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QNBFS Daily Market Report July 09, 2018

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The QSE Index rose 0.7% to close at 9,325.2

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QNBFS Daily Market Report July 09, 2018

  1. 1. Page 1 of 5 QSE Intra-Day Movement Qatar Commentary The QSE Index rose 0.7% to close at 9,325.2. Gains were led by the Banks & Financial Services and Consumer Goods & Services indices, gaining 1.3% and 0.7%, respectively. Top gainers were Doha Insurance Group and Mannai Corporation, rising 3.4% and 3.1%, respectively. Among the top losers, Aamal Company fell 1.8%, while Al Khaleej Takaful Insurance Co. was down 1.6%. GCC Commentary Saudi Arabia: The TASI Index rose 0.5% to close at 8,222.5. Gains were led by the Retailing and Banks indices, rising 1.3% and 0.9%, respectively. United Cooperative Assurance Co. rose 6.5%, while Alujain Corp. was up 4.2%. Dubai: The DFM General Index gained 0.2% to close at 2,885.4. The Services index rose 2.7%, while the Consumer Staples and Discretionary index gained 1.3%. Amanat Holdings rose 4.7%, while GFH Financial Group was up 3.5%. Abu Dhabi: The ADX General Index rose 0.3% to close at 4,615.5. The Telecom. index gained 1.8%, while the Insurance index rose 0.1%. Methaq Takaful Insurance Co. gained 3.9%, while Arkan Building Materials Co. was up 3.4%. Kuwait: The Kuwait Main Market Index rose 0.2% to close at 4,927.3. The Technology index gained 6.7%, while the Basic Material index rose 1.9%. Boubyan Int. Industries Holding gained 9.3%, while Al Enma’a Real Estate Co. was up 6.8%. Oman: The MSM 30 Index fell 0.1% to close at 4,520.0. Losses were led by the Industrial and Financial indices, falling 0.8% and 0.1%, respectively. Al Anwar Ceramic Tiles fell 6.7%, while Al Jazeera Services was down 5.5%. Bahrain: The BHB Index gained 0.4% to close at 1,336.3. The Industrial index rose 0.8%, while the Investment index gained 0.6%. Khaleeji Commercial Bank rose 7.4%, while Ahli United Bank was up 1.6%. QSE Top Gainers Close* 1D% Vol. ‘000 YTD% Doha Insurance Group 13.50 3.4 4.0 (3.6) Mannai Corporation 50.00 3.1 9.7 (16.0) Qatar Islamic Insurance Company 52.00 2.9 0.5 (5.4) Qatar Islamic Bank 120.70 2.3 58.3 24.4 QNB Group 158.00 1.9 80.8 25.4 QSE Top Volume Trades Close* 1D% Vol. ‘000 YTD% Mazaya Qatar Real Estate Dev. 7.30 0.8 662.9 (18.9) Ezdan Holding Group 8.29 0.7 662.3 (31.4) Masraf Al Rayan 35.86 0.2 387.2 (5.0) Qatar Insurance Company 34.46 (1.4) 265.5 (23.8) Qatar First Bank 5.67 (0.5) 202.1 (13.2) Market Indicators 08 July 18 05 July 18 %Chg. Value Traded (QR mn) 108.8 193.4 (43.8) Exch. Market Cap. (QR mn) 508,084.6 504,190.9 0.8 Volume (mn) 3.8 9.1 (58.3) Number of Transactions 2,339 2,836 (17.5) Companies Traded 43 41 4.9 Market Breadth 23:15 14:20 – Market Indices Close 1D% WTD% YTD% TTM P/E Total Return 16,429.88 0.7 0.7 14.9 13.9 All Share Index 2,695.30 0.7 0.7 9.9 14.1 Banks 3,250.78 1.3 1.3 21.2 13.3 Industrials 2,993.32 0.1 0.1 14.3 15.7 Transportation 1,955.03 0.4 0.4 10.6 12.3 Real Estate 1,635.94 0.5 0.5 (14.6) 14.3 Insurance 3,011.11 (0.7) (0.7) (13.5) 25.6 Telecoms 1,038.86 (0.1) (0.1) (5.5) 31.1 Consumer 6,244.33 0.7 0.7 25.8 13.5 Al Rayan Islamic Index 3,714.83 0.2 0.2 8.6 15.1 GCC Top Gainers ## Exchange Close # 1D% Vol. ‘000 YTD% F. A. Al Hokair Saudi Arabia 21.52 4.0 2,319.5 (29.2) Banque Saudi Fransi Saudi Arabia 35.45 3.8 249.7 24.0 Saudi Kayan Petro. Co. Saudi Arabia 16.16 3.7 8,221.0 51.3 GFH Financial Group Dubai 1.48 3.5 26,948.1 (1.3) Boubyan Petrochem. Co. Kuwait 0.93 3.4 958.4 38.1 GCC Top Losers ## Exchange Close # 1D% Vol. ‘000 YTD% National Mobile Telecom. Kuwait 0.84 (3.5) 1.3 (22.7) Mobile Telecom. Co. Saudi Arabia 6.16 (3.1) 2,879.8 (15.7) Saudi Telecom Co. Saudi Arabia 86.30 (2.4) 432.0 25.8 Etihad Etisalat Co. Saudi Arabia 18.50 (1.8) 2,130.6 24.7 Al Salam Bank-Bahrain Bahrain 0.11 (1.8) 40.0 (1.8) Source: Bloomberg (# in Local Currency) (## GCC Top gainers/losers derived from the S&P GCC Composite Large Mid Cap Index) QSE Top Losers Close* 1D% Vol. ‘000 YTD% Aamal Company 9.45 (1.8) 24.1 8.9 Al Khaleej Takaful Insurance Co. 11.02 (1.6) 3.1 (16.8) Ahli Bank 30.01 (1.6) 1.9 (19.2) Zad Holding Company 86.60 (1.5) 0.0 17.6 Qatar Insurance Company 34.46 (1.4) 265.5 (23.8) QSE Top Value Trades Close* 1D% Val. ‘000 YTD% Industries Qatar 113.00 0.4 14,477.2 16.5 Masraf Al Rayan 35.86 0.2 13,954.9 (5.0) QNB Group 158.00 1.9 12,776.9 25.4 Qatar Insurance Company 34.46 (1.4) 9,178.2 (23.8) Qatar Islamic Bank 120.70 2.3 7,002.2 24.4 Source: Bloomberg (* in QR) Regional Indices Close 1D% WTD% MTD% YTD% Exch. Val. Traded ($ mn) Exchange Mkt. Cap. ($ mn) P/E** P/B** Dividend Yield Qatar* 9,325.15 0.7 0.7 3.3 9.4 31.70 139,570.8 13.9 1.4 4.7 Dubai 2,885.35 0.2 0.2 2.3 (14.4) 50.68 102,542.5 9.3 1.1 5.9 Abu Dhabi 4,615.46 0.3 0.3 1.2 4.9 16.22 127,200.7 12.4 1.4 5.2 Saudi Arabia 8,222.53 0.5 0.5 (1.1) 13.8 733.15 520,589.2 18.7 1.8 3.2 Kuwait 4,927.31 0.2 0.2 1.3 2.1 88.28 34,111.4 15.4 0.9 4.0 Oman 4,520.02 (0.1) (0.1) (1.1) (11.4) 2.14 19,055.7 11.3 1.0 5.4 Bahrain 1,336.32 0.4 0.4 1.9 0.3 4.19 20,429.7 8.7 0.9 6.1 Source: Bloomberg, Qatar Stock Exchange, Tadawul, Muscat Securities Market and Dubai Financial Market (** TTM; * Value traded ($ mn) do not include special trades, if any) 9,200 9,250 9,300 9,350 9,400 9:30 10:00 10:30 11:00 11:30 12:00 12:30 13:00
  2. 2. Page 2 of 5 Qatar Market Commentary  The QSE Index rose 0.7% to close at 9,325.2. The Banks & Financial Services and Consumer Goods & Services indices led the gains. The index rose on the back of buying support from Qatari shareholders despite selling pressure from GCC and non-Qatari shareholders.  Doha Insurance Group and Mannai Corporation were the top gainers, rising 3.4% and 3.1%, respectively. Among the top losers, Aamal Company fell 1.8%, while Al Khaleej Takaful Insurance Co. was down 1.6%.  Volume of shares traded on Sunday fell by 58.3% to 3.8mn from 9.1mn on Thursday. Further, as compared to the 30-day moving average of 11.2mn, volume for the day was 66.2% lower. Mazaya Qatar Real Estate Development and Ezdan Holding Group were the most active stocks, each contributing 17.4% to the total volume. Source: Qatar Stock Exchange (* as a % of traded value) Earnings Releases and Earnings Calendar Earnings Releases Company Market Currency Revenue (mn) 2Q2018 % Change YoY Operating Profit (mn) 2Q2018 % Change YoY Net Profit (mn) 2Q2018 % Change YoY Almarai Company Saudi Arabia SR – – 759.7 -3.6% 660.6 -2.0% Source: Company data, DFM, ADX, MSM, TASI, BHB. Earnings Calendar Tickers Company Name Date of reporting 2Q2018 results No. of days remaining Status QNBK QNB Group 11-Jul-18 2 Due QGTS Qatar Gas Transport Company Limited (Nakilat) 11-Jul-18 2 Due QIBK Qatar Islamic Bank 15-Jul-18 6 Due MARK Masraf Al Rayan 16-Jul-18 7 Due WDAM Widam Food Company 17-Jul-18 8 Due ERES Ezdan Holding Group 17-Jul-18 8 Due QEWS Qatar Electricity & Water Company 18-Jul-18 9 Due UDCD United Development Company 18-Jul-18 9 Due CBQK The Commercial Bank 18-Jul-18 9 Due GWCS Gulf Warehousing Company 19-Jul-18 10 Due QIIK Qatar International Islamic Bank 19-Jul-18 10 Due IHGS Islamic Holding Group 19-Jul-18 10 Due KCBK Al Khalij Commercial Bank 19-Jul-18 10 Due ABQK Ahli Bank 19-Jul-18 10 Due DHBK Doha Bank 19-Jul-18 10 Due QIGD Qatari Investors Group 23-Jul-18 14 Due QNCD Qatar National Cement Company 23-Jul-18 14 Due QATI Qatar Insurance Company 24-Jul-18 15 Due VFQS Vodafone Qatar 24-Jul-18 15 Due BRES Barwa Real Estate Company 24-Jul-18 15 Due QOIS Qatar Oman Investment Company 25-Jul-18 16 Due DBIS Dlala Brokerage & Investment Holding Company 25-Jul-18 16 Due QIMD Qatar Industrial Manufacturing Company 26-Jul-18 17 Due NLCS Alijarah Holding 26-Jul-18 17 Due ORDS Ooredoo 29-Jul-18 20 Due QISI Qatar Islamic Insurance Company 30-Jul-18 21 Due DOHI Doha Insurance Group 31-Jul-18 22 Due AKHI Al Khaleej Takaful Insurance Company 3-Aug-18 25 Due Source: QSE Overall Activity Buy %* Sell %* Net (QR) Qatari Individuals 45.55% 49.12% (3,877,786.90) Qatari Institutions 14.14% 7.61% 7,103,147.00 Qatari 59.69% 56.73% 3,225,360.10 GCC Individuals 0.12% 0.39% (289,372.66) GCC Institutions 1.46% 4.06% (2,820,295.19) GCC 1.58% 4.45% (3,109,667.85) Non-Qatari Individuals 13.69% 12.95% 800,405.54 Non-Qatari Institutions 25.04% 25.88% (916,097.79) Non-Qatari 38.73% 38.83% (115,692.25)
  3. 3. Page 3 of 5 News Qatar  Vodafone Qatar to disclose its semi-annual financials on July 24 – Vodafone Qatar announced that it will disclose its semi- annual financial reports for the period ending June 30, 2018 on July 24, 2018. (QSE)  QOIS to disclose its semi-annual financials on July 25 – Qatar Oman Investment Company (QOIS) announced that it will disclose its semi-annual financial reports for the period ending June 30, 2018 on July 25, 2018. (QSE)  QIGD to disclose its semi-annual financials on July 23 – Qatari Investors Group (QIGD) announced that it will disclose its semi- annual financial reports for the period ending June 30, 2018 on July 23, 2018. (QSE)  QATI to disclose its semi-annual financials on July 24 – Qatar Insurance Company (QATI) announced that it will disclose its semi-annual financial reports for the period ending June 30, 2018 on July 24, 2018. (QSE)  MERS appoints Acting CEO – Al Meera Consumer Goods Company’s (MERS) board of directors made a resolution appointing company’s Deputy CEO, Salah Ahmed Al Hammadi as Acting CEO of the company, instead of Johannes Jacobus Lombard. (QSE)  OBG: Qatari SMEs secure QR700mn in public procurement contracts in 2017 – Small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) in Qatar secured QR700mn in public procurement contracts, out of a total of QR2.5bn in 2017, according to Oxford Business Group (OBG). This is more than double the QR300mn posted in 2016, OBG stated. SMEs could be set for a much more prominent role in Qatar, with the government stepping up efforts to collaborate with local companies as part of broader diversification plans. Local SMEs were presented with a series of potential business opportunities at the third annual Government Procurement and Contracting Conference & Exhibition (Moushtarayat), which was held in Doha in April. Moushtarayat 2018 saw more than 2,000 business opportunities with a combined value of around QR6.5bn presented to SMEs, while some 57 different state agencies were represented, covering most areas of public sector activity. (Gulf-Times.com)  Ooredoo seeing strong uptake of its business broadband solution – Ooredoo announced that it is seeing strong uptake on its business broadband solution, which is supporting new digital business models across Qatar. Ooredoo is continuing to make major investments in its Ooredoo Supernet, which provides the largest and most reliable business broadband fiber network in Qatar with ultra-fast download speeds of up to 300 Mbps. Since Ooredoo re-launched business broadband in October 2017, the company is expanding the reach and breadth of value-added services. (Gulf-Times.com) International  QNB Group: Global trade war looks a real risk – The key risk of the Trump Presidency, namely a global trade war, has risen markedly in recent weeks. With the US imposing a series of unilateral tariffs and the countries affected quickly responding in kind, the opening shots have been fired. The fear is that the relatively small measures so far announced are simply the opening salvos of a much larger war, QNB Group noted in its weekly economic commentary. (Peninsula Qatar)  UK businesses perk up a little but caution reigns – British companies perked up after a weak start to the year but they are still reluctant to invest ahead of Brexit and pessimism is widespread, a major business survey showed. The British Chambers of Commerce’s (BCC) Quarterly Economic Survey showed Britain’s economy remained fairly muted overall. The industry group questioned the need for higher interest rates from the Bank of England, after comments from Governor Mark Carney last week boosted expectations of a rate hike in August. While services and manufacturing companies enjoyed faster domestic sales in the second quarter, investment intentions faded slightly. (Reuters) Regional  Moody’s affirms Islamic Development Bank’s ‘AAA’ rating with ‘Stable’ outlook – Moody’s Investors Service (Moody’s) affirmed Islamic Development Bank’s ‘AAA’ rating with a ‘Stable’ outlook. The ‘AAA’ rating is based on the bank’s strong capital base, Moody’s stated. Moody’s further added, “The Islamic Development Bank benefits from a strong liquidity position, and is considered a benchmark issuer within the global Sukuk market. It is a benchmark issuer within the Islamic finance world, being one of the few ‘AAA’ rated issuers. Given the scarcity of high-quality, Shari’ah-compliant securities, the bank’s Sukuks have always found strong demand.” Islamic Development Bank’s ‘Stable’ outlook is based on the expectation that its risk profile is likely to remain very strong over the medium term even as its capital base expands. (GulfBase.com)  Saudi Aramco’s Chief warns of oil supply crunch – The oil industry risks a supply crunch as big energy companies focus on US shale and other short-term efforts over the long-term mega- projects seen in years past. Saudi Aramco’s CEO, Amin Nasser said that rising investment into short-cycle output, which ebbs and flows faster than conventional projects, would not be enough to meet rising crude demand. Something like shale oil is not going to really create a major dent in total global supply requirements up until 2040, Nasser added. (Bloomberg)  Ajman Bank’s net profit rises to AED45.0mn in 2Q2018 – Ajman Bank recorded net profit of AED45.0mn in 2Q2018 as compared to AED29.3mn in 2Q2017. Income from Islamic financing and investing assets came in at AED204.6mn as compared to AED169.7mn in 2Q2017. Net operating income came in at AED128.0mn as compared to AED129.0mn in 2Q2017. Total assets stood at AED20.69bn at the end of June 30, 2018 as compared to AED20.03bn at the end of December 31, 2017. Islamic financing and investing assets (net) stood at AED15.76bn, while Islamic customers’ deposits stood at AED14.65bn at the end of June 30, 2018. EPS came in at AED0.027 in 2Q2018 as compared to AED0.017 in 2Q2017. (DFM)  Dubai’s non-oil external trade with South Korea grew 8.4% in 2017 – Dubai’s non-oil external trade with South Korea grew 8.4% in 2017, compared to 2016 to touch AED27.43bn. The value of imports reached AED22.1bn, while exports and re-
  4. 4. Page 4 of 5 exports amounted to AED4.47bn and AED886mn respectively. (GulfBase.com)  Dubai’s real estate transactions hit AED111bn in 1H2018 – The volume of real estate transactions in Dubai rose to 27,642 worth AED111bn for 1H2018, thus reaffirming the Emirate’s attractiveness and ability to compete with global investment destinations, according to a report by Dubai Land Department (DLD). The strengths portrayed by Dubai’s real estate investments underscore the leadership’s mandate to ease business processes and procedures, DLD stated. According to the report, the first half recorded a total of 18,191 sales worth about AED40bn, 7,668 mortgage transactions worth over AED57.6bn, and 1,783 other transactions valued at AED13.4bn. (GulfBase.com)  IMF sees further uptick in Omani non-oil sector growth – The Omani government’s diversification efforts and the planned completion of major infrastructure projects are expected to gradually raise non-hydrocarbon growth to about 4% over the medium term, according to a report by the International Monetary Fund (IMF). Non-hydrocarbon economic growth is estimated to have picked up modestly in 2017 to about 2%, from 1.5% in 2016, as higher confidence in the wake of the rebound in oil prices helped offset the impact from fiscal consolidation on economic activity, the multilateral global financial body said. “The government is undertaking further reforms to raise non-hydrocarbon revenue, such as introducing value-added and excise taxes, and intends to continue with spending restraint. This would bring the deficit to around 4% of GDP in the next two years,” IMF stated. (GulfBase.com)  Omantel, Equinix to open data centre in Oman – Oman Telecommunications Company (Omantel) and Equinix, the global interconnection and data center company, announced that the companies have entered into a joint venture to deliver data centre and interconnection services to customers in the Middle East through the development of a new network-dense data centre that will be located in Barka. This joint venture will establish the first world-class, carrier-neutral hub in Oman where carriers, content providers and cloud providers co-locate critical IT infrastructure. (GulfBase.com)  GFH gets top Fitch ratings, ‘Stable’ outlook – Bahrain-based, GFH Financial Group (GFH) received a long-term issuer default rating (IDR) at ‘B’ from rating agency Fitch with ‘Stable’ outlook. The short-term IDR has also been affirmed at ‘B’. The affirmation was cited by Fitch as a reflection principally of its management’s continued efforts on reshaping the GFH’s business model towards a greater focus on fee generation and lower risk, lower return investments as well as the group’s achievement of a second consecutive year of material net income. It also cited as positive GFH’s reported $37mn of profit for 1Q2018 and noted that the continuation of such levels of profitability could lead to a further rating strengthening. (GulfBase.com)
  5. 5. Contacts Saugata Sarkar, CFA, CAIA Shahan Keushgerian Zaid al-Nafoosi, CMT, CFTe Head of Research Senior Research Analyst Senior Research Analyst Tel: (+974) 4476 6534 Tel: (+974) 4476 6509 Tel: (+974) 4476 6535 saugata.sarkar@qnbfs.com.qa shahan.keushgerian@qnbfs.com.qa zaid.alnafoosi@qnbfs.com.qa QNB Financial Services Co. W.L.L. Contact Center: (+974) 4476 6666 PO Box 24025 Doha, Qatar Disclaimer and Copyright Notice: This publication has been prepared by QNB Financial Services Co. W.L.L. (“QNBFS”) a wholly-owned subsidiary of Qatar National Bank (Q.P.S.C.). QNBFS is regulated by the Qatar Financial Markets Authority and the Qatar Exchange. Qatar National Bank (Q.P.S.C.) is regulated by the Qatar Central Bank. This publication expresses the views and opinions of QNBFS at a given time only. It is not an offer, promotion or recommendation to buy or sell securities or other investments, nor is it intended to constitute legal, tax, accounting, or financial advice. QNBFS accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or indirect losses arising from use of this report. Any investment decision should depend on the individual circumstances of the investor and be based on specifically engaged investment advice. We therefore strongly advise potential investors to seek independent professional advice before making any investment decision. Although the information in this report has been obtained from sources that QNBFS believes to be reliable, we have not independently verified such information and it may not be accurate or complete. QNBFS does not make any representations or warranties as to the accuracy and completeness of the information it may contain, and declines any liability in that respect. For reports dealing with Technical Analysis, expressed opinions and/or recommendations may be different or contrary to the opinions/recommendations of QNBFS Fundamental Research as a result of depending solely on the historical technical data (price and volume). QNBFS reserves the right to amend the views and opinions expressed in this publication at any time. It may also express viewpoints or make investment decisions that differ significantly from, or even contradict, the views and opinions included in this report. This report may not be reproduced in whole or in part without permission from QNBFS. COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS. Page 5 of 5 Rebased Performance Daily Index Performance Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg (*$ adjusted returns) 40.0 60.0 80.0 100.0 120.0 Jun-14 Jun-15 Jun-16 Jun-17 Jun-18 QSE Index S&P Pan Arab S&P GCC 0.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.4% (0.1%) 0.3% 0.2% (0.4%) 0.0% 0.4% 0.8% SaudiArabia Qatar Kuwait Bahrain Oman AbuDhabi Dubai Asset/Currency Performance Close ($) 1D% WTD% YTD% Global Indices Performance Close 1D%* WTD%* YTD%* Gold/Ounce 1,255.20 (0.2) 0.2 (3.7) MSCI World Index 2,113.74 0.8 1.2 0.5 Silver/Ounce 16.04 (0.1) (0.5) (5.3) DJ Industrial 24,456.48 0.4 0.8 (1.1) Crude Oil (Brent)/Barrel (FM Future) 77.11 (0.4) (2.9) 15.3 S&P 500 2,759.82 0.8 1.5 3.2 Crude Oil (WTI)/Barrel (FM Future) 73.80 1.2 (0.5) 22.1 NASDAQ 100 7,688.39 1.3 2.4 11.4 Natural Gas (Henry Hub)/MMBtu 2.91 1.7 (2.0) (17.8) STOXX 600 382.36 0.6 1.2 (4.0) LPG Propane (Arab Gulf)/Ton 95.75 (0.5) 1.9 (3.3) DAX 12,496.17 0.7 2.1 (5.5) LPG Butane (Arab Gulf)/Ton 105.00 1.2 2.2 (3.2) FTSE 100 7,617.70 0.5 0.3 (2.8) Euro 1.17 0.5 0.5 (2.2) CAC 40 5,375.77 0.6 1.6 (1.1) Yen 110.47 (0.2) (0.3) (2.0) Nikkei 21,788.14 1.3 (2.0) (2.5) GBP 1.33 0.5 0.6 (1.7) MSCI EM 1,059.97 0.5 (0.9) (8.5) CHF 1.01 0.4 0.1 (1.5) SHANGHAI SE Composite 2,747.23 0.5 (3.8) (18.6) AUD 0.74 0.6 0.3 (4.9) HANG SENG 28,315.62 0.5 (2.2) (5.8) USD Index 93.96 (0.5) (0.5) 2.0 BSE SENSEX 35,657.86 0.3 0.2 (2.8) RUB 62.97 (0.3) 0.4 9.3 Bovespa 75,010.39 1.1 2.1 (16.8) BRL 0.26 1.7 0.4 (14.2) RTS 1,173.47 0.2 1.7 1.6 82.3 80.2 68.1

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