1.
Public Opinion Survey
Residents of Ukraine
August 27-September 9, 2013
International Republican Institute
Baltic Surveys Ltd. / The Gallup Organization
Rating Group Ukraine
with funding from the United States Agency for
International Development
1

2.
Methodology
The survey was conducted by the public opinion and market research company Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization
on behalf of the International Republican Institute. The field work was carried out by Rating Group Ukraine.
The main sample consisted of 1,200 permanent residents of Ukraine aged 18 and older and eligible to vote. It is
representative of the general population by age, gender, education and religion.
Data were collected on August 27 – September 9, 2013 through face-to-face interviews with the respondents. The
margin of error does not exceed plus or minus 2.8 percent. The response rate was 64 percent.
The sample design was a multi-stage random sample. The closest birthday rule was used for selection of the
respondent. The households were selected using the random route method.
•
Stage one: Ukraine is divided into 27 official administrative regions (25 regions of Ukraine, Kiev and Sevastopol).
All regions of Ukraine were surveyed.
•
Stage two: selection of the settlements - towns and villages. Settlements were selected at random. The number of
selected settlements in each region was proportional to the share of population living in a particular type of the
settlement in each region. Towns were grouped into subtypes according to the size:
• City more than one million residents
• City 500,000-999,000
• City 100,000-499,000
• City 50,000-99,000
• City to 50,000
• Village
•
Stage three: primary sampling units were described.
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, Rating Group Ukraine
UKRAINIAN RESIDENTS SURVEY, September 2013
2

3.
MOOD OF UKRAINE
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, Rating Group Ukraine
UKRAINIAN RESIDENTS SURVEY, September 2013
3

4.
Generally speaking, do you think that things in Ukraine are going in the right direction
or wrong direction?
September 2013
15%
May 2013
15%
August 2012
67%
69%
24%
May 2012
20%
73%
13%
0%
18%
66%
13%
November 2011
16%
58%
14%
March 2012
18%
14%
71%
20%
40%
Right direction
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, Rating Group Ukraine
16%
60%
Wrong direction
80%
100%
DK/NA
UKRAINIAN RESIDENTS SURVEY, September 2013
4

5.
Over the last 12 months, how has the financial situation of your household
changed?
1%
September 2013
9%
41%
30%
17%
2%
1%
May 2013
8%
46%
30%
14%
1%
1%
August 2012
14%
37%
27%
15%
5%
0.2%
May 2012
9%
45%
30%
13%
3%
1%
March 2012
6%
39%
34%
18%
2%
18%
2%
1%
November 2011
6%
0%
Improved a lot
37%
36%
20%
Improved somewhat
40%
Stayed the same
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, Rating Group Ukraine
60%
Worsened somewhat
80%
Worsened a lot
UKRAINIAN RESIDENTS SURVEY, September 2013
100%
DK/NA
5

6.
In the next 12 months, how do you expect the economic situation in Ukraine
to change?
2%
12%
September 2013
27%
29%
17%
13%
0.4%
May 2013
8%
38%
29%
12%
12%
2%
17%
August 2012
31%
24%
11%
16%
1%
May 2012
13%
35%
26%
11%
14%
1%
8%
March 2012
32%
32%
15%
12%
1%
Nov 2011
7%
0%
Improve a lot
30%
20%
Improve somewhat
32%
40%
Stay the same
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, Rating Group Ukraine
17%
60%
Worsen somewhat
80%
Worsen a lot
UKRAINIAN RESIDENTS SURVEY, September 2013
13%
100%
DK/NA
6

7.
ISSUES
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, Rating Group Ukraine
UKRAINIAN RESIDENTS SURVEY, September 2013
7

8.
Do you think it is acceptable or not if some groups of people use the following
methods of protests? How acceptable is each of these forms?
Collecting signatures for
petition, letter
76%
Legal demonstrations
69%
Legal strikes
27%
51%
Demonstrations without
permission
32%
24%
Acceptable
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, Rating Group Ukraine
11%
53%
12%
55%
13%
62%
Not acceptable
9%
14%
50%
35%
8%
9%
35%
34%
Strikes without permission
Occupation of buildings or
enterprises
22%
64%
Boycott
Blocking of major roads
16%
14%
DK/NA
UKRAINIAN RESIDENTS SURVEY, September 2013
8

9.
Do you think it is acceptable or not if some groups of people use the following
methods of protests? How acceptable is each of these forms?
May 2013
Collecting signatures for
petition, letter
73%
18%
64%
Legal demonstrations
29%
54%
Legal strikes
Demonstrations without
permission
7%
38%
48%
Boycott
8%
40%
28%
12%
60%
Strikes without permission
24%
Blocking of major roads
23%
11%
63%
66%
Occupation of buildings or
enterprises
17%
Acceptable
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, Rating Group Ukraine
8%
13%
11%
71%
Not acceptable
12%
DK/NA
UKRAINIAN RESIDENTS SURVEY, September 2013
9

10.
If Ukraine was able to enter only one international economic union, with whom
should it be?
September 2013
42%
May 2013
37%
40%
August 2012
5%
37%
32%
5%
42%
16%
18%
6%
20%
May 2012
37%
41%
5%
17%
March 2012
36%
43%
4%
17%
November 2011
42%
0%
10%
European Union
20%
40%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Customs Union with Russia, Belarus and Kazakhstan
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, Rating Group Ukraine
3%
70%
80%
Other
15%
90%
100%
DK/NA
UKRAINIAN RESIDENTS SURVEY, September 2013
10

11.
What is your expectation, will Ukraine and the European Union sign the Association
Agreement in November 2013?
Definitely yes
9%
DK/NA
26%
Probably yes
30%
Definitely no
9%
Probably no
26%
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, Rating Group Ukraine
UKRAINIAN RESIDENTS SURVEY, September 2013
11

12.
Which side will benefit more from the possible integration of Ukraine to the European
Union?
DK/NA
19%
Ukraine
17%
It is disadvantageous for
both sides
8%
European Union
26%
It is beneficial for both
sides
30%
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, Rating Group Ukraine
UKRAINIAN RESIDENTS SURVEY, September 2013
12

13.
Which side will benefit more from the possible integration of Ukraine to the Customs
Union with Russia?
DK/NA
16%
Ukraine
8%
It is disadvantageous for
both sides
2%
Russia
34%
It is beneficial for both
sides
40%
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, Rating Group Ukraine
UKRAINIAN RESIDENTS SURVEY, September 2013
13

14.
If signed in November 2013, do you think the Association Agreement with the European
Union will have positive or negative consequences for Ukraine?
Definitely positive
12%
DK/NA
23%
Definitely negative
9%
Somewhat positive
35%
Somewhat negative
21%
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, Rating Group Ukraine
UKRAINIAN RESIDENTS SURVEY, September 2013
14

15.
What possible consequences will the signing of the Association Agreement between
Ukraine and the European Union have for Ukraine in these particular areas?
Freedom of movement in the European Union for
Ukrainian citizens
31%
39%
8% 3%
Protection of human rights and freedoms
20%
Standard of living of citizens
18%
30%
Fight against corruption
16%
33%
16%
Protection of territorial integrity of Ukraine
15%
34%
18%
Economic development
14%
35%
0%
Definitely positive
Rather positive
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, Rating Group Ukraine
37%
16%
21%
21%
6%
8%
6%
19%
21%
23%
29%
7%
10%
26%
20%
10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Rather negative
Definitely negative
DK/NA
UKRAINIAN RESIDENTS SURVEY, September 2013
15

16.
How would you evaluate your attitude towards the following entities?
50%
Russia
European Union
41%
Poland
32%
40%
45%
0%
10%
Warm
8%
49%
26%
United States
15%
7%
54%
20%
30%
40%
Neutral
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, Rating Group Ukraine
50%
16%
60%
Cold
70%
80%
90%
3%
6%
4%
4%
100%
DK/NA
UKRAINIAN RESIDENTS SURVEY, September 2013
16

17.
Which of the following issues are the most important for Ukraine?
(Three mentioned issues)
Unemployment
55%
Low industry production
44%
Corruption within the state bodies
42%
Control over price growth
35%
Social protection for poor
30%
Government incompetence
17%
Crime
15%
Political instability
14%
Delay in salary/Pension payments
10%
Relations with Russia
10%
Lack of/Possibility of cutting off gas, electricity, water
7%
Hryvnia devaluation
6%
5%
Rights to land ownership
Russian language status
Russian Black Sea Navy presence
Other
DK/NA
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, Rating Group Ukraine
2%
1%
3%
1%
UKRAINIAN RESIDENTS SURVEY, September 2013
17

18.
Which of the following issues are the most important for Ukraine?
(Three mentioned issues, by gender and age)
Male
Unemployment
Female
18-29 years
30-49 years
56%
62%
61%
54%
Low industry production
48%
41%
43%
Corruption within the state bodies
47%
37%
44%
Control over price growth
29%
39%
Social protection for poor
24%
35%
Government incompetence
18%
16%
34%
21%
19%
50 years
and older
47%
49%
40%
42%
40%
31%
39%
24%
20%
40%
13%
Crime
17%
13%
19%
13%
14%
Political instability
16%
13%
16%
15%
12%
Delay in salary/Pension payments
10%
11%
10%
9%
12%
Relations with Russia
11%
9%
9%
10%
10%
Lack of/Possibility of cutting off gas, electricity, water
5%
8%
7%
5%
7%
Hryvnia devaluation
6%
6%
4%
8%
5%
Rights to land ownership
6%
5%
4%
5%
6%
Russian language status
1%
3%
2%
2%
2%
Russian Black Sea Navy presence
1%
2%
2%
2%
1%
Other
2%
4%
2%
2%
4%
DK/NA
1%
1%
0%
0%
2%
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, Rating Group Ukraine
UKRAINIAN RESIDENTS SURVEY, September 2013
18

19.
Which of the following issues are the most important for Ukraine?
(Three mentioned issues, by region)
West
Unemployment
Low industry production
71%
Social protection for poor
Crime 11%
23%
Political instability 12%
Delay in salary/Pension payments 9%
Relations with Russia 4%
Lack of/Possibility of cutting off gas, electricity, water
3%
Hryvnia devaluation 6%
39%
34%
41%
40%
30%
17%
17%
37%
32%
29%
19%
Government incompetence
45%
57%
43%
28%
East
65%
47%
52%
35%
South
47%
37%
Corruption within the state bodies
Control over price growth
Center
20%
11%
26%
12%
11%
7%
17%
10%
9%
14%
8%
10%
15%
10%
1%
9%
6%
3%
8%
6%
3%
8%
Rights to land ownership
4%
Russian language status
1%
1%
3%
5%
Russian Black Sea Navy presence
0%
1%
1%
3%
Other 1%
1%
1%
DK/NA 2%
1%
0%
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, Rating Group Ukraine
8%
1%
UKRAINIAN RESIDENTS SURVEY, September 2013
19

20.
What are the most important problems facing Ukraine?
(Top four issues identified)
100%
Unemployment
Low industry production
90%
Corruption within the state bodies
Control over price growth
80%
70%
60%
52%
54%
50%
44%
40%
42%
54%
48%
43%
43%
50%
53%
51%
55%
39% 40%
45%
44%
42%
39%
34%
37%
30%
26%
20%
10%
0%
Nov-11
Mar-12
May-12
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, Rating Group Ukraine
Aug-12
May-13
Sept-13
UKRAINIAN RESIDENTS SURVEY, September 2013
20

21.
Which of the following issues are the most important for you personally?
(Three mentioned issues)
Control over price growth
58%
Unemployment
51%
Social protection for poor
40%
Corruption within the state bodies
25%
Low industry production
23%
Delay in salary/Pension payments
20%
Crime
13%
Hryvnia devaluation
12%
Government incompetence
8%
Lack of/Possibility of cutting off gas, electricity, water
8%
Political instability
6%
Relations with Russia
6%
5%
Rights to land ownership
Russian language status
Russian Black Sea Navy presence
4%
1%
Other
DK/NA
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, Rating Group Ukraine
6%
2%
UKRAINIAN RESIDENTS SURVEY, September 2013
21

22.
Which of the following issues are the most important for you personally?
(Three mentioned issues, by gender and age)
Male
Control over price growth
52%
Unemployment
Female
51%
Social protection for poor
18-29 years
64%
52%
51%
35%
45%
57%
65%
62%
28%
29%
22%
30%
26%
Low industry production
26%
21%
25%
29%
19%
63%
34%
31%
Corruption within the state bodies
Delay in salary/Pension payments 21%
50 years
and older
30-49 years
18%
17%
55%
22%
18%
22%
Crime 14%
12%
14%
14%
12%
Hryvnia devaluation 12%
11%
15%
13%
9%
6%
8%
7%
9%
9%
6%
7%
10%
6%
5%
6%
6%
5%
Relations with Russia 8%
5%
4%
4%
10%
Government incompetence
10%
Lack of/Possibility of cutting off gas, electricity, water 8%
Political instability
Rights to land ownership
6%
5%
3%
6%
5%
Russian language status
3%
5%
4%
4%
4%
Russian Black Sea Navy presence
1%
1%
0%
1%
1%
5%
5%
6%
2%
2%
2%
Other 4%
DK/NA 3%
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, Rating Group Ukraine
7%
1%
UKRAINIAN RESIDENTS SURVEY, September 2013
22

23.
Which of the following issues are the most important for you personally?
(Three mentioned issues, by region)
West
Center
South
Control over price growth
62%
53%
57%
Unemployment
63%
57%
East
55%
Social protection for poor
35%
50%
Corruption within the state bodies
26%
25%
Low industry production
16%
Crime 10%
24%
19%
32%
47%
19%
Delay in salary/Pension payments 18%
63%
22%
39%
12%
30%
27%
22%
22%
12%
10%
Hryvnia devaluation
20%
9%
4%
13%
Government incompetence
10%
7%
10%
6%
Lack of/Possibility of cutting off gas, electricity, water
4%
13%
2%
11%
Political instability
6%
5%
3%
7%
Relations with Russia
2%
4%
Rights to land ownership
5%
5%
4%
6%
Russian language status
3%
1%
4%
8%
Russian Black Sea Navy presence
0%
1%
0%
Other 1%
1%
2%
DK/NA 2%
2%
2%
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, Rating Group Ukraine
9%
10%
1%
17%
2%
UKRAINIAN RESIDENTS SURVEY, September 2013
23

24.
What are the most important problems facing residents of Ukraine?
(Top three issues identified)
100%
90%
Control over price growth
Unemployment
Social protection for poor
80%
70%
60%
56%
57%
40%
46%
41%
58%
34%
54%
54%
51%
51%
50%
59%
50%
49%
51%
36%
39%
40%
37%
30%
20%
10%
0%
Nov-11
Mar-12
May-12
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, Rating Group Ukraine
Aug-12
May-13
Sept-13
UKRAINIAN RESIDENTS SURVEY, September 2013
24

25.
POLITICS
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, Rating Group Ukraine
UKRAINIAN RESIDENTS SURVEY, September 2013
25

26.
If pre-term parliamentary elections were announced today, would you vote in such
elections?
September 2013
34%
34%
May 2013
33%
36%
0%
Definitely yes
20%
Rather yes
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, Rating Group Ukraine
40%
Rather no
7%
20%
8%
60%
Definitely no
19%
80%
5%
4%
100%
DK/NA
UKRAINIAN RESIDENTS SURVEY, September 2013
26

27.
If Ukrainian presidential elections were held next Sunday, would you vote in such
elections?
September 2013
38%
May 2013
38%
0%
Definitely yes
20%
Rather yes
32%
7%
36%
40%
Rather no
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, Rating Group Ukraine
17%
5%
60%
Definitely no
80%
17%
6%
4%
100%
DK/NA
UKRAINIAN RESIDENTS SURVEY, September 2013
27

28.
Do you feel that the next presidential election will be free and fair?
Absolutely
free and fair
2%
DK/NA
16%
Rather free and fair
17%
Absolutely not free
and fair
26%
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, Rating Group Ukraine
Rather not free and
fair
39%
UKRAINIAN RESIDENTS SURVEY, September 2013
28

29.
In the past two years, has the situation in the following areas improved or worsened?
Prices
74%
Employment
59%
Healthcare
21%
59%
Economy of Ukraine
29%
50%
Government competence
49%
Housing and communal services
49%
Agriculture
Small and medium business
Rights to land ownership
Situation with languages
6%
43%
9%
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, Rating Group Ukraine
6%
14%
60%
Stayed the same
10%
22%
21%
40%
4%
23%
53%
20%
Worsened
5%
51%
17%
0%
8%
37%
17%
6%
13%
28%
30%
European integration of Ukraine
12%
38%
34%
Salary/Pension payments
14%
38%
35%
Stability of hryvnia
8%
35%
43%
7%
5% 6%
31%
44%
8%
10%
40%
Improved
3%
19%
13%
60%
3%
7%
12%
34%
45%
Fight against criminality
8%
30%
47%
Social protection
13%
35%
47%
Political stability
6% 4%
30%
50%
Relations with Russia
7% 6%
31%
54%
Fight against corruption
3%
2%
10%
80%
100%
DK/NA
UKRAINIAN RESIDENTS SURVEY, September 2013
29

30.
How many times per week do you access the Internet?
September 2013
28%
May 2013
6%
24%
August 2012
19%
6%
9%
8%
8%
9%
6%
42%
5%
47%
5% 5% 6% 5%
24%
6%
March 2012
25%
4% 4% 6% 4%
November 2011
19%
0%
Every day
10%
6%
20%
5-6 times per week
7%
7%
30%
6% 5%
49%
2%
50%
60%
1%
54%
5%
40%
3%
56%
3-4 times per week
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, Rating Group Ukraine
1%
57%
May 2012
9%
1%
2%
70%
1-2 times per week
80%
90%
100%
Less often
Never
DK/NA
UKRAINIAN RESIDENTS SURVEY, September 2013
30

31.
How many times per week do you access the Internet?
Every day
5-6 times per week
ALL RESPONDENTS
28
3-4 times per week
6 9 8 6
42
1
1-2 times per week
Less often
ALL RESPONDENTS
28
Never
6 9 8 6
DK/NA
42
1
GENDER
REGIONS
Male
Female
32
6 11 8 6
35
2
67 8 6
48
1
AGE
18-29 years
51
West
25
57 65
Center
24
25
7 11 8 9
36
51
50 years and older
36
9 3 5 43
4
11 13 10 4 11
South
30-49 years
1
7 10 12 10
73
32
8 9 45
41
East
31
5 7 11 3
41
23 2
3
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, Rating Group Ukraine
0%
2
20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
UKRAINIAN RESIDENTS SURVEY, September 2013
31

32.
SOCIO-DEMOGRAPHICS
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, Rating Group Ukraine
UKRAINIAN RESIDENTS SURVEY, September 2013
32

33.
Gender
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
55%
Female
Male
45%
Age groups
100%
80%
43%
50+
60%
30-49
40%
35%
18-29
20%
23%
0%
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, Rating Group Ukraine
UKRAINIAN RESIDENTS SURVEY, September 2013
33

34.
Education
University, higher
100%
27%
Non-complete higher
6%
80%
Vocational secondary
40%
General secondary
60%
40%
20%
0%
Non-complete
secondary
23%
4%
Religion
100%
80%
9%
9%
3% 3%
2%
Atheist
Other
60%
40%
DK/NA
74%
20%
0%
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, Rating Group Ukraine
Believe in God but don't
belong to any religion
Greek Catholic
Orthodox
UKRAINIAN RESIDENTS SURVEY, September 2013
34

35.
Sector of employment
100%
Do not work
80%
50%
60%
1%
40%
Public
nongovernment
sector
State sector
19%
Private sector
20%
29%
0%
Other
Occupation
100%
80%
5%
8%
8%
4%
Unemployed
Housewife
Student
40%
20%
29%
Pensioner
1%
20%
1%
Higher and medium level
executive
White collar
24%
60%
Farmer
0%
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, Rating Group Ukraine
Blue collar
UKRAINIAN RESIDENTS SURVEY, September 2013
35

36.
Ethnicity
100%
3%
17%
80%
Other
60%
40%
Russian
80%
Ukrainian
20%
0%
Language usually spoken at home
100%
1%
19%
Other
80%
60%
40%
Russian
40%
20%
Ukrainian and
Russian equally
40%
Ukrainian
0%
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, Rating Group Ukraine
UKRAINIAN RESIDENTS SURVEY, September 2013
36

37.
Membership in a political party or nongovernmental
organization
1%
100%
3%
Member of
nongovernmental
organization
80%
60%
Member of a
party
96%
40%
None
20%
0%
Regions*
35%
30%
30%
25%
29%
22%
19%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
West Ukraine
Center Ukraine
South Ukraine
East Ukraine
*Oblasts included in each region: West Ukraine – Volyn, Zakarpartia, Ivano-Frankivsk, Lviv, Rivne, Ternopil, Khmelnitskiy, Chernivtsi
Center Ukraine – Vinnitsya, Zhitomyr, Kyiv, Kirovohrad, Poltava, Sumy, Cherkasy, Chernihiv, Kyiv City
South Ukraine – Crimea Autonomous Region, Zaporizhia, Mykolaiv, Odesa, Kherson
East Ukraine – Dnipropetrovsk, Donetsk, Luhansk, Kharkiv
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, Rating Group Ukraine
UKRAINIAN RESIDENTS SURVEY, September 2013
37