Keynote - Rapid 2008

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Past progress has lead to future promises of dramatic growth in 3D scanning and direct digital manufacturing. Is this a realistic vision or a distant dream? What changes must occur to make this technological fact instead of science fiction? Who will be affected and how? Will the change be evolutionary or revolutionary?
Leveraging the past and building on the present, these questions are investigated to reveal the impact, opportunity and challenge of change in 3D scanning and direct digital manufacturing.

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Keynote - Rapid 2008

  1. 1. Todd Grimm T. A. Grimm & Associates, Inc. www.tagrimm.com
  2. 2. Progress & Promise
  3. 3. Something For All <ul><li>Champion </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Encouragement </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Skeptic </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Evidence </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Majority </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Enlightenment </li></ul></ul>
  4. 4. Deficiencies <ul><li>Hundreds of valid reasons </li></ul><ul><ul><li>DDM </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>3D Scanning </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Compared to what? </li></ul><ul><ul><li>What process? </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Key criteria? </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Uncommon advantage </li></ul></ul>
  5. 5. Revolution <ul><li>Next industrial revolution? </li></ul><ul><li>Progress </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Evolutionary </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Limited use; room for growth </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Revolution – transformation </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Impossible & Impractical </li></ul></ul>
  6. 6. Hype Cycle Source: Gartner Consulting
  7. 7. Hype Cycle 3D Scanning DDM Source: Gartner Consulting
  8. 8. Resistance <ul><li>The “Resistance” is in place </li></ul><ul><li>Many faces </li></ul><ul><ul><li>“ I have met the enemy, and he is us.” Pogo </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Greatest barrier </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Resistance to change </li></ul></ul>
  9. 9. Outcome & Impact <ul><li>Widespread </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Change is inherent </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Concern/fear natural </li></ul></ul><ul><li>New opportunity </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Constraints removed </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Rules rewritten </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Replacement? </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Alternative? </li></ul></ul>
  10. 10. Alternative Thinking <ul><li>Don’t replace </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Opposition </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Leverage difference </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>New possibilities </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Substitution </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Greater resistance </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Smaller gains </li></ul></ul>
  11. 11. Alternatives <ul><li>Opposition </li></ul><ul><ul><li>1/3 of cost and time </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>“ Yeah, but…” </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Unexpected gains </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Faster, cheaper </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>“ Yeah, but…” </li></ul></ul>
  12. 12. Alternatives <ul><li>Cost avoidance </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Increase viability </li></ul></ul><ul><li>DDM </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Sheet metal to plastic </li></ul></ul><ul><li>3D Scanning </li></ul><ul><ul><li>GD&T inspection in design </li></ul></ul>
  13. 13. Breadth & Scope <ul><li>Beyond manufacturing </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Medical, dental, apparel </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Gaming, science, forensics, architecture </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Broad reach; shallow depth </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Perception skewed </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Easier to disregard </li></ul></ul>
  14. 14. Breadth & Scope <ul><li>Many options </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Too many choices </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Processes </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Many technologies </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Hard to characterize </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Difficult to quantify </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Often paralyze </li></ul></ul>
  15. 15. Necessary Change <ul><li>Technology </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Advances in hardware </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Advances in software </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Advances in materials </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Improvements in throughput </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Improvements in cost </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Yet, viable today. </li></ul>
  16. 16. Necessary Change <ul><li>Information/education </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Eradicate myths </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Develop standards </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Advance the art/science </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Ignorance  lost opportunities </li></ul>
  17. 17. Necessary Change <ul><li>Status quo </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Religion, tradition, superstition </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Greatest hurdle </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Resistance to change </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Within: </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Ourselves </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Our peers </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Our management </li></ul></ul>
  18. 18. Learn to Walk <ul><li>Realistic 1 st attempts </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Avoid mission critical </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Seek low risk </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Jigs & fixtures </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Legacy parts </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Persevere </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Limits/set backs </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Learning experiences </li></ul></ul>
  19. 19. New Wave of Manufacturing <ul><li>RAPID conference theme </li></ul><ul><ul><li>How big…unknown </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Personal decision </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Bob, dive or ride </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Revolution, transformation </li></ul><ul><ul><li>(Im)possible & (im)practical </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Fact, not fiction </li></ul>
  20. 20. Progress & Promise <ul><li>No roadmap, timeline </li></ul><ul><li>Success </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Flexible, adaptable </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Receptive </li></ul></ul><ul><li>“ Luck is what happens when preparation meets opportunity.” Seneca </li></ul>
  21. 21. Progress & Promise Todd Grimm T. A. Grimm & Associates, Inc. Edgewood, KY USA 859-331-5340 www.tagrimm.com [email_address]

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