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credit-suisse Slides - Presentation to analysts and media

  1. 1. CREDIT SUISSE GROUP FIRST QUARTER 2001 RESULTS Slide 1
  2. 2. PRESENTATION § Q1 2001 RESULTS SUMMARY § PERFORMANCE VS TARGETS § CONSOLIDATED RESULTS Q1 2001 § ASSET QUALITY & CAPITAL ADEQUACY § BUSINESS UNIT RESULTS § PRIORITIES / OUTLOOK § SUPPLEMENTS Slide 2
  3. 3. OVERVIEW Q1 2001 RESULTS (1/2) Q1/01 Q4/00 Q1/00 Change to Q1/00 Q4/00 Net operating profit, CHF m * 1,726 1,880 1,961 -12% -8% Reported net profit, CHF m ** 1,428 1,664 1,915 -25% -14% AuM, CHF bn *** 1,366 1,360 1,194 +14% 0% Operating ROE * 16.7% 19.0% 25.5% Operating earnings per share, CHF * 5.74 6.47 7.19 -20% -11% Book value per share, CHF *** 138.25 136.30 116.79 +18% +1% * excl. amortisation of acquired intangible assets and goodwill, as well as for Q4/00 excl. restructuring provision ** after amortisation of acquired intangible assets and goodwill, excl. restructuring provision in Q4/00 *** 31.03.01, 31.12.00 and 31.03.00 resp. Slide 3
  4. 4. OVERVIEW Q1 2001 RESULTS (2/2) § CSFS: Operating ROE / ROIC 16.6%, CHF 4.6 bn net new assets s WIN: CHF 133 m net operating profit (+6% vs. Q1/00), premiums +7% organic s WLP: CHF 199 m net operating profit (+23% vs. Q1/00), premiums +13% organic s CSB: CHF 187 m net operating profit matching strong Q1/00 § CSPB: CHF 8.4 bn net new assets, 57 bp operating return on AuM § CSAM: CHF 6.8 bn net new discretionary assets, partially offsetting downward trend in global markets § CSFB: Operating ROE of 18.7% (excl. amortisation of retention payments) helped by best quarter ever in Fixed Income Slide 4
  5. 5. GROWTH IN ASSETS UNDER MANAGEMENT in CHF billion 0.1 6.8 8.4 1,365.7 4.1 4.6 - 17.8 CSFB 1,359.5 CSAM CSPB market acquisitions CSFS movements & structural ed) nualis an effects +5.9% .9 ( HF 19 sets C ew as net n AuM 12/00 AuM 03/01 New definition of AuM: Assets placed with CSG entities for investment purposes or which underlie insurance contracts (see supplemental slides) Slide 5
  6. 6. CSG BUSINESS MIX Core activities Financial intermediation (CSFB) Asset gathering - Banking Asset gathering - Insurance 38% 40% 29% 26% 26% 35% 34% 35% 48% 52% 38% 54% 52% 45% 47% 65% 46% 36% 23% 19% 20% 21% 14% 19% 19% 19% 1/4 97 1/4 98 * 1/4 99 Q1/00 Q2/00 Q3/00 Q4/00 Q1/01 Target mix Net profit contribution before corporate centre costs * 1998 ex Russia Slide 6
  7. 7. REVENUE § Top line growth reflecting market conditions and DLJ acquisition § Continued stable revenue composition, fee income 44% of total Change vs. 11,091 in CHF m Q1 2000 10,631 Balance sheet + 26% 14% 9,177 8,747 8,676 business 19% 13% 12% 13% 44% Fees & + 25% commissions 43% 41% 49% 47% 28% Trading + 14% 31% 29% 13% 23% 19% Insurance + 12% 17% 14% 16% 15% Total revenue + 21% Q1/00 Q2/00 Q3/00 Q4/00 Q1/01 Slide 7
  8. 8. OPERATING EXPENSES § Expense base up on DLJ acquisition § Cost / income ratio of 76.3% (Q1/00: 67.3%), reflecting market conditions and amortisation of retention payments Change vs. 8,467 in CHF m Q1 2000 7,868 Personnel + 33% 6,030 6,301 6,178 6,154 expenses 5,154 (amortisation of retention pmts.) (194) (181) 2,310 2,298 2,575 (of which bonuses) + 25% (2,780) (2,017) (2,092) (1,856) (2,218) 2,308 Other op. exp. + 40% 1,954 1,549 1,392 1,396 Depreciation * + 90% 483 406 372 321 254 Total op. expenses + 37% Q1/00 Q2/00 Q3/00 Q4/00 Q1/01 * excl. amortisation of acquired intangible assets and goodwill Slide 8
  9. 9. COST / INCOME MIX Asset gathering cost / income ratio *, in % 64.7 62.7 61.6 60.7 59.0 57.3 56.1 1998 1999 Q1/00 Q2/00 Q3/00 Q4/00 Q1/01 Financial intermediation (CSFB) cost / income ratio *, in % 85.6 81.2 79.8 76.3 76.3 74.7 74.4 1998 ** 1999 Q1/00 Q2/00 Q3/00 Q4/00 Q1/01 * excl. acquisition impact ** 1998 ex Russia Slide 9
  10. 10. CONSOLIDATED OPERATING INCOME STATEMENT Q1/01 Q4/00 Q1/00 Change CHF m CHF m CHF m to Q1/00 Operating income 11,091 10,631 9,177 21% Operating expenses 7,984 7,462 5,924 35% Gross operating profit 3,107 3,169 3,253 -4% Depreciation *, write-offs 483 407 254 90% Valuation adj., provisions & losses 238 425 303 -21% Operating profit pre e.o. & tax 2,386 2,337 2,696 -11% e.o. items, net 22 -58 -37 - Taxes 635 330 658 -3% Net operating profit bef. minorities 1,773 1,949 2,001 -11% Net operating profit 1,726 1,880 1,961 -12% * excl. amortisation of acquired intangible assets and goodwill Slide 10
  11. 11. REPORTED CONSOLIDATED INCOME STATEMENT Q1/01 Q4/00 Q1/00 Change CHF m CHF m CHF m to Q1/00 Net operating profit 1,726 1,880 1,961 -12% Amort. of acquired intangible assets 191 157 - - tax effect -63 -44 - - Amortisation of goodwill 170 103 46 270% Net profit before restructuring charge 1,428 1,664 1,915 -25% Restructuring charge - 1,499 - - tax effect - -425 - - Reported net profit 1,428 590 1,915 -25% Slide 11
  12. 12. ASSET QUALITY CAPITAL EXPOSURE & PROVISION DEVELOPMENT Non-performing loans (NPLs) *, in CHF m 1,904 CSFB 1,887 1,278 1,012 1,000 1,479 1,804 12,105 10,964 10,265 CSB & 9,493 8,854 8,347 7,926 CSPB YE 1998 YE 1999 03/00 06/00 09/00 YE 2000 03/01 NPLs as %age of credit exposure * 4.1% 3.4% 3.0% 2.8% 2.6% 2.4% 2.3% Coverage ratio of NPLs 63% 63% 61% 61% 62% 63% 62% * includes loans and loan equivalents Slide 12
  13. 13. CAPITAL ADEQUACY - CREDIT SUISSE GROUP 31.03.01 31.12.00 31.12.99 BIS tier 1 ratio % 10.3 11.3 11.8 BIS tier 1 ratio, banking % 8.9 9.1 9.1 BIS tier 1 capital CHF m 25,699 27,111 24,833 BIS risk-weighted assets CHF m 250,392 239,465 209,870 Slide 13
  14. 14. CREDIT SUISSE FINANCIAL SERVICES HIGHLIGHTS Q1 2001 § CSFS reporting format as of 1 January 2001: s Winterthur Insurance (WIN) s Winterthur Life & Pensions (WLP) s Credit Suisse Banking (CSB) s Credit Suisse Personal Finance (CSPF) § Overall results for CSFS: s Net operating profit of CHF 428 m, down 5% on Q1/00 (up 9% excluding investment/expansion-related loss at CSPF) s 16.6% operating ROE / ROIC s AuM at CHF 276 bn (+1% vs. 12/00), CHF 4.6 bn net new assets Slide 14
  15. 15. WINTERTHUR INSURANCE HIGHLIGHTS Q1 2001 § Premiums earned up 17% vs. Q1/00, 7% organic growth § Combined ratio improved to 106.4% (108.8% in Q1/00) s Claims ratio slightly down at 77.4% (77.8% in Q1/00), includes seasonal Q1 weather-related losses s Expense ratio down 2 points at 29.0% due to expense control and premium growth § Lower investment return of 6.3% (6.7% in Q1/00) reflecting financial market conditions; 1.7% realised gains (2.3% in Q1/00) § CHF 133 m net operating profit, up 6% over Q1/00, down vs. Q4/00 on seasonal factors Slide 15
  16. 16. KEY FIGURES WINTERTHUR INSURANCE Net premiums earned (CHF bn) Claims ratio (%) 3.6 3.5 3.1 77.8 77.4 77.2 Q1/00 Q4/00 Q1/01 Q1/00 Q4/00 Q1/01 Expense ratio (%) Combined ratio (%) excl. dividends to policy holders 31.0 108.8 29.3 29.0 106.5 106.4 Q1/00 Q4/00 Q1/01 Q1/00 Q4/00 Q1/01 Slide 16
  17. 17. WINTERTHUR LIFE & PENSIONS HIGHLIGHTS Q1 2001 § Premiums up 19% vs. Q1/00, 13 % organic growth s Strong contribution from group life in Switzerland and Spain s Unit-linked products up 30% on Q1/00 (5% excl. acquisitions) § Expense ratio down to 6.1% (Q1/00: 7.7%) partly on premium growth § Seasonal factors will result in slower growth for the balance of the year § Investment return reduced to 6.2% (8.1% in Q1/00) reflecting stock market environment; 1.8% realised gains (3.7% in Q1/00) § CHF 199 m net operating profit, up 23% over Q1/00 § Strategic priorities s Further pursue M&A activity to grow and reinforce position in L&P s Continued focus on unit-linked products s Accelerate introduction of Europe Life IT platform across Europe Slide 17
  18. 18. KEY FIGURES WINTERTHUR LIFE & PENSIONS Gross premiums (CHF bn) Expense ratio (%) 11.3 6.2 5.2 7.7 4.2 6.1 Q1/00 Q4/00 Q1/01 Q1/00 Q4/00 Q1/01 Net new assets (CHF bn) Return on average tech. provisions (bp) not annualised (full-year target 60-65 bp) 2.1 21 20 19 1.4 0.8 Q1/00 Q4/00 Q1/01 Q1/00 Q4/00 Q1/01 Slide 18
  19. 19. TRANSFORMATION OF INSURANCE OPERATIONS 1997 - 2000: HIGHLIGHTS From To § Management spread across all § Reinforced management teams fully insurance lines (Life, Health, Retail dedicated to both WLP and WIN on P&C, Corporate) in integrated country a global basis operations § Traditional insurance company § Complete separation of product organisation development & management from distribution § Dependence on traditional tied agent § Strong growth of new channel (bank, distribution financial advisor, direct) and broker distribution representing: - 45% of 2000 premiums in Life - 61% of 2000 premiums in Non-Life § Dependence on traditional Swiss business particularly for Life premiums § Expansion of unit-linked to 20% and non-Swiss business to >50% of total § Lack of common financial standards life sales. and transparency across geographies § Implementation of US-GAAP-based global financial management Slide 19
  20. 20. DIVESTITURES OF HIGH-RISK BUSINESS, DISCIPLINED ACQUISITIONS in CHF m Gross premiums written Transaction price divestitures acquisitions divestitures acquisitions HIH 1,325 400 Non-Life 1,260 1,125 Win Re Life 1,224 1,000 Win Int. * 580 DBV-Win ** 800 570 1,254 NIG 325 645 Colonial UK 800 260 Nicos Life 450 117 Taikang Life 140 75 120 VOPF NET TOTAL 1,975 1,910 2,525 2,422 * Net premiums written, reflecting high reinsurance cessions ** increase of shareholding to 68% from 45% Slide 20
  21. 21. SHIFTING INSURANCE PORTFOLIO MIX 1997 business mix 2000 business mix ** CHF 26.8 bn gross premiums written CHF 29.6 bn gross premiums written Life Life 52% Non-Life 42% Retail & SME 44% Non-Life Retail & SME Commercial & 48% Reinsurance * 14% * HIH, Winterthur Re, Winterthur International ** adjusted for Winterthur International Slide 21
  22. 22. INSURANCE BUSINESS STRONG ORGANIC GROWTH Gross premiums written, adjusted for acquisitions in CHF bn 14.8 15.5 12.8 10.0 1997 2000 1997 2000 Life, CAGR = 14% Non-Life, CAGR = 7% Slide 22
  23. 23. INSURANCE BUSINESS STRONG EARNINGS GROWTH Profit before tax and minorities in CHF m 785 1,161 904 385 1997 2000 1997 2000 Life, CAGR = 27% Non-Life, CAGR = 9% Slide 23
  24. 24. CREDIT SUISSE BANKING HIGHLIGHTS Q1 2001 § CHF 187 m net operating profit matching strong Q1/00, up 40% on Q4 § Operating ROE of 16.9%, up slightly on Q1/00 § Commission income down due to lower transaction volumes vs. exceptional Q1/00 § Net interest income up, net interest margin of 242 bp (237 bp in Q1/00) § Stable credit quality, actual valuation adjustments CHF 33 m below statistically expected figure § Online Products s Online securities transactions down from last year's high volumes s 288,590 online customers, up 10% on 12/00 Slide 24
  25. 25. CREDIT SUISSE PERSONAL FINANCE HIGHLIGHTS Q1 2001 § CSPF reporting format as of 1 January 2001 includes European onshore affluent offering as well as youtrade § Continued growth in established areas s Credit Suisse (Italy) close to 20,000 clients, nearly CHF 5 bn AuM s More than 27,000 youtrade customers s Overall net new assets of CHF 450 m, offsetting negative performance in weak financial markets § CHF 91 m net operating loss reflecting continued investment mode § Acquisition of General de Valores y Cambios secures good starting position in Spain § Launch in Spain and Germany planned for second half Slide 25
  26. 26. CREDIT SUISSE PRIVATE BANKING HIGHLIGHTS Q1 2001 § CHF 8.4 bn inflow of net new assets, or 1.8% for the quarter § Net operating profit of CHF 645 m, 13% below record Q1/00, but up 6% on Q4 § Net margin 57 bp, gross margin 137 bp, based on new AuM definition § Lower transaction volumes vs. Q1/00 offset in part by commission income from new issues of own structured products and alternative investments (ALPS, PIN, quot;Absolutequot; funds) § Further expansion of international business (acquisition of JO Hambro) and continued investments in new technologies leading to cost increases of 8% over Q1/00 § Expanded online services (e.g. customised financial website MyCSPB) Slide 26
  27. 27. KEY FIGURES * CREDIT SUISSE PRIVATE BANKING Asset driven Transaction driven Other revenue Gross margin (in bp) 145 137 150 131 130 127 17% 16% 16% 17% 25 20% 27 21 120 21 22 28% 34% 36% 33% 41% 60 90 36 45 44 47 60 55% 49% 48% 70 47% 64 65 63 42% 61 30 0 Q1/00 Q2/00 Q3/00 Q4/00 Q1/01 Q1/00 Q2/00 Q3/00 Q4/00 Q1/01 Net new assets (CHF bn) Net margin ** Gross margin (bp) 8.4 5.6 145 5.3 137 131 130 127 4.7 3.2 65 57 55 55 53 Q1/00 Q2/00 Q3/0 Q4/00 Q1/01 Q1/00 Q2/00 Q3/00 Q4/00 Q1/01 * based on new AuM definition (see supplemental slides) ** excl. amortisation of goodwill Slide 27
  28. 28. CREDIT SUISSE ASSET MANAGEMENT HIGHLIGHTS Q1 2001 § CHF 6.8 bn net new discretionary assets, largely offsetting declines due to market movements s Strong inflows in European retail s Equity assets most impacted by negative market movements, now at 31% of discretionary AuM § Revenue up on DLJ acquisition impact, integration completed, expense savings achieved § Net operating profit of CHF 68 bn (down 8% on Q1/00); 5.6 bp return on AuM (6.7 bp in Q1/00) § First mover in Switzerland in fast growing product area of exchange- traded funds Slide 28
  29. 29. CREDIT SUISSE FIRST BOSTON HIGHLIGHTS Q1 2001 § Turnaround in Fixed Income, best quarter on record s High yield and securitisation benefiting from DLJ merger s Lower interest rates and securitisation led to strong gains in rates and credit product groups § Good results in Equities in light of difficult markets s Revenue 21% below record Q1/00, up 31% on Q4/00 s Primary business adversely affected by drop in new issues, secondary trading and derivatives doing well § IBD revenue down 45% on Q4/00 due to significant drop in volumes for equity capital markets and M&A § Financial Services division adversely affected by difficult equity markets § DLJ integration completed, cost synergies likely to exceed original goals § Global league table ranking sustained in top 3 or 4 category Slide 29
  30. 30. KEY MARKET SHARE FIGURES CREDIT SUISSE FIRST BOSTON April 2001 2000 * 1997 Rank Share Gap to 3 Rank Share Gap to 3 Rank Share Gap to 3 Global M&A 5 16.1% 3.5% 3 27.0% none 5 12.3% 6.2% Global Equity 5 8.7% 3.2% 4 11.2% 2.2% 5 4.9% 7.3% Global Debt 3 8.6% none 4 9.1% 0.5% 7 5.4% 3.2% High Yield 2 17.2% none 1 21.0% none 10 4.0% 7.3% Equity research North America 1 56 RA none 1 56 RA none 10 13 RA 26 RA Europe 1 41 RA none 4 26 RA 10 RA 12 8 RA 26 RA RA = ranked analysts * 2000 rankings include DLJ for full year Slide 30
  31. 31. DLJ INTEGRATION HEADCOUNT REDUCTION - PROGRESS UPDATE CSFB PRO FORMA MAR CHANGE '01 VS. SEP 2000 SEP 2000 2001 PRO FORMA FID * 1,819 2,658 2,686 1% IBD * 2,581 4,451 4,002 -10% Equity * 2,593 3,720 3,272 -12% Private Equity 73 350 360 3% Other / CSFBNext 132 219 182 -17% TOTAL FRONT 7,197 11,399 10,502 -8% TOTAL BACK 9,301 11,625 10,712 -8% Financial Services – 7,511 7,150 -5% CSFB TOTAL 16,498 30,535 28,364 -7% * Equity Capital Markets headcount is shared equally between Equity and IBD. Debt Capital Markets headcount is split equally between FID and IBD. Equity Research headcount is held entirely within Equity. Slide 31
  32. 32. PERFORMANCE VERSUS TARGETS Q1 2001 1999 2000 Target annualised CSFS Net new asset growth 4.7% 2.9% 6.7% 6% Operating ROE / ROIC * 14.9% 19.2% 16.6% 20% WIN Combined ratio 105.2% 106.5% 106.4% 103% WLP Return on tech. provision * 65 bp 68 bp 76 bp 60-65 bp CSB Cost / income * 66.3% 64.6% 65.9% 60% CSPB Net new asset growth 3% 4.4% 7.4% 5% Net margin on AuM * 45 bp 54 bp 57 bp 50-55 bp CSAM Discr. net new asset growth 9% 7.5% 7.6% 10% Net margin on AuM * 7.2 bp 7.5 bp 5.6 bp 8 bp CSFB Market share growth +/- + market share ü ü Operating ROE * 19.6% 21.8% 15.7% 15-20% across cycle CSG Net new asset growth 4.5% 4.5% 5.9% >6% Operating ROE * 18.5% 21.5% 16.7% 18-22% * excl. amortisation of acquired intangible assets and goodwill Slide 32
  33. 33. PRIORITIES / OUTLOOK 2001 § Build on strategic progress made in difficult first quarter s DLJ integration targets on track / to be exceeded s Build asset gathering / asset management businesses s Continue efforts to leverage the insurance business § Second quarter still impacted by difficult market environment § 2001 likely to continue to be a challenging year § Favourable long-term trends for financial services industry remain intact Slide 33

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