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The Power of a Proper North Star Metric

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The Power of a Proper North Star Metric

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Nailing your North Star Metrics is critical to your growth and revenue acceleration. This single metric can either shine a light on how well your organization is leading the charge towards sustainable growth or sound alarm bells on a strategy that’s out of alignment.
Finding the right North Star Metric is no small feat. It takes extensive analysis, research and digging. Having the right framework in place to understand what your North Star Metric is and how to leverage it across your team and in the market is crucial.
In this post, you’ll learn what makes a good North Star Metric, how to adopt a solid framework to find that metric, and important means for bringing your business further in alignment with customer expectations

Nailing your North Star Metrics is critical to your growth and revenue acceleration. This single metric can either shine a light on how well your organization is leading the charge towards sustainable growth or sound alarm bells on a strategy that’s out of alignment.
Finding the right North Star Metric is no small feat. It takes extensive analysis, research and digging. Having the right framework in place to understand what your North Star Metric is and how to leverage it across your team and in the market is crucial.
In this post, you’ll learn what makes a good North Star Metric, how to adopt a solid framework to find that metric, and important means for bringing your business further in alignment with customer expectations

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The Power of a Proper North Star Metric

  1. 1. The Power of a North Star Metric Modified Hoshin Bowtie Funnel Radar Graph Business Impact Analysis Prioritization Matrix Convergence / Divergence Customer Journey Mapping Maslow’s Triangle Empathy Mapping
  2. 2. Choosing a North Star Metric For Sustainable Growth The S Curve of Business Growth The North Star Metric is a single metric, or set of motion metrics, that a company uses to focus at each stage on the S Curve of Growth. The North Star Metric needs to: ● Be easy to understand at every level ● Reflect that "a-ha" moment of customer value ● Lead to correlated growth of your North Star Goal. ● Be measurable and progressive & tied to Lifetime Value Strategic Inflection Point Inflection Points Vary If You’re Growing You’re Shifting Sustain Forward Momentum Scale Growth Start
  3. 3. Leveraging Behavioral Frameworks to Find Your North Star Metric. Business Experience Framework (Internal Vesting) Customer Experience Framework (Path-to-Purchase) Business Model Business Story Experience Channels Products and Services The 3 Ps Emotional Triggers (Past, Present, Future) Logical Triggers (Past, Present, Future) Emotional Trigger (Past, Present, Future) Feelings Feelings Logical Decision Making
  4. 4. The Dangers of Focusing on One Universal North Star Metric. “The search for one key metric for a complex ecosystem like Pinterest over-simplifies how the ecosystem works and prevents anyone from focusing on understanding the different elements of that ecosystem. You want the opposite to be true. You want everyone focused on understanding how different elements work together in this ecosystem. The one key metric can make you think that is not important. - Casey Winters, Former Head of Growth at Pinterest
  5. 5. The Foundation for the North Star Metric. Data visualization which is done with LTV in mind keeps your business pointed in the right direction, you can steer your team towards success rather than down a path of obsolescence. Having a similar means of visualizing data around your North Star Metric makes it possible for your entire company to see how each project, process, or tweak they make impacts the greater goal. DATA VISUALIZATION DASHBOARD
  6. 6. In order to get out ahead, Spotify would need to also monitor other input metrics, which could be tweaked and analyzed to predict the impact it would have on their North Star Metric — the time spent on their platform. Monitoring Inputs and Outputs From a North Star. HOW SPOTIFY COULD USE INPUT & OUTPUT METRICS TO INFLUENCE THEIR NORTH STAR METRIC INPUT METRICS OUTPUT METRICS Increase Time Spent per Session Bring Users Back More Often Time Spent Listening to Music OUTPUT METRICS INPUT METRICS
  7. 7. By working backward from the single North Star Metric, and analyzing or democratizing the input metrics that drive the output metric, their entire company is able to understand the why, how, and what behind their platform. Monitoring Inputs and Outputs From a North Star. HOW SPOTIFY COULD USE INPUT & OUTPUT METRICS TO INFLUENCE THEIR NORTH STAR METRIC INPUT METRICS OUTPUT METRICS New Artist Notifications Time Spent Listening to Music Recomm- endations Create Playlists Discover New Songs Bring More Users Back More Often Bring More Users Back More Often OUTPUT METRICS INPUT METRICS
  8. 8. Inserting more ads into the news feed might increase revenues short term. The problem arises when another output metric is considered — engagement. Understanding these tradeoff metrics, or the motion of shifting each metric is non-negotiable. You must choose the right North Star Metric to know the path you’re taking. The Impact of Trade-Off Metrics on a North Star. OUTPUT METRICS INPUT METRICS Insert More Ad Spots Into Newsfeed THE IMPACT OF TRADE-OFF METRICS ON YOUR NORTH STAR METRIC Increase Decrease Engagement Ad Revenue Per User
  9. 9. Common Starting Points for Finding a North Star. Revenue The amount of money being generated. Customer Growth The number of paying users. Consumption Growth The intensity of usage of the product User Experience How enjoyable and easy-to-use customers find the product experience overall. The efficiency at which you spend versus make money. The number of users who are simply active in a product. Growth Efficiency Engagement Growth
  10. 10. Predicting Shifts in the North Star Metric Based on Leading Indicators. LEADING LAGGING Input 1 Input 2 Input 3 Input 4 ● Expresses Value ● Represents vision & strategy ● It’s a leading indicator ● Isn’t a vanity metric ● Is actionable ● Can be easily understood ● Is quantifiable “The Work” Input Metrics North Star Metrics Mid/Long-Term Business Results & Customer Value
  11. 11. Predicting Shifts in the North Star Metric Based on Leading Indicators. ● New User Activation ● Resurrection Campaign ● Subscription Trials ● Recommendations ● Personalized Capabilities ● Discount Coupons ● Reminders ● Flash Sale ● Notifications ● Automated Replacements ● Customer Chat ● Warehouse & Logistics # New & Resurrected Users # of Items Per Order # Orders Per Month Per User % Items Delivered On Time Breadth Depth Frequency Efficiency North Star Monthly Boxes Delivered on Time
  12. 12. Hypothetical North Star Metrics Across a Variety of Business Models. Time spent actively engaging with feed # of subscribers watching > X hours of content per month Purchases per Prime subscriber Purchases per customer visit/session Avg records created per account # engaged cloud subscribers Attention Transaction Productivity
  13. 13. Four Key Elements of Quality Business Metrics. Showcase the direction you’re moving across time periods, groups of users or against competitors. Analyze movement over time. Mind-map metrics from input to output Understand behavioral shifts via motivational triggers. Comparative Understandable A Rate or Ratio Actionable & Behavior Changing
  14. 14. Using comparative metrics speaks clearly to our definition of “movement towards business goals.” The savvier you get at speaking in comparative metrics rather than absolute metrics, the more growth- oriented and minded you’ll become. You’ll be able to tell a better story with your data to your team. Understanding Comparative Metrics. Comparative
  15. 15. At RocketSource, we’re advocates for and experts at simplifying the complex. When it comes to which metrics you should be tracking in your business, we believe that they should err on the side of understandable rather than overly complicated. If people can’t remember the numbers you're focused on and discuss them effectively, it becomes much harder to turn a change in the data into a change in the culture. Democratizing Data With Understandable Analytics. Understandable
  16. 16. Ratios and rates (unlike absolute numbers) give you a more realistic health check for your business. As a result, they’re easier to act upon. Having visuals and metrics to compare and contrast what’s happening in specific areas of your business or customer’s journey will help you identify where you can improve and where you need to focus your resources. Leveraging Rates + Ratios. Do you (your employees) have a clear idea on what they should be working towards on a weekly basis? Do you have a clear idea on a weekly basis as to how to measure your work? Do you have a clear idea on a weekly basis as to how your work aligns with a common strategic goal? Do you have a clear idea on a weekly basis as to how your work aligns with a common metric to achieve a strategic goal?
  17. 17. The metrics you track must inspire some sort of change in behavior if they are to make a difference. Data and analytics are the raw ingredients of KPIs and metrics. Surges in data volume, velocity, variety, and ongoing algorithmic innovation will require organizations to continually revisit the fundamental elements and attributes of their KPIs and metrics. Actionable + Behavior Changing Metrics. Actionable & Behavior Changing
  18. 18. The best data is qualitative that can be quantified. Qualitative data showcases behaviors and motivations. It’s more emotional and harder to put a number to. Qualitative data, however, is anything you can track numerically. It’s used more often to understand what’s happening and visualize broader trends. Qualitative vs. Quantitative Business Metrics. Rich Data Personal Directional Information Purchase Triggers Easier to Discover, Analyze, etc. Expensive Difficult to Interpret Difficult to Make Comparisons Great Hires Costly & Difficult to Recruit Less Costly Easier to Validate Easier to Collect Statistically Robust Data is Limited/Missing Lacks Depth & Can Be Misunderstood Needs > Sample Size Different to Sheer Size of Data QUALITATIVE QUANTITATIVE
  19. 19. By starting with retention first, and forming your North Star Metric around the back of the funnel, you’ll have more actionable metrics fueling your decision- making. Vanity vs. Actionable Metrics. Path-to-Purchase Path-to-Loyalty Sustainable Growth & Retention Formula Acquisition Conversion Retention
  20. 20. Both types of metrics have their place in business growth. When considering your North Star Metric, it’s important to lean more towards a leading indicator so you can get out ahead of any problems before they arise. It’s required you understand the macro headwinds and tailwinds if you want to get really good at building models around the right metrics. Actionable + Behavior Changing Metrics. Source: Amplitude Household Government Corporation Foreign Wage Yield Consumption Microeconomics Supply & Demand Graph Based on the study of supply and demand at the personal and corporate level. Commodity Market Financial Market Workplace Market P QUANTITY (Q) PRICE (P) Q
  21. 21. Know Thy Customer’s Pain & Your Ability to Solve It. Problem vs. Market Model to Market Fit Ability to Execute, Grow & Scale Lifecycle vs. Competitive Alternatives Business Discretionary Spending Extrinsic Layers of Economy vs. Intrinsic Layers of StoryVesting Change in Customer Sentiment Competitive Landscape Inflation vs. Deflation Consumer Discretionary Spending Macroeconomics Headwinds & Tailwinds X-Factors Brand Experience Framework Customer Experience Framework (Internal Vesting) Path-to-Purchase
  22. 22. Before you can identify a solution to a problem, and a North Star Metric to monitor your progression towards that solution, you must understand your customer’s perspective. This starts by looking at the center of the circle and moving outwards. Customer Experience isn’t defined by one single interaction with a brand. It’s the sum of many interactions, behaviors, and decision-making elements. Understanding Your Customer Through StoryVesting.
  23. 23. This partnership made sense across all layers of StoryVesting. Both brands understood customer sentiment, the competitive landscape and consumer discretionary spending. The macro tailwinds with the vaccine rollouts meant that more daters felt comfortable getting back outside. Overall, the combined brand functionalities left their daters with a seamless experience that honored their emotional and logical needs. Understanding Your Customer Through StoryVesting. Lyft Sales up Year-over-year “Although the world has been changed forever, people are yearning for human connection, cities to reopen, and the moment when we can all socialize again. We're excited to partner with a company that, like Lyft believes in elevating experiences and bringing people together.” Monthly Active Users on Tinder Dating Apps Revenue Explodes in 2021
  24. 24. Customer experiences don’t happen without a strong team developing them out behind-the-scenes. It takes multiple layers and nuances internally to roll out a beautiful experience externally. ● Problem vs. Market ● Model vs. Market Fit (vs. Competition) ● The 3 Ps ● Lifecycle vs. Competitive Alternatives ● Business Discretionary Spending ● Extrinsic Layers of Economy vs. Intrinsic Layers of StoryVesting Understanding Your Organization Through a StoryVested Lens.
  25. 25. ● The Ritz-Carlton is well-known for its customer experience, but that experience is driven internally by the people across all layers of the organization. ● In offering employee discretionary spending, and allocating it to the end experience, employees, or the people of the business, are able to streamline their processes and offer a more personalized service. Understanding Your Organization Through a StoryVested Lens. 54 Projects 11,009 Rooms Pre-Planning 9 Projects Planning 10 Projects Construction 30 Projects Pre-Opening 5 Projects 2021 5 Projects 2022 20 Projects 2023 9 Projects 2024 20 Projects
  26. 26. If you’re making decisions rooted in the StoryVesting framework, then you must start at the back of the funnel, which is left more open for questioning. A Quality North Star Starts With Retention in Mind. Since we already know so much via Crunchbase, SimilarWeb, Moat, HotJar, etc. this part of the funnel requires less focus and analysis. The data is already done for us. Rooted in StoryVesting & paid or revenue generating “freemium.” Different cohort uses freemium vs. paid positioning. Content, marketing, designs & tactics all must be inputs directly associated with this question & North Star tied to growth. Otherwise, this gets messy. Don’t Commit The Fallacy Why Do They Stay? Path-to-Purchase Path-to-Loyalty Sustainable Growth & Retention Formula
  27. 27. When building the North Star metric assumptive model, you start at the end of the funnel and make decisions in conjunction with top of funnel analytics. Your North Star Metric should be: ● Measureable ● Correlated with Growth ● Simple to Understand ● Objective + Controlled ● Constantly Evolving Along the S Curve of Growth Reconciling Data to Find Your North Star Metric. Understanding what’s happening with the experience between the path- to-purchase and path-to- loyalty can help lower attrition and increase LTV. Path-to-Purchase Path-to-Loyalty CUSTOMER INSIGHTS MAPPING ACROSS THE BOWTIE
  28. 28. Every framework, every exercise is done to help us know how and where to align novel concepts, ideas and vision with the current market momentum and market share potentiality. Leveraging Bolt-On & Stand Alone Exercises to Find Your North Star Metric.
  29. 29. Every framework, every exercise is done to help us know how and where to align novel concepts, ideas and vision with the current market momentum and market share potentiality. Reconciling Brand & Customer Experiences.
  30. 30. Reconciling Brand & Customer Experiences. • What questions to ask? • What to poll? • Data collection methods • Deployment method • Sample size • Identify emotional triggers • Identify logical triggers • Qualitative data looping • Empathy mapping • Sentiment mining • Price, product, relevancy • Need vs. Want • Time vs. Effort • Value vs. Cost • Identify emotional triggers • Identify logical triggers • Qualitative data looping • Empathy mapping • Sentiment mining • Ask more questions (merge 1-3) • Current vs. Future (GAP Analysis) • Review org chart • Tech Stack Audit • Leadership peer review • Dept alignment audit • Produce radar graphs • Audit processes • Reinforcement biases • Expectations match • Experience rating • How does it make you feel? 1. The Why 1. The Why 2. Logical Reasoning 3. Emotive/Logical Reinforcement 2. Business Model 3. The 3P’s Start here S CURVE MATURITY S CURVE MATURITY PAST PRESENT RECONCILIATION
  31. 31. Reconciling Brand & Customer Experiences. • Merge what, where, when, why • Innovation gaps • Acquisition & retention cohort analysis • Tech Stack Audit • Price to experience parity • Customer insights mapping (in reverse) • Ask yes or no questions • Offering comprehension • Usability scoring • Right product/place at the right time? • Ask more questions (merge 1-4) • Audit channels • Convergence/divergence analysis • Fishbone analysis • Cohort location analysis (where, why) • Sentiment mining • Customer Insights mapping • Usability testing • North star metrics (ah ha! moment) • CSAT & ESAT • CES & EES • Identify patterns • Gather sensory feedback (touch, visual, auditory, smell, taste, feel) • Buyers remorse? • Hope vs. Fulfilled experience • Gather emotional feedback (excitement, fear, hope, confidence, trust) 4. Products & Services 4. Comparative Logic 5. Channels 5. What, Where, When, Why & How 6. Experience 6. Experience FUTURE KPI’s METRICS & MEASUREMENT • Merge what, where, when, why • Innovation gaps • Acquisition & retention cohort analysis • Tech Stack Audit • Price to experience parity • Customer insights mapping (in reverse)
  32. 32. Understanding what’s out of alignment will help you better assess what needs to shift in your business, and which metrics you need to be focused on in order to drive those shifts and monitor their success. Assessing Alignment of Brand & Customer Experience. No Man’s Land Excellent Brand Euphoria Identify & remove roadblocks, take actionable steps to achieve alignment. Limited Brand Equity Disconnected Experiences Customer First High Brand Equity Connected Experiences Customer First Deep Cognitive Association Brand & Immersive Experiences Customer Centric
  33. 33. We can start to identify gaps in alignment by differentiating two sets of circles using same colors as the StoryVesting concentric circles to help separate the two sets of data. Our goal is to move these out of No Man’s Land and into alignment by bringing them as close together as possible. It’s only when more gaps are filled and more sets of data are aligned that you can grow revenue. The Buckyball Approach to Finding a North Star. Problem Analysis EX 2 to CX6 = competitive experience issue. Problem Analysis EX 3 to CX 5 = comparative review. Figure 1 Figure 2
  34. 34. Aligning Your Business Model & the Customer Journey to Find Your North Star. Together, the North Star Metric must continuously be aligned with your Bow Tie Funnel’s open circle that states why someone stays with your business. It must be measurable, highly correlated with growth and success, simple to understand, objective but within your control, and constantly evolving at your company’s S Curve inflection points.
  35. 35. Revenue Acceleration Via a North Star Metric. Many companies live in legacy- style thinking. They’re conversion- focused, looking exclusively at metrics like Cost Per Lead (CPL), Cost of Acquisition (CAC), and Return on Investment (ROI). While there’s room for that type of analysis and those metrics certainly have their spot in revenue acceleration, we like to look closer at intelligent operations instead. CPL CAC ROAS/ROI CX LTV LTV : [CX] Retention Focused Conversion Focused PERSONALIZATION MATURITY REVENUE GROWTH Legacy Thinking: Tools and team structure can block revenue acceleration and successful Revenue Ops Intelligent Ops: Modern tools, bleeding edge thinking, and relevant org- structure can accelerate revenue and growth
  36. 36. Metrics Which Reinforce Value Proposition & Revenue Acceleration. Sales Cycle Monitor how changes impact your sales cycle as new strategies are implemented and new goals are determined. The amount of time it takes to close a deal. Increase/Decrease of Sales Cycle Lifetime Value (LTV) How much you can make from your customers over their lifetime of buying from your business. LTV:CAC Content Engagement How someone behaves with your business, your content, and/or your deliverable. How much you’re bringing in per employee. The LTV ratio to CAC helps determine if you’re allocating the right amount of resources effectively to drive long-term retention. Revenue per Employee or Contractor
  37. 37. More Metrics Which Reinforce Value Proposition & Revenue Acceleration. Month-over-Month Revenue per Employee How well your value proposition, strategy and operations are still aligned. How well you’re staying in momentum, and if the model is still viable based on your motion. Repeat revenue expansion per client shows how much revenue we’ve seen grow per client on a monthly basis. Back revenue expansion up against CAC to better understand your growth levers. Profit per Employee Month-over-Month Profit per Employee Repeat Revenue Expansion Per Client Revenue Expansion vs. Cost of Acquisition The profitability of each employee.
  38. 38. Revenue Acceleration Via a North Star Metric. There will be times when your company starts to transition into a new constellation of metrics. Of course, as that shift happens, your North Star metric shifts too. A shift isn’t a bad thing. It brings on new scaling opportunities, and with those new opportunities, you must make changes to the way in which you forecast and deliver accurate results. Volume Velocity Variety Veracity Data at Rest Data in Motion Data in Many Forms Data in Doubt As your organization starts to transition out of an inflection point, your North Star Metric and input metrics will shift. Strategic Inflection Point Growth Scale Start
  39. 39. Revenue Acceleration Via a North Star Metric. Every time we help our clients optimize their input metrics, North Star Metrics and North Star Goals, we do so through the lens of StoryVesting and the other frameworks. Ultimately, when you get your North Star Metric, it’s going to stay with you until your next switchback, pivot or place along your S Curve of Growth. Empathy Mapping Maslow’s Triangle Modified Hoshin Bowtie Funnel Radar Graph Customer Journey Mapping Convergence / Divergence Prioritization Matrix Business Impact Analysis StoryVesting Framework
  40. 40. Discover the Power of a Proper North Star Metric. Learn more at RocketSource.co/Blog/North-Star-Metric

Editor's Notes

  • If this doesn’t work out we can just delete the image and the box to get the background again
  • Quote from Julia:

    “Although the world has been changed forever, people are yearning for human connection, cities to reopen, and the moment when we can all socialize again. We're excited to partner with a company that, like Lyft, believes in elevating experiences and bringing people together.” said Julia Parsons, Head of Partnership Marketing at Lyft.

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