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Market signals for the us stock market s and p 500 index and indian stock market nifty index for the
1. Market Signals for the US stock market S and P 500
Index and Indian Stock Market Nifty Index for the
Week beginning November 30
rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.com/2015/11/market-signals-for-us-stock-market-s_29.html
Indicator Weekly Level / Change / Significance Implication
for
S & P 500
Implication
for Nifty*
S & P 500 2090, 0.05% Neutral Neutral
Nifty 7943, 1.10% Neutral** Bullish
China
Shanghai
Index
3436, -5.35% Bearish Bearish
Gold 1056, -1.91% Bearish Bearish
WTIC Crude 41.77, 0.75% Bullish Bullish
Copper 2.05, 0.69% Bullish Bullish
Baltic Dry
Index
581, 16.67% Bullish Bullish
Euro 1.0595, -0.50% Bearish Bearish
Dollar/Yen 122.83, 0.06% Neutral Neutral
Dow
Transports
8215, -1.04% Bearish Bearish
US 10 year
Bond Yield
2.23%, -1.64% Bullish Bullish
Nyse
Summation
Index
253, 32.59% Bullish Neutral
US Vix 15.12, -2.26% Bullish Bullish
2. 20 DMA, S
and P 500
2081, Above Bullish Neutral
50 DMA, S
and P 500
2029, Above Bullish Neutral
200 DMA, S
and P 500
2065, Above Bullish Neutral
20 DMA,
Nifty
7905, Above Neutral Bullish
50 DMA,
Nifty
7997, Below Neutral Bearish
200 DMA,
Nifty
8306, Below Neutral Bearish
India Vix 16.73, 5.24% Neutral Bearish
Dollar/Rupee 66.91, 1.21% Neutral Bearish
Overall S & P 500 Nifty
Bullish
Indications
9 7
Bearish
Indications
4 8
Outlook Bullish Bearish
Observation The Sand P 500 and the Nifty were up last week.
Indicators are bullish. Markets are back at resistance
and the Vix is signaling complacency. A major break out
is likely this week.
On the
Horizon
Australia - Rate decision, Canada - Rate decision, Swiss
– Retail sales, Euro zone – German employment data,
CPI & PPI, ECB rate decision, U.S – employment data,
India – Rate decision, GDP.
*Nifty India’s Benchmark Stock Market Index
Raw Data Courtesy Google finance, Stock charts, FXCM
3. **Neutral Changes less than 0.5% are considered neutral
The US market was up slightly and the Nifty rallied last week. Signals are mixed for the upcoming
week. The markets are back at resistance and are likely to correct with most emerging markets, and
commodities already breaking down on a strong dollar and a hawkish FED. The critical levels to watch
are 2100 (up) and 2065 (down) on the S & P and 8000 (up) and 7800 (down) on the Nifty. A significant
breach of the above levels could trigger the next big move in the above markets. You can check out last
week’s report for a comparison. You can also check out snapshots of the S and
P 500 and Nifty Indices. Love your thoughts and feedback.