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Shahid Hussain Raja
Independent Consultant-Public Policy
May 10,2015
 Introduction
 Importance of Railways
 SWOT Analysis
 What ails the Pakistan Railways
 Causes of decline
 How to fix...
 Pakistan Railways is one of the most discussed state owned
enterprises(SOEs) in the country, blamed for incurring
huge a...
 Pakistan Railways has been playing a very crucial role in
social, economic and political development of Pakistan
for the...
 Rail transport consumes only one sixth of the energy per
unit weight-km as compared to road transport, it is less
pollut...
 From strategic asset to commercial entity
 From monopolistic to competitive
 From public welfare to commercial
 From ...
 Continuous losses
 Consumer dissatisfaction
 Depleting assets
 Demoralized manpower
 Constant fall in earnings of the Pakistan Railways has been the
prime reason for the continuous losses it is suffering. ...
 In 2005 Pakistan Railways passenger services covered 85 per
cent of their train-running costs. Since then, passenger
rev...
 Before condemning Pakistan Railways for incurring huge losses ,we must
know the magnitude of the of loss, its compositio...
 Although Pakistan Railways has been successful in
maintaining its passenger traffic mainly due to its cheap
fare policy,...
 Although not peculiar to Pakistan railways only, there
is a widespread demoralization among the rank and
file of all rai...
 Every asset of Pakistan Railways is fast deteriorating as most of
them have outlived their productive lives- infrastruct...
 1.Underinvestment
 2.Institutional dichotomy
 3.Governance issues
 After 1973 Pakistan Railways' budget was amalgamated
with the national budget with the result that the profit
they earne...
 On the contrary India invested heavily in railways
and less on roads with the result that our road
sector is better than...
 Overall financial crises of the country have reduced the availability
of the resources for routine operations not to spe...
 Besides amalgamating the two budgets, the government
also made Pakistan Railways a government department
under the newly...
 Similarly, it cannot terminate those services, which are no
more needed as better road network, and good bus/truck
servi...
 Running a commercial organisation with political
considerations cannot yield profits, just losses.
 Tariff rationalisat...
 Despite dissatisfaction passenger traffic is constant
 Experienced well trained staff who are still motivated
and serio...
 Rapidly depleting assets ;rolling stock,
telecommunications and signaling networks.
 Despite being a commercial organiz...
 Extensive network, to maintain which cannot be
commercially viable in the face of tough
competition from road
 Overstaf...
 Increasing passenger and freight traffic due to
increasing population and prosperity
 Increased demand for cross border...
 Greater cost effectiveness of railways as compared to
other modes of transport
 Improved road network in remote areas-a...
 Continued efficiency improvements in road sector
along with improved road network can give tough
competition to railways...
 1.how to increase the profitability of Pakistan
Railways by improving its operational efficiency and
reducing its costs
...
Making Pakistan Railways the preferred means
of passenger travel and goods movement for
majority of Pakistani population b...
 1.Enhancing safety and security of the trains by
training the staff and developing new technologies
 2. Promoting techn...
 Helping directly to increase Pakistan's growth rate through
increased and better rail services as well as employment
opp...
 Pakistan Railways is not the only one in trouble; all over the world railway
systems are facing the same issues-huge los...
 1.Institutional Restructuring
 2.Outsourcing of operations
 3.Corporatization of entities
 4.Commercialization of ass...
 Finalize the national transport policy lying in the ministry of
communications for years, setting out aims and objective...
 After the finalization of a cogent overall national
transport policy, finalize and promulgate new legal
framework for Pa...
 Let the Ministry be responsible only for policy
formulation, assisted by a high-powered railway
advisory board
 Chief E...
 Resolve the issue of social obligations of the state vs commercial
expectations from PR.
 If the state wants to run cer...
 Pakistan railways needs to be run on purely commercial
considerations with due regard for social welfare aspects
 Acros...
 This is an area which can yield quick results because bulk
of the manpower is very technically qualified and proud
of th...
 Pakistan railways needs massive investments just to arrest the
fast depletion of its rolling stocks and fixed installati...
 We need this investment funds even if we intend to
privatise it. Privatisation doesn’t mean selling of
railways tracks/s...
 One of the quickest and easiest ways to put the Pakistan Railways
back on track is to outsource maximum number of its op...
 Pakistan Railways have a dozen or so entities which
are the legacies of an era when private sector lacked
engineering ca...
 Everyone is after the land owned by the Pakistan
railways and suggests its outright sale to generate
funds for its revam...
 Only those lands should be disposed of through leasing
and not outright sale which ,after thorough analysis ,are in
exce...
 Pakistan’s private sector in the manufacturing and services is robust
enough to cater to most of the maintenance and ope...
 Keeping in view the strategic and commercial importance of an
efficiently run railways as well as social obligations of ...
 Thank you for going through the presentation
 If you liked it, kindly do express your liking by
clicking the like icon
...
Pakistan Railways: Challenges and Response
Pakistan Railways: Challenges and Response
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Pakistan Railways: Challenges and Response

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Explains the importance of Pakistan Railways for the political economy of Pakistan,carries out its SWOT analysis and describes the challenges it is facing.Ends with a comprehensive set of recommendations for its turn around

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Pakistan Railways: Challenges and Response

  1. 1. Shahid Hussain Raja Independent Consultant-Public Policy May 10,2015
  2. 2.  Introduction  Importance of Railways  SWOT Analysis  What ails the Pakistan Railways  Causes of decline  How to fix it ?  Conclusion
  3. 3.  Pakistan Railways is one of the most discussed state owned enterprises(SOEs) in the country, blamed for incurring huge annual losses and unsatisfactory performance  Keeping in view its social and political significance and its being the most environmental friendly transportation mode necessitates necessary measures to improve its efficiency.  What went wrong and why ? What measures can be taken to arrest its further decay are some of the questions we are going to discuss in this presentation  Its article version is available at my website www.shahidhussainraja.com
  4. 4.  Pakistan Railways has been playing a very crucial role in social, economic and political development of Pakistan for the last 150 years.  Employing more than 75,000 persons and providing employment indirectly to al least ten times more, it contributes significantly to the GDP of the country.  Being the cheapest mode of transportation of goods and commuting passengers, it has been the pivot of Pakistan’s industrial and commercial development.  With more than 80 million passengers every year from one corner of the country to other, it is not only a symbol of unity of the country but also a vehicle of social and political integration.
  5. 5.  Rail transport consumes only one sixth of the energy per unit weight-km as compared to road transport, it is less polluting source of traffic-emissions per TKM  Despite common perception, rail fatalities are much lower than road i.e. more than 10,000 per year on roads as compared to less than 100 in railway system.  During any disaster or emergency Pakistan Railways has been the most preferred means of transporting relief goods in the shortest possible time  Lastly, keeping in view the geographical contours of Pakistan, it is an excellent and most economical mode of transportation for long distance goods haulage.
  6. 6.  From strategic asset to commercial entity  From monopolistic to competitive  From public welfare to commercial  From purely state managed to private  From all haul to long haul
  7. 7.  Continuous losses  Consumer dissatisfaction  Depleting assets  Demoralized manpower
  8. 8.  Constant fall in earnings of the Pakistan Railways has been the prime reason for the continuous losses it is suffering. This in turn is due to three major reasons 1. Reduction in its train operations either because of shortage of locomotives and goods wagons and passenger bogies or the dwindling number of passengers who are opting to travel by road because of improved road network 2. Stagnant tariff structure of Pakistan Railways due to social welfare and political considerations 3. Leakages and wastages in revenue collection due to structural or managerial inadequacies are the third major reason for the revenues falling sort of the targets fixed annually
  9. 9.  In 2005 Pakistan Railways passenger services covered 85 per cent of their train-running costs. Since then, passenger revenue per passenger-km has increased by 50 per cent while costs have more than trebled due to following reasons 1. Inflation-inflationary pressures are eroding the purchasing power of railway to buy goods and services for running, maintaining and developing the railways operational network. 2. Inefficiency-underinvestment has now started yielding results in the form of low efficiency threshold of almost every railway activity 3. Corruption-lack of proper checks and balances create loopholes for corruption even in the presence of best legal framework and institutional mechanism
  10. 10.  Before condemning Pakistan Railways for incurring huge losses ,we must know the magnitude of the of loss, its composition ,context and reasons to arrive at appropriate decisions.  While calculating the loss suffered by the railways, it is assumed that the difference between revenue and costs is profit and loss. It is true for commercial entity, not for an organisation run as a government department as is the case now with Pakistan railways. Some questions; 1.Salaries and allowances-is it a loss ? 2.Pension payments-really loss ? 3.Securituy expenses- 4.Utilities-inflation 5.loan repayments 6 .External factors responsible for loss- a. burning of railway stations during riots(loss of revenue) b. floods (stopping of trains, speed restrictions) c. security(less passengers, more expenses)  All the above are public expenditure. If all above are losses then treat other departments as you would like to treat railways
  11. 11.  Although Pakistan Railways has been successful in maintaining its passenger traffic mainly due to its cheap fare policy, number of complaints have been mounting about its less than satisfactory performance.  Most of the complaints are about extremely low quality of services provided, lack of punctuality, disrespectful attitudes of the employees towards the passengers, unnecessary secrecy and outright fleecing  This across the board consumer dissatisfaction has created a crises of confidence among the very loyal passenger base of Pakistan Railways
  12. 12.  Although not peculiar to Pakistan railways only, there is a widespread demoralization among the rank and file of all railway employees due to continuous losses, adverse publicity and sense of self-alienation.  Demoralization and motivation, both are self- sustaining and self-perpetuating. If there were a turn around, it would boost self-confidence and vice versa.  It is not only adversely affecting the efficiency and effectiveness of service delivery but is also forcing the most efficient and essential to leave the service.
  13. 13.  Every asset of Pakistan Railways is fast deteriorating as most of them have outlived their productive lives- infrastructure as well as its rolling stocks.  It is adversely impacting upon its operational efficiency, as it could not be upgraded as per technological developments in other countries.  Consequently extensive speed restrictions, engine failures, lack of proper facilities in trains, railway stations, and engine workshops which have not been upgraded as per technological developments  A cursory look at its physical structures and rolling stocks paint a gloomy picture of an elaborate structure crumbling, finances are collapsing, with services being suspended, assets deteriorating and debt spiral
  14. 14.  1.Underinvestment  2.Institutional dichotomy  3.Governance issues
  15. 15.  After 1973 Pakistan Railways' budget was amalgamated with the national budget with the result that the profit they earned was diverted to other heads, leaving less and less for its maintenance, expansion and improvement.  On the other hand, the Government spent three times more on road sector. It was this combination of neglect to railways and preference to roads, which is the root cause of the present malady of Pakistan Railways.  Ministry of Railways ,which is responsible for providing funds for the maintenance and development of the provision of the railway network has no long-term framework for capital support to perform these roles.
  16. 16.  On the contrary India invested heavily in railways and less on roads with the result that our road sector is better than Indian one.  Indian railways are far better than their Pakistani counterparts in terms of profitability and customer satisfaction because India invested in rail network  We have not been able to formulate any National Transport Policy which could at least show where railways stand vis a vis other modes of transportation.
  17. 17.  Overall financial crises of the country have reduced the availability of the resources for routine operations not to speak of replacement and up gradation. Not up to date, even then present rolling stock can earn profit if cash is injected  Wrong priority of investment in the railway is another big anomaly. There was no justification for the dualization of railway tack from Karachi to Lahore in the initial stages of its development as we could have easily handled the traffic load by lengthening the railways stations loop lines.  Similarly up gradation of Monabao track from narrow gauge to broad gauge was just a political expediency without financial or economic cost effectiveness.
  18. 18.  Besides amalgamating the two budgets, the government also made Pakistan Railways a government department under the newly created Ministry of Railways  Consequently, instead of a commercial organization, it became a bureaucratic organization where rules and procedures count more than end results.  Direct interference of bureaucrats in the purely technical issues always leads to ineffective service delivery.  Now the anomaly is that we are expecting commercial results from an entity being run as governmental department. Railways cannot increase fares even if the price of oil triples.
  19. 19.  Similarly, it cannot terminate those services, which are no more needed as better road network, and good bus/truck services are available in the private sector because of political imperatives.  In India, if the government needs to continue a loss making train service due to strategic reasons, it has to pay to the railways for the loss but you can not do it in Pakistan. Even train stops are now decided on political basis.  Ministry is effectively rule-maker, manager, player and umpire of Pakistan’s ‘railway’ team. Such a combination of conflict in roles with concentration of powers is inimical both to good public policy-making and to effective commercial management of state-owned enterprises.
  20. 20.  Running a commercial organisation with political considerations cannot yield profits, just losses.  Tariff rationalisation, operational decisions and developmental budget allocation need commercial considerations not political interference  Posting/ transfers made on political expediency adversely affects the operational efficiency and employees morale  Corruption is widespread because those caught have long hands reaching the corridors of power
  21. 21.  Despite dissatisfaction passenger traffic is constant  Experienced well trained staff who are still motivated and serious about improving its performance  Profitable long haul passenger and freight corridor with good permanent way despite maintenance backlog  Well equipped and well staffed loco and rolling stock maintenance facilities  Availability of a modern container terminal
  22. 22.  Rapidly depleting assets ;rolling stock, telecommunications and signaling networks.  Despite being a commercial organization, it is being run as a government department, having public sector procedures and culture  Limited number of individual freight customers and commodities  Political necessity to operate even those services which can never cover their costs
  23. 23.  Extensive network, to maintain which cannot be commercially viable in the face of tough competition from road  Overstaffing in certain categories, while understaffing in critical areas.  Poor MIS and financial reporting system needed for a modern, commercial organization  Poor connectivity with other modes of transport to make it a part of multi-modal transport system
  24. 24.  Increasing passenger and freight traffic due to increasing population and prosperity  Increased demand for cross border regional linkages  Global preference for multi-modal transport in which rail is becoming dominant  Growing concerns/awareness about environmental issues can force policy makers to give more importance to railways
  25. 25.  Greater cost effectiveness of railways as compared to other modes of transport  Improved road network in remote areas-a blessing in disguise for stopping uneconomical train operations without much inconvenience for the public.  Development and commercialization of railway property not needed for operations  Growing importance and acceptance of Public Private Partnership (PPP) along with emergence of strong private sector can bring the needed financing and skills and management through out sourcing
  26. 26.  Continued efficiency improvements in road sector along with improved road network can give tough competition to railways  Improved service by road transport firms can be a challenge  Premature and ill planned privatization can bring ruins  Claims of the provincial governments on its land can stall any efforts to modernize it by commercialization of its lands not needed
  27. 27.  1.how to increase the profitability of Pakistan Railways by improving its operational efficiency and reducing its costs  2.how to gain consumer loyalty by offering quality services at affordable prices without adversely affecting its profitability  3.how to modernize Pakistan railways at a speed and cost which is realistic yet enough to keep it relevant in the rapidly globalizing world  4.how to stop attrition of essential staff and attract the best talent through proper incentives and rewards
  28. 28. Making Pakistan Railways the preferred means of passenger travel and goods movement for majority of Pakistani population by providing them a safe, efficient, reliable, comfortable and affordable means of transportation by modernizing its services, rationalizing its operations and efficiently managing its resources
  29. 29.  1.Enhancing safety and security of the trains by training the staff and developing new technologies  2. Promoting technological innovations by increasing investment in research and development  3.Unify social benefits and economic benefits by putting convenience of the public first and reducing operational cost  4.Strengthen energy conservation and environmental protection by developing eco-friendly technologies 
  30. 30.  Helping directly to increase Pakistan's growth rate through increased and better rail services as well as employment opportunities  Helping indirectly to increase Pakistan's growth rate by providing support services to other sectors of the economy  Providing safe, modern, convenient and comfortable mode of transport for the public at affordable prices  Becoming hub of transport connectivity with rail as pivot around which other modes are aligned  National integration by providing the nation a symbol and a vehicle of national unity
  31. 31.  Pakistan Railways is not the only one in trouble; all over the world railway systems are facing the same issues-huge losses and consumer dissatisfaction  Main causes are also the same-underinvestment, competition from road/air, rising expectations of the stakeholders  Similarly road to recovery consists of taking the following steps 1.running it as commercial organisation 2.bringing professional management 3.concentration on core activities 4.disinvestment of peripheral business 5.separation of track ownership/maintenance from train operations 6.outsourcing of maximum core activities 7.Induction of private sector even in track maintenance 8.creation of independent regulatory authority
  32. 32.  1.Institutional Restructuring  2.Outsourcing of operations  3.Corporatization of entities  4.Commercialization of assets  5.Governance improvement  6.Rationalization  7.Indigenization
  33. 33.  Finalize the national transport policy lying in the ministry of communications for years, setting out aims and objectives for transport as a whole.  Every mode of transport should know where they stand in the overall national transport perspective  It will not only give the direction to the transport sector but will also encourage private sector to come forward, in a mutually consistent and competitively neutral way  It will also end the unnecessary competition among the four modes of transportation and force them to go for a national multi-modal transport network
  34. 34.  After the finalization of a cogent overall national transport policy, finalize and promulgate new legal framework for Pakistan Railways  It should envision an active participation of private sector in the rail sector  Establish Railway Regulatory Authority (RRA) so that the multi-functional role of Ministry as administrator, operator, regulator is segregated
  35. 35.  Let the Ministry be responsible only for policy formulation, assisted by a high-powered railway advisory board  Chief Executive Officer (CEO), assisted by a technical committee consisting of senior railway officers, will look after the operational aspects  Corporatize PR and establish it as Pakistan Railways Corporation (PRC) consisting of independent subsidiaries/companies grouped together on functional basis and operating on commercial basis as opposed to Government Department
  36. 36.  Resolve the issue of social obligations of the state vs commercial expectations from PR.  If the state wants to run certain loss making train services for strategic/social considerations, let her compensate the PR for the loss thus incurred as it used to do in early 1990s.  In fact the bulk of Indian Railways profit comprises the compensation paid to it by the government for operating loss making trains  If Pakistan Railways have to be run as a government department then it should be treated as such in terms of revenues it earns and expenditures it incurs.  Salaries, pension, operational ,maintenance and developmental expenditure should be considered as public expenditure and not as loss which is what in normal discourse is being stated. Similarly its loan liabilities be paid by the state and not be treated as loss
  37. 37.  Pakistan railways needs to be run on purely commercial considerations with due regard for social welfare aspects  Across the board subsidy needs to be replaced with targeted relief to passengers with limited means  Operational rationalisation- retaining most profitable railway trains and weeding out the uneconomical ones  Human resource rationalisation-weed out the unnecessary staff, retain the essential and recruit the ones cortically needed after carrying out detailed need assessment in the wake of new operational requirements  Functional rationalisation-concentrate on core activities and outsource peripheral activities, i.e. education, health, sports etc
  38. 38.  This is an area which can yield quick results because bulk of the manpower is very technically qualified and proud of their institution  Even the present legal framework and institutional mechanism is robust enough to improve the governance if applied with commitment and dedication  Authority with responsibility and proper incentives and rewards along with strict accountability regime is essential for effective and efficient service delivery  Add transparency in procurement and sale, computerisation of income, expenditure and assets
  39. 39.  Pakistan railways needs massive investments just to arrest the fast depletion of its rolling stocks and fixed installation as well as up gradation of its signaling and other electronics  The Federal cabinet in its meeting held on 29th December, 2010 approved, a bailout package of Rs 11.1 billion for rehabilitation of locomotives, track maintenance, refurbishment of coaches etc  Almost five years have passed since the Cabinet’s approval of the above financial package, but no relief has so far been provided.  The situation has gone from bad to worse and train operations are frequently disrupted due to deferred maintenance of rolling stock and infrastructure.
  40. 40.  We need this investment funds even if we intend to privatise it. Privatisation doesn’t mean selling of railways tracks/stations which have to be maintained by the state to ensure high security standards  Some of the critical areas which need investment are purchase of locomotives, replacement of overage tracks and repairs of bridges, capacity building of the employees and modernisation of its signaling  All these funds are not necessarily to be provided by the state; private sector and foreign investors are willing to invest if provided with proper legal framework and adequate guarantees
  41. 41.  One of the quickest and easiest ways to put the Pakistan Railways back on track is to outsource maximum number of its operations. There is no need to reinvent the wheel as Pakistan railways have been doing it in the past and is doing in some areas even now  For this purpose it should finalize and announce Public Private Partnership Policy for active participation of private sector in rail sector on design, finance, built, operate and transfer (DFBOT) basis or built, operate, transfer (BOT) basis  It should also introduce the Track Access Charges Mechanism to become a basis for private sector investment and partnership for freight & passenger operations of PR  PR should continue to operate on the routes having either less or nil commercial value as part of the Public Service Obligation (PSO) ,duly compensated by the state
  42. 42.  Pakistan Railways have a dozen or so entities which are the legacies of an era when private sector lacked engineering capacity needed by the railway. Some of these are 1.Sleepers manufacturing factories 2.Workshops 3.Locomotives manufacturing unit 4.Railcop 5.PRACS 6.Track Maintenance Corporation  These need to be corporatised and incorporated as independent commercial organisation before their privatisation
  43. 43.  Everyone is after the land owned by the Pakistan railways and suggests its outright sale to generate funds for its revamping without realizing that one day Pakistan railway will be needing these lands for its expansion.  Pakistan Railways has assets other than land which could be successfully commercialized. One such asset is the railway stations in cities and big towns which can be converted into shopping malls  Similarly sale of advertising rights along the tracks, inside the passenger wagons etc can be gainfully utilized for earning revenues
  44. 44.  Only those lands should be disposed of through leasing and not outright sale which ,after thorough analysis ,are in excess of short term needs of Pakistan railways.  For this purpose the newly created special purpose vehicle needs to be given proper directions and maximum autonomy  This SPV should immediately carry out the survey of the lands railways own, its proper record keeping and computerisation and take steps for the removal of any encroachments  It should also scrutinise the contracts awarded/ dining cars auctioned and revoke all contracts and auctions done illegally by observing all the legal formalities
  45. 45.  Pakistan’s private sector in the manufacturing and services is robust enough to cater to most of the maintenance and operational needs of the Pakistan Railways. Induct the private sector starting with gradual manufacturing of spare parts, overhauling and finally complete manufacturing  Infrastructure maintenance should be upgraded, with greater use of mechanized maintenance where possible, contracting-out of major periodic maintenance and retraining the maintenance and operating staff.  For signaling and telecoms, even routine maintenance may need to be contracted to external organizations able to pay market rates and guarantee an assured supply of spare parts  Without adequate maintenance the effectiveness of these systems will otherwise steadily decline, with significant effects on the efficiency of the remainder of operations
  46. 46.  Keeping in view the strategic and commercial importance of an efficiently run railways as well as social obligations of the state to provide affordable and cost effective mode of transportation to the public, Pakistan railways should be given due importance  National transportation policy should be finalized as early as possible so that the funds allocated for transportation sector could be judiciously distributed among different modes of transportation  Pakistan railways should be run on purely commercial considerations and across the board subsidy needs to be replaced with targeted relief to passengers with limited means,  Outsourcing of operations, corporatization of its entities with subsequent privatization and a strict accountability regime are some of the other essential measures for effective service delivery
  47. 47.  Thank you for going through the presentation  If you liked it, kindly do express your liking by clicking the like icon  If you have any observation, please feel free to let me know by commenting  You do not need any permission to use the material presented here for your assignment  However, if you may like to acknowledge it by mentioning it while submitting your paper

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