Can we create     a safe and just space         for humanity ?Kate Raworth, Senior Researcher, Oxfam          STEPS Centre...
The Long View on commodity prices
The Long View on commodity prices
The Really Long View on well-being
Nine planetary boundaries     Source: Rockström et al 2009
Understanding the human body     France, 14th century
Understanding the human body   Understanding Planet Earth     France, 14th century       Everywhere, 21st century
Transgressing planetary boundaries     Source: Oxfam based on Rockström et al 2009
Resource stress   Resource scarcity
Resource stress                   Resource scarcity   What outlook for people living in poverty? Land grabs   Food price c...
A safe operating space for humanity
A safe and just space for humanity
Doughnut dynamics
Doughnut dynamics
Doughnut dynamics
A safe and just space for humanity
Falling far below the social foundation
Ending poverty: no pressure on the planet                               End income poverty for all:                       ...
Who’s putting pressure on the planet ?50% of CO2 emissions          33% of nitrogen ‘budget’produced by 11% of people     ...
A safe and just space for humanity
Green and inclusive growth
The promise of economic growth
The reality of economic growth to date
Inclusive and sustainable economic development Time to reengineer economic development                                    ...
Sustainable development goals
Towards Sustainable Development GoalsOne set of global goals• Environment & development• Targets for every country• Common...
Join the doughnut debate…www.oxfamblogs.org/doughnut       @KateRaworth
Planetary boundaries:a safety zone for planetary thresholds
Developed countries in the G20: CO2 vs. GDP Growth           150%                                                         ...
BRICSAMs in the G20: CO2 vs. GDP Growth           150%                                                                    ...
The pressures for economic growthJobs, incomes, public goods     Repay public and private debts Tolerance and redistributi...
Can your country get into the doughnut?How has the social foundation progressedin the last 20 years?What are the greatest ...
Kate Raworth - Can we create a safe and just space for humanity?
Kate Raworth - Can we create a safe and just space for humanity?
Kate Raworth - Can we create a safe and just space for humanity?
Kate Raworth - Can we create a safe and just space for humanity?
Kate Raworth - Can we create a safe and just space for humanity?
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Kate Raworth - Can we create a safe and just space for humanity?

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Slides from the STEPS Centre seminar of Kate Raworth, Senior Research at Oxfam. 10 October 2012.

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  • Put your brand on the table.
  • Thinking about the quality and impact of GDP growth. No country has ever got its citizens out of poverty without GDP growth. But growth has always been resource intensive so just as it gets people over the social foundation, so it starts heading towards the planetary boundaries.
  • Thinking about the quality and impact of GDP growth. No country has ever got its citizens out of poverty without GDP growth. But growth has always been resource intensive so just as it gets people over the social foundation, so it starts heading towards the planetary boundaries.
  • What would it look like to do a national analysis? Hand out the 2 pager. Hugh introduce the ideas, discuss group’s ideas for making it strategic to oxfam and to the country.
  • Kate Raworth - Can we create a safe and just space for humanity?

    1. 1. Can we create a safe and just space for humanity ?Kate Raworth, Senior Researcher, Oxfam STEPS Centre IDS 10 October 2012
    2. 2. The Long View on commodity prices
    3. 3. The Long View on commodity prices
    4. 4. The Really Long View on well-being
    5. 5. Nine planetary boundaries Source: Rockström et al 2009
    6. 6. Understanding the human body France, 14th century
    7. 7. Understanding the human body Understanding Planet Earth France, 14th century Everywhere, 21st century
    8. 8. Transgressing planetary boundaries Source: Oxfam based on Rockström et al 2009
    9. 9. Resource stress Resource scarcity
    10. 10. Resource stress Resource scarcity What outlook for people living in poverty? Land grabs Food price crises Water scarcity Energy poverty
    11. 11. A safe operating space for humanity
    12. 12. A safe and just space for humanity
    13. 13. Doughnut dynamics
    14. 14. Doughnut dynamics
    15. 15. Doughnut dynamics
    16. 16. A safe and just space for humanity
    17. 17. Falling far below the social foundation
    18. 18. Ending poverty: no pressure on the planet End income poverty for all: 0.2% of global income End hunger for all: 3% of global food supply Electricity for all: 1% of global CO2 emissions
    19. 19. Who’s putting pressure on the planet ?50% of CO2 emissions 33% of nitrogen ‘budget’produced by 11% of people used to produce meat for the EU
    20. 20. A safe and just space for humanity
    21. 21. Green and inclusive growth
    22. 22. The promise of economic growth
    23. 23. The reality of economic growth to date
    24. 24. Inclusive and sustainable economic development Time to reengineer economic development High income countries Emerging Low income economies countries
    25. 25. Sustainable development goals
    26. 26. Towards Sustainable Development GoalsOne set of global goals• Environment & development• Targets for every country• Common but differentiated responsibilitiesTargets focused on:• Ending social deprivations• Respecting resource thresholds• Ensuring social equity• Raising resource efficiency
    27. 27. Join the doughnut debate…www.oxfamblogs.org/doughnut @KateRaworth
    28. 28. Planetary boundaries:a safety zone for planetary thresholds
    29. 29. Developed countries in the G20: CO2 vs. GDP Growth 150% CHN 130% IND 110% Zone 1: IDN No decoupling KOR 90% TUR BRA Zone 2: 70% Relative decoupling ARG -2 7 0 50% 9 1 m b u d p n o a c s2e r AUS ) t ( i 30% CAN ZAF USA JPN 10% MEX ITAOwGCnhorti GBR -50% 0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 250% 300% 350% 400% -10% FRA DEU -30% Zone 3: RUS Absolute decoupling -50% Growth in GDP, 1991-2007
    30. 30. BRICSAMs in the G20: CO2 vs. GDP Growth 150% CHN 130% IND 110% Zone 1: IDN No decoupling KOR 90% TUR BRA Zone 2: 70% Relative decoupling ARG -2 7 0 50% 9 1 m b u d p n o a c s2e r AUS ) t ( i 30% CAN ZAF USA JPN 10% MEX ITAOwGCnhorti GBR -50% 0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 250% 300% 350% 400% -10% FRA DEU -30% Zone 3: RUS Absolute decoupling -50% Growth in GDP, 1991-2007
    31. 31. The pressures for economic growthJobs, incomes, public goods Repay public and private debts Tolerance and redistribution No growth = stagnation ?
    32. 32. Can your country get into the doughnut?How has the social foundation progressedin the last 20 years?What are the greatest social inequalities?How has pressure on naturalresources changed over these 20 years?What and who is causing that stress?Where is the current economic pathway heading?What policies and practices could bring this nationbetween its social and planetary boundaries?

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