Small Cell Industry Update from Mobile World Congress 2013

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Update on the small cell industry presented by the Small Cell Forum at Mobile World Congress, Barcelona 2013

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Small Cell Industry Update from Mobile World Congress 2013

  1. 1. Small Cells industry update Mobile World Congress 2013 Gordon Mansfield, Chairman Monday 25 Feb gordon@smallcellforum.org www.smallcellforum.org
  2. 2. •  Small Cell Forum •  Deployment Data •  Small Cell Benefits •  The Future •  Q&A Agenda Feb 2013 © Small Cell Forum Ltd 2012 2
  3. 3. Last year…we announced… Feb 2013 © Small Cell Forum Ltd 2012 Evolution 3
  4. 4. The Small Cell Forum Feb 2013 © Small Cell Forum Ltd 2012 Aims Ecosystem Development Market Education Driving open standards Promoting & enabling small cell technology based on licensed spectrum, operator managed, edge-based intelligence Not-for-profit, founded in 2007 Independent, Inclusive, International 68 operators covering 2.93 billion mobile subscribers – 44% of total 74 providers of small cell technology representing all parts of the ecosystem 4
  5. 5. Our scope – illustrated Feb 2013 © Small Cell Forum Ltd 2012 5
  6. 6. Applications of small cells Feb 2013 © Small Cell Forum Ltd 2012 etc! User deployed Enterprise / SI or operator deployed Operator deployed Operator / community deployed Shared backhaul Shared or dedicated backhaul Dedicated wired or wireless backhaul Dedicated wired or wireless backhaul An increasingly wide range of femto-enabled small cells: Small Cell Forum works to enable and promote all of these 6
  7. 7. New organization structure Feb 2013 © Small Cell Forum Ltd 2012 Sept/Oct 2012 Chairman Gordon Mansfield, AT&T Vice-chair – Europe Alan Law, Vodafone Executive Board (15 members) Chief Executive Graham Wright VP Americas Andy Germano Chief Operating Officer Richard Kennedy Member Services Manager Lynne Price-Walker Press and PR Officer Oliver Chapman Vice-chair – Asia Yoshihito Shimazaki, Softbank Mobile 7
  8. 8. Small Cell Forum Groups Feb 2013 © Small Cell Forum Ltd 2012 Marketing (MKT) Lisa Garza Networks (NET) Peter Musgrove Radio and Physical Layer (RPH) Nick Johnson Regulatory (REG) Stephen Priestman Inter operability (IOP) Karim Sharf Kreso Bilan Services (SVC) Andy Germano Operator Group (OG) Working Groups LTE Neeraj Gupta Malek Shaid Rural Richard Deasington Backhaul Viraj Abhayawardhana 3GPP2 Andy Germano Special Interest Groups 8
  9. 9. Informa’s small-cell survey from Dec illustrates that 97.5% of mobile operator respondents believe that small cells are key for the future of mobile networks. According to Informa Telecoms & Media’s estimates, the number of small cells deployed overtook the total number of macro cells between October-November 2012. The small-cell market is growing at a rapid pace: The largest deployments have already reached 1 million active cells. Market Status December’s Report Feb 2013 © Small Cell Forum Ltd 2012 9
  10. 10. 46 deployments in 23 countries Commercial deployments and commitments Feb 2013 © Small Cell Forum Ltd 2012 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Q3 2009 Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Q3 2010 Q4 2010 Q1 2011 Q2 2011 Q3 2011 Q4 2011 Q1 2012 Q2 2012 Q3 2012 Q4 2012 6 9 13 17 18 19 31 36 37 40 41 45 46 8 12 16 24 30 34 43 44 52 53 56 60 61 Deployments Commitments 10 Source: Informa
  11. 11. Operators with commercial deployments Feb 2013 © Small Cell Forum Ltd 2012 Includes 9 of top 10 operator groups (by revenue) 11 Source: Informa
  12. 12. Deployments Scaling up units: •  Sprint: Over 1 million •  Softbank: more than 100,000 •  SFR: more than 100,000 •  Vodafone UK: Hundreds of thousands of users •  AT&T: near 1 million (analyst estimates) Today: Over 6 million small cells deployed commercially Feb 2013 © Small Cell Forum Ltd 2012 2007: 0 femtocells Source: Informa 12
  13. 13. •  June 2011: There were more 3G femtocells than 3G macrocells •  End of 2012: More small cells than macrocells (all technologies) •  Informa forecast: 88% of all cells will be small cells by 2016 Conclusion: the shape of mobile networks has changed More small cells than macrocells Feb 2013 © Small Cell Forum Ltd 2012 - 10,000,000 20,000,000 30,000,000 40,000,000 50,000,000 60,000,000 70,000,000 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Source: Informa End 2012: 6.4 million small cells 6.0 million macrocells femtocells marcocells 13
  14. 14. Rapid growth in small cell deployments, due to advantages small cells provide Key benefits include: •  Improved coverage •  Greater capacity •  Spectrum efficiency •  New applications •  These benefits apply equally in the home (femtocells), office (enterprise) or outside environments (metro, rural) •  ...whilst devices remain under control of licensed network operators and operate within their own spectrum Benefits of small cells Feb 2013 © Small Cell Forum Ltd 2012 14
  15. 15. Traffic offload via outdoor 3G small cells Feb 2013 © Small Cell Forum Ltd 2012 21% 56% 75% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 1x 4x 10x %trafficonsmallcells Small cells per macrocell Results from recently published SCF white paper www.smallcellforum.org 15
  16. 16. Results from recently published SCF white paper on Open Access Small Cells www.smallcellforum.org User experience improvements from public access small cells Feb 2013 © Small Cell Forum Ltd 2012 58% 315% 523% 31% 138% 246% 0% 100% 200% 300% 400% 500% 600% 1 4 10 All Users Macro Users %increaseinmedianthroughput overmacrocellsalone Small cells per macrocell 16
  17. 17. •  Small cells (licenced spectrum) and Wi-Fi are complementary •  Products already exist with both •  But by integrating in the network as well as the access point, the benefits are greater still •  Data can be seamlessly shifted between the cellular and Wi-Fi networks based on the user, type of service, network congestion or quality of service requirements etc. •  More advanced implementations allow both small cell cellular and Wi-Fi to be used simultaneously for different traffic flows or to create a single large pipe for HD media or to create a highly resilient connection. Integrated small cell/Wi-Fi networks: beyond offload Feb 2013 © Small Cell Forum Ltd 2012 Small cells + Wi-Fi = smart, fine grained traffic management 17
  18. 18. Future growth Feb 2013 © Small Cell Forum Ltd 2012 Source: Informa 91 million small cells by end 2016 18
  19. 19. Significant activity continues. Residential Femtocells continue to accelerate while new use cases and value propositions are emerging. Significant facts: •  The market is growing rapidly •  We have seen the initial deployments focus on Residential •  Enterprise is becoming a more significant market •  A shift has occurred towards outdoor and public space deployments •  Rural applications are emerging •  The importance of small cell backhaul increases with every new use case Industry Evolution Feb 2013 © Small Cell Forum Ltd 2012 19
  20. 20. •  Operator requirements •  Small cell backhaul •  Rural small cells •  FAPI •  LTE metrocells •  LTE timing and synchronization •  LTE small cell form factor and environmental specifications •  Small cell services, applications and API’s •  Developer outreach •  RF planning •  Multi-standard Radio Resource Management •  X2 interoperability •  Integrated small cell Wi-Fi networks •  Enterprise architecture •  Security •  Regulatory •  Plug-fest A Sample of Forum work in progress Feb 2013 © Small Cell Forum Ltd 2012 20 Towards Open & Multi-Technology
  21. 21. •  Mobile World Congress; Barcelona; Small Cell Zone; February 25 – 28 •  Small Cells Asia & SCF’s 23rd Plenary; Seoul, Korea; March 2013 •  Small Cell World Summit – London UK; June 2013 We welcome your membership & participation Upcoming events Feb 2013 © Small Cell Forum Ltd 2012 21 Sign Up, Engage , Shape the Market
  22. 22. Questions? Q & A Feb 2013 © Small Cell Forum Ltd 2012 22
  23. 23. Thank you! Gordon Mansfield, Chairman, Small Cell Forum gordon@smallcellforum.org www.smallcellforum.org Feb 2013 © Small Cell Forum Ltd 2012 23

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