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REACHING THE INVISIBLE: HIDDEN LINKS
   OF ILL HEALTH BETWEEN SOUTH AFRICA’S
           CITIES AND RURAL AREAS

Mark A Collinson (University of the Witwatersrand),
Philippe Bocquier (Université Catholique de Louvain)
Jo Vearey (University of the Witwatersrand),
Scott Drimie (International Food Policy Research Institute),
Wayne Twine (University of the Witwatersrand),
Kathleen Kahn (University of the Witwatersrand),
Samuel Clark (University of Washington).
Steven Tollman (University of the Witwatersrand)


            RENEWAL Regional Workshop: A decade of work on HIV, food and nutrition security
                                          9-11 Nov 2010
                  The Protea Breakwater Lodge, Waterfront, Cape Town, South Africa
Structure of the presentation
1. Internal migration in South Africa
2. Methods – the Agincourt Health and Demographic Surveillance System
3. Who migrates to where?
4. Death rates: A dramatic increase in crude death rates
5. Migration and mortality findings:
   a. Trends in mortality rates – with and without return migrants
   b. Mortality rates by duration of residence
6. Summary and conclusion
Internal migration in South Africa
• Before democracy there were high levels of circular labour
   migration, mostly of males.
• Pass laws and labour recruitment to mines and factories;
   visits home once or twice per year
• Restrictions on population movement lifted in 1986;
  migration patterns were expected to become less circular
  and more permanent.
• Instead circulation increased; female migration increased;
• Links between the cities and rural areas strengthened
2. Agincourt Health and Demographic Surveillance System (AHDSS)




•Population: 72 000 people in 12 000 households; Baseline census: 1992
•Annual census and vital events update.
•Household list updated: Key information on vital events: pregnancy outcome,
deaths, in and out migration, Verbal autopsy on all deaths Internal migration
reconciliation Repeated cross-sectional modules: SES, Labour, Food Security, ID
documents
3 a. Who migrates?
                                                                     To where?

                                                                   Permanent migrants




                              number of           number of
                                 out-                in-
Destination/Origin Category   migrations   %      migrations   %

village to village moves
                                  40457    72%        40290    79%

nearby towns
                                    6067   11%          2686    5%

secondary urban
                                    4670    8%          4012    8%

Primary metropolis
                                    2298    4%          1550    3%

Other and unknown                   2996    5%          2357    5%

Total                             56488    100%       50895    100%
3 b. Who migrates?
                                                  To where?

                                                  Temporary migrants




  Temporary migration

        destination        N           Percent

Village to village moves        212          2%

Nearby towns                   1277        11%

Secondary urban                4936        41%

Primary metropolis              5588       46%

Other unknown                     48         0%

Total                          12061      100%
Dramatic increase in crude death rate (x 3) from 1998
                       to 2003
              Annualised death rates, June 1993 - December 2006
       .02
       .015
       .01
       .005
       0




              1-94 1-1995 1-96   1-97   1-98   1-99 1-2000 1-01   1-02    1-03   1-04 1-2005 1-06   1-07
                                                Calendar Time

                                                Female                   Male




                                                                                                           8
Mortality Trends with and without HIV/TB
            affected migrants
 Mortality rates
10
11
Summary of findings
 Temporary circular migration is vital for rural
  household livelihoods, but there are serious
  health risks that need to be offset.
 HIV/AIDS and TB are overwhelming causes of
  death in rural populations. The deaths of
  recently returned migrants from HIV/TB made
  the sub-district death rates double in less than
  10 years. Migrants ‘returning home to die’ need
  special attention as they put extra burden on
  families and rural health structures
Conclusion
How do we achieve growth and reduce poverty
and inequality at the same time?
 Proper information on migration in sending and receiving communities is vital
  (date of move, type of move, duration...). Available census and surveys data are
  insufficient and may even be misleading.
 Facilitate migration through improving roads in the rural areas. Make transport
  cheaper and safer.
 Health structures must account for circular migration by strengthening the rural
  health system and implementing a nationwide patient-retained chronic
  medication card.
 Urban planning needs to provide hygienic, affordable, rental accommodation in
  poor areas with access to health systems and food markets.

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REACHING THE INVISIBLE: HIDDEN LINKS OF ILL HEALTH BETWEEN SOUTH AFRICA’S CITIES AND RURAL AREAS

  • 1. REACHING THE INVISIBLE: HIDDEN LINKS OF ILL HEALTH BETWEEN SOUTH AFRICA’S CITIES AND RURAL AREAS Mark A Collinson (University of the Witwatersrand), Philippe Bocquier (Université Catholique de Louvain) Jo Vearey (University of the Witwatersrand), Scott Drimie (International Food Policy Research Institute), Wayne Twine (University of the Witwatersrand), Kathleen Kahn (University of the Witwatersrand), Samuel Clark (University of Washington). Steven Tollman (University of the Witwatersrand) RENEWAL Regional Workshop: A decade of work on HIV, food and nutrition security 9-11 Nov 2010 The Protea Breakwater Lodge, Waterfront, Cape Town, South Africa
  • 2. Structure of the presentation 1. Internal migration in South Africa 2. Methods – the Agincourt Health and Demographic Surveillance System 3. Who migrates to where? 4. Death rates: A dramatic increase in crude death rates 5. Migration and mortality findings: a. Trends in mortality rates – with and without return migrants b. Mortality rates by duration of residence 6. Summary and conclusion
  • 3. Internal migration in South Africa • Before democracy there were high levels of circular labour migration, mostly of males. • Pass laws and labour recruitment to mines and factories; visits home once or twice per year • Restrictions on population movement lifted in 1986; migration patterns were expected to become less circular and more permanent. • Instead circulation increased; female migration increased; • Links between the cities and rural areas strengthened
  • 4. 2. Agincourt Health and Demographic Surveillance System (AHDSS) •Population: 72 000 people in 12 000 households; Baseline census: 1992 •Annual census and vital events update. •Household list updated: Key information on vital events: pregnancy outcome, deaths, in and out migration, Verbal autopsy on all deaths Internal migration reconciliation Repeated cross-sectional modules: SES, Labour, Food Security, ID documents
  • 5.
  • 6. 3 a. Who migrates? To where? Permanent migrants number of number of out- in- Destination/Origin Category migrations % migrations % village to village moves 40457 72% 40290 79% nearby towns 6067 11% 2686 5% secondary urban 4670 8% 4012 8% Primary metropolis 2298 4% 1550 3% Other and unknown 2996 5% 2357 5% Total 56488 100% 50895 100%
  • 7. 3 b. Who migrates? To where? Temporary migrants Temporary migration destination N Percent Village to village moves 212 2% Nearby towns 1277 11% Secondary urban 4936 41% Primary metropolis 5588 46% Other unknown 48 0% Total 12061 100%
  • 8. Dramatic increase in crude death rate (x 3) from 1998 to 2003 Annualised death rates, June 1993 - December 2006 .02 .015 .01 .005 0 1-94 1-1995 1-96 1-97 1-98 1-99 1-2000 1-01 1-02 1-03 1-04 1-2005 1-06 1-07 Calendar Time Female Male 8
  • 9. Mortality Trends with and without HIV/TB affected migrants Mortality rates
  • 10. 10
  • 11. 11
  • 12. Summary of findings  Temporary circular migration is vital for rural household livelihoods, but there are serious health risks that need to be offset.  HIV/AIDS and TB are overwhelming causes of death in rural populations. The deaths of recently returned migrants from HIV/TB made the sub-district death rates double in less than 10 years. Migrants ‘returning home to die’ need special attention as they put extra burden on families and rural health structures
  • 13. Conclusion How do we achieve growth and reduce poverty and inequality at the same time?  Proper information on migration in sending and receiving communities is vital (date of move, type of move, duration...). Available census and surveys data are insufficient and may even be misleading.  Facilitate migration through improving roads in the rural areas. Make transport cheaper and safer.  Health structures must account for circular migration by strengthening the rural health system and implementing a nationwide patient-retained chronic medication card.  Urban planning needs to provide hygienic, affordable, rental accommodation in poor areas with access to health systems and food markets.