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DAILY ANALYSIS REPORT NOVEMBER 19 2021

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DAILY ANALYSIS REPORT NOVEMBER 19 2021

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19 November 2021
Daily Analysis Report
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
Asian Bulle n: U.S. dollar remains almost unchanged against major peers despite comments from IMF and Fed’s Evans, Asian stock markets mixed, gold hovers around
$1,860 mark
Key Headlines:
• Japan Na onal Core CPI remains unchanged at 0.1 pct.
• U.K. GFK Consumer Confidence stands at -14 vs -17 previous release.
• Swiss Franc strengthens sharply against Euro on Covid surge, hits highest level since July 2015.
• IMF - Con nued high levels of U.S. infla on may necessitate more front loaded policy response, could pose a systemic downside for U.S. and global economy.
• IMF - If supply disrup ons con nue or infla on expecta ons become de-anchored, infla on will become s cky.
• Both the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq eked out record closing highs a er a topsy-turvy Thursday on Wall Street, as investors focused on upbeat retail and
technology earnings which outshone hawkish infla on comments from a Federal Reserve policymaker – Reuters.
• Shoppers in Canada's flood-hit province of Bri sh Columbia have emp ed grocery shelves following catastrophic flooding, although the shortages are as much
down to panic buying as disrupted supply chains, industry associa ons said on Thursday – Reuters.
• U.S. banking regulators on Thursday finalized a rule that directs banks to report any major cybersecurity incidents to the government within 36 hours of
discovery – Reuters.
• France does not need to follow those European countries imposing COVID-19 lockdowns on unvaccinated people, because of the success of its health pass in
curbing the virus' spread, President Emmanuel Macron said – Reuters.
• Canada will announce as expected on Friday it is authorizing the use of Pfizer Inc's COVID-19 vaccine for children aged 5 to 11, a government source said on
Thursday – Reuters.
• India has approved the export of 20 million doses of the Novavax COVID-19 vaccine made by the Serum Ins tute of India (SII) to Indonesia, according to a
government document seen by Reuters and a government source – Reuters.
• Greece will impose more restric ons for those not vaccinated against COVID-19 from next week, Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis said on Thursday
following a steep rise in infec ons in recent weeks – Reuters.
• Germany's vaccine advisory commi ee recommended COVID-19 vaccine booster shots for all people aged over 18 on Thursday as the number of coronavirus
infec ons hits a new record in Europe's largest economy – Reuters.
• Japan's PM Kishida - The overall size of the s mulus package is 79 trln Yen.
• Japan's PM Kishida - Japan's New S mulus Package Includes Spending Worth 55.7 Trln Yen.
• Fed's Evans - May have to lean into slightly more restric ve policies than expected 6 months ago, policy adjustments can be ‘Rela vely Gradual’.
• Fed's Evans - In 2022, We will be more recep ve to monetary policy adjustments.
• Fed's Evans - Expect good momentum for U.S. economy well into 2022.
• Pu n - We see a empts to drive a wedge between Russia, China.
Economic Data Ahead:
• (0700 GMT/1230 IST) U.K. Retail Sales, previous -0.2, expected 0.5.
• (0900 GMT/1430 IST) Euro Current Account, previous 13.4B, expected 16.2B.
• (1330 GMT/1900 IST) Canada Retail Sales, previous 2.1, expected -1.6.
• (1330 GMT/1900 IST) Canada Core Retail Sales, previous 2.8, expected -1.0.
Economic Events Ahead:
• (0830 GMT/1400 IST) ECB President Lagarde Speaks. (Due to deliver opening remarks at the Frankfurt European Banking Congress)
• Tenta ve – U.S. FOMC member Waller, Clarida Speaks.
Major FX Pair Trend:
USD: The U.S. dollar index that tracks the greenback against a basket of other currencies inched up 0.09% to 95.63 points.
AUD / USD
BUY SELL
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NOVEMBER,
2021
Technical Summary
Trend Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
0.7290
R2 S2
0.7321
R3 S3
0.7350
R4
Commentary
S4
0.7376
Buy Above 0.7282
0.7315
0.7260
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 0.7241
0.7215
0.7267
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
-
Time Frame: H1
AUD/USD: The Aussie exhibits range bound movement and remains well supported below $0.7300
mark. Today pair made intraday high at $0.7281 and low at $0.7267 mark. A day chart and H1 chart
with triple EMAsuggest bearish trend for the time being.Asustained close above $0.7290 on H1 chart
requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below $0.7240 will check further
supports.
0.7240
0.7227
0.7200
0.7176
BUY SELL
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Technical Summary H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.1372
R2 S2
1.1405
R3 S3
1.1428
R4
Commentary
S4
1.1456
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
-
Time Frame: H1
EUR/USD: The Euro trades marginally lower on Friday ahead of ECB President Lagarde’s speech
and Euro’s Current Account data. Today pair made intraday high at $1.1372 and low at $1.1353.
Today triple EMA on a day chart is down and H1 chart suggests up trend for the time being. A
consistent close above $1.1372 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a sustained
close below $1.1340 on H1 chart will check further supports.
EUR / USD
1.1340
1.1288
1.1262
1.1237
Buy Above 1.1372
1.1399
1.1347
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.1336
1.1300
1.1367
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Trends Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
NOVEMBER,
2021
BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.3512
R2 S2
1.3540
R3 S3
1.3572
R4
Commentary
S4
1.3599
Buy Above 1.3512
1.3552
1.3482
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.3462
1.3438
1.3486
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
-
Time Frame: H1
GBP/USD: The sterling moves in rigid boundaries ahead of U.K.’s Retail Sales data and hovers
around $1.3500 mark. Today pair made intraday high at $1.3504 and low at $1.3482 mark.Aday chart
is down and H1 chart with triple EMA suggests up trend for the time being. A sustained close above
$1.3512 on H1 chart will check key resistances. Alternatively, a consistent close below $1.3462 will
check further supports.
USD
1.3462
1.3438
1.3415
1.3400
GBP/
Trends Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50
NOVEMBER,
2021
BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trends Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.2610
R2 S2
1.2623
R3 S3
1.2658
R4
Commentary
S4
1.2676
Buy Above 1.2612
1.2650
1.2590
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.2581
1.2556
1.2605
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
-
Time Frame: H1
USD/CAD: The CAD remained volatile in previous session after Canada’s job results and today
markets eye Canada’s Retail Sales data. The pair made intraday high at 1.2604 and low at 1.2593
mark. Today a day chart and H1 chart with triple EMA suggest bullish trend for the time being. A
sustained close above 1.2610 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent
close below 1.2580 on H1 chart will check key supports too.
USD /CAD
1.2580
1.2562
1.2540
1.2510
NOVEMBER,
2021

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DAILY ANALYSIS REPORT NOVEMBER 19 2021

  • 1. +1 7754 366 970 analysis@tpglobalfx.com R E P O R T F R O M : T P G LO B A L F X 19 November 2021 Daily Analysis Report
  • 2. +1 7754 366 970 analysis@tpglobalfx.com Asian Bulle n: U.S. dollar remains almost unchanged against major peers despite comments from IMF and Fed’s Evans, Asian stock markets mixed, gold hovers around $1,860 mark Key Headlines: • Japan Na onal Core CPI remains unchanged at 0.1 pct. • U.K. GFK Consumer Confidence stands at -14 vs -17 previous release. • Swiss Franc strengthens sharply against Euro on Covid surge, hits highest level since July 2015. • IMF - Con nued high levels of U.S. infla on may necessitate more front loaded policy response, could pose a systemic downside for U.S. and global economy. • IMF - If supply disrup ons con nue or infla on expecta ons become de-anchored, infla on will become s cky. • Both the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq eked out record closing highs a er a topsy-turvy Thursday on Wall Street, as investors focused on upbeat retail and technology earnings which outshone hawkish infla on comments from a Federal Reserve policymaker – Reuters. • Shoppers in Canada's flood-hit province of Bri sh Columbia have emp ed grocery shelves following catastrophic flooding, although the shortages are as much down to panic buying as disrupted supply chains, industry associa ons said on Thursday – Reuters. • U.S. banking regulators on Thursday finalized a rule that directs banks to report any major cybersecurity incidents to the government within 36 hours of discovery – Reuters. • France does not need to follow those European countries imposing COVID-19 lockdowns on unvaccinated people, because of the success of its health pass in curbing the virus' spread, President Emmanuel Macron said – Reuters. • Canada will announce as expected on Friday it is authorizing the use of Pfizer Inc's COVID-19 vaccine for children aged 5 to 11, a government source said on Thursday – Reuters. • India has approved the export of 20 million doses of the Novavax COVID-19 vaccine made by the Serum Ins tute of India (SII) to Indonesia, according to a government document seen by Reuters and a government source – Reuters. • Greece will impose more restric ons for those not vaccinated against COVID-19 from next week, Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis said on Thursday following a steep rise in infec ons in recent weeks – Reuters. • Germany's vaccine advisory commi ee recommended COVID-19 vaccine booster shots for all people aged over 18 on Thursday as the number of coronavirus infec ons hits a new record in Europe's largest economy – Reuters. • Japan's PM Kishida - The overall size of the s mulus package is 79 trln Yen. • Japan's PM Kishida - Japan's New S mulus Package Includes Spending Worth 55.7 Trln Yen. • Fed's Evans - May have to lean into slightly more restric ve policies than expected 6 months ago, policy adjustments can be ‘Rela vely Gradual’. • Fed's Evans - In 2022, We will be more recep ve to monetary policy adjustments. • Fed's Evans - Expect good momentum for U.S. economy well into 2022. • Pu n - We see a empts to drive a wedge between Russia, China. Economic Data Ahead: • (0700 GMT/1230 IST) U.K. Retail Sales, previous -0.2, expected 0.5. • (0900 GMT/1430 IST) Euro Current Account, previous 13.4B, expected 16.2B. • (1330 GMT/1900 IST) Canada Retail Sales, previous 2.1, expected -1.6. • (1330 GMT/1900 IST) Canada Core Retail Sales, previous 2.8, expected -1.0. Economic Events Ahead: • (0830 GMT/1400 IST) ECB President Lagarde Speaks. (Due to deliver opening remarks at the Frankfurt European Banking Congress) • Tenta ve – U.S. FOMC member Waller, Clarida Speaks. Major FX Pair Trend: USD: The U.S. dollar index that tracks the greenback against a basket of other currencies inched up 0.09% to 95.63 points.
  • 3. AUD / USD BUY SELL R E P O R T F R O M : T P G LO B A L F X NOVEMBER, 2021 Technical Summary Trend Down Trend Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA H 1 RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50 FIBO Levels PIVOT R1 S1 0.7290 R2 S2 0.7321 R3 S3 0.7350 R4 Commentary S4 0.7376 Buy Above 0.7282 0.7315 0.7260 – Take Profit – Stop Loss Trade Idea Sell Below 0.7241 0.7215 0.7267 – Take Profit – Stop Loss Trade Idea +1 7754 366 970 analysis@tpglobalfx.com - Time Frame: H1 AUD/USD: The Aussie exhibits range bound movement and remains well supported below $0.7300 mark. Today pair made intraday high at $0.7281 and low at $0.7267 mark. A day chart and H1 chart with triple EMAsuggest bearish trend for the time being.Asustained close above $0.7290 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below $0.7240 will check further supports. 0.7240 0.7227 0.7200 0.7176
  • 4. BUY SELL R E P O R T F R O M : T P G LO B A L F X Technical Summary H 1 FIBO Levels PIVOT R1 S1 1.1372 R2 S2 1.1405 R3 S3 1.1428 R4 Commentary S4 1.1456 +1 7754 366 970 analysis@tpglobalfx.com - Time Frame: H1 EUR/USD: The Euro trades marginally lower on Friday ahead of ECB President Lagarde’s speech and Euro’s Current Account data. Today pair made intraday high at $1.1372 and low at $1.1353. Today triple EMA on a day chart is down and H1 chart suggests up trend for the time being. A consistent close above $1.1372 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a sustained close below $1.1340 on H1 chart will check further supports. EUR / USD 1.1340 1.1288 1.1262 1.1237 Buy Above 1.1372 1.1399 1.1347 – Take Profit – Stop Loss Trade Idea Sell Below 1.1336 1.1300 1.1367 – Take Profit – Stop Loss Trade Idea Trends Up Trend Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50 NOVEMBER, 2021
  • 5. BUY SELL R E P O R T F R O M : T P G LO B A L F X Technical Summary H 1 FIBO Levels PIVOT R1 S1 1.3512 R2 S2 1.3540 R3 S3 1.3572 R4 Commentary S4 1.3599 Buy Above 1.3512 1.3552 1.3482 – Take Profit – Stop Loss Trade Idea Sell Below 1.3462 1.3438 1.3486 – Take Profit – Stop Loss Trade Idea +1 7754 366 970 analysis@tpglobalfx.com - Time Frame: H1 GBP/USD: The sterling moves in rigid boundaries ahead of U.K.’s Retail Sales data and hovers around $1.3500 mark. Today pair made intraday high at $1.3504 and low at $1.3482 mark.Aday chart is down and H1 chart with triple EMA suggests up trend for the time being. A sustained close above $1.3512 on H1 chart will check key resistances. Alternatively, a consistent close below $1.3462 will check further supports. USD 1.3462 1.3438 1.3415 1.3400 GBP/ Trends Up Trend Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50 NOVEMBER, 2021
  • 6. BUY SELL R E P O R T F R O M : T P G LO B A L F X Technical Summary Trends Up Trend Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA H 1 RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50 FIBO Levels PIVOT R1 S1 1.2610 R2 S2 1.2623 R3 S3 1.2658 R4 Commentary S4 1.2676 Buy Above 1.2612 1.2650 1.2590 – Take Profit – Stop Loss Trade Idea Sell Below 1.2581 1.2556 1.2605 – Take Profit – Stop Loss Trade Idea +1 7754 366 970 analysis@tpglobalfx.com - Time Frame: H1 USD/CAD: The CAD remained volatile in previous session after Canada’s job results and today markets eye Canada’s Retail Sales data. The pair made intraday high at 1.2604 and low at 1.2593 mark. Today a day chart and H1 chart with triple EMA suggest bullish trend for the time being. A sustained close above 1.2610 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below 1.2580 on H1 chart will check key supports too. USD /CAD 1.2580 1.2562 1.2540 1.2510 NOVEMBER, 2021
  • 7. BUY SELL R E P O R T F R O M : T P G LO B A L F X Technical Summary Trend Up Trend Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA H 1 RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50 FIBO Levels PIVOT R1 S1 114.41 R2 S2 114.72 R3 S3 115.06 R4 Commentary S4 115.22 Buy Above 114.50 114.78 114.18 – Take Profit – Stop Loss Trade Idea Sell Below 114.15 113.87 114.34 – Take Profit – Stop Loss Trade Idea +1 7754 366 970 analysis@tpglobalfx.com - Time Frame: H1 USD/JPY: The Japanese yen starts a new day on a flat note after unchanged National Core CPI data and Japan PM Kishida’s comments. The pair made intraday high at 114.36 and low at 114.21 mark. The triple EMA on a day chart is up and H1 chart suggests slightly down trend for the time being. A sustained close above 114.41 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below 114.01 on H1 chart will check further key supports. USD /JPY 114.00 113.78 113.47 113.15 NOVEMBER, 2021
  • 8. BUY SELL R E P O R T F R O M : T P G LO B A L F X Technical Summary Trend Up Trend Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA H 1 RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50 FIBO Levels PIVOT R1 S1 1874 R2 S2 1881 R3 S3 1887 R4 Commentary S4 1894 Buy Above 1868 1874 1863 – Take Profit – Stop Loss Trade Idea Sell Below 1857 1851 1862 – Take Profit – Stop Loss Trade Idea +1 7754 366 970 analysis@tpglobalfx.com - Time Frame: H1 XAU/USD (GOLD): Gold moves in rigid boundaries and remains well supported around $1,860 mark. Today pair made intraday high at $1,863 and low at $1,858 mark. A day chart and H1 chart with triple EMA suggests up trend for the time being. A sustained close above $1,870 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally.Alternatively, a consistent close below $1,855 will check further supports. XAU [GOLD] USD / 1852 1847 1842 1837 NOVEMBER, 2021
  • 9. Thank you! Info@tpglobalfx.com www.tpglobalfx.com R E P O R T F R O M : T P G L O B A L F X /tpglobalfx /tpglobalfx /tpglobalfx /tpglobalfx that even knowledgeable and well-experienced investors can experience large potential losses as a result of trading in Forex and CFDs. Consequently, investors should be fully aware of all the risks involved when trading Forex and CFDs and accept all the negative consequences associated with such trading. Please always remember that trading in Forex and CFDs might not be suitable for all investors. It is desirable investors who would consider trading, to do so only with money that they can afford to lose. You are also recommended to seek independent financial advice if necessary. The content on this website does not constitute financial or investment advice. Any information herein is of a general nature and does not take into consideration your personal circumstances, investment experience or current financial situation. Apple, the Apple logo, iPod, iPad, iPod touch, and iTunes are trademarks of Apple Inc, registered in the US and other countries. IPhone is a trademark of Apple Inc. App Store is a service mark of Apple Inc. This site is run and operated by – TP Global Services Limited registered by FSA, St. Vincent and the Grenadines with Number 25274 BC 2019 TP Global Services Limited does not offer its services to residents of certain jurisdictions such as USA, and British Columbia. Disclamer: Forex and Contracts for Difference (CFDs) are leveraged products. Trading in these products is highly speculative and involves substantial risk. Please note