World on edge

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World on edge

  1. 1. Tipping on the Edge of Chaos
  2. 2. Prevent
  3. 3. Environmental collapse
  4. 4. Economic collapse
  5. 5. Gross World Product, 1950-2009 1950- Bright Economic Future…?
  6. 6. The global economy has grown nearly 10-fold with 103% annual growth rate Gross World Product, 1950-2009 1950-
  7. 7. Extrapolation of Illustr lustrious economic past into a promising future
  8. 8. Economy is destroying its natural supports ing
  9. 9. Economy is destroying its natural supports In fact we are ing running up against
  10. 10. LIMITS
  11. 11. Aquifers
  12. 12. Soils
  13. 13. Fisheries
  14. 14. Forests
  15. 15. Atmosphere
  16. 16. Our Collective Demand
  17. 17. Overshooting
  18. 18. What Nature can provide
  19. 19. How Ho can we assume that tha the growth of an economic system that eco is destroying its environmental supports can simply be sup projected into the LongLong-term future?
  20. 20. Gathering Storm
  21. 21. threatens
  22. 22. Civilization
  23. 23. Economic
  24. 24. Political
  25. 25. How Ho can we assume that tha the growth of an economic system that eco is destroying its environmental supports can simply be sup projected into the LongLong-term future?
  26. 26. Indicator
  27. 27. WATCH
  28. 28. Food Prices
  29. 29. Hunger Rates SOCIAL
  30. 30. POLITICAL
  31. 31. Sensing these INDICATORS POLITICAL
  32. 32. How close we are to the ED OUR CIVILIZATION? EDGE
  33. 33. 1. Rising FOOD PRICES ( ECONOMIC) 2. Rising HUNGER RATES ( SOCIAL) 3. Rising in NUMBERS OF FALLING STATES (POLITICAL) HOW CLOSE we are to the EDGE of OUR CIVILIZATION
  34. 34. Our Global Food Situation
  35. 35. Precarious
  36. 36. Our Demand for FOOD
  37. 37. World population is INCREASING by 80 MILLION annually
  38. 38. Population Pressures continues…
  39. 39. Population Pressures continues… World Population, 1950-2008, 1950with Projections to 2050 12 11 10 Earth Policy Institute - www.earth-policy.org 9 Billions 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1950 1970 1990 2010 Source: UNPop 2030 2050
  40. 40. World population is Expanding INCREASING by 80 MILLION annually
  41. 41. SUV’s tank could take up 25-gallons of Ethanol 25-
  42. 42. That can feed one person for an entire year!
  43. 43. Rising price of oil has made it PROFITABLE to turn GRAIN into FUEL!
  44. 44. FOOD Supply
  45. 45. Tightening..
  46. 46. Growth in CROP yields – SLOWING!
  47. 47. Industrialization
  48. 48. Eroding Soils Expanding DESERTS
  49. 49. Deforestation
  50. 50. AQUIFERS being OVER PUMPED
  51. 51. EXTREME WEATHER events
  52. 52. Threatens HARVEST
  53. 53. in Crop Yields Slowing Growth in Crop Yields Slowing
  54. 54. Climate
  55. 55. Average Global Temperature and Atmospheric Carbon ture Dioxide Concentrations (1880-2010) 188014.8 400 Earth Policy Institute - www.earth-policy.org 380 14.4 360 Temperature 14.2 340 14.0 320 13.8 300 CO2 13.6 13.4 1880 280 260 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 Source: NASA GISS; NOAA ESRL; Worldwatch 2000 Atmospheric CO2 (ppm) Temperature (degrees Celsius) 14.6
  56. 56. As temperatures rise, glaciers and ice sheets melt, causing sea level o rise Current trajectory is alread Cu outpacing projection
  57. 57. 1° C For every rise i temperature above ise in the optimum level during the growing season
  58. 58. Yields of wheat, rice, and corn drop by 10 % (percent)
  59. 59. Climate change threate food security and eatens could eventually create hundreds of millions ate of climate refugees.
  60. 60. Time to Think
  61. 61. Time to Think
  62. 62. Time to Think
  63. 63. No one knows for sure when it will be too late to address the trends of decline in he t Natural Resources to avoid collapse
  64. 64. Business as usual is NOT working.
  65. 65. How to GO about it?
  66. 66. STABALIZE POPOULATION
  67. 67. ERADICATE POVERTY
  68. 68. RESTORE EARTH’s NATURAL SUPPORT SYSTEMS
  69. 69. STABALIZE CLIMATE
  70. 70. STABALIZE POPOULATION
  71. 71. Universal Basic & Reproductive health Re care and family planning services
  72. 72. ERADICATE POVERTY
  73. 73. Basic Education program & Total Fertility rates Efforts to eliminate poverty and slow population growth w po always reinforce each other
  74. 74. RESTORE EARTH’s NATURAL SUPPORT SYSTEMS
  75. 75. Planting Trees
  76. 76. Protecting Topsoil on cropland
  77. 77. Restoring Rangelands
  78. 78. Stabilizing Water Levels
  79. 79. Protecting the Climate
  80. 80. Reduce CO2 Emissions
  81. 81. Energy efficient Transportation System
  82. 82. Alternative Renewable Sources
  83. 83. Energy Efficient Buildings
  84. 84. Appliances Efficiency
  85. 85. Energy Efficiency Measures Improving Building Insulation & Lightings Improving Appliances efficiency Improving Industrial Efficiency Restructuring Transportation
  86. 86. Above all
  87. 87. Mind Set
  88. 88. “What is ESSENTIAL is NOT always visible to the eye”
  89. 89. We need to ramp our RENEUABLES
  90. 90. Wind
  91. 91. Solar
  92. 92. Geo Thermal hermal
  93. 93. NO Fossil Fuel
  94. 94. World Electricity Generation by Source in 2008 and in tion the Economy of 2020
  95. 95. Adopting less-intensive farming and lessland management practices
  96. 96. Carbon Dioxide Emiss issions Reduction Std.
  97. 97. Tax what you burn, not what you earn rn, n
  98. 98. Raise Tax on Carbon Emission
  99. 99. Shift from Labor to Energy Taxes
  100. 100. Less CO2 and more Jobs
  101. 101. Redefine Security
  102. 102. Introspection
  103. 103. Preventing environmental and economic collapse requires political action from all of us in order to effect broad social change
  104. 104. Wait and Watch the disaster ahead
  105. 105. Be the generation that changes direction, moving the world onto a path of sustained progress?
  106. 106. The choice is ours. It will be made by our generation, but it will affect life on earth for all generations to come

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