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Daily Forex Technical Analysis Report - January 14, 2021

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TPGlobalFX

Let's review all the major instrument analysis including: #audusd #eurusd #gbpusd #usdcad #usdjpy #gold #xauusd

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analysis@tpglobalfx.com
REPORTFROM:TPGLOBALFX
14 January, 2021
Daily Analysis Report
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
Asian Bulle n: U.S. dollar remains slightly vola le against major peers ahead of U.S. Fed Chair Powell’s speech; Most Asian stock markets in red; gold down
Key Headlines:
• New Zealand building consents stands at 1.2 pct vs 8.9 pct previous release.
• Japan core machinery orders stands at 1.5 pct vs 17.1 pct previous release (expected -6.4).
• Japan PPI stands at -2.0 vs -2.3 previous release (expected -2.2).
• U.K. RICS house price balance stands at 65 pct vs 66 pct previous release (expected 61 pct).
• China trade balance stands at 517B vs 507B previous release (expected 466B).
• South Korea export price index stands at -5.4 pct vs -4.6 pct previous release.
• South Korea import price index stands at -10.2 pct vs -10.3 pct previous release.
• Gold crashes $20 as Biden announced about Congress Allies Aid Plan of around $2T.
• PBoC fixes USD/CNY reference rate at 6.4746 (previous fix 6.4605; previous close 6.4681).
• Italy’s Former Premier Ma eo Renzi confirmed resigna on of his Alive party.
• Poland kept interest rate unchanged at 0.10 pct, high possibili es for the further FX interven ons.
• Fed’s Clarida: There will be no rate hike un l there is 2% infla on for a year.
• Fed’s Brainard: Near term outlook is challenging, economy is ‘Far From Goals”.
• Fed’s Brainard: Path of recovery depends on Virus and rate of vaccina on.
• BOE Governor Bailey: There's "lots of issues" with using Nega ve Interest Rates as a policy tool.
• Donald Trump became the first president in U.S. history to be impeached twice as ten republicans ruined ranks to support Trump’s dismissal.
Economic Data Ahead:
• (1330 GMT/1900 IST) U.S. Import Prices m/m, previous 0.1, expected 0.7.
• (1330 GMT/1900 IST) U.S. unemployment claims weekly, previous 787K, expected 785K.
• (1430 GMT/2000 IST) U.K. CB leading index, previous -2.1.
Economic Events Ahead:
• (1230 GMT/1800 IST) ECB Monetary Policy Mee ng Accounts.
• (1730 GMT/2300 IST) Fed Chair Powell Speaks.
Major FX Pair Trend:
USD: The U.S. dollar index that tracks the greenback against a basket of other currencies inched up 0.04% to 90.39 points.
AUD / USD
BUY SELL
REPORTFROM:TPGLOBALFXJANUARY,2021
Technical Summary
Trends Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S10.7799
R2 S20.7820
R3 S30.7854
R4
Commentary
S40.7878
Buy Above 0.77856
0.78150
0.77513
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 0.77179
0.76906
0.77549
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
-
Time Frame: H1
AUD/USD: The Aussie exhibits range bound movement and consolidates around $0.7767 mark.
On a 60 – minute timeframe, a consistent close above $0.7799 requires for the upside rally.
Alternatively, reversal from this will take the parity back below $0.7660 mark. The MA signals the
upside trend but the pair faces key hurdle at $0.7820 mark.
0.7660
0.7590
0.7520
0.7436
BUY SELL
REPORTFROM:TPGLOBALFXJANUARY,2021
Technical Summary
Trends Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26)
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S11.2213
R2 S21.2240
R3 S31.2292
R4
Commentary
S41.2323
Buy Above 1.22203
1.22717
1.21820
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.21264
1.20996
1.21633
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
-
Time Frame: H1
EUR/USD: The euro weakens gradually and remains well supported below $1.2150 mark. The
pair faces key hurdle at $1.2132 mark and consistent close below will check key supports. On a
daily time frame, both RSI and MA support the bearish trend for the time being, alternatively a
sustained close of daily candle above $1.2213 requires to check the key resistances.
EUR / USD
1.2132
1.2101
1.2078
1.2022
Below RSI LEVEL 50
BUY SELL
REPORTFROM:TPGLOBALFXJANUARY,2021
Technical Summary
Trends Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S11.3695
R2 S21.3720
R3 S31.3776
R4
Commentary
S41.3809
Buy Above 1.37094
1.37530
1.36487
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.36078
1.35520
1.36685
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
-
Time Frame: H1
GBP/USD: The pound trades flat on Thursday and stabilizes below $1.3650 mark. The key
boundaries for the day will be $1.3665 and $1.3624 mark. A sustained break of either side will
provide further direction to the parity. From the fundamental point, U.K. is scheduled to release CB
leading index at 1430 GMT.
GBP / USD
1.3624
1.3600
1.3570
1.3522
BUY SELL
REPORTFROM:TPGLOBALFXJANUARY,2021
Technical Summary
Trends Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75A) Below MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S11.2783
R2 S21.2812
R3 S31.2853
R4
Commentary
S41.2906
Buy Above 1.27154
1.27419
1.26844
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.26724
1.26457
1.27082
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
-
Time Frame: H1
USD/CAD: The Canadian dollar moves in stiff boundaries and slips back below $1.2700 mark.
The pair made intraday high at 1.2707 and low at 1.2684 mark. The technical tools like RSI, MA
confirm the downside trend for the time being but pair faces key hurdle at 1.2667 mark.
USD /CAD
1.2667
1.2628
1.2570
1.2540

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Daily Forex Technical Analysis Report - January 14, 2021

  • 1. +1 7754 366 970 analysis@tpglobalfx.com REPORTFROM:TPGLOBALFX 14 January, 2021 Daily Analysis Report
  • 2. +1 7754 366 970 analysis@tpglobalfx.com Asian Bulle n: U.S. dollar remains slightly vola le against major peers ahead of U.S. Fed Chair Powell’s speech; Most Asian stock markets in red; gold down Key Headlines: • New Zealand building consents stands at 1.2 pct vs 8.9 pct previous release. • Japan core machinery orders stands at 1.5 pct vs 17.1 pct previous release (expected -6.4). • Japan PPI stands at -2.0 vs -2.3 previous release (expected -2.2). • U.K. RICS house price balance stands at 65 pct vs 66 pct previous release (expected 61 pct). • China trade balance stands at 517B vs 507B previous release (expected 466B). • South Korea export price index stands at -5.4 pct vs -4.6 pct previous release. • South Korea import price index stands at -10.2 pct vs -10.3 pct previous release. • Gold crashes $20 as Biden announced about Congress Allies Aid Plan of around $2T. • PBoC fixes USD/CNY reference rate at 6.4746 (previous fix 6.4605; previous close 6.4681). • Italy’s Former Premier Ma eo Renzi confirmed resigna on of his Alive party. • Poland kept interest rate unchanged at 0.10 pct, high possibili es for the further FX interven ons. • Fed’s Clarida: There will be no rate hike un l there is 2% infla on for a year. • Fed’s Brainard: Near term outlook is challenging, economy is ‘Far From Goals”. • Fed’s Brainard: Path of recovery depends on Virus and rate of vaccina on. • BOE Governor Bailey: There's "lots of issues" with using Nega ve Interest Rates as a policy tool. • Donald Trump became the first president in U.S. history to be impeached twice as ten republicans ruined ranks to support Trump’s dismissal. Economic Data Ahead: • (1330 GMT/1900 IST) U.S. Import Prices m/m, previous 0.1, expected 0.7. • (1330 GMT/1900 IST) U.S. unemployment claims weekly, previous 787K, expected 785K. • (1430 GMT/2000 IST) U.K. CB leading index, previous -2.1. Economic Events Ahead: • (1230 GMT/1800 IST) ECB Monetary Policy Mee ng Accounts. • (1730 GMT/2300 IST) Fed Chair Powell Speaks. Major FX Pair Trend: USD: The U.S. dollar index that tracks the greenback against a basket of other currencies inched up 0.04% to 90.39 points.
  • 3. AUD / USD BUY SELL REPORTFROM:TPGLOBALFXJANUARY,2021 Technical Summary Trends Up Trend Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA H 1 RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50 FIBO Levels PIVOT R1 S10.7799 R2 S20.7820 R3 S30.7854 R4 Commentary S40.7878 Buy Above 0.77856 0.78150 0.77513 – Take Profit – Stop Loss Trade Idea Sell Below 0.77179 0.76906 0.77549 – Take Profit – Stop Loss Trade Idea +1 7754 366 970 analysis@tpglobalfx.com - Time Frame: H1 AUD/USD: The Aussie exhibits range bound movement and consolidates around $0.7767 mark. On a 60 – minute timeframe, a consistent close above $0.7799 requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, reversal from this will take the parity back below $0.7660 mark. The MA signals the upside trend but the pair faces key hurdle at $0.7820 mark. 0.7660 0.7590 0.7520 0.7436
  • 4. BUY SELL REPORTFROM:TPGLOBALFXJANUARY,2021 Technical Summary Trends Down Trend Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA H 1 RSI (Period=26) FIBO Levels PIVOT R1 S11.2213 R2 S21.2240 R3 S31.2292 R4 Commentary S41.2323 Buy Above 1.22203 1.22717 1.21820 – Take Profit – Stop Loss Trade Idea Sell Below 1.21264 1.20996 1.21633 – Take Profit – Stop Loss Trade Idea +1 7754 366 970 analysis@tpglobalfx.com - Time Frame: H1 EUR/USD: The euro weakens gradually and remains well supported below $1.2150 mark. The pair faces key hurdle at $1.2132 mark and consistent close below will check key supports. On a daily time frame, both RSI and MA support the bearish trend for the time being, alternatively a sustained close of daily candle above $1.2213 requires to check the key resistances. EUR / USD 1.2132 1.2101 1.2078 1.2022 Below RSI LEVEL 50
  • 5. BUY SELL REPORTFROM:TPGLOBALFXJANUARY,2021 Technical Summary Trends Up Trend Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA H 1 RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50 FIBO Levels PIVOT R1 S11.3695 R2 S21.3720 R3 S31.3776 R4 Commentary S41.3809 Buy Above 1.37094 1.37530 1.36487 – Take Profit – Stop Loss Trade Idea Sell Below 1.36078 1.35520 1.36685 – Take Profit – Stop Loss Trade Idea +1 7754 366 970 analysis@tpglobalfx.com - Time Frame: H1 GBP/USD: The pound trades flat on Thursday and stabilizes below $1.3650 mark. The key boundaries for the day will be $1.3665 and $1.3624 mark. A sustained break of either side will provide further direction to the parity. From the fundamental point, U.K. is scheduled to release CB leading index at 1430 GMT. GBP / USD 1.3624 1.3600 1.3570 1.3522
  • 6. BUY SELL REPORTFROM:TPGLOBALFXJANUARY,2021 Technical Summary Trends Down Trend Moving Average (Period=75A) Below MA H 1 RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50 FIBO Levels PIVOT R1 S11.2783 R2 S21.2812 R3 S31.2853 R4 Commentary S41.2906 Buy Above 1.27154 1.27419 1.26844 – Take Profit – Stop Loss Trade Idea Sell Below 1.26724 1.26457 1.27082 – Take Profit – Stop Loss Trade Idea +1 7754 366 970 analysis@tpglobalfx.com - Time Frame: H1 USD/CAD: The Canadian dollar moves in stiff boundaries and slips back below $1.2700 mark. The pair made intraday high at 1.2707 and low at 1.2684 mark. The technical tools like RSI, MA confirm the downside trend for the time being but pair faces key hurdle at 1.2667 mark. USD /CAD 1.2667 1.2628 1.2570 1.2540
  • 7. BUY SELL REPORTFROM:TPGLOBALFXJANUARY,2021 Technical Summary Trends Up Trend Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA H 1 RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50 FIBO Levels PIVOT R1 S1104.22 R2 S2104.90 R3 S3105.40 R4 Commentary S4105.94 Buy Above 104.230 104.441 103.966 – Take Profit – Stop Loss Trade Idea Sell Below 103.814 103.584 104.039 – Take Profit – Stop Loss Trade Idea +1 7754 366 970 analysis@tpglobalfx.com - Time Frame: H1 USD/JPY: The Japanese yen continues to trade lower on Thursday despite robust core machinery orders and PPI results. The pair stabilizes around 104.00 mark and broke the bearish channel pattern, signaling the trend reversal for the time being. A sustained close above 104.22 requires for the bullish trend. The RSI and WMA also support the upside price trend. USD /JPY 103.52 102.90 102.45 102.10
  • 8. BUY SELL REPORTFROM:TPGLOBALFXJANUARY,2021 Technical Summary Trends Down Trend Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA H 1 RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50 FIBO Levels PIVOT R1 S11862 R2 S21868 R3 S31876 R4 Commentary S41885 Buy Above 1847.71 1856.21 1836.15 – Take Profit – Stop Loss Trade Idea Sell Below 1829.63 1820.37 1845.60 – Take Profit – Stop Loss Trade Idea +1 7754 366 970 analysis@tpglobalfx.com - Time Frame: H1 XAU/USD (GOLD): Gold spikes down $20 on a comment by Biden regarding relief package. On a daily timeframe; RSI, MA confirms the downtrend. The key ranges for the gold will be $1,862 - $1,827 mark. A sustained close of either side will give further direction to the parity. XAU [GOLD]USD/ 1840 1832 1827 1816
  • 9. Thank you! Info@tpglobalfx.com www.tpglobalfx.com REPORTFROM:TPGLOBALFX /tpglobalfx /tpglobalfx /tpglobalfx /tpglobalfx that even knowledgeable and well-experienced investors can experience large potential losses as a result of trading in Forex and CFDs. Consequently, investors should be fully aware of all the risks involved when trading Forex and CFDs and accept all the negative consequences associated with such trading. Please always remember that trading in Forex and CFDs might not be suitable for all investors. It is desirable investors who would consider trading, to do so only with money that they can afford to lose. You are also recommended to seek independent financial advice if necessary. The content on this website does not constitute financial or investment advice. Any information herein is of a general nature and does not take into consideration your personal circumstances, investment experience or current financial situation. Apple, the Apple logo, iPod, iPad, iPod touch, and iTunes are trademarks of Apple Inc, registered in the US and other countries. IPhone is a trademark of Apple Inc. App Store is a service mark of Apple Inc. This site is run and operated by – TP Global Services Limited registered by FSA, St. Vincent and the Grenadines with Number 25274 BC 2019 TP Global Services Limited does not offer its services to residents of certain jurisdictions such as USA, and British Columbia. Disclamer: Forex and Contracts for Difference (CFDs) are leveraged products. Trading in these products is highly speculative and involves substantial risk. Please note