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DAILY ANALYSIS REPORT AUGUST 25 2022

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TPGlobalFX

The daily analysis report from TP Global FX provides the following: - An overview of Asian markets with the US dollar trading slightly lower ahead of US GDP and Jackson Hole data. - Key headlines on economic data releases and company news from around the world. - Technical analysis on major currency pairs like AUD/USD, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY, and XAU/USD. - Most Asian stock markets were in the green while the US dollar index inched lower. - Investors are awaiting speeches at the Jackson Hole symposium this week for cues on the Federal Reserve's rate hike outlook.

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25 August 2022
Daily Analysis Report
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
Asian Bulle n: U.S. dollar trades slightly lower ahead of U.S. Prelim GDP data and Jackson Hole Symposium, most Asians stock markets in green, gold back above $1,750
Key Headlines:
• New Zealand Retail Sales stands at -2.3 pct vs -0.9 pct previous release.
• New Zealand Core Retail Sales stand at -1.6 pct vs -0.3 pct previous release.
• Japan SPPI (Services Producer Price Index) remains unchanged at 2.1 pct.
• Investors are bracing for the Federal Reserve to double down on its commitment to crushing infla on, and expect its chair Jerome Powell at the annual central bank gathering in
Wyoming this week to deliver an aggressive ghtening message and dash hopes for a rate cut next year – Reuters.
• Planemaker Boeing plans to build on its exis ng investments in India in areas such as defence supply chains and manufacturing, the company said on Wednesday – Reuters.
• Mexican consumer prices rose 0.42% during the first half of August, pushing annual headline infla on to 8.62%, both slightly ahead of market expecta ons, data from the na onal
INEGI sta s cs agency showed on Wednesday – Reuters.
• U.S. stock index futures slipped on Wednesday as recent economic data fueled fears of a slowdown ahead of the Federal Reserve's annual conference this week where the central
bank is expected to reinforce its commitment to ge ng infla on under control – Reuters.
• When India's richest man Gautam Adani unveiled plans for his firm to control a majority stake in New Delhi Television (NDTV) on Tuesday, it was the stealth approach in execu ng
the transac on that drew most a en on in the news industry – Reuters.
• The Reserve Bank of India on Wednesday li ed curbs imposed on American Express last year that had prevented it from taking on new customers in India, saying the U.S. credit card
giant had shown "sa sfactory compliance" on data storage rules – Reuters.
• Sterling was steady against the dollar on Wednesday, holding above a 2-1/2 year low touched a day earlier a er data added to signs that a recession may be looming in Britain –
Reuters.
• Indonesia's first interest rate hike in four years made its central bank one of the last to abandon pandemic-era monetary se ngs, but it's also given investors cause to stay bullish on
one of the world's more resilient emerging markets – Reuters.
• The Indian rupee was trading higher versus the U.S. currency on Wednesday as exporters sold dollars, allowing the local currency to withstand a rise in oil prices – Reuters.
• Switzerland plans to procure 40,000 doses of monkeypox vaccine as well as 500 units of an an viral drug, the government said on Wednesday – Reuters.
• Vietnam has temporarily suspended the use of its first home-grown African swine fever vaccine a er dozens of pigs inoculated with the shots died this month, state media reported
on Wednesday – Reuters.
• German Health Minister Karl Lauterbach said on Wednesday he expects a wave of COVID-19 infec ons this autumn but ruled out further lockdowns or school closures – Reuters.
• An Ebola vaccina on campaign will start in the Congolose city of Beni on Thursday a er a new case of the virus was confirmed this week, the World Health Organiza on said on
Wednesday – Reuters.
• Japan will waive pre-departure COVID-19 tests for vaccinated travellers to the country, but daily caps on entrants will remain in place, Prime Minister Fumio Kishida said on
Wednesday – Reuters.
• Singapore will do away with requirements to wear masks indoors star ng Aug. 29, as the country sees its COVID-19 situa on stabilise further, the health minister said on Wednesday
– Reuters.
• Under pressure from Western sanc ons, Russia is expor ng more fuel oil to Asia and using ship-to-ship transfers to build larger cargoes for distant markets, according to traders and
Refini v data – Reuters.
• Taiwan's government unveiled a proposed 12.9% on-year increase in the defence budget for 2023 to T$415.1 billion ($13.72 billion) on Thursday, as well as an addi onal T$108.3
billion in spending for fighter jets and other equipment – Reuters.
Key Economic Indicators Ahead:
• (0600 GMT/1130 IST) German Final GDP q/q, previous 0.0, expected 0.0.
• (0800 GMT/1330 IST) German IFO Business Climate, Previous 88.6, expected 86.7.
• (1000 GMT/1530 IST) U.K. CBI realized sales, previous -4, expected -8.
• (1230 GMT/1800 IST) U.S. Prelim GDP q/q, previous -0.9, expected -0.7.
• (1230 GMT/1800 IST) U.S. Unemployment Claims weekly, previous 250K, expected 250K.
• (1230 GMT/1800 IST) U.S. Prelim GDP Price Index q/q, previous 8.7, expected 8.7.
Economic Events Ahead:
• (1130 GMT/1700 IST) ECB Monetary Policy Mee ng Accounts.
• Day 01 – U.S. Jackson Hole Symposium.
Major FX Pair Trend:
USD: The U.S. dollar index that tracks the greenback against a basket of other currencies inched down 0.20 pct to 108.46 points.
AUD / USD
BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trend Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
0.6962
R2 S2
0.6986
R3 S3
0.7002
R4
Commentary
S4
0.7030
Buy Above 0.6962
0.6999
0.6932
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 0.6901
0.6876
0.6924
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
-
Time Frame: H1
AUD/USD: The Aussie starts a new day on a positive note and hovers around $0.6950 mark. Today
pair made intraday high at $0.6947 and low at $0.6902 mark. A day chart is down and H1 chart with
triple EMA suggests up trend for the time being. A sustained close above $0.6962 on H1 chart
requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below $0.6902 will check further
supports.
0.6890
0.6867
0.6850
0.6826
AUGUST,
2022
BUY SELL
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Technical Summary H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
0.9998
R2 S2
1.0022
R3 S3
1.0052
R4
Commentary
S4
1.0078
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
-
Time Frame: H1
EUR/USD: The euro recovered noticeably during U.S. session and currently hovers around key
resistance at $0.9998 mark. Today the pair made intraday high at $0.9992 and low at $0.9963 mark.
Today triple EMA on a day chart is down and H1 chart suggests up trend for the time being. A
consistent close above $0.9998 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a sustained
close below $0.9948 on H1 chart will check further supports.
EUR / USD
0.9948
0.9920
0.9901
0.9881
Buy Above 0.9998
1.0030
0.9970
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 0.9958
0.9921
0.9989
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Trends Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
AUGUST,
2022
BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.1830
R2 S2
1.1856
R3 S3
1.1872
R4
Commentary
S4
1.1890
Buy Above 1.1830
1.1865
1.1802
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.1780
1.1752
1.1806
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
-
Time Frame: H1
GBP/USD: The sterling moves in rigid boundaries amid economic light calendar and trading around
$1.1820 mark. Today pair made intraday high at $1.1825 and low at $1.1783 mark. A day chart is
down and H1 chart with triple EMA suggests up trend for the time being. A sustained close above
$1.1830 on H1 chart will check key resistances. Alternatively, a consistent close below $1.1780 will
check further supports.
USD
1.1780
1.1755
1.1721
1.1701
GBP/
Trends Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
AUGUST,
2022
BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trends Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26 Below RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.2970
R2 S2
1.2999
R3 S3
1.3015
R4
Commentary
S4
1.3042
Buy Above 1.2972
1.2998
1.2940
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.2940
1.2912
1.2968
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
-
Time Frame: H1
USD/CAD: The CAD starts a new day on a positive note and stabilizes below 1.2950 mark. Today the
pair made intraday high at 1.2975 and low at 1.2946 mark. Today a day chart is up and H1 chart with
triple EMA suggests bearish trend for the time being. A sustained close above 1.2970 on H1 chart
requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below 1.2940 on H1 chart will check key
supports too.
USD /CAD
1.2940
1.2912
1.2900
1.2878
AUGUST,
2022

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DAILY ANALYSIS REPORT AUGUST 25 2022

  • 1. +1 7754 366 970 analysis@tpglobalfx.com R E P O R T F R O M : T P G LO B A L F X 25 August 2022 Daily Analysis Report
  • 2. +1 7754 366 970 analysis@tpglobalfx.com Asian Bulle n: U.S. dollar trades slightly lower ahead of U.S. Prelim GDP data and Jackson Hole Symposium, most Asians stock markets in green, gold back above $1,750 Key Headlines: • New Zealand Retail Sales stands at -2.3 pct vs -0.9 pct previous release. • New Zealand Core Retail Sales stand at -1.6 pct vs -0.3 pct previous release. • Japan SPPI (Services Producer Price Index) remains unchanged at 2.1 pct. • Investors are bracing for the Federal Reserve to double down on its commitment to crushing infla on, and expect its chair Jerome Powell at the annual central bank gathering in Wyoming this week to deliver an aggressive ghtening message and dash hopes for a rate cut next year – Reuters. • Planemaker Boeing plans to build on its exis ng investments in India in areas such as defence supply chains and manufacturing, the company said on Wednesday – Reuters. • Mexican consumer prices rose 0.42% during the first half of August, pushing annual headline infla on to 8.62%, both slightly ahead of market expecta ons, data from the na onal INEGI sta s cs agency showed on Wednesday – Reuters. • U.S. stock index futures slipped on Wednesday as recent economic data fueled fears of a slowdown ahead of the Federal Reserve's annual conference this week where the central bank is expected to reinforce its commitment to ge ng infla on under control – Reuters. • When India's richest man Gautam Adani unveiled plans for his firm to control a majority stake in New Delhi Television (NDTV) on Tuesday, it was the stealth approach in execu ng the transac on that drew most a en on in the news industry – Reuters. • The Reserve Bank of India on Wednesday li ed curbs imposed on American Express last year that had prevented it from taking on new customers in India, saying the U.S. credit card giant had shown "sa sfactory compliance" on data storage rules – Reuters. • Sterling was steady against the dollar on Wednesday, holding above a 2-1/2 year low touched a day earlier a er data added to signs that a recession may be looming in Britain – Reuters. • Indonesia's first interest rate hike in four years made its central bank one of the last to abandon pandemic-era monetary se ngs, but it's also given investors cause to stay bullish on one of the world's more resilient emerging markets – Reuters. • The Indian rupee was trading higher versus the U.S. currency on Wednesday as exporters sold dollars, allowing the local currency to withstand a rise in oil prices – Reuters. • Switzerland plans to procure 40,000 doses of monkeypox vaccine as well as 500 units of an an viral drug, the government said on Wednesday – Reuters. • Vietnam has temporarily suspended the use of its first home-grown African swine fever vaccine a er dozens of pigs inoculated with the shots died this month, state media reported on Wednesday – Reuters. • German Health Minister Karl Lauterbach said on Wednesday he expects a wave of COVID-19 infec ons this autumn but ruled out further lockdowns or school closures – Reuters. • An Ebola vaccina on campaign will start in the Congolose city of Beni on Thursday a er a new case of the virus was confirmed this week, the World Health Organiza on said on Wednesday – Reuters. • Japan will waive pre-departure COVID-19 tests for vaccinated travellers to the country, but daily caps on entrants will remain in place, Prime Minister Fumio Kishida said on Wednesday – Reuters. • Singapore will do away with requirements to wear masks indoors star ng Aug. 29, as the country sees its COVID-19 situa on stabilise further, the health minister said on Wednesday – Reuters. • Under pressure from Western sanc ons, Russia is expor ng more fuel oil to Asia and using ship-to-ship transfers to build larger cargoes for distant markets, according to traders and Refini v data – Reuters. • Taiwan's government unveiled a proposed 12.9% on-year increase in the defence budget for 2023 to T$415.1 billion ($13.72 billion) on Thursday, as well as an addi onal T$108.3 billion in spending for fighter jets and other equipment – Reuters. Key Economic Indicators Ahead: • (0600 GMT/1130 IST) German Final GDP q/q, previous 0.0, expected 0.0. • (0800 GMT/1330 IST) German IFO Business Climate, Previous 88.6, expected 86.7. • (1000 GMT/1530 IST) U.K. CBI realized sales, previous -4, expected -8. • (1230 GMT/1800 IST) U.S. Prelim GDP q/q, previous -0.9, expected -0.7. • (1230 GMT/1800 IST) U.S. Unemployment Claims weekly, previous 250K, expected 250K. • (1230 GMT/1800 IST) U.S. Prelim GDP Price Index q/q, previous 8.7, expected 8.7. Economic Events Ahead: • (1130 GMT/1700 IST) ECB Monetary Policy Mee ng Accounts. • Day 01 – U.S. Jackson Hole Symposium. Major FX Pair Trend: USD: The U.S. dollar index that tracks the greenback against a basket of other currencies inched down 0.20 pct to 108.46 points.
  • 3. AUD / USD BUY SELL R E P O R T F R O M : T P G LO B A L F X Technical Summary Trend Up Trend Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA H 1 RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50 FIBO Levels PIVOT R1 S1 0.6962 R2 S2 0.6986 R3 S3 0.7002 R4 Commentary S4 0.7030 Buy Above 0.6962 0.6999 0.6932 – Take Profit – Stop Loss Trade Idea Sell Below 0.6901 0.6876 0.6924 – Take Profit – Stop Loss Trade Idea +1 7754 366 970 analysis@tpglobalfx.com - Time Frame: H1 AUD/USD: The Aussie starts a new day on a positive note and hovers around $0.6950 mark. Today pair made intraday high at $0.6947 and low at $0.6902 mark. A day chart is down and H1 chart with triple EMA suggests up trend for the time being. A sustained close above $0.6962 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below $0.6902 will check further supports. 0.6890 0.6867 0.6850 0.6826 AUGUST, 2022
  • 4. BUY SELL R E P O R T F R O M : T P G LO B A L F X Technical Summary H 1 FIBO Levels PIVOT R1 S1 0.9998 R2 S2 1.0022 R3 S3 1.0052 R4 Commentary S4 1.0078 +1 7754 366 970 analysis@tpglobalfx.com - Time Frame: H1 EUR/USD: The euro recovered noticeably during U.S. session and currently hovers around key resistance at $0.9998 mark. Today the pair made intraday high at $0.9992 and low at $0.9963 mark. Today triple EMA on a day chart is down and H1 chart suggests up trend for the time being. A consistent close above $0.9998 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a sustained close below $0.9948 on H1 chart will check further supports. EUR / USD 0.9948 0.9920 0.9901 0.9881 Buy Above 0.9998 1.0030 0.9970 – Take Profit – Stop Loss Trade Idea Sell Below 0.9958 0.9921 0.9989 – Take Profit – Stop Loss Trade Idea Trends Up Trend Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50 AUGUST, 2022
  • 5. BUY SELL R E P O R T F R O M : T P G LO B A L F X Technical Summary H 1 FIBO Levels PIVOT R1 S1 1.1830 R2 S2 1.1856 R3 S3 1.1872 R4 Commentary S4 1.1890 Buy Above 1.1830 1.1865 1.1802 – Take Profit – Stop Loss Trade Idea Sell Below 1.1780 1.1752 1.1806 – Take Profit – Stop Loss Trade Idea +1 7754 366 970 analysis@tpglobalfx.com - Time Frame: H1 GBP/USD: The sterling moves in rigid boundaries amid economic light calendar and trading around $1.1820 mark. Today pair made intraday high at $1.1825 and low at $1.1783 mark. A day chart is down and H1 chart with triple EMA suggests up trend for the time being. A sustained close above $1.1830 on H1 chart will check key resistances. Alternatively, a consistent close below $1.1780 will check further supports. USD 1.1780 1.1755 1.1721 1.1701 GBP/ Trends Up Trend Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50 AUGUST, 2022
  • 6. BUY SELL R E P O R T F R O M : T P G LO B A L F X Technical Summary Trends Down Trend Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA H 1 RSI (Period=26 Below RSI LEVEL 50 FIBO Levels PIVOT R1 S1 1.2970 R2 S2 1.2999 R3 S3 1.3015 R4 Commentary S4 1.3042 Buy Above 1.2972 1.2998 1.2940 – Take Profit – Stop Loss Trade Idea Sell Below 1.2940 1.2912 1.2968 – Take Profit – Stop Loss Trade Idea +1 7754 366 970 analysis@tpglobalfx.com - Time Frame: H1 USD/CAD: The CAD starts a new day on a positive note and stabilizes below 1.2950 mark. Today the pair made intraday high at 1.2975 and low at 1.2946 mark. Today a day chart is up and H1 chart with triple EMA suggests bearish trend for the time being. A sustained close above 1.2970 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below 1.2940 on H1 chart will check key supports too. USD /CAD 1.2940 1.2912 1.2900 1.2878 AUGUST, 2022
  • 7. BUY SELL R E P O R T F R O M : T P G LO B A L F X Technical Summary Trend Down Trend Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA H 1 RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50 FIBO Levels PIVOT R1 S1 137.12 R2 S2 137.30 R3 S3 137.62 R4 Commentary S4 137.85 Buy Above 137.05 137.37 136.72 – Take Profit – Stop Loss Trade Idea Sell Below 136.54 136.10 136.90 – Take Profit – Stop Loss Trade Idea +1 7754 366 970 analysis@tpglobalfx.com - Time Frame: H1 USD/JPY: The Japanese yen enjoys roller coaster movement and currently stabilizes around 136.75 mark. The pair made intraday high at 137.20 and low at 136.58 mark. The triple EMAon a day chart is up and H1 chart suggests bearish trend for the time being. A sustained close above 137.12 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally.Alternatively, a consistent close below 136.62 on H1 chart will check further key supports. USD /JPY 136.62 136.22 136.01 135.80 AUGUST, 2022
  • 8. BUY SELL R E P O R T F R O M : T P G LO B A L F X Technical Summary Trend Down Trend Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA H 1 RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50 FIBO Levels PIVOT R1 S1 1762 R2 S2 1768 R3 S3 1772 R4 Commentary S4 1778 Buy Above 1762 1767 1755 – Take Profit – Stop Loss Trade Idea Sell Below 1752 1744 1759 – Take Profit – Stop Loss Trade Idea +1 7754 366 970 analysis@tpglobalfx.com - Time Frame: H1 XAU/USD (GOLD): Gold strengthens slightly on Thursday and jumps back above $1,750 mark. Today the pair made intraday high at $1,757 and low at $1,749 mark. Today a day chart is down and H1 chart with triple EMAsuggests bullish trend for the time being. Asustained close above $1,762 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below $1,750 on H1 chart will test further supports. XAU [GOLD] USD / 1749 1744 1738 1732 AUGUST, 2022
  • 9. Thank you! Info@tpglobalfx.com www.tpglobalfx.com R E P O R T F R O M : T P G L O B A L F X /tpglobalfx /tpglobalfx /tpglobalfx /tpglobalfx that even knowledgeable and well-experienced investors can experience large potential losses as a result of trading in Forex and CFDs. Consequently, investors should be fully aware of all the risks involved when trading Forex and CFDs and accept all the negative consequences associated with such trading. Please always remember that trading in Forex and CFDs might not be suitable for all investors. It is desirable investors who would consider trading, to do so only with money that they can afford to lose. You are also recommended to seek independent financial advice if necessary. The content on this website does not constitute financial or investment advice. Any information herein is of a general nature and does not take into consideration your personal circumstances, investment experience or current financial situation. Apple, the Apple logo, iPod, iPad, iPod touch, and iTunes are trademarks of Apple Inc, registered in the US and other countries. IPhone is a trademark of Apple Inc. App Store is a service mark of Apple Inc. This site is run and operated by – TP Global Services Limited registered by FSA, St. Vincent and the Grenadines with Number 25274 BC 2019 TP Global Services Limited does not offer its services to residents of certain jurisdictions such as USA, and British Columbia. Disclamer: Forex and Contracts for Difference (CFDs) are leveraged products. Trading in these products is highly speculative and involves substantial risk. Please note