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Scientix 10th SPNE Brussels 26 Feb 2016: CRESCENDO

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Presentation of the project "CRESCENDO" by Alberto Muñoz Rodriguez, held during the 10th Scientix Projects Networking Event, Brussels, 26 February 2016

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Scientix 10th SPNE Brussels 26 Feb 2016: CRESCENDO

  1. 1. www.crescendoproject.eu CRESCENDOCOORDINATED RESEARCH IN EARTH SYSTEMS AND CLIMATE: EXPERIMENTS, KNOWLEDGE, DISSEMINATION AND OUTREACH R&I H2020 Project: Advance Earth-system models (SC5-01-2014) Coordinator Institute: University of Leeds, UK Alberto Muñoz (CRESCENDO Project Manager) NCAS, University of Leeds, UK contact@crescendoproject.eu 26 Feb 2016 10th Scientix Projects Networking Event
  2. 2. www.crescendoproject.eu CRESCENDO CONSORTIUM 25 Partners 10 EU countries 7 European Earth System Modelling (ESM) teams 3 European Integrated Assessment Modelling (IAM) teams Funded for 5 years (Nov 2015-Oct 2020)
  3. 3. www.crescendoproject.eu
  4. 4. www.crescendoproject.eu WHY STUDY CLIMATE CHANGE?  Climate Change is now widely-recognised as a major challenge for humanity in the 21st century  There is already good evidence of changes in both the Climate and Extreme Weather events  The causes of changes in observed weather and climate are still a subject of heated debate  The magnitude and regional distribution of future climate change is uncertain  We need science and research to make further progress…
  5. 5. www.crescendoproject.eu Highest-level for at least 800,000 yrs: >400pp mv EVIDENCE IS UNEQUIVOCAL
  6. 6. www.crescendoproject.eu Ocean pH (increase acidity of the oceans) EVIDENCE IS UNEQUIVOCAL
  7. 7. www.crescendoproject.eu Record Low in Arctic Sea-Ice Extent in 2012 EVIDENCE IS UNEQUIVOCAL
  8. 8. www.crescendoproject.eu  An international environmental agreement on climate change, with the aim of “avoiding dangerous anthropogenic interference in the climate system”.  1992, Rio - established at Earth Summit  Annual “Conference of the Parties” (CoP)  1995, COP1, Berlin  1997, COP3, Kyoto - Kyoto Protocol established  2009, COP15, Copenhagen - 2oC global warming as “dangerous”  2015, COP21, Paris – A renewed political ambition to stay below 1.5oC United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC)
  9. 9. www.crescendoproject.eu  Independent group of experts that provides scientific background for climate negotiations  The IPCC has published five comprehensive assessment reports (latest is AR5 in 2013)  Since 1995, the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP) has coordinated climate model experiments involving multiple international modelling teams  In preparation for the sixth phase of the project (CMIP6) (≥20 models contributing) Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)
  10. 10. www.crescendoproject.eu EARTH SYSTEM MODELS (ESMs)  ESMs solve mathematical equations that describe the physics and integrate the interactions of the atmosphere, ocean, land, ice and biosphere to help us understand how Earth’s climate is changing  Therefore, ESMs allow investigation of important environmental responses: permafrost melt, ocean acidification, impacts on marine ecosystems, carbon uptake, or socio- economics impacts 2007 Stern Report estimates: 3% of world GDP to adapt to a low-carbon economy now compared to 20% if do nothing
  11. 11. www.crescendoproject.eu  To improve European ESM and develop and evaluate new ESM projections  To coordinate a European contribution to CMIP6 ensuring new socio-economics scenarios  To ensure knowledge developed in the project is communicated to key stakeholder communities in an engaging and understandable form Specially we are interested in introducing Climate Change and ESMs knowledge into Secondary Schools and STEM classes CRESCENDO MAIN OBJECTIVES
  12. 12. www.crescendoproject.eu RT4 New scenarios and ESM projections CMIP6 RT 5 Knowledge and Data dissemination RT 3 Analysing and constraining future projections RT 2 Evaluating ESMs Terrestrial Marine Aerosols and chemistry RT 1 Improving ESMs Terrestrial Marine Aerosols and chemistry Regional Downscaling Impacts Research IPCC AR6 National and EU policy makers European public and stakeholders CRESCENDO RESEARCH THEMES
  13. 13. www.crescendoproject.eu RT4 New scenarios and ESM projections Educating future generations in European schools RT 5 Knowledge and Data dissemination RT 3 Analysing and constraining future projections RT 2 Evaluating ESMs Terrestrial Marine Aerosols and chemistry RT 1 Improving ESMs Terrestrial Marine Aerosols and chemistry National and EU policy makers European public and stakeholders CRESCENDO RESEARCH THEMES
  14. 14. www.crescendoproject.eu Knowledge dissemination strategies  Science communication training to young scientists  Improving public knowledge of ESM and ESM projections  Raising the knowledge, interest and awareness across EU Secondary schools and future generations TRAINING WORKSHOPS WEBSITE & VISUALIZATION TOOLS ACTIVE SOCIAL MEDIA NETWORK OF SCHOOLS INTERESTED IN ‘CLIMATE CHANGE KNOWLEDGE AND AWARNESS ’
  15. 15. www.crescendoproject.eu www.crescendoproject.eu contact@crescendoproject.eu alberto.munoz@metoffice.gov.uk

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