1. may 9.2016
Julie Newman Director, Office of Sustainability
Brent D. Ryan Assoc. Prof. Dept. of Urban Studies
and Planning & Head of City Design & Dev't Group
Maryanne Kirkbride Clinical Director for Campus Life, MIT Medical
Lawrence Susskind Prof. Dept. of Urban Studies and Planning
campus resiliency
through community
design
2. Complete a climate vulnerability assessment of
the MIT campus that assesses the impacts from
increasing temperatures, extreme storms,
flooding, storm surge, sea level rise, and the
interaction of these factors
Building on the work of the City of Cambridge
MIT Climate Resiliency Committee
may 9.2016
23
Heat Index - 2030sScenario
for Social Environment
“Feels-like” temperature variability on a day when heat index is 96° F
(90oFwith relative humidity 50 – 55%)
4 Consecutive Days With
Heat Index At 96oF
25
Update on Sea Level Rise / Storm Surge
• 2030s: Charles River
Dam unlikely to be
overtopped, unlikely
impact on Cambridge
• 2050-2070: Charles
River Dam becoming
more likely to be
overtopped, likely
impact on Cambridge
• Preliminary findings:
Modeling being
finalized for 2070s
Preliminary findings:
Boundaries of MassDOT study
(Source: MassDOT, Woods Hole Group, UMass Boston, March 2015)
16
Inland Flooding– 2070s
High Scenario
(11.7 inches over 24 hours)
Manhole flooding by MWH, Riverine flooding by VHB
3. 17
(8.9 inches over 24 hours)
Manhole flooding by MWH, Riverine flooding by VHB
Replace with 10 yr flooding – same zoom-in
Inland Flooding/ Eastern Cambridge – Present
Low Scenario
10 yr 24 hr baseline– Total FloodingABand CRAreas
(4.9 inches over 24 hours)
19
Manhole flooding by MWH, Riverine flooding by VHB
Inland Flooding/ Eastern Cambridge – 2030s
High Scenario
100 yr 24 hr by2030s– Total FloodingABand CRAreas
(10.2 inches over 24 hours)
5. 2INTRODUCTION
Map: 6 Feet of Sea Level Rise
By2100,Massachusettswill
experiencebetween1.5 and 6ft of sea
level rise.At 6ft,theCommonwealth
standsat risk of having309,220
individualsdisplaced fromtheir
homes.
6.
7.
8. 7SENDINGTOWNS
LAND
INVENTORYLANDINVENTORY
Map: Land Inventory
Open Space+
LowDensity Parcels
Public Open Space
Federal,State, County, Municipal,
PublicNon-Profit
Land Trust & Conservation Open Space
PrivateOpen Space
CandidateParcels
<15%lot coverageOR>1acreof unbuilt land
9.
10.
11.
12. • How does MIT define Resiliency?
• What can we do? How can the built
environment influence health and wellbeing?
• How can we measure success?
As many of you know, the MIT Climate Resiliency Committee was launched in Fall 2015 through a coordinated faculty and staff effort to come together around a shared desire to prepare MIT for the impacts of climate change, and utilize MIT resources to harness new research and thinking for regional preparation.
Broadly, when we speak about climate resiliency, we mean “the ability to prepare for, respond to, and prevent disruption from climate impacts’. One might also expand the definition of resiliency to include a more human element, for instance adding “the ability for people to thrive, even in uncertain conditions.”
Our panelists today will be touching particularly on this human element, but first let me give a brief overview of MIT’s current activities around assessing climate impacts.
As many of you know, the MIT Climate Resiliency Committee was launched in Fall 2015 through a coordinated faculty and staff effort to come together around a shared desire to prepare MIT for the impacts of climate change.
The charge of this group was to complete a campus climate vulnerability assessment which assesses the impacts from climate change in five areas: increasing temperatures, extreme storms, flooding, storm surge, sea level rise, AND, the interaction of these factors, for of course we know that we will see for instance extreme hurricaines in a future where sea levels have risen.
If you remember from last year’s presentations, the City of Cambridge released a climate vulnerability assessment, and our efforts builds on this process. The goals of the group, in addition to completing an assessment which takes the work of the city and downscales it to the campus, also included:
Identifying opportunities for research and living laboratory projects to improve regional knowledge and action
Playing a leadership role in convening regional partners for shared planning
Continuing to integrate climate vulnerability assessment components and outcomes with the City of Cambridge and City of Boston
Here is one slide from the City of Cambridge’s assessment, showing flooding impacts. In this diagram, one or several in the full report released by the City, we can see that flooding today (transition) will look quite different than flooding tomorrow. What we don’t see in this map is how the flooding will impact people – how they move through the City, how they get to work, how they adapt their daily lives to deal with change.
I show this to set the context for our panel today. As MIT embarks upon a trajectory of both completing research for a more resilient future, and plans for a more resilient campus in the future, it can be easy to fall into the habit of thinking of “campus” or “community” resiliency as only pertaining to physical systems like buildings, energy support, or roads.
Our panelists today (Brent, Maryanne, and Larry), will be discussing ways in which their research, our work on campus, and our work in the city, explores the full range of the word “resiliency” to ensure MIT is undertaking design and practice which is grounded in not only preparing our infrastructure, but our people for a changing planet and emerging challenges today.
Panelist Introductions