on	
  to	
  the	
  high	
  salary	
  
         forecast	
  	
  in	
  APAC	
  is	
  Japan,	
  where	
  companies	
  are	
  predic:ng	
  only	
  a	
  2.3%	
  increase	
  in	
                                                                      Japan	
                                                                   2.3%	
                              -­‐0.8%	
  
         2012.	
  Defla:on	
  in	
  the	
  country	
  will	
  help	
  to	
  offset	
  the	
  lower	
  wage	
  growth.	
                                                                                       APAC	
                                                                    6.3%	
                               2.7%	
  
         	
  
         	
  
         	
  
                Sources:	
  For	
  2012,	
  modest	
  salary	
  increases	
  with	
  regional	
  varia:ons,	
  SHRM,	
  10/03/11;	
  European	
  2012	
  employee	
  salary	
  increase	
  forecasts,	
  Mercer,	
  11/08/11;	
  Employees	
  in	
  Singapore	
  to	
  receive	
  the	
  highest	
  salary	
  increase	
  in	
  2012,	
  
         	
                                                                                                                                                                                   The	
  Asia	
  Career	
  Times,	
  12/02/11;	
  2011-­‐2012	
  Culpepper	
  Salary	
  Budget	
  Survey;	
  IHS	
  Global	
  Insight	
  

10	
  
Global Talent Market Quarterly


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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 TABLE OF CONTENTS



          GLOBAL	
  LEGISLATIVE	
  UPDATE	
  
          	
  
          Several	
  European	
  countries	
  have	
  approved	
  legisla>on	
  that	
  raises	
  the	
  re>rement	
  age,	
  in	
  an	
  effort	
  to	
  alleviate	
  pressure	
  on	
  the	
  pension	
  
          system;	
  in	
  Spain,	
  impending	
  labor	
  reforms	
  aim	
  to	
  alleviate	
  the	
  country’s	
  sky-­‐high	
  unemployment	
  rate.	
  In	
  Asian	
  countries,	
  the	
  focus	
  is	
  
          on	
  social	
  protec>ons	
  such	
  as	
  family	
  leave;	
  legisla>on	
  also	
  addresses	
  HR	
  issues	
  arising	
  from	
  natural	
  disasters.	
  Health	
  insurance	
  laws	
  
          remain	
  a	
  cri>cal	
  issue	
  not	
  only	
  in	
  the	
  U.S.,	
  but	
  also	
  in	
  diverse	
  countries	
  including	
  Chile	
  and	
  the	
  UAE.	
  

          	
  
     CANADA	
                                                                                                             NETHERLANDS,	
  ITALY,	
  UK	
  
     The	
  Canadian	
  government	
  	
  will	
  increase	
                                                              All	
  three	
  countries	
  have	
  approved	
  laws	
  that	
  would	
  
     the	
  number	
  of	
  skilled	
  foreign	
  workers	
                                                               raise	
  the	
  re:rement	
  age.	
  The	
  UK	
  pension	
  age	
  will	
  
     allowed	
  in	
  the	
  country	
  in	
  2012,	
  pursuant	
                                                         be	
  66	
  by	
  2020;	
  the	
  Dutch	
  pension	
  age	
  will	
  increase	
                                          SOUTH	
  KOREA	
  
     to	
  its	
  2012	
  Immigra:on	
  Levels	
  Plan.	
                                                                                                                                                                                          The	
  cabinet	
  has	
  approved	
  
                                                                                                                          to	
  age	
  66	
  in	
  2020	
  and	
  to	
  age	
  67	
  in	
  2025;	
  in	
  Italy,	
  
                                                                                                                          the	
  re:rement	
  age	
  will	
  increase	
  to	
  age	
  67	
  by	
  2026.	
                                          expansions	
  to	
  family	
  leave	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   en:tlements,	
  such	
  as	
  increased	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   paternity	
  leave	
  and	
  the	
  opportunity	
  
         UNITED	
  STATES	
                                                FRANCE	
                                                                                                                                                                for	
  parents	
  of	
  small	
  children	
  to	
  
         The	
  U.S.	
  Supreme	
  Court	
  is	
                           Pending	
  legisla:on	
  would	
  define	
  the	
  status	
                                                                                                              request	
  reduced	
  working	
  hours.	
  
         expected	
  to	
  review	
  the	
  	
                             of	
  telecommuters.	
  The	
  law	
  would	
  guarantee	
  
         Obama	
  administra:on’s	
                                        equal	
  employment	
  rights	
  to	
  telecommuters	
  
         healthcare	
  reform	
  law	
  and	
                              and	
  require	
  employers	
  to	
  assume	
  costs	
  that	
                                             THAILAND	
  	
  
         rule	
  on	
  the	
  legality	
  of	
  the	
                      directly	
  arise	
  from	
  telecommu:ng.	
                                                               In	
  response	
  to	
  recent	
                                                     TAIWAN	
  
         individual	
  mandate	
  provision	
                                                                                                                                         flooding	
  in	
  Thailand,	
                                                         Employers’	
  associa:ons	
  and	
  
         by	
  summer	
  2012.	
                                                                                                                                                      minimum	
  wage	
  increases	
  will	
                                               unions	
  have	
  reached	
  an	
  
                                                                                       SPAIN	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                      differ	
  regionally,	
  and	
  will	
                                                agreement	
  on	
  paid	
  leave	
  
                                                                                       In	
  February	
  2012,	
  the	
  Spanish	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                      come	
  into	
  effect	
  in	
  March	
                                               for	
  family	
  care	
  following	
  
                                                                                       government	
  plans	
  to	
  announce	
  labor	
  
                  CHILE	
                                                                                                                                                             (rather	
  than	
  January)	
  2012.	
                                               natural	
  disasters.	
  
                                                                                       reforms	
  that	
  would	
  lower	
  employment	
  
                  The	
  government	
  is	
  studying	
  
                                                                                       protec:on	
  and	
  increase	
  wage	
  flexibility.	
  
                  a	
  proposal	
  to	
  create	
  a	
  
                  guaranteed	
  health	
  
                  care	
  plan	
  and	
  to	
  eliminate	
                                                                            UAE	
  
                  discrimina:on	
  in	
  private	
                                                                                    The	
  Dubai	
  Health	
  Authority	
  is	
  postponing	
  the	
  
                  health	
  care	
  insurance.	
                                                                                      implementa:on	
  of	
  mandatory	
  health	
  care	
  
                                                                                                                                      insurance	
  for	
  all	
  workers	
  un:l	
  2013.	
  


                           Sources:	
  Aon	
  Hewij	
  Global	
  Legisla:ve	
  Developments	
  (October	
  –	
  November	
  2011);	
  	
  IHS	
  Global	
  Insight	
  Country	
  Intelligence,	
  Spain,	
  01/19/12;	
  What	
  Supreme	
  Court	
  ruling	
  could	
  mean	
  for	
  healthcare,	
  Reuters,	
  11/16/11	
  

11	
  
U.S. Labor Market Overview
                  FIRST QUARTER   l   2012
Global Talent Market Quarterly


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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      TABLE OF CONTENTS

          U.S.	
  EMPLOYMENT	
  CONDITIONS	
  
          	
  

          JOB	
  MARKET	
  GAINS	
  MOMENTUM	
                                           U.S.	
  MONTHLY	
  EMPLOYMENT	
  CHANGE	
  AND	
  UNEMPLOYMENT	
  RATE	
  
          The	
  U.S.	
  labor	
  market	
  showed	
  marked	
  	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Unemployment	
  Rate	
  (%)	
  
          improvement	
  at	
  the	
  end	
  of	
  2011,	
  with	
  




                                                                                     Employment	
  (000’s)	
  
                                                                                                                    600	
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  11	
  
          the	
  strong	
  performance	
  con:nuing	
  into	
                                                       300	
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  10	
  
          2012.	
  The	
  hiring	
  pace	
  averaged	
  more	
                                                        0	
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  9	
  
          than	
  180,000	
  a	
  month	
  from	
  September	
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             8	
  
                                                                                                                 -­‐300	
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  7	
  
          2011	
  to	
  January	
  2012,	
  more	
  than	
  
                                                                                                                 -­‐600	
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  6	
  
          double	
  the	
  job	
  crea:on	
  rate	
  seen	
  in	
  the	
  
          previous	
  four	
  months.	
  Overall,	
  U.S.	
                                                      -­‐900	
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  5	
  


                                                                                                                              Jan-­‐09	
  

                                                                                                                                               Apr-­‐09	
  

                                                                                                                                                              Jul-­‐09	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                            Jan-­‐10	
  

                                                                                                                                                                                                            Apr-­‐10	
  

                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Jul-­‐10	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Jan-­‐11	
  

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Apr-­‐11	
  

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Jul-­‐11	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Jan-­‐12	
  
                                                                                                                                                                             Oct-­‐09	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Oct-­‐10	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Oct-­‐11	
  
          employers	
  added	
  more	
  than	
  1.8	
  million	
  
          workers	
  in	
  2011,	
  the	
  best	
  performance	
  
          in	
  five	
  years.	
  
                                                                                                                                             Non-­‐Farm	
  Employment	
                                      Private-­‐Sector	
  Employment	
                                                 Unemployment	
  Rate	
  
          	
  
          UNEMPLOYMENT	
  IS	
  RECEDING	
  
                                                                                    EMPLOYMENT	
  OVERVIEW	
  
          The	
  U.S.	
  unemployment	
  rate	
  declined	
  
          for	
  the	
  fiXh	
  consecu:ve	
  month	
  in	
                                                                                                                                                                 JAN	
                            DEC	
                       NOV	
                       OCT	
                       SEPT	
  
          January	
  2012,	
  falling	
  to	
  a	
  nearly	
  three-­‐
          year	
  low	
  of	
  8.3%.	
  The	
  average	
  number	
  
                                                                                                 Total	
  non-­‐farm	
  employment	
  growth	
                                                                             243K	
                           203K	
                      157K	
                    112K	
                        202K	
  
          of	
  people	
  applying	
  for	
  jobless	
  benefits	
  
          has	
  also	
  declined	
  steadily	
  heading	
  into	
  
                                                                                                 Private	
  employment	
  growth	
                                                                                         257K	
                           220K	
                      178K	
                    139K	
                        216K	
  
          2012,	
  a	
  further	
  indica:on	
  that	
  the	
  labor	
  
          market	
  is	
  gaining	
  strength.	
  
                                                                                                 Unemployment	
  rate	
                                                                                                    8.3%	
                           8.5%	
                      8.7%	
                     8.9%	
                       9.0%	
  

          LABOR	
  MARKET	
  REMAINS	
  VULNERABLE	
  
          The	
  U.S.	
  labor	
  market	
  con:nues	
  to	
  take	
  posi:ve	
  steps,	
  as	
  companies	
  are	
  gaining	
  confidence	
  and	
  adding	
  workers	
  at	
  an	
  improving	
  pace.	
  	
  The	
  current	
  
          economic	
  forecast	
  is	
  expected	
  to	
  sustain	
  the	
  hiring	
  momentum	
  in	
  2012,	
  but	
  risks	
  including	
  the	
  Eurozone	
  crisis,	
  poli:cal	
  and	
  fiscal	
  uncertainty	
  on	
  the	
  
          domes:c	
  front,	
  and	
  a	
  possible	
  pullback	
  in	
  consumer	
  confidence	
  may	
  dampen	
  employment	
  growth	
  prospects.	
  	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                           Sources:	
  Bureau	
  of	
  Labor	
  Sta:s:cs;	
  US	
  job	
  market	
  ends	
  year	
  in	
  bejer	
  shape,	
  AP,	
  12/29/11	
  
13	
  
Global Talent Market Quarterly


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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       TABLE OF CONTENTS

         U.S.	
  LABOR	
  MARKET	
  -­‐	
  SUPPLY	
  AND	
  DEMAND	
  	
  



           DEMAND	
  GREW	
  IN	
  DECEMBER	
  2011	
  
           Online	
  adver:sed	
  job	
  vacancies	
  grew	
  in	
  December	
  2011,	
                                                               U.S.	
  MARKET	
  -­‐	
  MONTHLY	
  LABOR	
  DEMAND	
  VS.	
  LABOR	
  SUPPLY	
  
           reversing	
  the	
  downward	
  trend	
  in	
  demand	
  seen	
  since	
  May.	
  
           The	
  supply/demand	
  ra:o	
  has	
  been	
  stable	
  at	
  3.0-­‐3.5	
                                                        16,000	
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      8,000	
  
           throughout	
  the	
  year,	
  indica:ng	
  that	
  there	
  are	
  more	
  than	
  
           three	
  unemployed	
  workers	
  for	
  every	
  online	
  job	
  vacancy.	
  	
  
                                                                                                                                             14,000	
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      7,000	
  
           ALL	
  REGIONS	
  REPORT	
  DEMAND	
  GROWTH	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       No.	
  of	
  	
  Online	
  Job	
  Ads	
  	
  
                                                                                                                                             12,000	
  




                                                                                                           No.	
  of	
  Unemployed	
  	
  
           Demand	
  grew	
  in	
  each	
  of	
  the	
  four	
  regions	
  to	
  end	
  the	
  year.	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           6,000	
  
           The	
  Midwest	
  region	
  reported	
  the	
  largest	
  growth	
  in	
  online	
  




                                                                                                                   (in	
  000's)	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  (in	
  000's)	
  
           adver:sed	
  job	
  vacancies	
  in	
  December	
  2011,	
  followed	
                                                            10,000	
  
           closely	
  by	
  the	
  West.	
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 5,000	
  
                                                                                                                                              8,000	
  
           BLUE	
  COLLAR	
  REBOUND	
  	
  
           Although	
  the	
  number	
  of	
  workers	
  s:ll	
  exceeds	
  the	
  demand	
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                4,000	
  
                                                                                                                                              6,000	
  
           for	
  most	
  blue	
  collar	
  occupa:ons,	
  the	
  supply-­‐demand	
  
           situa:on	
  for	
  many	
  of	
  these	
  jobs	
  has	
  improved	
  
                                                                                                                                              4,000	
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      3,000	
  
           considerably.	
  Occupa:ons	
  in	
  the	
  construc:on,	
  produc:on,	
  
           and	
  transporta:on	
  categories	
  were	
  among	
  the	
  biggest	
  
           gainers	
  in	
  demand	
  in	
  2011.	
  Online	
  adver:sed	
  vacancies	
                                                       2,000	
                     Apr	
  08	
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      2,000	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Apr	
  09	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Apr	
  10	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Apr	
  11	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                           Oct	
  08	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Oct	
  09	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Oct	
  10	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Oct	
  11	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                          Jul	
  08	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Jul	
  09	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Jul	
  10	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Jul	
  11	
  
                                                                                                                                                          Jan	
  08	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Jan	
  09	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Jan	
  10	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Jan	
  11	
  
           grew	
  41%	
  for	
  construc:on	
  occupa:ons,	
  32%	
  for	
  
           transporta:on,	
  and	
  25%	
  for	
  produc:on	
  jobs	
  over	
  the	
  year.	
  

                                                                                                                                                                                                          #	
  of	
  unemployed	
  workers	
                                                                                                        #	
  of	
  online	
  ads	
  
           	
  
           	
  

           	
  


                                                                    “	
  The	
  December	
  increase	
  was	
  a	
  welcome	
  liX	
  for	
  labor	
  demand	
  aXer	
  a	
  lackluster	
  year.”	
  	
  
                                                                                          —	
  	
  Judy	
  Shelp,	
  Vice	
  President,	
  	
  The	
  Conference	
  Board,	
  January	
  4,	
  2012	
  


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Sources:	
  Conference	
  Board	
  Help	
  Wanted	
  OnLine,	
  Bureau	
  of	
  Labor	
  Sta:s:cs	
  
14	
  
Global Talent Market Quarterly


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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      TABLE OF CONTENTS



         U.S.	
  LABOR	
  MARKET	
  SPOTLIGHT:	
  2012	
  HIRING	
  OUTLOOK	
  
         	
  
     U.S.	
  EMPLOYERS	
  ARE	
  CAUTIOUSLY	
  OPTIMISTIC	
  ON	
  HIRING	
  IN	
  2012	
  
     According	
  to	
  a	
  recent	
  survey	
  by	
  CareerBuilder,	
  nearly	
  one	
  out	
  of	
  four	
  hiring	
               DOES	
  YOUR	
  COMPANY	
  PLAN	
  TO	
  INCREASE,	
  DECREASE,	
  OR	
  
     managers	
  plan	
  to	
  hire	
  full-­‐:me,	
  permanent	
  employees	
  in	
  2012.	
  Seven	
                               MAKE	
  NO	
  CHANGE	
  TO	
  ITS	
  NUMBER	
  OF	
  EMPLOYEES	
  IN	
  2012?	
  
     percent	
  expect	
  to	
  decrease	
  headcount	
  in	
  2012,	
  the	
  same	
  as	
  in	
  2011.	
  
     	
                                                                                                                                                         11%	
  
                                                                                                                                                                               23%	
                                                       Increase	
  	
  
     REGIONAL	
  HIRING	
  FORECASTS	
  ARE	
  A	
  MIXED	
  PICTURE	
  
     Employers	
  in	
  the	
  West	
  are	
  most	
  op:mis:c	
  in	
  their	
  plans	
  to	
  recruit	
  new	
                                                                                                                           Decrease	
  
     employees	
  in	
  2012,	
  followed	
  closely	
  by	
  the	
  South	
  and	
  Midwest.	
  However,	
                                                                              7%	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           No	
  change	
  
     the	
  West	
  also	
  has	
  the	
  highest	
  number	
  of	
  companies	
  planning	
  to	
  downsize	
                                                   59%	
  
     in	
  2012.	
  The	
  Northeast	
  shows	
  the	
  dimmest	
  hiring	
  outlook,	
  and	
  also	
  ranks	
                                                                                                                            Not	
  sure	
  
     second	
  highest	
  among	
  regions	
  in	
  plans	
  to	
  reduce	
  headcount	
  in	
  2012.	
  
     	
  
     VOLUNTARY	
  TURNOVER	
  IS	
  EXPECTED	
  TO	
  INCREASE	
  
     Around	
  a	
  third	
  of	
  employers	
  said	
  they	
  lost	
  top	
  performers	
  to	
  other	
                                       WHAT	
  WERE	
  THE	
  MOST	
  COMMON	
  REASONS	
  EMPLOYEES	
  
     organiza:ons	
  in	
  2011,	
  and	
  43%	
  indicated	
  they	
  are	
  concerned	
  top	
  talent	
                                          VOLUNTARILY	
  LEFT	
  YOUR	
  COMPANY	
  IN	
  2011?	
  
     may	
  leave	
  in	
  2012.	
  Employers	
  cited	
  the	
  desire	
  for	
  higher	
  compensa:on	
  and	
  
     feeling	
  overworked	
  as	
  the	
  top	
  two	
  reasons	
  employees	
  gave	
  for	
  resigning.	
                                 Higher	
  pay	
  somewhere	
  else	
                                                                          62%	
  
     	
  
                                                                                                                             Felt	
  overworked	
  -­‐	
  no	
  work/life	
  balance	
                                                 40%	
  
     COMPENSATION	
  IS	
  ON	
  THE	
  RISE	
  FOR	
  SKILLED	
  POSITIONS	
  	
                                                           Lack	
  of	
  career	
  advancement	
                                                     38%	
  
     Employers’	
  desire	
  to	
  retain	
  key	
  talent	
  is	
  reflected	
  in	
  salary	
  trends	
  for	
  2012:	
                Unhappy	
  with	
  company	
  culture	
                                                  31%	
  
     62%	
  of	
  employers	
  say	
  they	
  plan	
  to	
  increase	
  compensa:on	
  for	
  their	
  exis:ng	
                          Didn't	
  get	
  along	
  with	
  the	
  boss	
                              21%	
  
     workers	
  while	
  32%	
  say	
  they	
  will	
  offer	
  higher	
  star:ng	
  salaries	
  for	
  new	
  
                                                                                                                                                         Felt	
  underemployed	
                               13%	
  
     employees.	
  Sales	
  and	
  IT	
  are	
  the	
  two	
  func:onal	
  areas	
  that	
  are	
  expected	
  to	
  
                                                                                                                                                         Not	
  enough	
  training	
                          12%	
  
     see	
  the	
  greatest	
  pay	
  increases	
  in	
  2012.	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                Other	
                          16%	
  

                                                                                                                                                                                              0%	
           20%	
               40%	
           60%	
             80%	
  


                       “Barring	
  any	
  major	
  economic	
  upsets,	
  we	
  expect	
  2012	
  to	
  bring	
  a	
  bejer	
  hiring	
  picture	
  than	
  2011	
  especially	
  in	
  the	
  
                      second	
  half	
  of	
  the	
  year.	
  Many	
  companies	
  have	
  been	
  opera:ng	
  lean	
  and	
  have	
  already	
  pushed	
  produc:vity	
  limits.	
  
                      We’re	
  likely	
  to	
  see	
  gradual	
  improvements	
  in	
  hiring	
  across	
  categories	
  as	
  companies	
  respond	
  to	
  increased	
  market	
  
                                                                                                             demands.”	
  —	
  	
  Ma@	
  Ferguson,	
  CEO	
  of	
  CareerBuilder	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                       Source:	
  2012	
  Job	
  Forecast,	
  CareerBuilder,	
  January	
  2012	
  
15	
  
Workforce Solutions
   Industry Insight
          FIRST QUARTER   l   2012
Global Talent Market Quarterly


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               BACK TO
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               TABLE OF CONTENTS



         TALENT	
  SUPPLY	
  CHAIN	
  MANAGEMENT	
  
         	
  
         Managing	
  today’s	
  workforce	
  is	
  more	
  complicated	
  than	
  ever,	
  due	
  to	
  a	
  changing	
  economic	
  climate,	
  demographic	
  shijs,	
  rapidly	
  developing	
  
         technology,	
  and	
  the	
  increasingly	
  global	
  nature	
  of	
  business.	
  In	
  order	
  to	
  beser	
  navigate	
  today’s	
  complex	
  employment	
  environment,	
  more	
  
         companies	
  are	
  looking	
  into	
  a	
  total	
  talent	
  approach	
  that	
  encompasses	
  permanent	
  hiring	
  solu>ons	
  along	
  with	
  con>ngent	
  workforce	
  
         management	
  processes.	
  

         	
  
          EVOLUTION	
  OF	
  TALENT	
  MANAGEMENT	
  STRATEGIES	
                                                                Buyer	
  Adop>on	
  of	
  MSP	
  and	
  RPO	
  	
                                                                     Buyer	
  Adop>on	
  
          In	
  recent	
  years,	
  companies	
  have	
  increasingly	
  turned	
  to	
                                                                                                                                                          of	
  Blended	
  RPO/MSP	
  	
  
                                                                                                                                                               MSP	
                    RPO	
  
          managed	
  service	
  providers	
  (MSP)	
  to	
  manage	
  their	
                                       80%	
                                                                                      50%	
                                                                         Blended	
  
          con:ngent	
  workforces	
  and	
  to	
  recruitment	
  process	
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    RPO/	
  
          outsourcing	
  (RPO)	
  to	
  take	
  care	
  of	
  permanent	
  hiring.	
  	
                                                                                                                       40%	
                                                                           MSP	
  
                                                                                                                    60%	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               15%	
  
          Now,	
  the	
  marketplace	
  is	
  seeing	
  a	
  convergence	
  of	
  these	
                                                                                                                      30%	
  
                                                                                                              MSP	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                         RPO	
  
          two	
  workforce	
  management	
  strategies.	
  More	
  companies	
                                      40%	
  
          are	
  looking	
  for	
  a	
  holis:c	
  talent	
  acquisi:on	
  and	
                                                                                                                               20%	
                                           RPO	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Only	
  
          management	
  system	
  that	
  covers	
  all	
  types	
  of	
  labor	
  –	
  from	
                      20%	
                                                                                                                                      85%	
  
          permanent	
  hires	
  to	
  con:ngent	
  and	
  project-­‐based	
                                                                                                                                    10%	
  
          workers	
  –	
  and	
  they	
  want	
  a	
  single	
  service	
  provider	
  to	
                             0%	
                                                                                   0%	
  
          manage	
  it	
  all.	
  	
                                                                                                 2007	
              2009	
              2011	
          2013	
  (p)	
  
          	
  
                                                                                                                                  Based	
  on	
  findings	
  of	
  SIA’s	
  Con:ngent	
  Buyer	
  Survey.	
                          Based	
  on	
  255	
  RPO	
  deals	
  from	
  2007-­‐2010	
  for	
  
                                                                                                                                  MSP	
  usage	
  among	
  core	
  con:ngent	
  buyers.	
                                           which	
  type	
  of	
  hire	
  data	
  was	
  available	
  (Everest)	
  




                                                                                                                  “We	
  are	
  beginning	
  to	
  see	
  more	
  integra:on	
  of	
  both	
  MSP	
  and	
  RPO	
  
                                                                                                               within	
  our	
  clients,	
  merging	
  these	
  two	
  pieces	
  together	
  as	
  one	
  from	
  a	
  
                                                                                                               strategic	
  workforce	
  standpoint.	
  Companies	
  are	
  looking	
  more	
  now	
  at	
  
                                                                                                                          the	
  total	
  talent	
  supply	
  chain	
  than	
  at	
  different	
  silos	
  of	
  labor.”	
  	
  
                                                                                                                    —	
  Teresa	
  Carroll,	
  SVP,	
  Kelly	
  Outsourcing	
  and	
  ConsulFng	
  Group,	
  	
  
                                                                                                                                                                      in	
  HRO	
  Today	
  (November	
  2011)	
  

                                                                                  Sources:	
  Rise	
  of	
  Blended	
  RPO,	
  Everest	
  Group,	
  2011;	
  Staffing	
  Industry	
  Analysts	
  Con:ngent	
  Buyers	
  Survey	
  2011;	
  The	
  Total	
  Workforce,	
  HRO	
  Today,	
  November	
  2011	
  
17	
  
Global Talent Market Quarterly Q1 2012
Global Talent Market Quarterly Q1 2012
Global Talent Market Quarterly Q1 2012
Global Talent Market Quarterly Q1 2012
Global Talent Market Quarterly Q1 2012

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Global Talent Market Quarterly Q1 2012

  • 1. Global Talent Market Quarterly FIRST QUARTER l 2012
  • 2. Global Talent Market Quarterly CONTENTS 3 Global Economic Situation • Briefing • Outlook 6 Global Labor Market Update • Americas • EMEA • APAC • Global Labor Market Spotlight • Legislative Update 12 U.S. Labor Market Overview • Current Employment Conditions • Supply and Demand • Labor Market Spotlight 16 Workforce Solutions Industry Insight • Talent Supply Chain Management • Workforce Mobility • Kelly Webcast Series
  • 3. Global Economic Situation FIRST QUARTER l 2012
  • 4. Global Talent Market Quarterly BACK TO TABLE OF CONTENTS GLOBAL  ECONOMIC  BRIEFING     A  series  of  poli>cal,  environmental,  and  fiscal  issues  kept  global  economic  growth  muted  in  2011.  Con>nued  modest  growth  is  forecast  for   the  global  economy  in  2012,  with  the  ongoing  European  financial  crisis  represen>ng  a  key  risk.     AMERICAS   EMEA   APAC   Moderate  growth  of  2-­‐3%  is  forecast   The  ongoing  fiscal  crisis  is  expected  to  trigger  a   The  APAC  region  will  con>nue  to  lead  the   throughout  the  Americas  region  in  2012,   Eurozone  recession  in  2012,  dampening  global   world’s  economic  growth,  but  it  will  face   helped  by  the  U.S.  economy’s  posi>ve   and  regional  economic  prospects.   some  challenges  in  2012,  par>cularly  from  a   momentum.     weak  export  climate.   Eurozone   Canada   The  Eurozone  con:nues  to  confront  numerous   Japan   Economic  expansion  is  expected  to  con:nue  at   fiscal  challenges.  As  a  result,  few  of  the  region’s   Recovery  from  the  2011  natural  disasters   a  slow  pace  in  Canada  in  2012.  An  improving   economies  will  be  able  to  avoid  contrac:on  in   con:nues  on  an  accelera:ng,  if  uneven,  pace.   performance  in  the  U.S.  will  help  prop  up   the  first  part  of  2012,  with  minimal  growth  at   The  economy  is  expected  to  grow  nearly  3%  in   domes:c  business  and  consumer  op:mism.   best  expected  in  the  back  half  of  the  year.   2012—a  considerable  improvement  over  the   previous  year’s  contrac:on.   U.S.   U.K.   The  outlook  for  the  U.S.  economy  points  to   The  U.K  economy  is  expected  to  struggle  greatly   China   modest  growth  in  2012  as  business  and   over  the  next  few  months  in  the  face  of  low   China  s:ll  boasts  growth  rates  that  are  among   consumer  ac:vity  con:nues  on  a  gradually   consumer,  government,  and  business  spending   the  highest  in  the  world,  but  the  economy   improving  trend.    Risks    to  the  posi:ve  outlook   levels.  Slight  growth  will  return  in  the  second   slowed  in  2011.  Growth  is  expected  to  remain   include  the  Eurozone  debt  crisis,  and  poli:cal   half  of  2012,  with  the  Olympics  providing  a   soX  in  2012—well  below  the  10%  average  seen   and  fiscal  policy  issues.   much-­‐needed  boost.   in  the  past  decade.  Weak  export  and  domes:c   demand  are  the  main  challenges.   La>n  America   Central  and  Eastern  Europe   Despite  some  nega:ve  effects  from  global   Solid  economic  growth  in  the  CEE  region  is   India   economic  condi:ons,  the  region’s  economies   being  muted  by  spillover  from  the  Eurozone   Economic  growth  is  projected  to  stay  in  the  7%   are  forecast  to  grow  in  the  3%  range  in  2012.   crisis;  countries  are  looking  to  boost  domes:c   range  in  2012,  as  India  feels  the  effects  of   Countries  such  as  Brazil,  Mexico,  and  Peru  are   demand  to  support  their  momentum.   :ghter  fiscal  policies  and  the  shaky  global   enac:ng  monetary  and  fiscal  s:mulus   economic  climate.   Middle  East  and  North  Africa   measures  to  help  alleviate  the  impact  of   Australia   Poli:cal  turmoil  took  its  toll  on  the  region  in   slower  global  demand.   Healthy  economic  ac:vity  is  expected  to   2011,  but  modest  economic  growth  is  expected     to  resume  in  2012.   con:nue  in  2012,  with  growth  largely  driven  by       mining  sector  investment.       4     Sources:  IHS  Global  Insight  reports  (January  2012);  Japan  Revises  Down  GDP,  WSJ,  12/09/11;  GDP  Growth  Slows  Down  In  China,  WSJ,  01/18/12;  For  investors  Arab  Spring  dangers  remain,  Jerusalem  Post,  01/19/12    
  • 5. Global Talent Market Quarterly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`"" IJ!I"^7&1YK`"" /5=9<AM_&#DN;59& ,-..&]DL<G^& ,-.,&]EA5`G^& /O;97&& )B*#"/)$& "9F;7&& PA7W;4& IKbR" FKIR" /797F7& IKFR" IKJR" #=LL;7&& (G$G& !KcR" IKJR" PA7W;4&& *B*)& !A798D& !KfR" UJKZR" )=L<A74;7&& 3DA:79M& FKJR" JKIR" Z7E79&& "<74M& JKeR" U!KgR" #=LL;7& eKJR" FKZR" (G$G&& /012)0"/A-"/&1H59" (GXG& JKbR" JKFR" /797F7&& ^IJ!I"7&1YK`]"IKZR" *=A5W59D& !KgR" UJKZR" (GXG&& )Y)/& )=L<A74;7& IKJR" FK!R" 3DA:79M&& /O;97& bKIR" ZKbR" !A798D&& "9F;7& fKcR" ZKIR" Z7E79& UJKZR" IKbR" "<74M& )Y)/& eKgR" gKFR" S,T&S.T& -T& .T& ,T& 2T& aT& bT& ?T& cT& dT& eT& .-T& J0#@& FKJR" IKZR" 61>&(%]"[6"/012)0"[?*'895"&%71&5*"^_)?>)&@"IJ!I`" g"
  • 6. Global Labor Market Update FIRST QUARTER l 2012
  • 7. Global Talent Market Quarterly BACK TO TABLE OF CONTENTS GLOBAL  LABOR  MARKET  UPDATE:  AMERICAS     U.S.  hiring  climate  has  improved  heading  into  2012,  an  encouraging  sign  for  regional  employment  prospects.  The  near-­‐term  outlook   The   shows  unemployment  remaining  stable  or  improving  modestly  in  most  of  the  Americas,  but  uncertainty  arising  from  the  cooler  global   economic  climate  will  keep  employment  gains  subdued.     UNITED  STATES   BRAZIL   CANADA   MEXICO   Employment  trends  in  the  U.S.   The  Brazilian  economy  con:nues   Canada  saw  healthy  employment   The  Mexican  unemployment  rate   picked  up  in  the  last  part  of  2011,   to  create  jobs,  albeit  at  a  slightly   growth  of  1.2%  in  2011,    with  the   remained  over  5%  in  2011—a   with  the  economy  adding  jobs  at   lower  rate  when  compared  to   economy  adding  nearly  200,000   somewhat  elevated  level   a  healthy  pace  and  the   prior  years.  The  labor  market   jobs.  Recent  labor  force  figures   compared  to  its  historical   unemployment  rate  falling  to   outlook  is  encouraging,  with  the   have  shown  weaker  job  gains   average  of  around  4%  —but   8.5%  in  December.  Moderate   largest  risks  coming  from   and  a  stagnant  unemployment   formal  job  crea:on  con:nued  at   hiring  ac:vity  is  expected  to   decelera:ng  global  economic   rate,  however,  sugges:ng  that   a  healthy  pace.  The  labor  market   con:nue  in  2012,  as  the   condi:ons  and  the  possibility  of   the  country’s  strong  labor   is  expected  to  remain  rela:vely   economy  improves  and  business   domes:c  infla:on.   market  may  be  losing  some   resilient  in  2012  in  light  of  stable   confidence  remains  posi:ve.     momentum  heading  into  2012.       U.S.  export  demand.     Average  Annual  Unemployment  Rate   10%   8%   9.0%   8.8%   7.4%   7.2%   6%   6.3%   6.2%   2011   5.3%   4%   4.8%   2012  (p)   2%   0%   U.S.   Brazil   Canada   Mexico   Sources:  IHS  Global  Insight  reports  (January  2012);  RBC  Economic  Forecast,  December  2011;  Congressional  Budget  Office  Economic  Outlook,  January  2012;  Sta:s:cs  Canada;  Brazil  cuts  growth  view,  jobless  rate  falls,  Reuters,   12/22/11;  Canada  adds  jobs  in  December,  but  jobless  rate  up,  Reuters,  01/06/12;  US  job  market  ends  year  in  bejer  shape,  AP,  12/29/11   7  
  • 8. Global Talent Market Quarterly BACK TO TABLE OF CONTENTS GLOBAL  LABOR  MARKET  UPDATE:  EMEA     The  ongoing  economic  crisis  in  the  Eurozone  is  affec>ng  employment  levels  in  the  EMEA  region  and  throughout  the  rest  of  the  world.     European  companies  are  under  pressure  to  keep  their  labor  forces  as  >ght  as  possible,  and  will  be  reluctant  to  take  on  more  workers  un>l   the  economic  situa>on  improves  considerably.  In  addi>on,  public  sector  employment  con>nues  to  fall  due  to  ongoing  government     austerity  measures.  Germany  and  Russia  are  among  the  EMEA  countries  that  have  remained  rela>vely  immune  to  the  labor  market  malaise.   GERMANY   FRANCE   UNITED  KINGDOM   RUSSIA   Germany’s  labor  market  has   Labor  market  condi:ons   Unemployment  is  expected  to   Unemployment  in  Russia    fell   been  remarkably  resilient  in  the   worsened    in  the  last  part  of   con:nue  to  rise  in  the  U.K.  in   significantly  in  2011  as  high   face  of  the  economic  crisis.   2011,  and  lijle  relief  is  expected   2012.  Job  losses  are  forecast  in   demand  for  energy  exports  drove   Employment  reached  a  record   in  2012.  Concerns  about  the   both  the  public  and  private   economic  growth.  The   high  in  2011,  and  is  expected  to   economic  outlook  are  severely   sectors,  as  austerity  measures   employment  situa:on  is   remain  stable  in  2012  despite  the   curtailing  private  companies'   and  lowered  business  confidence   expected  to  remain  on  a  posi:ve   region’s  challenges.     hiring  ac:vity,  and  the  public   combine  to  create  a  bleak   trend  in  2012.       sector  con:nues  to  shed  jobs.   employment  outlook.     ITALY   Demand  for  labor  soXened  in  the   Average  Annual  Unemployment  Rate   last  part  of  2011  as  the  Italian   economy  slid  towards  recession.   Unemployment  is  expected  to   10%   intensify  in  2012  as  the  Italian   9.7%   9.8%   government’s  short-­‐term  work   8%   8.8%   9.1%   8.1%   8.3%   scheme  is  scaled  back  and  the   6%   7.1%   7.2%   economy  con:nues  to  shrink.   6.5%   5.7%   2011   4%   2012  (p)   2%   0%   Germany   France   U.K.   Russia   Italy   Sources:  IHS  Global  Insight  reports  (January  2012);  Record  number  of  Germans  in  work  in  2011,  Agence  France  Presse,  01/02/12;  Unemployment  In  U.K.  Hits  17-­‐Year  High,  WSJ  Europe,  01/19/12;  Italy  Jobless  Rate  Hits  New  High  ,  WSJ,   01/05/12   8    
  • 9. Global Talent Market Quarterly BACK TO TABLE OF CONTENTS GLOBAL  LABOR  MARKET  UPDATE:  APAC     APAC’s  labor  markets  appear  to  be  holding  steady  in  2012,  ajer  facing  numerous  challenges  –  par>cularly  from  natural  disasters  –  in  2011.   Post-­‐disaster  reconstruc>on  will  boost  investment  spending  in  2012,  but  private  sector  hiring  will  be  somewhat  moderate  –  par>cularly  in   countries  with  high  exposure  to  export  demand  –    as  companies  remain  cau>ous  as  a  result  of  the  Eurozone  economic  condi>ons.       CHINA   JAPAN   INDIA   AUSTRALIA   In  2011,  China’s  unemployment   Employment  condi:ons  are   The  Indian  job  market  is   Australia’s  job  market  remains   rate  remained  at  4.1%  and  around   recovering  at  a  very  moderate   expected  to  see  posi:ve  but   stable,  with  a  steady  outlook.   12  million  new  jobs  were  created,   pace,  with  the  unemployment   somewhat  subdued  hiring   Weak  consumer  spending  and   similar  to  2010.  The  government   rate  hovering  at  around  4.5%.   ac:vity  in  2012.  Employers  are   fears  of  a  poten:al  global   will  con:nue  proac:ve  policies  to   Sectors  such  as  construc:on  and   embracing  a  cau:ously  op:mis:c   economic  slowdown  are  crea:ng   boost  employment  in  2012;  jobs   healthcare  are  showing  the   approach  as  they  predict   lower  worker  demand  in  areas   for  new  college  graduates  and   greatest  job  gains  while   rela:vely  bejer  hiring  plans   such  as  tourism,  retail  and   encouraging  small  business   manufacturing  employment   despite  a  climate  of  economic   manufacturing,  but  hiring  in  the   crea:on  are  key  priori:es.   con:nues  to  drop.   uncertainty.   mining  industry  is  s:ll  strong.         Average  Annual  Unemployment  Rate     10%   9.6%   9.7%   8%   2011   6%   5.1%   5.2%   2012  (p)   4%   4.5%   4.4%   4.1%   4.1%   2%   0%   Japan   China   India   Australia   Sources:  IHS  Global  Insight  reports  (January  2012);  Australia  Loses  Jobs  Despite  Steady  Rate,  WSJ,  01/19/12;  Slow  hiring  but  double-­‐digit  pay  hikes  forecast  in  India,  Asia  Pulse,  12/27/11;  Japan's  unemployment  rate  in  Nov.  unchanged  at  4.5%,   Kyodo  News,  12/27/11;  China’s  urban  jobless  rate  at  4.1%  in  2011,  China  Informa:on  Daily,  01/30/12   9
  • 10. Global Talent Market Quarterly BACK TO TABLE OF CONTENTS GLOBAL  LABOR  MARKET  SPOTLIGHT:  WAGE  TRENDS     ongoing  concern  about  the  health  of  the  global  economy  is  keeping  salary  increases  in  check  in  most  developed  countries.  However,   An   the  need  to  keep  up  with  rising  infla>on  and  skilled  talent  shortages  are  giving  rise  to  greater  wage  increases  in  emerging  markets,   par>cularly  in  La>n  America  and  APAC.     AMERICAS       Salary  increases  in  the  U.S.  and  Canada  are  projected  to  remain  in  the  3%  range  in   Projected  Salary  Increases  and  Infla>on  Rates     2012,  as  companies  remain  very  anxious  to  control  costs  in  light  of  an  uncertain   Select  Markets  2012   economic  environment.  Employees  in  La:n  America,  however,  are  set  to  see  larger   salary  hikes,  due  in  part  to  much  higher  infla:on  rates.  Companies  in  Argen:na,  for   Avg.  Salary   Country/  Region   Infla>on  Rate   example,  are  forecas:ng  a  20%  pay  increase  for  workers;  aXer  accoun:ng  for   Increase   infla:on,  the  real  wage  increase  is  s:ll  more  than  8%.   AMERICAS   La>n  America   6.3%   6.2%   EMEA   Canada   3.0%   2.0%   Employers  in  Western  Europe  and  the  U.K.  are  forecas:ng  the  lowest  salary  increases   U.S.   3.0%   1.5%   in  the  EMEA  region.  Similar  to  the  U.S.,  the  forecasts  are  in  the  3%  range,  and  also   reflect  the  shaky  economic  climate.  Employees  in  Central  and  Eastern  Europe  can  look   EMEA   forward  to  rela:vely  higher  pay  increases  in  2012,  averaging  5.7%  across  the  region.  In   U.K.   3.0%   2.7%   the  Middle  East  and  Africa,  pay  increase  forecasts  are  healthy  but  not  strong  enough   Western  Europe   2.7%   1.8%   to  keep  up  with  the  higher  infla:on  forecast  for  the  region,  although  there  is   significant  varia:on  among  countries  given  the  diverse  nature  of  their  economies.   Eastern/Central  Europe   5.7%   5.3%   Middle  East  &  North  Africa   5.9%   7.5%   APAC   APAC   APAC  workers  can  expect  higher  salary  increases  in  general,  with  developing  countries   China   8.5%   3.5%   such  as  India,  China  and  Vietnam  needing  to  hike  salaries  to  keep  pace  with  infla:on   India   12.0%   7.1%   and  to  ajract  talent  to  meet  rapidly  growing  markets.  The  excep:on  to  the  high  salary   forecast    in  APAC  is  Japan,  where  companies  are  predic:ng  only  a  2.3%  increase  in   Japan   2.3%   -­‐0.8%   2012.  Defla:on  in  the  country  will  help  to  offset  the  lower  wage  growth.   APAC   6.3%   2.7%         Sources:  For  2012,  modest  salary  increases  with  regional  varia:ons,  SHRM,  10/03/11;  European  2012  employee  salary  increase  forecasts,  Mercer,  11/08/11;  Employees  in  Singapore  to  receive  the  highest  salary  increase  in  2012,     The  Asia  Career  Times,  12/02/11;  2011-­‐2012  Culpepper  Salary  Budget  Survey;  IHS  Global  Insight   10  
  • 11. Global Talent Market Quarterly BACK TO TABLE OF CONTENTS GLOBAL  LEGISLATIVE  UPDATE     Several  European  countries  have  approved  legisla>on  that  raises  the  re>rement  age,  in  an  effort  to  alleviate  pressure  on  the  pension   system;  in  Spain,  impending  labor  reforms  aim  to  alleviate  the  country’s  sky-­‐high  unemployment  rate.  In  Asian  countries,  the  focus  is   on  social  protec>ons  such  as  family  leave;  legisla>on  also  addresses  HR  issues  arising  from  natural  disasters.  Health  insurance  laws   remain  a  cri>cal  issue  not  only  in  the  U.S.,  but  also  in  diverse  countries  including  Chile  and  the  UAE.     CANADA   NETHERLANDS,  ITALY,  UK   The  Canadian  government    will  increase   All  three  countries  have  approved  laws  that  would   the  number  of  skilled  foreign  workers   raise  the  re:rement  age.  The  UK  pension  age  will   allowed  in  the  country  in  2012,  pursuant   be  66  by  2020;  the  Dutch  pension  age  will  increase   SOUTH  KOREA   to  its  2012  Immigra:on  Levels  Plan.   The  cabinet  has  approved   to  age  66  in  2020  and  to  age  67  in  2025;  in  Italy,   the  re:rement  age  will  increase  to  age  67  by  2026.   expansions  to  family  leave   en:tlements,  such  as  increased   paternity  leave  and  the  opportunity   UNITED  STATES   FRANCE   for  parents  of  small  children  to   The  U.S.  Supreme  Court  is   Pending  legisla:on  would  define  the  status   request  reduced  working  hours.   expected  to  review  the     of  telecommuters.  The  law  would  guarantee   Obama  administra:on’s   equal  employment  rights  to  telecommuters   healthcare  reform  law  and   and  require  employers  to  assume  costs  that   THAILAND     rule  on  the  legality  of  the   directly  arise  from  telecommu:ng.   In  response  to  recent   TAIWAN   individual  mandate  provision   flooding  in  Thailand,   Employers’  associa:ons  and   by  summer  2012.   minimum  wage  increases  will   unions  have  reached  an   SPAIN   differ  regionally,  and  will   agreement  on  paid  leave   In  February  2012,  the  Spanish   come  into  effect  in  March   for  family  care  following   government  plans  to  announce  labor   CHILE   (rather  than  January)  2012.   natural  disasters.   reforms  that  would  lower  employment   The  government  is  studying   protec:on  and  increase  wage  flexibility.   a  proposal  to  create  a   guaranteed  health   care  plan  and  to  eliminate   UAE   discrimina:on  in  private   The  Dubai  Health  Authority  is  postponing  the   health  care  insurance.   implementa:on  of  mandatory  health  care   insurance  for  all  workers  un:l  2013.   Sources:  Aon  Hewij  Global  Legisla:ve  Developments  (October  –  November  2011);    IHS  Global  Insight  Country  Intelligence,  Spain,  01/19/12;  What  Supreme  Court  ruling  could  mean  for  healthcare,  Reuters,  11/16/11   11  
  • 12. U.S. Labor Market Overview FIRST QUARTER l 2012
  • 13. Global Talent Market Quarterly BACK TO TABLE OF CONTENTS U.S.  EMPLOYMENT  CONDITIONS     JOB  MARKET  GAINS  MOMENTUM   U.S.  MONTHLY  EMPLOYMENT  CHANGE  AND  UNEMPLOYMENT  RATE   The  U.S.  labor  market  showed  marked     Unemployment  Rate  (%)   improvement  at  the  end  of  2011,  with   Employment  (000’s)   600   11   the  strong  performance  con:nuing  into   300   10   2012.  The  hiring  pace  averaged  more   0   9   than  180,000  a  month  from  September   8   -­‐300   7   2011  to  January  2012,  more  than   -­‐600   6   double  the  job  crea:on  rate  seen  in  the   previous  four  months.  Overall,  U.S.   -­‐900   5   Jan-­‐09   Apr-­‐09   Jul-­‐09   Jan-­‐10   Apr-­‐10   Jul-­‐10   Jan-­‐11   Apr-­‐11   Jul-­‐11   Jan-­‐12   Oct-­‐09   Oct-­‐10   Oct-­‐11   employers  added  more  than  1.8  million   workers  in  2011,  the  best  performance   in  five  years.   Non-­‐Farm  Employment   Private-­‐Sector  Employment   Unemployment  Rate     UNEMPLOYMENT  IS  RECEDING   EMPLOYMENT  OVERVIEW   The  U.S.  unemployment  rate  declined   for  the  fiXh  consecu:ve  month  in   JAN   DEC   NOV   OCT   SEPT   January  2012,  falling  to  a  nearly  three-­‐ year  low  of  8.3%.  The  average  number   Total  non-­‐farm  employment  growth   243K   203K   157K   112K   202K   of  people  applying  for  jobless  benefits   has  also  declined  steadily  heading  into   Private  employment  growth   257K   220K   178K   139K   216K   2012,  a  further  indica:on  that  the  labor   market  is  gaining  strength.   Unemployment  rate   8.3%   8.5%   8.7%   8.9%   9.0%   LABOR  MARKET  REMAINS  VULNERABLE   The  U.S.  labor  market  con:nues  to  take  posi:ve  steps,  as  companies  are  gaining  confidence  and  adding  workers  at  an  improving  pace.    The  current   economic  forecast  is  expected  to  sustain  the  hiring  momentum  in  2012,  but  risks  including  the  Eurozone  crisis,  poli:cal  and  fiscal  uncertainty  on  the   domes:c  front,  and  a  possible  pullback  in  consumer  confidence  may  dampen  employment  growth  prospects.     Sources:  Bureau  of  Labor  Sta:s:cs;  US  job  market  ends  year  in  bejer  shape,  AP,  12/29/11   13  
  • 14. Global Talent Market Quarterly BACK TO TABLE OF CONTENTS U.S.  LABOR  MARKET  -­‐  SUPPLY  AND  DEMAND     DEMAND  GREW  IN  DECEMBER  2011   Online  adver:sed  job  vacancies  grew  in  December  2011,   U.S.  MARKET  -­‐  MONTHLY  LABOR  DEMAND  VS.  LABOR  SUPPLY   reversing  the  downward  trend  in  demand  seen  since  May.   The  supply/demand  ra:o  has  been  stable  at  3.0-­‐3.5   16,000   8,000   throughout  the  year,  indica:ng  that  there  are  more  than   three  unemployed  workers  for  every  online  job  vacancy.     14,000   7,000   ALL  REGIONS  REPORT  DEMAND  GROWTH   No.  of    Online  Job  Ads     12,000   No.  of  Unemployed     Demand  grew  in  each  of  the  four  regions  to  end  the  year.   6,000   The  Midwest  region  reported  the  largest  growth  in  online   (in  000's)   (in  000's)   adver:sed  job  vacancies  in  December  2011,  followed   10,000   closely  by  the  West.   5,000   8,000   BLUE  COLLAR  REBOUND     Although  the  number  of  workers  s:ll  exceeds  the  demand   4,000   6,000   for  most  blue  collar  occupa:ons,  the  supply-­‐demand   situa:on  for  many  of  these  jobs  has  improved   4,000   3,000   considerably.  Occupa:ons  in  the  construc:on,  produc:on,   and  transporta:on  categories  were  among  the  biggest   gainers  in  demand  in  2011.  Online  adver:sed  vacancies   2,000   Apr  08   2,000   Apr  09   Apr  10   Apr  11   Oct  08   Oct  09   Oct  10   Oct  11   Jul  08   Jul  09   Jul  10   Jul  11   Jan  08   Jan  09   Jan  10   Jan  11   grew  41%  for  construc:on  occupa:ons,  32%  for   transporta:on,  and  25%  for  produc:on  jobs  over  the  year.   #  of  unemployed  workers   #  of  online  ads         “  The  December  increase  was  a  welcome  liX  for  labor  demand  aXer  a  lackluster  year.”     —    Judy  Shelp,  Vice  President,    The  Conference  Board,  January  4,  2012   Sources:  Conference  Board  Help  Wanted  OnLine,  Bureau  of  Labor  Sta:s:cs   14  
  • 15. Global Talent Market Quarterly BACK TO TABLE OF CONTENTS U.S.  LABOR  MARKET  SPOTLIGHT:  2012  HIRING  OUTLOOK     U.S.  EMPLOYERS  ARE  CAUTIOUSLY  OPTIMISTIC  ON  HIRING  IN  2012   According  to  a  recent  survey  by  CareerBuilder,  nearly  one  out  of  four  hiring   DOES  YOUR  COMPANY  PLAN  TO  INCREASE,  DECREASE,  OR   managers  plan  to  hire  full-­‐:me,  permanent  employees  in  2012.  Seven   MAKE  NO  CHANGE  TO  ITS  NUMBER  OF  EMPLOYEES  IN  2012?   percent  expect  to  decrease  headcount  in  2012,  the  same  as  in  2011.     11%   23%   Increase     REGIONAL  HIRING  FORECASTS  ARE  A  MIXED  PICTURE   Employers  in  the  West  are  most  op:mis:c  in  their  plans  to  recruit  new   Decrease   employees  in  2012,  followed  closely  by  the  South  and  Midwest.  However,   7%   No  change   the  West  also  has  the  highest  number  of  companies  planning  to  downsize   59%   in  2012.  The  Northeast  shows  the  dimmest  hiring  outlook,  and  also  ranks   Not  sure   second  highest  among  regions  in  plans  to  reduce  headcount  in  2012.     VOLUNTARY  TURNOVER  IS  EXPECTED  TO  INCREASE   Around  a  third  of  employers  said  they  lost  top  performers  to  other   WHAT  WERE  THE  MOST  COMMON  REASONS  EMPLOYEES   organiza:ons  in  2011,  and  43%  indicated  they  are  concerned  top  talent   VOLUNTARILY  LEFT  YOUR  COMPANY  IN  2011?   may  leave  in  2012.  Employers  cited  the  desire  for  higher  compensa:on  and   feeling  overworked  as  the  top  two  reasons  employees  gave  for  resigning.   Higher  pay  somewhere  else   62%     Felt  overworked  -­‐  no  work/life  balance   40%   COMPENSATION  IS  ON  THE  RISE  FOR  SKILLED  POSITIONS     Lack  of  career  advancement   38%   Employers’  desire  to  retain  key  talent  is  reflected  in  salary  trends  for  2012:   Unhappy  with  company  culture   31%   62%  of  employers  say  they  plan  to  increase  compensa:on  for  their  exis:ng   Didn't  get  along  with  the  boss   21%   workers  while  32%  say  they  will  offer  higher  star:ng  salaries  for  new   Felt  underemployed   13%   employees.  Sales  and  IT  are  the  two  func:onal  areas  that  are  expected  to   Not  enough  training   12%   see  the  greatest  pay  increases  in  2012.   Other   16%   0%   20%   40%   60%   80%   “Barring  any  major  economic  upsets,  we  expect  2012  to  bring  a  bejer  hiring  picture  than  2011  especially  in  the   second  half  of  the  year.  Many  companies  have  been  opera:ng  lean  and  have  already  pushed  produc:vity  limits.   We’re  likely  to  see  gradual  improvements  in  hiring  across  categories  as  companies  respond  to  increased  market   demands.”  —    Ma@  Ferguson,  CEO  of  CareerBuilder   Source:  2012  Job  Forecast,  CareerBuilder,  January  2012   15  
  • 16. Workforce Solutions Industry Insight FIRST QUARTER l 2012
  • 17. Global Talent Market Quarterly BACK TO TABLE OF CONTENTS TALENT  SUPPLY  CHAIN  MANAGEMENT     Managing  today’s  workforce  is  more  complicated  than  ever,  due  to  a  changing  economic  climate,  demographic  shijs,  rapidly  developing   technology,  and  the  increasingly  global  nature  of  business.  In  order  to  beser  navigate  today’s  complex  employment  environment,  more   companies  are  looking  into  a  total  talent  approach  that  encompasses  permanent  hiring  solu>ons  along  with  con>ngent  workforce   management  processes.     EVOLUTION  OF  TALENT  MANAGEMENT  STRATEGIES   Buyer  Adop>on  of  MSP  and  RPO     Buyer  Adop>on   In  recent  years,  companies  have  increasingly  turned  to   of  Blended  RPO/MSP     MSP   RPO   managed  service  providers  (MSP)  to  manage  their   80%   50%   Blended   con:ngent  workforces  and  to  recruitment  process   RPO/   outsourcing  (RPO)  to  take  care  of  permanent  hiring.     40%   MSP   60%   15%   Now,  the  marketplace  is  seeing  a  convergence  of  these   30%   MSP   RPO   two  workforce  management  strategies.  More  companies   40%   are  looking  for  a  holis:c  talent  acquisi:on  and   20%   RPO   Only   management  system  that  covers  all  types  of  labor  –  from   20%   85%   permanent  hires  to  con:ngent  and  project-­‐based   10%   workers  –  and  they  want  a  single  service  provider  to   0%   0%   manage  it  all.     2007   2009   2011   2013  (p)     Based  on  findings  of  SIA’s  Con:ngent  Buyer  Survey.   Based  on  255  RPO  deals  from  2007-­‐2010  for   MSP  usage  among  core  con:ngent  buyers.   which  type  of  hire  data  was  available  (Everest)   “We  are  beginning  to  see  more  integra:on  of  both  MSP  and  RPO   within  our  clients,  merging  these  two  pieces  together  as  one  from  a   strategic  workforce  standpoint.  Companies  are  looking  more  now  at   the  total  talent  supply  chain  than  at  different  silos  of  labor.”     —  Teresa  Carroll,  SVP,  Kelly  Outsourcing  and  ConsulFng  Group,     in  HRO  Today  (November  2011)   Sources:  Rise  of  Blended  RPO,  Everest  Group,  2011;  Staffing  Industry  Analysts  Con:ngent  Buyers  Survey  2011;  The  Total  Workforce,  HRO  Today,  November  2011   17