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DevTalks Cluj - Predictions for Machine Learning in 2020

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Slides from a panel discussion about the future of software development in 2020. From the DevTalks conference, in Cluj, Romania. The robots are coming for us!

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DevTalks Cluj - Predictions for Machine Learning in 2020

  1. 1. Predictions for 2020: Machine Learning Steffen Wenz, CTO TrustYou steffen@trustyou.net
  2. 2. Experts agree: Full/strong AI by end of the century ● Intelligence explosion, “technological singularity” ● Nick Bostrom: Superintelligence: Paths, Dangers, Strategies 2012 2016 2020 2035 2100
  3. 3. Disruptions on the labor market ● Industrialization diminished physical jobs. What will smart machines do to thinking/creative jobs? ● “Humans need not apply” (YouTube) ● The end of capitalism? 2012 2016 2020 2035 2100
  4. 4. Deep Learning ● Revival of neural networks with more computing power? ● Representation learning → No more feature modeling ● Learn from lots of unlabeled data → Less/no reliance on labeling data by humans 2012 2016 2020 2035 2100
  5. 5. “Google’s Artificial Brain Learns to Find Cat Videos” “A picture is worth a thousand (coherent) words” (2014) 2012 2016 2020 2035 2100
  6. 6. Deep learning out of the box with open source! ● Caffe (Berkeley Vision Group) ● TensorFlow (Google) ● … ● Integration with big data frameworks 2012 2016 2020 2035 2100
  7. 7. ↝ Deep learning conquers more fields, outperforms ML methods that rely on human expertise ○ Medicine, genetics! ↝ Smart assistants, limited to a certain domain, part of everyday life (self-driving cars!) ↝ Dialog-style interaction with computers ↝ Resistance movements to technological unemployment 2012 2016 2020 2035 2100
  8. 8. ● Warning, these are predictions made by humans! ● “People are biased to predict AI twenty years in the future, or just before their own deaths” ● AI predictions from the 60s, followed by AI winter 2012 2016 2020 2035 2100 ?
  9. 9. Thank you! Steffen Wenz, CTO TrustYou steffen@trustyou.net www.trustyou.com

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