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Can Oil Prices Stay Low
Forever?
Oil Prices Are in Freefall Once Again
In August, oil prices fell below $40 per barrel for
the first time since 2009. U.S. ...
U.S. Shale may be cheaper than we thought
• Analysts once thought that oil would have
to remain above $70 per barrel to ke...
OPEC Can’t Give In
OPEC will lose an estimated $257 billion in 2015
because of low oil prices and it makes short-term
econ...
Can OPEC Kill the Oil Boom?
The question is: Can OPEC succeed at slowing the U.S.
shale, ultra-deepwater drilling, and arc...
Demand is a Problem Too
Oversupply is a problem.
But demand for oil might be, too...
China Is a Big Problem for Oil Markets
U.S. and E.U. oil consumption is on a decade-long decline.
The market is relying on...
U.S. Consumers to the Rescue?
After declining for nearly a decade, U.S. oil consumption has
risen 3.8% in the past six mon...
Who Will Blink First?
For oil prices to rise, someone has to blink. Will it be:
A: OPEC
B: U.S. shale oil producers
C: The...
The next billion-dollar iSecret
The world's biggest tech company forgot to show you something at
its recent event, but a f...
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Will Oil Prices Ever Pop?

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Oil prices have plunged to below $40 per barrel and there's no indication that anyone is willing to cut back on production.

Published in: Economy & Finance
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Will Oil Prices Ever Pop?

  1. 1. Can Oil Prices Stay Low Forever?
  2. 2. Oil Prices Are in Freefall Once Again In August, oil prices fell below $40 per barrel for the first time since 2009. U.S. oil production hasn’t been this high since the 1970s, Iran’s supply is likely coming online, OPEC is raising production as prices fall, and China’s demand growth is slowing for the first time in decades.
  3. 3. U.S. Shale may be cheaper than we thought • Analysts once thought that oil would have to remain above $70 per barrel to keep shale drillers solvent. • Pioneer Natural Resources, for example, says new technology and improved efficiency have led to a 20% decline in drilling costs and a 30% reduction is predicted next year. • Now some wells may even be economical, as low as $40 per barrel. • There’s no sign the U.S. oil industry is slowing down yet.
  4. 4. OPEC Can’t Give In OPEC will lose an estimated $257 billion in 2015 because of low oil prices and it makes short-term economic sense to cut production now. The problem is that OPEC has been giving up market share for decades in the name of higher oil prices. Giving up on the war against high-cost production now could eliminate any progress they’ve made taking back market share.
  5. 5. Can OPEC Kill the Oil Boom? The question is: Can OPEC succeed at slowing the U.S. shale, ultra-deepwater drilling, and arctic drilling, even if it wanted to? Unless U.S. shale producers start to go bankrupt and big oil cuts development budgets even further than they have, there’s not a lot of hope OPEC can gain much market share in oil today.
  6. 6. Demand is a Problem Too Oversupply is a problem. But demand for oil might be, too...
  7. 7. China Is a Big Problem for Oil Markets U.S. and E.U. oil consumption is on a decade-long decline. The market is relying on China to keep increasing demand. Fear of a recession in China could mean low oil prices for a long time.
  8. 8. U.S. Consumers to the Rescue? After declining for nearly a decade, U.S. oil consumption has risen 3.8% in the past six months. Sales of SUVs are soaring and the U.S. economy is booming. Could growth in the U.S. be what drives oil prices higher?
  9. 9. Who Will Blink First? For oil prices to rise, someone has to blink. Will it be: A: OPEC B: U.S. shale oil producers C: The U.S. consumer I would bet on the U.S. consumer blinking, but with OPEC and shale production not letting up, we could be in for years of cheap oil ahead.
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