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And so it goes




                 www.alaintheriault.com
Write a business plan




                        www.alaintheriault.com
So, what’s in it for you ?




Opportunity is in the eye of the beholder !
So, why should
you listen
to me ?
The Business Plans
• 30 300 000 results on Google
  for “business plan”

• Over 1,700 books on Amazon
  But…
The Business Plans
• It barely changed in 40 years
• People read it less and less
• It doesn’t guarantee success, performance or
  profits
• It won’t get you the money you need,
  even less the money you want
The Business Plans
• Most entrepreneurs aren’t motivated by it.
• Very few believe in it
• Money providers barely rely on it, because the
  content rarely fits their expectations
• The business counselors try to work
  around it’s weaknesses
Entrepreneurs have the
bright shiny new gizmo syndrome!
First came the shakers….
Do you know this man ?

         “A good business plan
          is an elaboration of a
          good pitch”.
Do you know this man ?

          “Most people spend eighty
           percent of their effort on
           crafting a one million cell
           Excel spreadsheet that
           no one believes”
Do you know this man ?

         “Don’t get obsessed with
          details in your financial
          forecast because it
          should be one page long”
Do you know this man ?

         “You are flexible and
          fast moving:
          changing as you learn
          more and more about
          the market”
Guy Kawasaki




Guy Kawasaki is a managing director of Garage Technology Ventures,
(an early-stage venture capital firm)
and a columnist for Entrepreneur Magazine.


Honorary doctorate from Babson College
Do you know this book ?

     If they can find the fatal flaw
     before they write their
     business plan…

     They can modify their idea,
     shaping the opportunity to better fit
     the hotly competitive world in
     which it seeks to bear fruit.
The new business road test

       Better yet, if, after asking their daily
       question and probing, testing and
       experimenting for answers, the signs
       remain positive, they embrace their
       opportunity with renewed passion and
       conviction…
The new business road test

       ‘‘most business plans
        should have been
        abandoned
        before they were written’’
The new business road test

       ‘‘Such a study – a short memo
        to oneself - provides a clear,
        customer-focused vision
        about why the proposed
        venture makes sense…’’
Who is John W. Mullins ?

                         ‘‘serious entrepreneurs
                           run road tests
                           of the opportunities
                           they consider’’




Associate Professor of Management Practice in
Entrepreneurship; Entrepreneurship Faculty
Do you know this book ?

     “It is more essential
      to plan a business
      than it is to write
      a business plan”
Burn your business plan

     “Business Plans
      are prepared too early
      in the Start-up process”
Burn your business plan

     “The preoccupation with the
      business plan is not only
      counterproductive but also may
      lead to firms losing interested
      investors and potential sales”
Burn your business plan

     • 3 years scenarios don’t make sense
     • No proven ability to react!
     • Won’t be ready when investors are
     • Won’t be prepared to present
     • You won’t stand out in the crowd
     • Far from reality
David E. Gumpert

             “ And while planning and analysis are related
               to financial performance, this planning may
               not need to be in the form of a written
               business plan…flexibility is critical ”




Author and
Journalist
Then came the clincher….
Do you know this man ?

    A study of 116 businesses started
    by alumni who graduated between
    1985 and 2003. Comparing
    success measures such as annual
    revenue, employee numbers and
    net income, the study found no
    statistical difference in success
    between those businesses
    started with formal written plans
    and those without them...
Do you know this man ?

    “ What we really don’t want to do
     is literally spend a year or more
     essentially writing a business plan
     without knowing we have actual
     customers ”
Do you know this man ?
     “ Entrepreneurs must be
      nimble, and will be more apt
      to stick with a flawed concept
      they spent months drafting”
William Bygrave
                      “Entrepreneurs must be
                       nimble, and will be more apt
                       to stick with a flawed concept
                       they spent months drafting”


Professor Emeritus
Then came another one….
Do you know this man ?

     Hypothesis # 4 :
     Producing business plans will
     increase the probability of a
     nascent organization’s survival


     FALSE !
Benson Honig

                           Hypothesis #5 :
                           Producing business plans is positively
                           correlated with the probability of a
                           nascent organization’s reaching
                           profitability

                           FALSE !
Director of the Centre for the study of Nascent
Entrepreneurship and the eXploitation of Technology (NeXt)
Wilfrid Laurier School of Business & Economics
Then came the inspiration….
Raphaël Cohen




Professeur à HEC Genève et à la Thunderbird
University (Phoenix)
Auteur du livre Concevoir et lancer un projet
Éditions de l’Organisation
Raphaël Cohen
Do you know this man ?

                     “ Writing a business plan
                       is too often the biography
                       of an unborn company ”




Full time Lecturer
HEC-Montreal
The Need




           www.alaintheriault.com
Maslow          21e siècle




         Tous droits réservés -
                       Besoin
                                  www.alaintheriault.com
A convincing solution




                        www.alaintheriault.com
The advantage

•   Comparative
•   Competitive
•   Unfair
•   V=B-C
•   V=R-E




                  www.alaintheriault.com
Junkies ?   www.alaintheriault.com
Probability
   Uncertainty,
    Unknown!
Six tresholds
Get something going
Then came a work in progress….
The leader…in tech

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Giliian

  • 1. And so it goes www.alaintheriault.com
  • 2. Write a business plan www.alaintheriault.com
  • 3. So, what’s in it for you ? Opportunity is in the eye of the beholder !
  • 4. So, why should you listen to me ?
  • 5. The Business Plans • 30 300 000 results on Google for “business plan” • Over 1,700 books on Amazon But…
  • 6. The Business Plans • It barely changed in 40 years • People read it less and less • It doesn’t guarantee success, performance or profits • It won’t get you the money you need, even less the money you want
  • 7. The Business Plans • Most entrepreneurs aren’t motivated by it. • Very few believe in it • Money providers barely rely on it, because the content rarely fits their expectations • The business counselors try to work around it’s weaknesses
  • 8. Entrepreneurs have the bright shiny new gizmo syndrome!
  • 9. First came the shakers….
  • 10. Do you know this man ? “A good business plan is an elaboration of a good pitch”.
  • 11. Do you know this man ? “Most people spend eighty percent of their effort on crafting a one million cell Excel spreadsheet that no one believes”
  • 12. Do you know this man ? “Don’t get obsessed with details in your financial forecast because it should be one page long”
  • 13. Do you know this man ? “You are flexible and fast moving: changing as you learn more and more about the market”
  • 14. Guy Kawasaki Guy Kawasaki is a managing director of Garage Technology Ventures, (an early-stage venture capital firm) and a columnist for Entrepreneur Magazine. Honorary doctorate from Babson College
  • 15. Do you know this book ? If they can find the fatal flaw before they write their business plan… They can modify their idea, shaping the opportunity to better fit the hotly competitive world in which it seeks to bear fruit.
  • 16. The new business road test Better yet, if, after asking their daily question and probing, testing and experimenting for answers, the signs remain positive, they embrace their opportunity with renewed passion and conviction…
  • 17. The new business road test ‘‘most business plans should have been abandoned before they were written’’
  • 18. The new business road test ‘‘Such a study – a short memo to oneself - provides a clear, customer-focused vision about why the proposed venture makes sense…’’
  • 19. Who is John W. Mullins ? ‘‘serious entrepreneurs run road tests of the opportunities they consider’’ Associate Professor of Management Practice in Entrepreneurship; Entrepreneurship Faculty
  • 20. Do you know this book ? “It is more essential to plan a business than it is to write a business plan”
  • 21. Burn your business plan “Business Plans are prepared too early in the Start-up process”
  • 22. Burn your business plan “The preoccupation with the business plan is not only counterproductive but also may lead to firms losing interested investors and potential sales”
  • 23. Burn your business plan • 3 years scenarios don’t make sense • No proven ability to react! • Won’t be ready when investors are • Won’t be prepared to present • You won’t stand out in the crowd • Far from reality
  • 24. David E. Gumpert “ And while planning and analysis are related to financial performance, this planning may not need to be in the form of a written business plan…flexibility is critical ” Author and Journalist
  • 25. Then came the clincher….
  • 26. Do you know this man ? A study of 116 businesses started by alumni who graduated between 1985 and 2003. Comparing success measures such as annual revenue, employee numbers and net income, the study found no statistical difference in success between those businesses started with formal written plans and those without them...
  • 27. Do you know this man ? “ What we really don’t want to do is literally spend a year or more essentially writing a business plan without knowing we have actual customers ”
  • 28. Do you know this man ? “ Entrepreneurs must be nimble, and will be more apt to stick with a flawed concept they spent months drafting”
  • 29. William Bygrave “Entrepreneurs must be nimble, and will be more apt to stick with a flawed concept they spent months drafting” Professor Emeritus
  • 30. Then came another one….
  • 31. Do you know this man ? Hypothesis # 4 : Producing business plans will increase the probability of a nascent organization’s survival FALSE !
  • 32. Benson Honig Hypothesis #5 : Producing business plans is positively correlated with the probability of a nascent organization’s reaching profitability FALSE ! Director of the Centre for the study of Nascent Entrepreneurship and the eXploitation of Technology (NeXt) Wilfrid Laurier School of Business & Economics
  • 33. Then came the inspiration….
  • 34. Raphaël Cohen Professeur à HEC Genève et à la Thunderbird University (Phoenix) Auteur du livre Concevoir et lancer un projet Éditions de l’Organisation
  • 36. Do you know this man ? “ Writing a business plan is too often the biography of an unborn company ” Full time Lecturer HEC-Montreal
  • 37.
  • 38. The Need www.alaintheriault.com
  • 39. Maslow 21e siècle Tous droits réservés - Besoin www.alaintheriault.com
  • 40. A convincing solution www.alaintheriault.com
  • 41. The advantage • Comparative • Competitive • Unfair • V=B-C • V=R-E www.alaintheriault.com
  • 42. Junkies ? www.alaintheriault.com
  • 43. Probability Uncertainty, Unknown!
  • 46. Then came a work in progress….

Editor's Notes

  1. Vision Mission
  2. You create an opportunity We are, in the world, the territory (quebec) where there is the most money invested to support entrepreneurship and our results are catastrophic There are many ways of starting a business. Right ttime, right place, right solution…but being the right person is the glue that holds it together. That is why so many project fail There might be a market fit BUT is there an entrepreneurs-fit…very few dare go there when someone come to present a project
  3. B.Ed brought me 10 years in guidance counseling MBA 10 years in entrepreneurship Managing directorEntrepreneurship Center Lecturer One of the Founding member of the Quebec association of Incubation Full-time coach of entrepreneurs The EEB Unique in the world) I come from my experience, my frame of reference
  4. Talk about the ADD syndrome
  5. Talk about the ADD syndrome
  6. Tell the story
  7. My thoughts on science fiction novels
  8. This hands over millions of dollars… Is 10-20-30 rule
  9. Ask who in the crowd knows him ?
  10. Ask who in the crowd knows him ?
  11. Before kept coming back…
  12. Cram on a term paper then left to rot. A daily process
  13. Arch one… Do we rush into things
  14. One page, short kept coming back
  15. The idea of Road test
  16. The importance of planning is NOT equal t the Business plan
  17. Are we rushing it again
  18. Wasting time chasing BP contest Running around economic development organizations for money
  19. Just more reeasons
  20. Flexibility is Key
  21. Talk about the ADD syndrome
  22. Hard evidence
  23. Concentrate on the few first client
  24. Why do they Sticki so much to a bad solutions
  25. Talk about the ADD syndrome
  26. Big concept!
  27. That one I was waiting for
  28. Talk about the ADD syndrome
  29. The man behind the launch of the nespresso coffee machines Pain-Need-desire: Expressing it is the toughest part The importance of Innovation not invention The hability to decide The stakeholders The customer decision criterias The Customer Unique experience
  30. The man behind the launch of the nespresso coffee machines Pain-Need-desire: Expressing it is the toughest part The importance of Innovation not invention The hability to decide The stakeholders The customer decision criterias The Customer Unique experience
  31. Our model
  32. Les besoins sont plus psychologiques, besoin du 2 e degrè
  33. Catching and understanding trends Social Political economic Cultural technological rules Environnement SWOThreats analysis Porter model How the game is played What it takes to WIN
  34. Positionning Kano Better product Better efficiency Better relationship FAST-GOOD-CHEAP
  35. Fail parce qu ’ il n ’ y a pas de client Formuler le modèle: Iteration mesure, mettre sur le marché Ce n ’ est pas à propos de ce que vous aimez, c ’ est à propos de ce qu ’ ils aiment, veulent et ont de besoin! Apprentissage validé Ce sont des évangélistes Vrai Études de marchés Premiere version Customer acquisition model ? Solliciter le feedback Les 5 pourquoi: Régler la cause et non le symptôme Comment se comportent-ils ?Que font-ils avec le produit Accrocs visionnaire: Quelle autre utilité ? PAS JUSTE TESTER LE PRODUIT: Les éléments marketing, comment répondent-ils ? I-Kola Questionnaire Medais sociaux Product to market « fit » : Mesurer 10 personnes Customer discoveries->Validation| >(iterations néceaaires) customer creation-> company building real client/ hypotheses : Problem et concept du produit En vouloir est quelques chose, l ’ utiliser une autre l ’ exemple de la FLip Incertitudes à propos de ce qyue le consommateurs désire
  36. Argent – Temps – Santé – Famille – Notoriété – Estime de soi Harvard Study Six Treshold
  37. Le temps L ’argent Social Stress Réputation/notoriété Psychologique: Estime de soi
  38. Focus business Le pitch se développe Le modèle d ’ affaires: Apprentissage sur soi, son entreprise aussi…impact sur la vision! Qu ’ est-ce que le plan mesure par rapport à ce qu ’ il y aura à faire !!!! Une fois par rapport à plusieurs ?!?!?!!? SHOW ME THE MONEY!!!! Focus Business Utiliser le canvas Fixer des objectifs: Accessible (tous peuvent suivre), calculables/mesurables, appuyés sur des actions concrèetes Real BAD news is better on a smaller scale Formulation des hypothèses Produits, problème canaux de distribution, demandes marché et compétition On mesure: Acquisition, activation, références, rétention, et surtout revenu Aller chercher l ’ argent quand le risque qui reste est Technique Pas une risque de marché. SUICIDE ZONE: Nouvelle techno, nouveau produit, nouveau marché La rapidité des opérations, des itérations Minimum viable product/measure how people use it, faire de petites expérience, mesurer, si le ROI descent LÀ il faut pivoter Les coûts, un peu, la rapidité est plius précieuse Sales roadmap: influence map: Compr.hension du cycle de vente Modèle de revenu Type de marché matrice produit /marché What changes in et quellle stratégie market: size, cout d ’ entrée, cout de sortie barrière positionnement /sales/, model, cycle, marges, chasm s techno customer/: besoin adoption finance: time to profit, time to market, burn rate etc.
  39. Talk about the ADD syndrome