| [Presentation title] | [Client Name] | [Date]1
Economic Indicators
Last update 14.3.2014
| Economic Indicators |2
Economic Outlook Monthly Overview – March 2014
Europe:
• Consensus March GDP forecast for WE impr...
3 | Economic Indicators |
Eurostat Data
| Economic Indicators |4
Economic Indicators – GDP EU 28
Source: Eurostat Mar 14
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
'08Q1
'09Q1
'10Q...
| Economic Indicators |5
Economic Indicators – GDP EU 28
Source: Eurostat Mar 14
-2,5
-2
-1,5
-1
-0,5
0
0,5
1
'08Q1
'09Q1
...
| Economic Indicators |6
Economic Indicators –EU 28 Consumer Price Index
Source: Eurostat Mar 14
0
0,5
1
1,5
2
2,5
3
3,5
4...
| Economic Indicators |7
Economic Indicators – ECB interest rate
Source: ECB, FED, Eurostat Mar 14
Jan 14; 0,8
Mar 14; 0,2...
| Economic Indicators |8
Economic Indicators –EU 28 Unemployment Rate
Source: Eurostat Mar 14
10,8
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Jan08
...
| Economic Indicators |9
Economic Indicators – Industrial Confidence Ind EU
Source: Eurostat Mar 14
-40
-35
-30
-25
-20
-1...
| Economic Indicators |10
Economic Indicators – Consumer Confidence Ind EU
Source: Eurostat Mar 14
Consumer Confidence wit...
| Economic Indicators |11
Economic Indicators – Capacity Utilization
in Manufacturing Industry in % - EU 27
Source: Eurost...
| Economic Indicators |12
Ifo Data
| Economic Indicators |13
Economic Indicators – IFO World Economic Climate
Source: IFO Feb 14
The Ifo World Economic clima...
| Economic Indicators |14
Economic Indicators – IFO European Economic Climate
Source: IFO Feb 14
The economic climate for ...
| Economic Indicators |15
Economic Indicators – IFO NA Economic Climate
Source: IFO Feb 14
This indicator is being updated...
| Economic Indicators |16
Economic Indicators – GDP Forecast Euro Area
Source: IFO Dec 13
| Economic Indicators |17
Economic Indicators – GDP Forecast Germany
Source: IFO Dec 13
| Economic Indicators |18
Economic Indicators – Exchange rate $ vs €
Source: IFO Feb 14
| Economic Indicators |19
Economic Indicators –
Ifo business situation and 6 month expectations
Source: IFO Mar 14
75
80
8...
| Economic Indicators |20
Economic Indicators – IFO Assessment of Current
Business Situation
Source: IFO Mar 14
The Ifo Bu...
| Economic Indicators |21
Economic Indicators – IFO business climate index
printing industry
Source: IFO Mar 14, bundesver...
| Economic Indicators |22
Economic Indicators – IFO business climate index
printing industry
The IFO-Institut für Wirtscha...
| Economic Indicators |23
Zenith Data
| Economic Indicators |24
Advertising Growth – Zenith 9/13 Press release
Source: ZenithOptimedia 9/13
| Economic Indicators |25
Advertising Growth – Zenith 9/13 Press release
Source: ZenithOptimedia 9/13
| Economic Indicators |26
Advertising Growth – Zenith 9/13 Press release
Source: ZenithOptimedia 9/13
| Economic Indicators |27
Advertising Growth – Zenith 9/13 Press release
Source: ZenithOptimedia 9/13
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Economic Indicators March

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Economic Indicators and Monthly Overview March 2014

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Economic Indicators March

  1. 1. | [Presentation title] | [Client Name] | [Date]1 Economic Indicators Last update 14.3.2014
  2. 2. | Economic Indicators |2 Economic Outlook Monthly Overview – March 2014 Europe: • Consensus March GDP forecast for WE improved from 1,4% to 1,5% for 2014. • The EU industrial confidence improved slightly compared to last month while the consumer confidence indicator came somewhat down from its January level. • The IFO Business Climate index for Germany continued to rise in February. The German economy is holding its own in a changeable global climate. • GDP growth continued to recover modestly in Q4 2013, representing a third straight quarter of expansion and followed one and a half years of contraction. The 1,2% surge in exports helped to drive activity as well as a 1,1% jump in capital spending. Monthly data suggests that the recovery continued to broaden. US: • Consensus March GDP forecast for the US decreased slightly from 2,9% to 2,8% for 2014. • GDP, consumption and production forecasts have been downgraded on the back of the impact of extreme cold on Q1 activity. It is hard for the time being to assess whether the Q1 slowdown is temporary, based on extraordinary weather conditions or signifies further underlying weakness. Japan: • The March GDP growth forecast for Japan came down again from 1,6% to 1,4% for 2014. • Q4 GDP growth disappointed ahead of the consumption tax hike. Rather soft private consumption as well as capital spending and export figures contributed to this disappointing result.
  3. 3. 3 | Economic Indicators | Eurostat Data
  4. 4. | Economic Indicators |4 Economic Indicators – GDP EU 28 Source: Eurostat Mar 14 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 '08Q1 '09Q1 '10Q1 '11Q1 12Q1 13Q1 % GDP for the EU 28 countries at constant prices quarter vs. same quarter of last year
  5. 5. | Economic Indicators |5 Economic Indicators – GDP EU 28 Source: Eurostat Mar 14 -2,5 -2 -1,5 -1 -0,5 0 0,5 1 '08Q1 '09Q1 '10Q1 '11Q1 12Q1 13Q1 % GDP for the EU 28 countries at constant prices quarter on quarter
  6. 6. | Economic Indicators |6 Economic Indicators –EU 28 Consumer Price Index Source: Eurostat Mar 14 0 0,5 1 1,5 2 2,5 3 3,5 4 4,5 08/1 09/1 10/1 11/1 12/1 13/1 14/1 15/1 0,9 % The harmonized index of consumer prices is the result of the collaboration between Eurostat and National Statistical Institutes of the Member States.
  7. 7. | Economic Indicators |7 Economic Indicators – ECB interest rate Source: ECB, FED, Eurostat Mar 14 Jan 14; 0,8 Mar 14; 0,25 -0,5 0,0 0,5 1,0 1,5 2,0 2,5 3,0 3,5 4,0 4,5 Jan08 July08 Jan09 Jul.09 Jan10 Jul.10 Jan11 July11 Jan12 Jul.12 Jan13 Jul.13 Jan14 Jul.14 Jan15 % ECB short-term rate Eurozone inflation FED rate
  8. 8. | Economic Indicators |8 Economic Indicators –EU 28 Unemployment Rate Source: Eurostat Mar 14 10,8 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Jan08 Jan09 Jan10 Jan11 Jan12 Jan13 Jan14 Jan15 % Unemployment rate for EU 28 countries
  9. 9. | Economic Indicators |9 Economic Indicators – Industrial Confidence Ind EU Source: Eurostat Mar 14 -40 -35 -30 -25 -20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 Jan08 Jan09 Jan10 Jan11 Jan12 Jan13 Jan14 Jan15 Industrial confidence within EU 28 improved slightly in February. Industry remains in a fairly positive mood. The Industrial Confidence Indicator is the arithmetic average of the answers to the questions on production expectations, order books and stocks.
  10. 10. | Economic Indicators |10 Economic Indicators – Consumer Confidence Ind EU Source: Eurostat Mar 14 Consumer Confidence within EU 28 deteriorated somewhat in February. -35 -30 -25 -20 -15 -10 -5 0 Jan08 Jan09 Jan10 Jan11 Jan12 Jan13 Jan14 Jan15 The Consumer Confidence Indicator is the arithmetic average of the answers to the questions on the financial situation of households and general economic situation (past and future) together with that on the advisability of making major purchases.
  11. 11. | Economic Indicators |11 Economic Indicators – Capacity Utilization in Manufacturing Industry in % - EU 27 Source: Eurostat Feb 14 60 65 70 75 80 85 04Q1 05Q1 06Q1 07Q1 08Q1 09Q1 10Q1 11Q1 12Q1 13Q1 14Q1 79,4 % The capacity utilization in manufacturing industry gives the level of capacity utilization in percent, as assessed by managers in manufacturing industry.
  12. 12. | Economic Indicators |12 Ifo Data
  13. 13. | Economic Indicators |13 Economic Indicators – IFO World Economic Climate Source: IFO Feb 14 The Ifo World Economic climate further brightens in Q1 2014 This indicator is being updated on a quarterly basis.
  14. 14. | Economic Indicators |14 Economic Indicators – IFO European Economic Climate Source: IFO Feb 14 The economic climate for Europe brightens significantly again in Q1 2014. This indicator is being updated on a quarterly basis.
  15. 15. | Economic Indicators |15 Economic Indicators – IFO NA Economic Climate Source: IFO Feb 14 This indicator is being updated on a quarterly basis.
  16. 16. | Economic Indicators |16 Economic Indicators – GDP Forecast Euro Area Source: IFO Dec 13
  17. 17. | Economic Indicators |17 Economic Indicators – GDP Forecast Germany Source: IFO Dec 13
  18. 18. | Economic Indicators |18 Economic Indicators – Exchange rate $ vs € Source: IFO Feb 14
  19. 19. | Economic Indicators |19 Economic Indicators – Ifo business situation and 6 month expectations Source: IFO Mar 14 75 80 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 Jan08 Jan09 Jan10 Jan11 Jan12 Jan13 Jan14 Jan15 80 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125 Jan08 Jan09 Jan10 Jan11 Jan12 Jan13 Jan14 Jan15 Business situation 6 months expectations The IFO-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung business situation index shows the current evaluation of the economic situation, while the 6 month expectations index shows the expectations of the companies for the next 6 months. Over 7000 companies are being interviewed. The Ifo Business Climate Index for Germany continued to rise in February. Assessments of the current business situation were significantly better than last month. Expectations regarding future business developments dipped slightly but remain optimistic. The German economy is holding its own in a changeable global climate.
  20. 20. | Economic Indicators |20 Economic Indicators – IFO Assessment of Current Business Situation Source: IFO Mar 14 The Ifo Business Climate Index for Germany continued to rise in February. Assessments of the current business situation were significantly better than last month. Expectations regarding future business developments dipped slightly but remain optimistic. The German economy is holding its own in a changeable global climate.
  21. 21. | Economic Indicators |21 Economic Indicators – IFO business climate index printing industry Source: IFO Mar 14, bundesverband druck und medien -60 -50 -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 Jan08 Jan09 Jan10 Jan11 Jan12 Jan13 Jan14 Jan15 The IFO-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung business climate index for the printing industry is based on a monthly representative questionnaire to 300 German printers. The business climate within the printing industry improved slightly from -2 to 0 in February.
  22. 22. | Economic Indicators |22 Economic Indicators – IFO business climate index printing industry The IFO-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung business climate index for the printing industry is based on a monthly representative questionnaire to 300 German printers. Business Development at German Printers – February 2014:  Current business situation and climate remained nearly unchanged from last month while expectations continue to remain negative  The assessment of the current business situation in the printing industry remained muted and reached 11% in February after 9% in the previous month.  The business climate – an indicator for the development in the next quarter – remains rather clouded, reaching 0% after -2% in the previous month.  The business expectations for the coming 6 months remained negative at -11%. Source: IFO Mar 14, bundesverband druck und medien
  23. 23. | Economic Indicators |23 Zenith Data
  24. 24. | Economic Indicators |24 Advertising Growth – Zenith 9/13 Press release Source: ZenithOptimedia 9/13
  25. 25. | Economic Indicators |25 Advertising Growth – Zenith 9/13 Press release Source: ZenithOptimedia 9/13
  26. 26. | Economic Indicators |26 Advertising Growth – Zenith 9/13 Press release Source: ZenithOptimedia 9/13
  27. 27. | Economic Indicators |27 Advertising Growth – Zenith 9/13 Press release Source: ZenithOptimedia 9/13

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