Mobile information Society - Jussi Hinkkanen

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Mobile information Society - Jussi Hinkkanen

  1. 1. Mobile Information Society1 Company Confidential
  2. 2. Mobile devices, internet and broadband boosts GDP growth substantially in emerging economies Effects of Mobile Availability on GDP Growth 1.38 10% Point Increase in 1.5 Broadband Penetration 10% Point Increase in Mobile Increases GDP by 1.38% Points Penetration Increases GDP by per Year 0.81% Points per Year 1.21 1.12 1.0 “Productivity isn’t everything, but in the long run it is almost everything. 0.81 0.72 0.77 A country’s ability to improve its standard of living over time depends 0.60 almost entirely on its ability to raisePercentage points its output per worker.” 0.5 0.43 Paul Krugman, The Age of Diminishing Expectations (1994) High-income economies Low- and middle-income economies Fixed Mobile Internet BroadbandQiang, 2009, World Bank 2 Company Confidential
  3. 3. ‘Economic’ benefits of wireless communication inemerging markets are substantial and broad based Contribution of the Mobile Sector Towards GDP 8,00 % 7,4% 7,00 % 6,00 % 5,8% 3,60 % 5,00 % 4,7% End-user surplus 1,70 % 4,00 % 1,10 % Indirect Impact from other 3,00 % 1,90 % Wireless sectors 1,60 % 1,70 % Direct impact from operators 2,00 % 1,00 % 1,90 % 2,20 % 2,20 % 0,00 % India China Philippines Multiplier of ICT investment on GDP output ~3.2-4.5 ~4.5 ~3.8 Penetration of unique subscribers 28 49 60McKinsey; ITU, 2008; EIU, 2008, Yankee Group Forecast 2007; IDC, 2007 3 Company Confidential
  4. 4. Mobile devices are the primary solution for increasing ICT penetration in emerging economies Mobile Subscriber Penetration Rate, Mobile Subscriber Penetration Rate, Mature / Developed Economies Mature / Developed Economies 100 100Subscriber Penetration (%) Subscriber Penetration (%) PC Penetration 80 80 Mobile Penetration 60 60 40 40 20 PC Penetration 20 Mobile Penetration 0 0 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 4 Company Confidential
  5. 5. Operators are investing heavily to deploy 3G networks 3G Capex for selected countries in Africa 3G Capex Growth 2010 – 2011 2010, 2011, Millions USD % 2010 • Highest 3G Capex +54% growth 2011 44% 40% +32% 22% +28% +31% +80% 13% 9% South Nigeria Egypt Algeria Morocco Africa Latin Asia Europe Japan Africa America (excluding % of Japan) 3% 4% 5% 7% 5% 6% 3% 5% 4% 5% salesSource: WI, Gartner 5 © Nokia 2011 Company Confidential
  6. 6. The path and steps to mobile enabledinformation society6 Company Confidential
  7. 7. Thank you! Jussi Hinkkanen VP, Government Relations and Business Environment Middle East and Africa jussi.hinkkanen@nokia.com7 Company Confidential

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