Economic indicators May 2013

371 views

Published on

Economic Indicators and Economic Monthly Overview May 2013

Published in: Technology, Economy & Finance
0 Comments
0 Likes
Statistics
Notes
  • Be the first to comment

  • Be the first to like this

No Downloads
Views
Total views
371
On SlideShare
0
From Embeds
0
Number of Embeds
59
Actions
Shares
0
Downloads
4
Comments
0
Likes
0
Embeds 0
No embeds

No notes for slide

Economic indicators May 2013

  1. 1. | [Presentation title] | [Client Name] | [Date]1Economic IndicatorsLast update 14.06.2013
  2. 2. | Economic Indicators |2Economic Outlook Monthly Overview – June 2013Europe:• Consensus June GDP forecast for WE remained stable on -0,1% for 2013 and on 1,1% for2014.• Both, the EU industrial confidence and the consumer confidence indicator improved slightly inMay.• The IFO Business Climate index for Germany has risen again after two consecutive declines.Companies assessed their current business situation clearly more positive than last month, theoutlook for future business remained unchanged. The German economy remains on track.• Q1 GDP fell by 0,2% q-o-q from -0,6% in Q4 2012, a sixth straight quarter of contraction. Thepace of downturn should slowly ease and many observers suggest that GDP is poised to growin the 2nd half of 2013.US:• Consensus June GDP forecast for the US remained at 1,9% for 2013 and at 2,7% for 2014.• US growth prospects are somewhat uncertain as slowing industrial indicators and fiscal draghamper activity. The Fed’s recent suggestion to ‘taper’ the current pace of asset purchases hassent the world financial and currency markets into a flurry, even though it is unclear whether thismeans outright monetary tightening.Japan:• The June GDP growth forecast for Japan improved again considerably from 1,4% to 1,9% for2013 and remained on 1,5% for 2014.• The final release of GDP data for Q1 showed the economy growing at a faster pace thanpreviously thought.
  3. 3. 3 | Economic Indicators |Eurostat Data
  4. 4. | Economic Indicators |4Economic Indicators – GDP EU 27Source: Eurostat May 13-5-4-3-2-10123407Q108Q109Q110Q111Q112Q113Q1GDP for the EU 27 countries at constant prices quarter vs. same quarter of last year
  5. 5. | Economic Indicators |5Economic Indicators – GDP EU 27Source: Eurostat May 13-2,5-2-1,5-1-0,500,5107Q108Q109Q110Q111Q112Q113Q1GDP for the EU 27 countries at constant prices quarter on quarter
  6. 6. | Economic Indicators |6Economic Indicators –EU 27 Consumer Price IndexSource: Eurostat June 1300,511,522,533,544,508/109/110/111/112/113/11,4%The harmonized index of consumer prices is the result of the collaborationbetween Eurostat and National Statistical Institutes of the Member States.
  7. 7. | Economic Indicators |7Economic Indicators – ECB interest rateSource: ECB, FED June 13May 13; 1,4Jun.13; 0,5Jun.13; 0,25-0,50,00,51,01,52,02,53,03,54,04,5Jan08July08Jan09Jul.09Jan10Jul.10Jan11July11Jan12Jul.12Jan13Jul.13ECB short-term rateEurozone inflationFED rate
  8. 8. | Economic Indicators |8Economic Indicators –EU 27 Unemployment RateSource: Eurostat June 13Apr.13; 116789101112Jan08Jan09Jan10Jan11Jan12Jan13Unemployment rate for EU 27 countries
  9. 9. | Economic Indicators |9Economic Indicators – Industrial Confidence Ind EUSource: Eurostat June 13-40-35-30-25-20-15-10-50510Jan06Jan07Jan08Jan09Jan10Jan11Jan12Jan13Industrial confidence within EU 27 improved slightly in May.The Industrial Confidence Indicator is the arithmetic average of the answers to thequestions on production expectations, order books and stocks.
  10. 10. | Economic Indicators |10Economic Indicators – Consumer Confidence Ind EUSource: Eurostat June 13Consumer Confidence within EU 27 improved very slightly in May.-35-30-25-20-15-10-50Jan06Jan07Jan08Jan09Jan10Jan11Jan12Jan13The Consumer Confidence Indicator is the arithmetic average of the answers to the questionson the financial situation of households and general economic situation (past and future)together with that on the advisability of making major purchases.
  11. 11. | Economic Indicators |11Economic Indicators – Capacity Utilizationin Manufacturing Industry in % - EU 27Source: Eurostat May 1360657075808504Q105Q106Q107Q108Q109Q110Q111Q112Q113Q177,9%The capacity utilization in manufacturing industry gives the level of capacity utilizationin percent, as assessed by managers in manufacturing industry.
  12. 12. | Economic Indicators |12Ifo Data
  13. 13. | Economic Indicators |13Economic Indicators – IFO World Economic ClimateSource: IFO June 13The Ifo World Economic climate improved again in Q2 2013This indicator is being updated on a quarterly basis.
  14. 14. | Economic Indicators |14Economic Indicators – IFO WE Economic ClimateSource: IFO June 13The economic climate for Western Europe improved slightly in Q2 2013.This indicator is being updated on a quarterly basis.
  15. 15. | Economic Indicators |15Economic Indicators – IFO NA Economic ClimateSource: IFO June 13This indicator is being updated on a quarterly basis.
  16. 16. | Economic Indicators |16Economic Indicators – GDP Forecast Euro AreaSource: IFO June 13
  17. 17. | Economic Indicators |17Economic Indicators – GDP Forecast GermanySource: IFO June 13
  18. 18. | Economic Indicators |18Economic Indicators – Exchange rate $ vs €Source: IFO June 13
  19. 19. | Economic Indicators |19Economic Indicators –Ifo business situation and 6 month expectationsSource: IFO June 137580859095100105110115Jan08Jan09Jan10Jan11Jan12Jan1380859095100105110115120125Jan08Jan09Jan10Jan11Jan12Jan13Business situation 6 months expectationsThe IFO-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung business situation index shows the current evaluation of theeconomic situation, while the 6 month expectations index shows the expectations of the companies for the next6 months. Over 7000 companies are being interviewed.The Ifo Business Climate Index for Germany has risen again after two consecutive declines.The firms are clearly more satisfied with their current business situation than in the previousmonth. The outlook for future business is unchanged and slightly positive. The Germanyeconomy remains on track in a challenging European environment.
  20. 20. | Economic Indicators |20Economic Indicators – IFO Assessment of CurrentBusiness SituationSource: IFO June 13The Ifo Business Climate Index for Germany has risen again after two consecutive declines.The firms are clearly more satisfied with their current business situation than in the previousmonth. The outlook for future business is unchanged and slightly positive. The Germanyeconomy remains on track in a challenging European environment.
  21. 21. | Economic Indicators |21Economic Indicators – IFO business climate indexprinting industrySource: IFO Apr 13, bundesverband druck und medien-60-50-40-30-20-1001020Jan08Jan09Jan10Jan11Jan12Jan13Jan14The IFO-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung business climate index for the printing industry isbased on a monthly representative questionnaire to 300 German printers.The business climate within the printing industry declined slightly from -2 to -5 in March.
  22. 22. | Economic Indicators |22Economic Indicators – IFO business climate indexprinting industryThe IFO-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung business climate index for the printing industry isbased on a monthly representative questionnaire to 300 German printers.Business Development at German Printers – March 2013: The assessment of the current business situation in the printingindustry improved slightly from last month (+5%) and is positive now forthe 7th month in a row. The business climate – an indicator for the development inthe next quarter – declined slightly from -2% to -5%. The business expectations for the coming 6 months remainednegative for the 7th month in succession, and declined from -6%to now -15%. In the same month of last year expectations wereconsiderably better than today (+5%).Source: IFO Apr 13, bundesverband druck und medien
  23. 23. | Economic Indicators |23Zenith Data
  24. 24. | Economic Indicators |24Advertising Growth – Zenith 4/13 Press releaseSource: Zenith 4/13
  25. 25. | Economic Indicators |25Advertising Growth – Zenith 4/13 Press releaseSource: Zenith 4/13
  26. 26. | Economic Indicators |26Advertising Growth – Zenith 4/13 Press releaseSource: Zenith 4/13
  27. 27. | Economic Indicators |27Advertising Growth – Zenith 4/13 Press releaseSource: Zenith 4/13

×