#ausvotes Mark Two: Twitter in the 2013 Australian Federal Election

Axel Bruns
Axel BrunsProfessor at Digital Media Research Centre, Queensland University of Technology
#ausvotes Mark Two: Twitter in the
2013 Australian Federal Election
Axel Bruns, Tim Highfield, and Theresa Sauter
ARC Centre of Excellence for Creative Industries and Innovation
Queensland University of Technology
a.bruns@qut.edu.au — t.highfield@qut.edu.au — t.sauter@qut.edu.au
@snurb_dot_info — @timhighfield — @lena_sauter
http://mappingonlinepublics.net/ — http://socialmedia.qut.edu.au/
BACKGROUND
• Research projects:
– ARC Discovery: New Media and Public Communication (QUT)
– NRC FRISAM: Impact of Social Media on Agenda-Setting in Election
Campaigns (QUT, UiO, UiB, Uppsala, CSU LB)
– ATN-DAAD: Mapping Networked Politics (QUT, LMU)

• Study design:
– Comparative study of Twitter usage during
Australian, Norwegian, German (and US) election
– Tracking tweets from and at Twitter accounts of MPs and candidates
before, during, and after election campaigns
– Additional analysis of follower networks, national Twitterspheres, social
media / mainstream media intersections, etc.
TIMELINE
•

Nov. 2007:

Kevin Rudd (Labor) wins the federal election

•

Dec. 2009:

Tony Abbott (Liberal) becomes Opposition Leader

•

June 2010:

Kevin Rudd is replaced by his Deputy, Julia Gillard (Labor)

•

Aug. 2010:

Julia Gillard narrowly wins the federal election
Labor minority government, supported by Greens and Independents
Labor introduces Emissions Trading Scheme amid fierce opposition
Poor opinion polls for Gillard, continuing Labor leadership tension
Several unsuccessful leadership challenges by Kevin Rudd

•

June 2013:

•

4 Aug. – 7 Sep. 2013: 2013 Australian federal election campaign

•

Sep. 2013:

Kevin Rudd wins leadership challenge, becomes PM again, calls election

Tony Abbott wins the federal election
THE SOCIAL MEDIA PM?
TWITTER FOR CAMPAIGNING
AUSTRALIAN POLITICIANS ON TWITTER

(data to June 2013)
@TONYABBOTTMHR’S FAKE FOLLOWERS

(11/12 Aug. 2013)
40000

4/08/2013
5/08/2013
6/08/2013
7/08/2013
8/08/2013
9/08/2013
10/08/2013
11/08/2013
12/08/2013
13/08/2013
14/08/2013
15/08/2013
16/08/2013
17/08/2013
18/08/2013
19/08/2013
20/08/2013
21/08/2013
22/08/2013
23/08/2013
24/08/2013
25/08/2013
26/08/2013
27/08/2013
28/08/2013
29/08/2013
30/08/2013
31/08/2013
1/09/2013
2/09/2013
3/09/2013
4/09/2013
5/09/2013
6/09/2013
7/09/2013
8/09/2013

#AUSVOTES DURING THE CAMPAIGN

120000

100000

Election day

80000

Labor campaign
‘launch’

60000
Sum of retweets

TV debates

20000

0
Sum of genuine @replies

Sum of original tweets
2013-Sep-07 23

2013-Sep-07 22

2013-Sep-07 21

2013-Sep-07 20

2013-Sep-07 19

2013-Sep-07 18

2013-Sep-07 17

16000

2013-Sep-07 16

2013-Sep-07 15

12000

2013-Sep-07 14

2013-Sep-07 13

2013-Sep-07 12

2013-Sep-07 11

2013-Sep-07 10

2013-Sep-07 09

2013-Sep-07 08

2013-Sep-07 07

8000

2013-Sep-07 06

2013-Sep-07 05

2013-Sep-07 04

2013-Sep-07 03

2013-Sep-07 02

2013-Sep-07 01

2013-Sep-07 00

#AUSVOTES ON ELECTION DAY

18000

Abbott’s victory
speech

14000

Polls close
(eastern states)

10000

Polls open
(eastern states)
Sum of retweets

6000
Sum of genuine @replies

Sum of original tweets

4000

2000

0
@MENTIONS OF LEADERS

(@REPLIES + RETWEETS)

TV debates
Abbott ‘sex appeal’
comments

Labor campaign
‘launch’
RETWEETS OF LEADERS
TWEETS BY LEADERS
TWEETS BY PARTY CANDIDATES
TWITTER FOR
DISCUSSING THE LEADERS
@MENTIONS OF LEADERS
@MENTIONS OF PARTY CANDIDATES
( @ K R U D D M P A N D @ T O N YA B B O T T M H R R E M O V E D )
@MENTIONS (ALL USERS)
RETWEETS

(ALL USERS)

Pirates

Labor

WikiLeaks

Greens

Palmer

Katter +
Nationals

Liberals
@MENTIONS BETWEEN POLITICIANS
RETWEETS

BETWEEN POLITICIANS
@MENTIONS OF LOCAL CANDIDATES
SOME FIRST CONCLUSIONS
•

Campaigning styles:
– Liberal Party:
• ‘small target’ strategy (better to remain silent than to make mistakes)
• focus on leadership team to avoid negative perceptions of Abbott and gaffes by local
candidates

– Labor Party:
• strong campaigns by many local candidates
• lack of coordination across leadership team
• Rudd surprising quiet on social media

– Greens:
• high levels of activity, especially from Milne – too much?

•

Public resonance:
–
–
–
–

discussion mainly about leaders, rather than engaging with / retweeting them
no partisan choices in @mentions of political candidates
strong partisan selectivity in retweets of political candidates, few retweets overall
more @mentions of Labor candidates, especially on election night: encouraging?
http://mappingonlinepublics.net/
@snurb_dot_info
@timhighfield
@lena_sauter
@jeanburgess
@dpwoodford
@_StephenH
@quods
@socialmediaQUT
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#ausvotes Mark Two: Twitter in the 2013 Australian Federal Election