The QE Index declined marginally to close at 9,761.7. Losses were led by the Real Estate and Consumer Goods & Services indices, falling 2.0% and 0.7%, respectively.
1. Page 1 of 7
QSE Intra-Day Movement
Qatar Commentary
The QE Index declined marginally to close at 9,761.7. Losses were led by the Real
Estate and Consumer Goods & Services indices, falling 2.0% and 0.7%, respectively.
Top losers were Doha Insurance Group and Ezdan Holding Group, falling 5.6% and
3.4%, respectively. Among the top gainers, Zad Holding Company gained 5.4%, while
Aamal Company was up 2.2%.
GCC Commentary
Saudi Arabia: The TASI Index gained 1.0% to close at 8,526.7. Gains were led by the
Utilities and Media & Entertainment indices, rising 2.2% and 1.8%, respectively.
Saudi Industrial Export Co. rose 10.0%, while National Industrial. Co. was up 6.6%.
Dubai: The DFM Index gained 0.1% to close at 2,599.8. The Transportation index
rose 5.2%, while the Invest. & Fin. Services index gained 1.9%. International
Financial Advisors rose 14.4%, while Aramex was up 9.1%.
Abu Dhabi: The ADX General Index fell 0.9% to close at 4,819.8. The Telecomm.
index declined 4.1%, while the Inv. & Financial Services index fell 1.3%. United
Arab Bank declined 9.6%, while Emirates Telecom. Group Co. was down 4.1%.
Kuwait: The Kuwait Main Market Index fell 0.1% to close at 4,747.1. The Telecomm.
index declined 0.6%, while the Financial Services index fell 0.5%. Warba Capital
Holding Co. declined 12.7%, while Al-Massaleh Real Estate Co. was down 9.6%.
Oman: The MSM 30 Index fell 0.2% to close at 4,074.3. Losses were led by the
Industrial and Financial indices, falling 0.3% and 0.1%, respectively. Majan College
declined 7.4%, while Muscat Gases fell 5.7%.
Bahrain: The BHB Index gained 0.4% to close at 1,411.2. The Commercial Banks
index rose 0.7%, while the Investment index gained 0.3%. National Bank of Bahrain
rose 2.5%, while BBK was up 1.3%.
QSE Top Gainers Close* 1D% Vol. â000 YTD%
Zad Holding Company 126.49 5.4 1.8 21.6
Aamal Company 9.58 2.2 187.4 8.4
The Commercial Bank 41.90 1.6 247.1 6.4
Qatar Gas Transport Company Ltd. 20.48 1.3 126.2 14.2
Qatar Industrial Manufacturing Co 38.50 1.3 0.3 (9.8)
QSE Top Volume Trades Close* 1D% Vol. â000 YTD%
Mesaieed Petrochemical Holding 17.90 (3.2) 1,741.5 19.1
United Development Company 13.03 (2.3) 1,131.6 (11.7)
Qatar Aluminium Manufacturing 11.31 0.2 590.9 (15.3)
Barwa Real Estate Company 38.70 0.6 431.4 (3.0)
Qatar Insurance Company 33.60 0.3 425.1 (6.4)
Market Indicators 13 Mar 19 12 Mar 19 %Chg.
Value Traded (QR mn) 276.0 326.3 (15.4)
Exch. Market Cap. (QR mn) 552,329.5 553,674.9 (0.2)
Volume (mn) 8.2 10.7 (24.0)
Number of Transactions 5,154 6,403 (19.5)
Companies Traded 44 46 (4.3)
Market Breadth 19:23 26:17 â
Market Indices Close 1D% WTD% YTD% TTM P/E
Total Return 17,727.86 0.1 0.1 (2.3) 13.6
All Share Index 2,973.77 (0.1) (0.7) (3.4) 14.5
Banks 3,665.90 0.3 (0.5) (4.3) 13.6
Industrials 3,130.96 0.0 0.1 (2.6) 15.0
Transportation 2,243.81 1.0 1.8 8.9 13.0
Real Estate 1,973.63 (2.0) (5.8) (9.8) 15.8
Insurance 2,926.24 0.0 (0.9) (2.7) 17.8
Telecoms 925.50 0.4 3.4 (6.3) 19.5
Consumer 7,336.90 (0.7) 2.5 8.6 15.0
Al Rayan Islamic Index 3,860.49 (0.1) (0.1) (0.6) 13.5
GCC Top Gainers
##
Exchange Close
#
1D% Vol. â000 YTD%
National Industrial. Co Saudi Arabia 17.82 6.6 14,518.6 17.9
Co. for Cooperative Ins. Saudi Arabia 62.00 3.7 264.6 2.8
Saudi Arabian Mining Co. Saudi Arabia 54.30 3.6 570.9 10.1
Yanbu National Petro. Co. Saudi Arabia 72.40 3.4 828.2 13.5
Human Soft Holding Co. Kuwait 3.20 3.2 437.7 (2.4)
GCC Top Losers
##
Exchange Close
#
1D% Vol. â000 YTD%
Emirates Telecom. Group Abu Dhabi 16.04 (4.1) 2,221.2 (5.5)
DAMAC Properties Dubai 1.37 (2.1) 4,121.9 (9.3)
Bank Dhofar Oman 0.15 (2.0) 390.5 (12.0)
Raysut Cement Oman 0.34 (1.7) 9.1 (9.5)
Emaar Properties Dubai 4.70 (1.3) 4,199.2 13.8
Source: Bloomberg (# in Local Currency) (## GCC Top gainers/losers derived from the S&P GCC
Composite Large Mid Cap Index)
QSE Top Losers Close* 1D% Vol. â000 YTD%
Doha Insurance Group 11.50 (5.6) 3.3 (12.1)
Ezdan Holding Group 11.24 (3.4) 253.2 (13.4)
Salam International Inv. Ltd. 4.35 (3.3) 59.8 0.5
Mesaieed Petrochemical Holding 17.90 (3.2) 1,741.5 19.1
Qatar Oman Investment Co. 5.56 (2.5) 2.2 4.1
QSE Top Value Trades Close* 1D% Val. â000 YTD%
Industries Qatar 118.50 (0.9) 50,143.1 (11.3)
Mesaieed Petrochemical Holding 17.90 (3.2) 31,156.6 19.1
Qatar Fuel Company 188.50 (1.3) 26,346.6 13.6
Ooredoo 66.48 0.9 23,672.0 (11.4)
Barwa Real Estate Company 38.70 0.6 16,694.5 (3.0)
Source: Bloomberg (* in QR)
Regional Indices Close 1D% WTD% MTD% YTD%
Exch. Val. Traded
($ mn)
Exchange Mkt.
Cap. ($ mn)
P/E** P/B**
Dividend
Yield
Qatar* 9,761.69 (0.0) (0.2) (3.5) (5.2) 75.48 151,724.9 13.6 1.4 4.5
Dubai 2,599.82 0.1 0.2 (1.4) 2.8 94.61 94,298.2 8.3 1.0 5.4
Abu Dhabi 4,819.83 (0.9) (1.9) (6.2) (1.9) 46.91 132,310.7 13.5 1.4 5.1
Saudi Arabia 8,526.68 1.0 0.6 0.4 8.9 867.74 539,323.7 18.9 1.9 3.3
Kuwait 4,747.12 (0.1) (0.6) (0.5) 0.2 78.36 32,763.1 15.5 0.9 4.4
Oman 4,074.27 (0.2) (0.9) (1.7) (5.8) 3.38 17,675.3 8.5 0.8 6.4
Bahrain 1,411.21 0.4 0.2 (0.1) 5.5 3.93 21,592.8 9.0 0.9 5.8
Source: Bloomberg, Qatar Stock Exchange, Tadawul, Muscat Securities Market and Dubai Financial Market (** TTM; * Value traded ($ mn) do not include special trades, if any)
9,720
9,740
9,760
9,780
9,800
9:30 10:00 10:30 11:00 11:30 12:00 12:30 13:00
2. Page 2 of 7
Qatar Market Commentary
ďˇ The QE Index declined marginally to close at 9,761.7. The Real Estate
and Consumer Goods & Services indices led the losses. The index fell on
the back of selling pressure from GCC shareholders despite buying
support from Qatari and non-Qatari shareholders.
ďˇ Doha Insurance Group and Ezdan Holding Group were the top losers,
falling 5.6% and 3.4%, respectively. Among the top gainers, Zad Holding
Company gained 5.4%, while Aamal Company was up 2.2%.
ďˇ Volume of shares traded on Wednesday fell by 24% to 8.2mn from
10.7mn on Tuesday. Further, as compared to the 30-day moving average
of 8.8mn, volume for the day was 7.8% lower. Mesaieed Petrochemical
Holding Company and United Development Company were the most
active stocks, contributing 21.4% and 13.9% to the total volume,
respectively.
Source: Qatar Stock Exchange (* as a % of traded value)
Earnings Releases, Global Economic Data and Earnings Calendar
Earnings Releases
Company Market Currency
Revenue (mn)
4Q2018
% Change
YoY
Operating Profit
(mn) 4Q2018
% Change
YoY
Net Profit
(mn) 4Q2018
% Change
YoY
Saudi Electricity Co.* Saudi Arabia SR 64,064.0 26.4% 6,016.0 -39.9% 1,757.0 -74.6%
Saudi Public Transport Co. * Saudi Arabia SR 1,455.5 29.1% -6.9 â 22.9 -71.9%
Dubai Investments* Dubai AED 3,046.4 9.4% â â 651.4 -35.0%
Arkan Building Materials Co. * Abu Dhabi AED 967.6 6.5% â â 53.5 77.2%
International Holdings Company* Abu Dhabi AED 570.2 35.4% â â 18.5 -37.1%
Source: Company data, DFM, ADX, MSM, TASI, BHB. (*Financials for FY2018)
Global Economic Data
Date Market Source Indicator Period Actual Consensus Previous
03/13 US Mortgage Bankers Association MBA Mortgage Applications 8-March 2.3% 2.3% 2.3%
03/13 EU Eurostat Industrial Production SA MoM January 1.4% 1.4% 1.4%
03/13 EU Eurostat Industrial Production WDA YoY January -1.1% -1.1% -1.1%
03/13 Japan Bank of Japan PPI YoY February 0.8% 0.8% 0.8%
03/13 Japan Bank of Japan PPI MoM February 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
Source: Bloomberg (s.a. = seasonally adjusted; n.s.a. = non-seasonally adjusted; w.d.a. = working day adjusted)
Earnings Calendar
Tickers Company Name Date of reporting 4Q2018 results No. of days remaining Status
DBIS Dlala Brokerage & Investment Holding Company 17-Mar-19 3 Due
ERES Ezdan Holding Group 18-Mar-19 4 Due
IGRD Investment Holding Group 19-Mar-19 5 Due
MRDS Mazaya Qatar Real Estate Development 20-Mar-19 6 Due
AKHI Al Khaleej Takaful Insurance Company 25-Mar-19 11 Due
QFBQ Qatar First Bank 27-Mar-19 13 Due
QGMD Qatari German Company for Medical Devices 27-Mar-19 13 Due
Source: QSE
Overall Activity Buy %* Sell %* Net (QR)
Qatari Individuals 19.77% 26.87% (19,582,503.07)
Qatari Institutions 41.78% 30.68% 30,630,144.87
Qatari 61.55% 57.55% 11,047,641.80
GCC Individuals 1.34% 0.60% 2,034,335.73
GCC Institutions 0.81% 5.84% (13,891,792.95)
GCC 2.15% 6.44% (11,857,457.22)
Non-Qatari Individuals 5.65% 9.74% (11,307,013.94)
Non-Qatari Institutions 30.65% 26.26% 12,116,829.36
Non-Qatari 36.30% 36.00% 809,815.42
3. Page 3 of 7
News
Qatar
ďˇ SIIS to hold its AGM and EGM on April 1, 2019 â Salam
International Investment Limitedâs (SIIS) board of directors
invited its shareholders for Ordinary General Meeting (AGM)
and Extraordinary General Assembly Meeting (EGM) of the
company to be held on April 1, 2019. In the event that the
quorum is not met, the second meeting will be adjourned to
April 8, 2019. (QSE)
ďˇ CBQK to hold its AGM and EGM on March 20, 2019 â The
Commercial Bankâs (CBQK) board of directors invited its
shareholders for AGM and EGM of the company to be held on
March 20, 2019. In case the quorum of one or both of the above
meetings is not met, the second meeting shall be held on March
27, 2019. (QSE)
ďˇ Qatar Petroleum signs agreement to enter 12 exploration blocks
in Morocco â Qatar Petroleum has entered into an agreement
with Eni to acquire a 30% participating interest in the Tarfaya
Shallow Exploration Permit, a series of 12 neighboring offshore
blocks along the Atlantic coast of Morocco. The agreement is
subject to customary regulatory approvals by the Government
of Morocco. Following such approvals, the partners holding
participating interest in the Tarfaya Shallow Exploration permit
will be affiliates of each of Eni (operator) with a 45%
participating interest, Qatar Petroleum with a 30%
participating interest, and Office National des Hydrocarbures et
des Mines (ONHYM) with the remaining 25% participating
interest. The Tarfaya Shallow Exploration Permit covers a total
area of approximately 23,900 kilo meter square in water depths
of up to 1,000 meters. The first phase of exploration ending in
2020 will include conducting geological and geophysical studies
with the objective of further defining potential prospects/leads
and assessing the full potential of the blocks. (Gulf-Times.com)
ďˇ Cabinet nod to areas where non-Qataris can own real estate â
The Cabinet has given its nod to a draft resolution of the
Council of Ministers that determined the areas where non-
Qataris are allowed to own and use real estate. The resolution
paves the way for implementation of Law No. 16 of 2018 on the
regulation of non-Qatari ownership and use of real estate, the
official Qatar News Agency (QNA) reported. After HE the Prime
Minister Sheikh Abdullah bin Nasser bin Khalifa Al-Thani
chaired the Cabinet's regular meeting, HE the Minister of Justice
and Acting Minister of State for Cabinet Affairs Issa bin Saad
Al-Jafali Al-Nuaimi said the Cabinet gave approvals pertaining
to the following: allow the ownership of real estate for non-
Qatari individuals and non-Qatari commercial companies and
real estate investment funds; determine 10 areas where non-
Qataris can own real estate; determine 16 areas for the use of
real estate by non-Qataris for 99 years; allow non-Qatari
ownership of residential villas within residential complexes;
allow non-Qatari ownership of shops within commercial
complexes; and grant residence to non-Qatari owners of real
estate whether for the purpose of housing or investment
throughout the period of ownership of real estate. In December
last year, the Cabinet had approved a draft decision to form a
committee to regulate non-Qatari ownership and use of real
estate and determine the committee's work system and
remuneration. (Gulf-Times.com)
ďˇ Qatarâs CPI falls 1.55% YoY and rises 0.18% MoM in February â
Qatarâs CPI, the measure of inflation in the country, of February
2019 reached 107.76 points (base year is 2013), showing an
increase of 0.18% when compared to the previous month. On an
annual basis, it showed a decrease of 1.55%. On monthly basis,
there were four main groups, where respective indices in this
month have increased, namely: âClothing and Footwearâ by
3.69%, followed by âFood and Beveragesâ by 1.13%,
âMiscellaneous Goods and Servicesâ by 0.45%, and âHousing,
Water, Electricity and Gasâ by 0.28%. Compared to the same
month of the previous year, the decrease was primarily due to
the decreasing prices seen in the seven groups, namely:
âCommunicationâ by 11.45%, followed by âRecreation and
Cultureâ by 6.49%, âTransportâ by 2.85%, âHousing, Water,
Electricity and other Fuelâ by 2.66%, âFood and Beveragesâ by
1.16%, âClothing and Footwearâ by 0.66%, and âRestaurants and
Hotelsâ by 0.13%. Also, there has been an increase in price
levels in five groups, namely: âTobaccoâ by 127.19%, âEducationâ
by 9.25%, âFurniture and Household Equipmentâ by 1.31%,
âMiscellaneous Goods and Servicesâ by 0.26%, and âHealthâ by
0.10%. (Qatar Tribune)
ďˇ Real estate trading volume exceeds QR320mn in the week
ended March 7 â The trading volume of registered real estates in
between March 3 to March 7 at the Ministry of Justiceâs real
estate registration department stood at over QR320mn. The
departmentâs weekly report stated that the trading included
empty lands, residential units, residential buildings, residential
tower and a multipurpose building. Most of the trading took
place in Al Rayyan, Doha, Al Daayen, Umm Salal, Al Wakra, Al
Shamal, Al Khor and Al Thakhira. The trading volume of
registered real estates in between February 24 to February 28
was over QR323mn. (Peninsula Qatar)
ďˇ Al Khalij Cement Company, Qatar Petroleum sign agreement
for oil well cement supply â Al Khalij Cement Company, a
subsidiary of Qatari Investors Group, signed a three-year
agreement with Qatar Petroleum for the supply of oil well
cement at the launch of Qatar Petroleumâs âTawteenâ initiative
event held last month. Al Khalij Cement Company was awarded
the prestigious American Petroleum Institute (API)
certification in November 2018, allowing it to produce oil well
cement Class âGâ at Grade (s) HSR at its Umm Bab factory. It is
the first and only cement producer in Qatar able to deliver this
high specification grade of cement. The certification was
attained by the companyâs production plant following APIâs
comprehensive audit. (Gulf-Times.com)
ďˇ QAMCâs strict business plan focuses on cost optimization â
Qatar Aluminum Manufacturing Company (QAMC), which
owns 50% interest in Qatalum, has put in a strict business plan
with special emphasis on cost optimization as part of its efforts
to enhance efficiency. The company will announce an interim
dividend next month along with its 2019 first quarter results.
The dividend to be declared will pertain to the six-month period
from July 1, 2018 to December 31, 2018, in line with the
companyâs Initial Public Offering prospectus and the founderâs
(Qatar Petroleum) economic rights waiver. It has obtained the
necessary no objection from the Ministry of Commerce and
Industry to amend the companyâs Articles of Association to
4. Page 4 of 7
have the first financial year to end on December 31, 2019.
Qatalum does not envisage any increase in production at
present but its focus is now on enhancing efficiency, according
to Mohamed Jaber A Al-Sulaiti, QAMCâs board member.
Qatalumâs operations have been ranked among the most
efficient smelters in terms of cash cost in US Dollar per metric
ton. It aims to continue to improve processes throughout the
organization to optimize costs. The company benchmarks âcash
costâ to track its progress as it implements best practices. It
utilizes benchmarks to measure its performance and evaluate
results. The Qatalum Improvement Programme (QIP) seeks to
continuously optimize processes throughout the organization
resulting in reduced business costs. (Gulf-Times.com)
ďˇ Barwa Bankâs AGM and EGM endorses all items on its agenda
and approves cash dividend of QR1.5 per share â Barwa Bank
convened its AGM and EGM. During the AGM, all items on the
agenda were discussed, such as hearing and approving the
boardâs report for the year that ended December 31, 2018, as
well as discussing and approving the groupâs future business
plans. This also came in line with the approval of the boardâs
recommendation to distribute cash dividends amounting to
15% of the nominal value of the shares at the rate of QR1.5 per
share. The new board members were elected for the 2019-2021
term. They are: Sheikh Mohamed bin Hamad bin Jassim Al-
Thani, Abdul Aziz Mohamed Hamad Al-Mana, Sultan Yousif Al-
Sulaiti, Sheikh Jassim bin Fahd bin Jassim Al-Thani, and Nasser
Ali Al-Hajri. During the assembly, the representatives of the
General Authority for Retirement and Social Security were also
appointed â Moza Mohamed Al-Sulaiti, Ahmed Abdul Razzaq
Al-Hashimi and Ahmed Mohamed Al-Mana, in addition to the
appointment of Sheikh Khalid bin Hassan bin Khalid Al-Thani
as representative of Qatar Holding. The Shariâah Supervisory
Board has been appointed for the next three years (2019-2021)
renewable under the chairmanship of Sheikh Walid bin Hadi;
Sheikh Osama Al-Durai, executive member; and Sheikh Essam
Al-Anzi, member of the board. (Gulf-Times.com)
ďˇ Barwa Bankâs CEO: Merger with International Bank of Qatar to
be completed by April â Barwa Bankâs CEO, Khalid Al Subaie,
said that Barwa Bankâs legal merging with International Bank
of Qatar is expected to take place in April, following the
approval of Qatar Central Bank, followed by the operational
merger which is expected to be by the end of this year. Al
Subaie said that there will be a new strategy for the bank as it
will double its assets to nearly QR80bn, and there will be a
strategy for the new joint entity legal integration under the
name of Barwa Bank. He said that the procedure will double the
number of branches and in terms of opening the new branches,
the decision will be made in a timely manner, but for existing
customers, the number of branches will double. (Peninsula
Qatar)
ďˇ The Commercial Bank joins international blockchain collective
â The Commercial Bank has become the first bank in Qatar to
join enterprise software firm R3âs collaborative initiative to
develop innovative applications and solutions on its âCordaâ
blockchain platform. The bank joins R3âs global network of
more than 300 of the worldâs largest financial services firms,
technology companies, central banks, regulators, and trade
associations working together on Corda â an enterprise-grade
blockchain platform that removes costly friction in business
transactions. Through Corda, institutions can transact directly
using smart contracts while ensuring the highest levels of
privacy and security. The Commercial Bankâs membership of R3
is further evidence of its commitment to apply the latest
technologies to improve services for customers and to drive
operational efficiencies. It also demonstrates the bankâs
readiness to collaborate with other organizations in the
financial services industry to find new ways that blockchain
technology can be used. (Gulf-Times.com)
ďˇ QLife Pharma set for US FDA approval, plans to export products
soon â QLife Pharma, the first licensed pharmaceutical
manufacturing company in Qatar, is set to go for the US FDA
approval of its drug products in a bid to export to neighboring
countries in the Middle East, Africa, and beyond. QLife
Pharmaâs CEO, Ahmed Hamad Almohanadi said the company
which has been selling its generic medicine lines to institutes,
pharmacies, hospitals, and clinics here will now also diversify
to new markets outside the country. He said, âWe are keen to
deliver the best quality and affordable medicines with much
lower prices. And we look forward to giving our medicines to
international bodies and have our facility and products
qualified and certified by international organizations like the
FDA and other certificates around the world. Our aim is to first
satisfy the needs of Qatar and gradually to diversify and export
to other countries.â (Peninsula Qatar)
International
ďˇ US core capital goods orders rebound; inflation muted â New
orders for key US-made capital goods rose by the most in six
months in January and shipments increased, but the trend in
both measures of business spending on equipment remained
soft, leaving forecasts for weak first-quarter economic growth
intact. The slowing economy is helping keep inflation tame,
with other data showing producer prices barely rising in
February, resulting in the smallest annual increase in more than
one-and-half years. This environment supports the Federal
Reserveâs wait-and-see approach to further interest rate hikes
this year. Orders for non-defense capital goods excluding
aircraft, a closely watched proxy for business spending plans,
rebounded 0.8%, the biggest gain since July. These core capital
goods orders fell 0.9% in December. Economists polled by
Reuters had forecasted core capital goods orders edging up 0.1%
in January. Core capital goods orders increased 3.1% on a YoY
basis. Core capital goods orders in January were boosted by
orders for machinery, which rebounded 1.4% after dropping
0.6% in December. Orders for electrical equipment, appliances
and components jumped 1.7% after falling 0.2% in the prior
month. (Reuters)
ďˇ MBA: Average US mortgage size hits record-high in last week â
The average size of mortgages US consumers were looking to
obtain to buy a home or to refinance one hit a record high of
$354,500 last week, suggesting resilience in the higher end of
the housing market, the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA)
stated. On the other hand, the rise hints that first-time buyers
face a challenge in finding their home of choice heading into
spring, which is typically the busiest time of the year for home
sales, the Washington-based industry group stated. The MBAâs
seasonally adjusted index of loan applications to buy a home
5. Page 5 of 7
grew 4.3% to 250.8 in the week ended March 8. Demand for
mortgages for home purchases was bolstered by a decline in
most mortgage rates last week. The average interest rate on 30-
year fixed-rate mortgages with conforming loan balances of
$484,350 or less decreased to 4.64% from 4.67%. (Reuters)
ďˇ Eurozoneâs industrial output stronger than expected in January
â Eurozoneâs industrial production was stronger than expected
in January, data showed, mainly due to a strong contribution
from energy and despite a drop in German output. The European
Unionâs statistics office Eurostat stated production in the 19
countries sharing the Euro rose 1.4% MoM in January for a 1.1%
YoY fall. Economists polled by Reuters had expected a 1.0%
monthly increase and a 2.1% annual decline. The January result
was mainly influenced by a 2.4% monthly and 4.0% YoY jump
in energy output, which helped offset or mitigate the weaker
results for intermediate and capital goods production. Output
went up despite a drop in Germany, the blocâs largest economy.
Eurostat estimated industrial production in Germany fell 0.9%
on the month, a higher drop than the 0.8% fall estimated by the
German statistics agency earlier this week. (Reuters)
ďˇ Japan may cut economic view as China slowdown hits growth â
Japanâs government is considering a slight downgrade to its
assessment of the economy in its monthly report for March as
exports and factory output fell due to slowing demand from
China, the Nikkei business daily reported. In February, the
government stated the economy was recovering, but noted
weak data on corporate sentiment, capital expenditure and
exports showed the US-China trade war is hurting the outlook
for the worldâs third-largest economy. The government could
slightly tweak the wording of its economic assessment to
indicate a downgrade, the Nikkei report stated without citing
sources. The governmentâs coincident indicator index fell for a
third straight month in January, prompting the government to
cut its view on the index, which showed the economy may have
reached the peak of its long-term business cycle. (Reuters)
ďˇ Chinaâs industrial output growth falls to 17-year low, but
investment picks up â Growth in Chinaâs industrial output fell
to a 17-year low in the first two months of the year, pointing to
further weakness in the worldâs second-biggest economy.
However investment picked up speed as the government fast-
tracked more road and rail projects, offering some relief for
policymakers as they work to avert a sharper slowdown, data
showed. China is ramping up support for the economy this year
as growth looks set to plumb 29-year lows. Premier Li Keqiang
last week announced hundreds of billions of Dollars in
additional tax cuts and infrastructure spending, even as
officials vowed they would not resort to massive stimulus like
in the past. Industrial output rose 5.3% in January-February,
the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) stated, less than
expected and the slowest pace since early 2002. Factory output
growth had been expected to slow to 5.5% from Decemberâs
5.7%. An official factory survey showed manufacturing output
contracted in February for the first time since January 2009,
while factory-gate inflation in February hovered at multi-year
lows, pointing to further pressure on industrial profits.
(Reuters)
ďˇ China's January-February property investment accelerates
despite cooling sales â Chinaâs property investment accelerated
in the first two months of the year, driven by strong demand in
its hinterland, despite government curbs on speculation in
bigger markets and the broader economic slowdown. Real
estate investment, which mainly focuses on the residential
sector but also includes commercial and office space, rose
11.6% in January-February from a year earlier, data from
National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) showed. That was quicker
than the 9.5% growth reported for the 2018 full year and the
strongest growth figure for the January-February period since
2014, when it grew 19.3%. Howere housing transactions slowed
as property sales by floor area fell 3.6% YoY in the first two
months of 2019, easing from the 0.9% again in December.
(Reuters)
ďˇ ZHCD to hold its board meeting on March 30 â Zad Holding
Company (ZHCD) announced that its board of directors will
meet on March 30, 2019 to discuss the companyâs FY2018
financial results and the profit distribution. (QSE)
Regional
ďˇ Saudi Real Estate Refinance Company issues $200mn Sukuk â
Government-owned Saudi Real Estate Refinance Company
(SRC) stated that it has completed a $200mn Sukuk issue with
multiple tenors, the first transaction by a non-sovereign issuer
in Saudi Arabia in 2019. The issuance comes under a program
SRC established in December that allows it to issue up to
SR11bn of local currency-denominated Islamic bonds. SRC, a
wholly owned subsidiary of the Kingdomâs sovereign wealth
fund (PIF), aims to accelerate housing construction - a sensitive
social issue and a top objective of economic reforms - by
injecting liquidity into the real estate market. Its target is to
eventually refinance 20% of Saudi Arabiaâs primary home loans
market, which authorities hope to expand to SR500bn by 2020
and SR800bn by 2028. The company has mandated HSBC Saudi
Arabia as sole lead manager and bookrunner of the Sukuk
program. The program may help the company become a major
issuer in Saudi Arabiaâs domestic bond market. (Reuters)
ďˇ Saudi Aramco said to seek LNG traders in Singapore over next
year â Saudi Aramco is seeking to hire several people in
Singapore over the next 18 months for a range of roles including
LNG marketing and trading, according to sources. Aramco
Trading has hired Jianyi Zheng from Pavilion for its LNG
business; he has joined the company in Singapore in January,
sources said. Among the planned hires, Aramco is seeking
people with a Chinese background and who have traded in
China, sources added. (Bloomberg)
ďˇ SABIC will merge two petrochemical companies to boost
efficiency â Saudi Arabian Basic Industries Corporation (SABIC)
will merge its wholly-owned affiliates Saudi Petrochemical
Company and Arabian Petrochemical Company, it has stated.
All assets, rights, liabilities and obligations of Saudi
Petrochemical Company (SADAF), will be transferred to
Arabian Petrochemical, also known as Petrokemya. SADAF as a
company will cease to exist. Part of SABICâs plan is to increase
efficiency and competitiveness. It expects the merger to be
completed during the 2H2019; SABIC does not expect to have
any material impact on its financial position. The merger is
subject to regulatory approvals. (Bloomberg)
ďˇ Moody's: UAEâs growth to increase slightly in 2019, Saudi
Arabia and Oman economies to slow â The growth of the UAE is
6. Page 6 of 7
only expected to speed up marginally in 2019, according to
ratings agency Moody's. It has forecasted a GDP growth of 2.8%
this year, up from an estimated 2.6% growth in 2018. Analyst,
Thaddeus Best said that headline growth will be "constrained"
this year, which is partly due to the production cuts agreed by
the 'OPEC-plus' group of producers, although its overall
production allocation could be slightly higher than last year.
Growth in the non-oil economy is predicted to be slightly more
robust at 2.9% this year, up from an estimated 2.4% in 2018. "In
terms of non-oil GDP, we are forecasting a modest
acceleration," he said. He argued that the main driver for the
economy will be the expansionary fiscal policy set, most
notably in Abu Dhabi. "But at the same time, I think we see a lot
of pressures particularly in some of the key industries," he
added. He cited that tourism as one industry facing challenges,
with Dubai reporting only marginal growth in 2018 after several
years of strong improvement. Dubai's Department of Tourism &
Commerce Marketing stated last month that the Emirate has
received 15.92mn overnight visitors in 2018, up 0.8% on 2017's
figure of 15.8mn. Senior Analyst at Moody's, Alexander
Perjessy said that Kuwait is set to run the biggest deficit of
around 12% (after investment income and transfers to its
future generations fund). Oman is set to run a deficit of 10.9%,
and Saudi Arabia a deficit of 5.6%. Both of these nations are
also predicted to experience slower growth in 2019, with
Moody's forecasting overall GDP growth of 1.8% for Saudi
Arabia, down from 2.2% last year (although non-oil growth is
set to jump to 3.6%, from 1.6% last year). Overall GDP growth
in Oman is set to slow to 1.5%, from 2% last year. (Zawya)
ďˇ UAEâs bank chief warns of need to extend property loans amid
real estate sector stress â Lenders in the UAE will need to
extend the maturity of property loans, according to the
Chairman of the UAE Banks Federation and CEO of
Mashreqbank, Abdul Aziz alAl-Ghurair, as the real estate
market shows no sign of recovery. Banks are seeing âsome
stressâ in the property industry, he said. They need to
âproactivelyâ give clients more time to repay to protect the
economy and the banking system, because the environment
has softened, he said. While economic growth in the UAE is
expected to accelerate to 3.1% this year, softer oil prices and job
losses are putting pressure on real-estate. Property prices in
Dubai, the regionâs trade and tourist hub, have fallen about 22%
since the end of 2014, according to data from the Bank of
International Settlements. (Gulf-Times.com)
ďˇ UAE on EU tax blacklist because of poor communication â The
European Unionâs (EU) decision to include the UAE on its
blacklist of tax havens was caused by âlack of communicationâ
between the EU and the UAE government, the Head of the UAE
Banks Federation, Abdul Aziz alAl-Ghurair said. European
UnionU governments updated a blacklist of tax havens this
week, adding the UAE and nine other jurisdictions. (Peninsula
Qatar)
ďˇ Emirates NBD targets $1bn with perpetual bond sale â Emirates
NBD, is planning to raise $1bn through the sale of bonds with a
6.125% yield, a document issued by one of the banks leading
the deal showed. The deal, which has received SR3.85bn in
orders, will be an Additional Tier 1 perpetual bond not callable
for six years. Perpetual bonds are similar to an equity
instrument in that they have no maturity. The bank has
mandated BNP Paribas, Emirates NBD Capital, First Abu Dhabi
Bank (FAB), HSBC, Nomura and Standard Chartered Bank to
arrange the issue. (Reuters)
ďˇ Mashreq bank will close 50% of its branches this year as part of
digital transformation â Dubai-based lender Mashreq bank will
close 50% of its branches this year as part of a digital
transformation, its CEO, Abdulaziz Al-Ghurair said. (Reuters)
ďˇ Gulf Capital hires NBK Capital Partnersâ Managing Director for
private debt business â Gulf Capital has appointed Sharaf F.
Sharaf as Managing Director for the private debt business as the
alternative asset management firm looks to boost its team after
several senior people left last year. Sharaf joins Gulf Capital
from NBK Capital Partners, the company stated. Gulf Capitalâs
CEO, Karim El Solh said that the firm is planning four new
investments and four exits this year. Sharaf joins the firm
following the departure of Walid Cherif and Fidaa Haddad, who
were Co-Heads of the private debt business. Fidaa Haddad left
to become head of private debt at NBK Capital Partners.
(Bloomberg)
7. Contacts
Saugata Sarkar, CFA, CAIA Shahan Keushgerian Zaid al-Nafoosi, CMT, CFTe
Head of Research Senior Research Analyst Senior Research Analyst
Tel: (+974) 4476 6534 Tel: (+974) 4476 6509 Tel: (+974) 4476 6535
saugata.sarkar@qnbfs.com.qa shahan.keushgerian@qnbfs.com.qa zaid.alnafoosi@qnbfs.com.qa
Mehmet Aksoy, PhD QNB Financial Services Co. W.L.L.
Senior Research Analyst Contact Center: (+974) 4476 6666
Tel: (+974) 4476 6589 PO Box 24025
mehmet.aksoy@qnbfs.com.qa Doha, Qatar
Disclaimer and Copyright Notice: This publication has been prepared by QNB Financial Services Co. W.L.L. (âQNB FSâ) a wholly-owned subsidiary of Qatar National Bank (Q.P.S.C.). QNB FS is
regulated by the Qatar Financial Markets Authority and the Qatar Exchange. Qatar National Bank (Q.P.S.C.) is regulated by the Qatar Central Bank. This publication expresses the views and
opinions of QNB FS at a given time only. It is not an offer, promotion or recommendation to buy or sell securities or other investments, nor is it intended to constitute legal, tax, accounting, or
financial advice. QNB FS accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or indirect losses arising from use of this report. Any investment decision should depend on the individual circumstances of
the investor and be based on specifically engaged investment advice. We therefore strongly advise potential investors to seek independent professional advice before making any investment
decision. Although the information in this report has been obtained from sources that QNB FS believes to be reliable, we have not independently verified such information and it may not be
accurate or complete. QNB FS does not make any representations or warranties as to the accuracy and completeness of the information it may contain, and declines any liability in that respect.
For reports dealing with Technical Analysis, expressed opinions and/or recommendations may be different or contrary to the opinions/recommendations of QNB FS Fundamental Research as a
result of depending solely on the historical technical data (price and volume). QNB FS reserves the right to amend the views and opinions expressed in this publication at any time. It may also
express viewpoints or make investment decisions that differ significantly from, or even contradict, the views and opinions included in this report. This report may not be reproduced in whole or in
part without permission from QNB FS.
COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNB FS.
Page 7 of 7
Rebased Performance Daily Index Performance
Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg
Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg (*$ adjusted returns)
45.0
70.0
95.0
120.0
Feb-15 Feb-16 Feb-17 Feb-18 Feb-19
QSE Index S&P Pan Arab S&P GCC
1.0%
(0.0%) (0.1%)
0.4%
(0.2%)
(0.9%)
0.1%
(1.2%)
(0.6%)
0.0%
0.6%
1.2%
SaudiArabia
Qatar
Kuwait
Bahrain
Oman
AbuDhabi
Dubai
Asset/Currency Performance Close ($) 1D% WTD% YTD% Global Indices Performance Close 1D%* WTD%* YTD%*
Gold/Ounce 1,309.20 0.6 0.8 2.1 MSCI World Index 2,095.67 0.6 2.2 11.2
Silver/Ounce 15.45 0.1 0.7 (0.3) DJ Industrial 25,702.89 0.6 1.0 10.2
Crude Oil (Brent)/Barrel (FM Future) 67.55 1.3 2.8 25.6 S&P 500 2,810.92 0.7 2.5 12.1
Crude Oil (WTI)/Barrel (FM Future) 58.26 2.4 3.9 28.3 NASDAQ 100 7,643.41 0.7 3.2 15.2
Natural Gas (Henry Hub)/MMBtu 2.87 1.4 (9.7) (11.7) STOXX 600 375.60 0.7 1.9 9.8
LPG Propane (Arab Gulf)/Ton 69.00 0.4 0.7 7.8 DAX 11,572.41 0.5 1.6 8.3
LPG Butane (Arab Gulf)/Ton 70.25 0.5 0.0 1.1 FTSE 100 7,159.19 1.1 2.3 10.2
Euro 1.13 0.3 0.8 (1.2) CAC 40 5,306.38 0.8 2.0 10.7
Yen 111.17 (0.2) 0.0 1.3 Nikkei 21,290.24 (0.9) 1.1 5.6
GBP 1.33 2.0 2.5 4.6 MSCI EM 1,050.46 (0.1) 2.0 8.8
CHF 1.00 0.4 0.4 (2.2) SHANGHAI SE Composite 3,026.95 (1.1) 2.1 24.5
AUD 0.71 0.2 0.7 0.6 HANG SENG 28,807.45 (0.4) 2.0 11.2
USD Index 96.55 (0.4) (0.8) 0.4 BSE SENSEX 37,752.17 0.6 3.6 4.9
RUB 65.40 (0.3) (1.3) (6.2) Bovespa 98,903.88 0.8 5.0 14.0
BRL 0.26 (0.1) 1.4 1.7 RTS 1,189.14 0.5 0.8 11.3
97.2
91.6
80.9