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Al ramtha city jordan population growth

DONE IN 2014 Al Damtha city Jordan population growth. QUANTITATIVE ASSESSMENT OF LAND USE . Comparison of per capita share (m²/person) with other local and international standards

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Al ramtha city jordan population growth

  1. 1. WORKSHOP (1) STAGE 2 PROF DR, EMAD AL HASHIME DONE BY: MARAM OBAIDAT NOOR QTAESHAT SHOMOU AL JIZAWI Population growth Stage two
  2. 2. Al Ramtha Renovation
  3. 3. QUANTITATIVE ASSESSMENT OF LAND USE  Land use area’s in al Ramtha Land use Area's km2 Area's m2 Residential 10.010100 10010100 transportation 3.390535 3390535 Commercial 1.203179 1203179 Industrial 1.122968 1122968 Public building .294379 294379 Schools .263047 263047 Gardens .029365 29365 Cemeteries .055209 55209 Vacant land infill .903520 903520 Total 17272302 17272302
  4. 4. POPULATION OF AL RAMTHA  Population of Jordanian in al Ramtha 2015 is 100,000  There are 70,000 thousand Syrian people in al Ramtha.  20000person was before the war immigration (before 2010) which we be calculated in the growth.  50000 person immigrant after the war, we will consider a percentage of 30%=15000 person .  The total number of population we will consider it in al Ramtha growth is 135,000 PERSON
  5. 5. POPULATION OF AL RAMTHA 01234567 0-04 10-14 20-24 30-34 40-44 50-54 60-64 unspecified Male(%) -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 Female(%)
  6. 6. POPULATION OF AL RAMTHA 27130 34154 45690 51173 57335 70031 87082 100000 0 20000 40000 60000 80000 100000 120000 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
  7. 7. POPULATION OF AL RAMTHA 27130 34154 45690 51173 57335 70031 87082 100000 0 20000 40000 60000 80000 100000 120000 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
  8. 8. PERCENTAGE SHARE OF DEFERENT LAND USE CATEGORY FOR POPULATION OF 135,000 PERSON  share for each person from all the land use = 127.9 Land use Area's m2 Area per person Percentage for each land use per person Residential 10010100 74.14888889 57.95% transportation 3390535 25.11507407 20% Commercial 1203179 8.912437037 6.97% Industrial 1122968 8.318281481 6.5% Public building 294379 2.180585185 1.7% Schools 263047 1.948496296 1.5% Gardens 29365 0.217518519 0.17% Cemeteries 55209 0.408955556 0.32% Vacant land infill 903520 6.692740741 5.2% Total 17272302 127.9429778
  9. 9. PERCENTAGE SHARE OF DEFERENT LAND USE CATEGORY 58% 20% 7% 6% 1.7% 1.5% 0.17% 0.32% 5.2% Sales Land use Residential transportation Commercial Industrial Public building Schools Gardens Cemeteries Vacant land infill
  10. 10. deferent land use category 10010100 3390535 1203179 1122968 294379 263047 29365 55209 903520 0 2000000 4000000 6000000 8000000 10000000 12000000
  11. 11. 2-Qualitative assessment of land use Land use Area per person EXISTING % for each land use per person EXISTING needed Area per person with FUTURE EXPANTION New % for each land use Residential 74.14888889 57.95% 70 51% transportation 25.11507407 20% 27 20% Commercial 8.912437037 6.97% 11 8% Industrial 8.318281481 6.50% 13 9% Public building 2.180585185 1.70% 3 2% Schools 1.948496296 1.50% 4 3% Gardens 0.217518519 0.17% 4 3% Cemeteries 0.408955556 0.32% 2 1% infill 6.692740741 5.20% 3 2% Total 127.9429778 137
  12. 12. 2-Qualitative assessment of land useComparison of per capita share (m²/person) with other local and international standards Al Ramth a future Al Ramtha existing South America- Lagos California Dade country / Florida Al- Huson Irbid U.K Hook New Town Naimeh e 51%57.9% 60%48%60%58%54%35%62.8% Residenti al 8%.98% 5%7%5%3%7%4%3.1% Commer cial 9%.38% As Require d 4%1%2%2%22%0.4%Industrial 5%4%4%9%4%8%5%-3% Public +Building Schools 3%0.17%12%6%3%01%18%0.7% Recreatio nal 20%20%18%24%27%29%24%20%29.4% Transpor t 1.5%0.32%1%---0-0.6% Cemeteri es Per
  13. 13. 2-Qualitative assessment of land use  Existing per capita (2015) m2/person.  127.9 M2 PER PERSON  the growth will be studied for 20 years.  proposed per capita (2035) m2/person.  137 M2 PER PERSON
  14. 14. 3-ESTIMATE FUTURE POPULATION 2035  Population in al Ramtha is 135,000  35,000 are Syrian  We will estimate the growth for 3 stages  7 years 7 years and 6 years  And in each stage we will propose that 11,666 Syrian we go back to Syria.  2015-2022
  15. 15. 3-ESTIMATE FUTURE POPULATION 2035  Population growth ratio  PR=P(t2)-P(t1) P(t1) (t2-t1)  PR=95000-71300 71300*10 PR= .033 PR=3.3%
  16. 16. 3-ESTIMATE FUTURE POPULATION 2035  Population growth ratio.  There is two ration one we calculated and one from the government  The governmental publish is 2.4%  We will estimate the growth for 3 stages  7 years 7 years and 6 years  And in each stage we will propose that the growth ratio will be changed for the 20 years  2015-2022 population growth ratio=2.4  2022-2029 population growth ratio=2.2  2029-2035 population growth ratio=2.0  The one we calculated is 3.3%  2015-2022 population growth ratio=3.3  2022-2029 population growth ratio=3.1  2029-2035 population growth ratio=2.9
  17. 17. 3-ESTIMATE FUTURE POPULATION 2015-2022 PR=2.4  PF=PE(1+%growth)  P2022=13500(1+2.4)  Population in 2022 = 159,379  2016 - 138,240 2017 - 141,557 2018 - 144,955 2019 - 148,434 2020 - 151,996 2021 - 155,644 2022 - 159,379  P2022 -11666=  159,379-11666=147713 n 7
  18. 18. 3-ESTIMATE FUTURE POPULATION 2022-2029 PR=2.2 %  PF=PE(1+%growth)  P2029=143,476(1+2.2%)  Population in 2029 = 167,084  2023 - 146,632 2024 - 149,858 2025 - 153,155 2026 - 156,524 2027 - 159,968 2028 - 163,487 2029 - 167,084  P2029 -11666=  167,084-11666= 155418 n 7
  19. 19. 3-ESTIMATE FUTURE POPULATION 2029-2035 PR=2.0 %  P2035=PE(1+%growth)  P2035=155418 (1+2.0%)  Population in 2035 = 175,025  2030 - 158,526 2031 - 161,696 2032 - 164,930 2033 - 168,229 2034 - 171,594 2035 - 175,025  P2035 -11666=  175,025 -11666= 163359 n 6
  20. 20. 3-CALCULATION QUANTITATIVE SPACE REQUIREMENT 2035  (Qualitative assessment of land use)* (estimated population in al Ramtha 2035)  Qualitative assessment of land use 137 m2  The estimated P2035 in al Ramtha 163359  137*163359=22380183m2  The total future built up area =22.380183 km2  The total existing built up area is 17.272302= km2  The future needed built up area = 5.107883 km2
  21. 21. 3-ESTIMATE FUTURE POPULATION 2015-2022 PR=3.3  PF=PE(1+%growth)  P2022=135000(1+3.3%)  Population in 2022 = 169,447  2016 - 139,455 2017 - 144,057 2018 - 148,810 2019 - 153,721 2020 - 158,794 2021 - 164,034 2022 - 169,447  P2022 -11666=  169,447-11666=157781 n 7
  22. 22. 3-ESTIMATE FUTURE POPULATION 2022-2029 PR=3.1%  PF=PE(1+%growth)  P2029=147,723(1+3.1%)  Population in 2029 = 182,918  2023 - 152,302 2024 - 157,023 2025 - 161,891 2026 - 166,910 2027 - 172,084 2028 - 177,418 2029 - 182,918  P2029 -11666=  182,918 -11666=171252 n 7
  23. 23. 3-ESTIMATE FUTURE POPULATION 2029-2035 PR=2.9%  P2035=PE(1+%growth)  P2035=171252 (1+2.9%)  Population in 2035 = 203,295  2030 - 176,218 2031 - 181,328 2032 - 186,587 2033 - 191,998 2034 - 197,566 2035 - 203,295 P2035 -11666=  203,295 -11666= 191629 n 6
  24. 24. 3-CALCULATION QUANTITATIVE SPACE REQUIREMENT 2035  (Qualitative assessment of land use)* (estimated population in al Ramtha 2035), ratio 3.3  Qualitative assessment of land use 137  The estimated P2035 in al Ramtha 191629  137* 191629 = 26253173 m2  26.25 km2  The total future built up area = 26.253173km2  The total existing built up area is 17.272302= km2
  25. 25. 3-CALCULATION QUANTITATIVE SPACE REQUIREMENT 2035  When we used population ratio which started with 2.4 to 2.2 then to 2.0  P2035 = 163359  Total area 2035 = 22.38 km2  SPACE REQUIREMENT 2035 = 5.107883 km2  When we used population ratio which started with 3.3% to 3.1 then to 2.9  P2035= 214793  Total SPACE 2035 = 26.253173KM2  SPACE REQUIREMENT 2035 = 8.980873 KM2

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