Lock-in situations in the global    debates on climate change andbiotechnology: Evidence from a global         stakeholder...
Table of Contents1. Biotechnology and the Environment2. The purpose of the study3. Online Survey with Stakeholders4. Clust...
1. Biotechnology and the Environment Remembering Agenda 21 and Article 19 in the Convention on Biological Diversity   from...
2. The purpose of the studyBiotechnology already makes great contributions tomitigation and adaptation of climate change,r...
3. Online Survey with Stakeholders• Questionnaire Design:  1. Potential of Biotechnology  2. Statements (Baseline Assumpti...
Distribution of respondents in terms of        institutional categories
Self-assessed familiarity with debates
4. Some Results1. Descriptive Analysis (General Perception)2. Perception Pattern Analysis (Clusters, Biplot)3. Policy Netw...
Descriptive Analysis:Assessment of the Potential of Biotechnology
Assessment of the Impact of Different Tools
Statements related to baseline assumptions
Perception Pattern AnalysisFactor Analysis > Determination of Vector Variables based onquestionnaire itemsCluster Analysis...
Cluster and Biplot AnalysisCluster Analysis reveals two large clusters of equalsize, one cluster half the size and a fring...
Policy Network Analyis (Stakeholder                assessment)1. How well-known is the actor?2. Influence on global public...
Greenpeace and WWF always among the top five Lock-In Situations (Costs of changing position are too high)
5. Tentative ConclusionsGlobal stakeholders believe in the potential of biotechnologyShifting narratives (Baselines assump...
Philipp Aerni — Lock in situations in the global debates on climate change and biotechnology  evidence from a global stak~1
Philipp Aerni — Lock in situations in the global debates on climate change and biotechnology  evidence from a global stak~1
Philipp Aerni — Lock in situations in the global debates on climate change and biotechnology  evidence from a global stak~1
Upcoming SlideShare
Loading in …5
×

Philipp Aerni — Lock in situations in the global debates on climate change and biotechnology evidence from a global stak~1

499 views

Published on

The Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences (CAAS) and the International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI) jointly hosted the International Conference on Climate Change and Food Security (ICCCFS) November 6-8, 2011 in Beijing, China. This conference provided a forum for leading international scientists and young researchers to present their latest research findings, exchange their research ideas, and share their experiences in the field of climate change and food security. The event included technical sessions, poster sessions, and social events. The conference results and recommendations were presented at the global climate talks in Durban, South Africa during an official side event on December 1.

0 Comments
0 Likes
Statistics
Notes
  • Be the first to comment

  • Be the first to like this

No Downloads
Views
Total views
499
On SlideShare
0
From Embeds
0
Number of Embeds
1
Actions
Shares
0
Downloads
1
Comments
0
Likes
0
Embeds 0
No embeds

No notes for slide

Philipp Aerni — Lock in situations in the global debates on climate change and biotechnology evidence from a global stak~1

  1. 1. Lock-in situations in the global debates on climate change andbiotechnology: Evidence from a global stakeholder survey Philipp Aerni University of Bern and ETH ZurichInternational Conference on Climate Change and Food Security (ICCCFS) November 6-8, Beijing, China 2011
  2. 2. Table of Contents1. Biotechnology and the Environment2. The purpose of the study3. Online Survey with Stakeholders4. Cluster and Policy Network Analysis5. Concluding Remarks
  3. 3. 1. Biotechnology and the Environment Remembering Agenda 21 and Article 19 in the Convention on Biological Diversity from Environmentally Sound Technology (EST) to ‘Toxic Waste’ - without any serious incidentBiotechnology will help transform a problematicpetro-chemical economy into a bio-economy No matter what is at stake (energy, biodiversity, climate change, food security), biotech will be crucial – but it is not considered ‘clean tech’The issue is hardly touched upon in climate talks Can we afford this??
  4. 4. 2. The purpose of the studyBiotechnology already makes great contributions tomitigation and adaptation of climate change,renewables and low-emission industrial products Why do the global debates not mix? Is it because framing shapes perception? Is it because of influential stakeholders want to keep the debates apart? How much does institutional and educational background matter? Global Stakeholder Survey on CC and Biotech
  5. 5. 3. Online Survey with Stakeholders• Questionnaire Design: 1. Potential of Biotechnology 2. Statements (Baseline Assumptions) 3. Policy Network Table (Assessed Influence) 4. General Information (Educational Background)• Pre-Tests, Consultation of Key Informants• Online Survey (1 July to 1 November 2010)• 55 Stakeholders representing 44 institutions > 80% response rate > 73% with a PhD
  6. 6. Distribution of respondents in terms of institutional categories
  7. 7. Self-assessed familiarity with debates
  8. 8. 4. Some Results1. Descriptive Analysis (General Perception)2. Perception Pattern Analysis (Clusters, Biplot)3. Policy Network Analysis (Influence Analysis)
  9. 9. Descriptive Analysis:Assessment of the Potential of Biotechnology
  10. 10. Assessment of the Impact of Different Tools
  11. 11. Statements related to baseline assumptions
  12. 12. Perception Pattern AnalysisFactor Analysis > Determination of Vector Variables based onquestionnaire itemsCluster Analysis (Ward Cluster Method)& Canonical Discriminant Analysis > Perception PatternsBiplot Analysis (Visualization technique of PCA)> Identification of perception of each single respondentNon-Parametric Tests Identification of link between educational/institutional background and perception
  13. 13. Cluster and Biplot AnalysisCluster Analysis reveals two large clusters of equalsize, one cluster half the size and a fringe cluster (3 obs) Canonical Discriminant Analysis reveals that there is a significant relationship between the canonical variates and the clusters
  14. 14. Policy Network Analyis (Stakeholder assessment)1. How well-known is the actor?2. Influence on global public opinion3. Influence on the biotechnology debate4. Influence on the climate change debate
  15. 15. Greenpeace and WWF always among the top five Lock-In Situations (Costs of changing position are too high)
  16. 16. 5. Tentative ConclusionsGlobal stakeholders believe in the potential of biotechnologyShifting narratives (Baselines assumptions are changing)Fringe perception of powerful actors ensure deadlockLock-In situations of the powerful actors explain whyshifting narratives do not- translate into new public policy,- change the education system and- lead to a reframe of sustainable development

×