Deutsche Bank BRICS Metals & Mining Conference Guy Elliott, chief financial officer 10 November 2009
<ul><li>This presentation has been prepared by Rio Tinto plc and Rio Tinto Limited (“Rio Tinto”) and consisting of the sli...
Outline Introduction Economic update and longer term outlook Rio Tinto’s strategy Financial update Summary
<ul><li>Recapitalised the balance sheet following rights issues </li></ul><ul><li>Agreed divestments this year of $4 billi...
Cyclical upturn in the developed world but short term recovery may not be strong Source: ISM Factory (US), Nomura JM (Japa...
percent yoy Growth in China is already back close to average since 2000 but elsewhere it remains well below Change in GDP ...
Metals demand will double over the next fifteen to twenty years requiring a significant supply response <ul><li>Underlying...
China and other emerging nations will drive steel consumption growth Source: WSA, RTIO analysis * Charts show steel consum...
China increasingly reliant on lower-cost iron ore imports Apparent consumption of domestic iron ore (Mt)  2008 Source: Chi...
China will struggle to maintain domestic aluminium market balance <ul><li>Expected 8% growth rate in aluminium demand </li...
Rio Tinto’s strategy is to maximise long term return to shareholders <ul><ul><li>Invest in large, long life, low cost asse...
The balance sheet has been recapitalised <ul><li>Net debt of $22.3 billion at 30 September 2009 </li></ul><ul><li>Gearing ...
Good value achieved from divestments Cloud Peak Energy IPO 349 Alcan Engineered Products Composites 2,025  binding offer A...
Good progress being made against operating cost reduction targets <ul><li>Targeting a reduction in controllable costs by $...
Continued investment in 2009 has allowed us to retain our growth pipeline <ul><li>2009 capex forecast at $5 billion </li><...
Recapitalised balance sheet allows disciplined investment in value adding growth <ul><li>Rigorous process to prioritise ca...
Copper Bauxite Coal Alumina Nickel Aluminium Uranium Alumina Copper / Gold / Molybdenum Uranium Copper / Gold Iron ore Cop...
Chinese growth is set to continue <ul><li>Chinese growth has averaged 9.5% over the past decade </li></ul><ul><li>120+ cit...
A stronger business, well-positioned for improving market conditions <ul><li>Priorities for the next twelve months </li></...
Deutsche Bank BRICS Metals & Mining Conference Guy Elliott, Chief Financial Officer 10 November 2009
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Deutsche Bank Brics Metals And Mining Conference 10 Nov 09

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Deutsche Bank Brics Metals And Mining Conference, held in London on 10 November 2009 by Guy Elliott, chief financial officer

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Deutsche Bank Brics Metals And Mining Conference 10 Nov 09

  1. 1. Deutsche Bank BRICS Metals & Mining Conference Guy Elliott, chief financial officer 10 November 2009
  2. 2. <ul><li>This presentation has been prepared by Rio Tinto plc and Rio Tinto Limited (“Rio Tinto”) and consisting of the slides for a presentation concerning Rio Tinto. By reviewing/attending this presentation you agree to be bound by the following conditions. </li></ul><ul><li>Forward-Looking Statements </li></ul><ul><li>This presentation includes forward-looking statements. All statements other than statements of historical facts included in this presentation, including, without limitation, those regarding Rio Tinto’s financial position, business strategy, plans and objectives of management for future operations (including development plans and objectives relating to Rio Tinto’s products, production forecasts and reserve and resource positions), are forward-looking statements. Such forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause the actual results, performance or achievements of Rio Tinto, or industry results, to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. </li></ul><ul><li>Such forward-looking statements are based on numerous assumptions regarding Rio Tinto’s present and future business strategies and the environment in which Rio Tinto will operate in the future. Among the important factors that could cause Rio Tinto’s actual results, performance or achievements to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements include, among others, levels of actual production during any period, levels of demand and market prices, the ability to produce and transport products profitably, the impact of foreign currency exchange rates on market prices and operating costs, operational problems, political uncertainty and economic conditions in relevant areas of the world, the actions of competitors, activities by governmental authorities such as changes in taxation or regulation and such other risk factors identified in Rio Tinto's most recent Annual Report on Form 20-F filed with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (the &quot;SEC&quot;) or Form 6-Ks furnished to the SEC. Forward-looking statements should, therefore, be construed in light of such risk factors and undue reliance should not be placed on forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements speak only as of the date of this presentation. </li></ul><ul><li>Nothing in this presentation should be interpreted to mean that future earnings per share of Rio Tinto plc or Rio Tinto Limited will necessarily match or exceed its historical published earnings per share. </li></ul>Cautionary Statement
  3. 3. Outline Introduction Economic update and longer term outlook Rio Tinto’s strategy Financial update Summary
  4. 4. <ul><li>Recapitalised the balance sheet following rights issues </li></ul><ul><li>Agreed divestments this year of $4 billion bringing total to $7 billion plus binding offer of $2 billion </li></ul><ul><li>Net debt decreased 42% to $22.3 billion at 30 September 2009 </li></ul><ul><li>Operating cost reductions on target </li></ul><ul><li>Transforming the aluminium business </li></ul><ul><li>Announced iron ore production joint venture </li></ul><ul><li>Strong operational performance </li></ul><ul><li>Senior management organisational change </li></ul>We have strengthened the business Progress in 2009
  5. 5. Cyclical upturn in the developed world but short term recovery may not be strong Source: ISM Factory (US), Nomura JM (Japan), Markit (Eurozone) Purchasing manager indicators suggest recovery … <ul><li>Release of pent-up demand, government stimulus and end to destocking is driving current ‘normalisation’ in demand </li></ul><ul><li>Excess capacity is still holding back investment and producers are not restocking </li></ul><ul><li>Structural fiscal deficits will eventually need rebalancing </li></ul><ul><li>Western consumers unlikely to go back to previous levels of borrowing </li></ul>.. but a number of ‘headwinds’
  6. 6. percent yoy Growth in China is already back close to average since 2000 but elsewhere it remains well below Change in GDP US Japan China has been leading the global economic recovery Source: Reuters Ecowin, Consensus Economics China Germany
  7. 7. Metals demand will double over the next fifteen to twenty years requiring a significant supply response <ul><li>Underlying demand trends over the next two decades indicate that the global mining industry will need to find and develop: </li></ul><ul><ul><li>One Pilbara system (BHPB + Rio Tinto) every 5 years </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>One Saguenay system every nine months </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>One Escondida every year </li></ul></ul>Global consumption of leading Rio Tinto commodities Indexed, 2000=100 Note: cf trend of 3-6 percent growth per annum for most other metals. Aluminium Iron Ore Copper Brook Hunt Estimates CRU Estimates
  8. 8. China and other emerging nations will drive steel consumption growth Source: WSA, RTIO analysis * Charts show steel consumption (Mt)
  9. 9. China increasingly reliant on lower-cost iron ore imports Apparent consumption of domestic iron ore (Mt) 2008 Source: China Customs, CRU, Bloomberg, Clarkson’s, RTIO internal estimates, RTIO Analysis 2008
  10. 10. China will struggle to maintain domestic aluminium market balance <ul><li>Expected 8% growth rate in aluminium demand </li></ul><ul><li>18.5Mt of additional aluminium production implies an increase of </li></ul><ul><li>36Mt of alumina </li></ul><ul><li>90Mt of bauxite </li></ul><ul><li>32GW of energy </li></ul>Sources: IAI (International Aluminium Institute); Rio Tinto Alcan – Industry Analysis 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Aluminium Mt History Forecasts 13 Mt 18.5 Mt 31.5 Mt Chinese aluminium consumption Chinese aluminium production
  11. 11. Rio Tinto’s strategy is to maximise long term return to shareholders <ul><ul><li>Invest in large, long life, low cost assets </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Driven not by choice of commodity but by the quality of each opportunity </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Long term sustainable development at the heart of everything the Group does </li></ul></ul>
  12. 12. The balance sheet has been recapitalised <ul><li>Net debt of $22.3 billion at 30 September 2009 </li></ul><ul><li>Gearing reduced to 33% at Q3 </li></ul><ul><li>Successful rights issues </li></ul><ul><li>Divestments progress </li></ul><ul><li>Further divestment proceeds to come </li></ul><ul><li>Further debt reduction in 2010 </li></ul><ul><ul><li>JV equalisation payment* </li></ul></ul>Net debt ($bn) at end of period $16.8b 1 $5.8 billion subject to adjustment to achieve 1 July 2009 effective date
  13. 13. Good value achieved from divestments Cloud Peak Energy IPO 349 Alcan Engineered Products Composites 2,025 binding offer Alcan Packaging global pharma, tobacco, food Europe and Asia not disclosed 56% of Alcan Engineered Products Cable 1,200 Alcan Packaging Food Americas  764 Jacobs Ranch  1,600 Corumbá and potash assets  325 Ningxia, sundry exploration properties  2,940 Greens Creek, Cortez, Kintyre Completed Price (US$m) Asset
  14. 14. Good progress being made against operating cost reduction targets <ul><li>Targeting a reduction in controllable costs by $2.5 billion in 2010 </li></ul><ul><li>Controllable pre-tax cost reductions of $770m achieved in the first half </li></ul><ul><li>Completed 16,000 role reductions in first half exceeding target by 2,000 </li></ul><ul><li>Additional savings from lower input costs continue in second half </li></ul><ul><li>10% movement in A$ and C$ vs the US$ impacts full year underlying earnings by $360m and $146m based on H109 exchange rates </li></ul>Movement in A$ and C$ relative to US$
  15. 15. Continued investment in 2009 has allowed us to retain our growth pipeline <ul><li>2009 capex forecast at $5 billion </li></ul><ul><li>$3 billion investment in major projects </li></ul><ul><li>Madagascar project completed </li></ul><ul><li>Expansion of Pilbara mines to 220mtpa complete, proceeding to 225mtpa </li></ul><ul><li>Clermont remains on track – first production in second quarter 2010 </li></ul><ul><li>Strong coking coal markets support Kestrel expansion </li></ul><ul><li>Yarwun 2 continues at a slower rate </li></ul><ul><li>Diavik – first underground production in first quarter 2010 </li></ul><ul><li>Acquisition of increased stake in Ivanhoe through exercise of tranche 2 </li></ul>
  16. 16. Recapitalised balance sheet allows disciplined investment in value adding growth <ul><li>Rigorous process to prioritise capital </li></ul><ul><li>Growth has been underpinned by continued investment in key projects </li></ul><ul><li>Capex adjusted to reflect current conditions </li></ul><ul><li>Capex expected to be at least $5 billion in 2010 </li></ul><ul><li>Potential for further capital investment of up to $1 billion </li></ul>Cash from operations Investment in value adding growth Strengthen the balance sheet Return cash to shareholders
  17. 17. Copper Bauxite Coal Alumina Nickel Aluminium Uranium Alumina Copper / Gold / Molybdenum Uranium Copper / Gold Iron ore Copper A diversified business with tier one growth options Feasibility & development Brownfield Greenfield Copper / Gold Aluminium Iron ore Aluminium Source: Rio Tinto Aluminium Nickel Coal Copper
  18. 18. Chinese growth is set to continue <ul><li>Chinese growth has averaged 9.5% over the past decade </li></ul><ul><li>120+ cities in China with more than 1 million inhabitants today </li></ul><ul><li>World’s largest consumer of iron ore, copper, coal and aluminium </li></ul><ul><li>Over 50% of seaborne traded iron ore is now sold to China </li></ul><ul><li>India set to follow </li></ul>Chongqing city, western China
  19. 19. A stronger business, well-positioned for improving market conditions <ul><li>Priorities for the next twelve months </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Focus on operational delivery </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Pursue growth path through disciplined capital expenditure </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Complete the iron ore production joint venture </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Further debt reduction in 2010 </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Strengthen our relationship with China </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Long term strategy remains investment in long life, low cost, expandable assets </li></ul><ul><li>Long term drivers of metals demand remain intact </li></ul><ul><li>Well positioned to meet industry challenges </li></ul>
  20. 20. Deutsche Bank BRICS Metals & Mining Conference Guy Elliott, Chief Financial Officer 10 November 2009

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