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QSE Intra-Day Movement
Qatar Commentary
The QSE Index declined 0.9% to close at 11,911.7. Losses were led by the
Industrials and Telecoms indices, falling 2.9% and 0.7%, respectively. Top
losers were Islamic Holding Group and Industries Qatar, declining 7.4% and
6.5%, respectively. Among the top gainers, Qatar General Ins. and Reins. Co.
rose 9.0%, while Ahli Bank was up 8.2%.
GCC Commentary
Saudi Arabia: The TASI Index fell 0.1% to close at 8,436.7. Losses were led
by the Agriculture & Food Ind. and Petrochemical Ind. indices, falling 2.0% and
1.7%, respectively. Alahli Takaful fell 8.4% while WAFA Ins. was down 7.8%.
Dubai: The DFM Index declined 0.7% to close at 3,749.4. The Financial &
Investment Services index fell 2.8%, while the Services index was down 0.9%.
Al Salam Sudan fell 4.2%, while Ajman Bank was down 3.8%.
Abu Dhabi: The ADX benchmark index fell 0.7% to close at 4,449.4. The Real
Estate and Investment & Financial Services indices fell 2.1% each. National
Takaful Co. declined 9.4%, while Gulf Cement Co. was down 6.1%.
Kuwait: The KSE Index declined marginally to close at 6,561.0. The
Telecommunication and Technology indices fell 0.8% each. Kuwait Financial
Centre fell 8.2%, while Jeeran Holding Co. was down 7.8%.
Oman: The MSM Index rose 0.6% to close at 6,438.9. Gains were led by the
Services and Financial indices, rising 1.0% and 0.4%, respectively. Gulf
International Chemical rose 4.3%, while Al Anwar Holding was up 4.0%.
Bahrain: The BHB Index gained 0.3% to close at 1,430.2. The Commercial
Bank index gained 0.7%, while other indices ended flat. Al Salam Bank rose
5.7%, while Al-Ahli United Bank was up 0.6%.
QSE Top Gainers Close* 1D% Vol. ‘000 YTD%
Qatar General Ins. and Reins. Co. 57.90 9.0 1.0 (1.9)
Ahli Bank 57.00 8.2 2.1 4.4
National Leasing 20.99 6.0 313.7 4.9
Qatari Investors Group 39.30 2.5 161.4 (5.1)
Al Khalij Commercial Bank 22.00 2.3 5.4 (0.2)
QSE Top Volume Trades Close* 1D% Vol. ‘000 YTD%
Barwa Real Estate Co. 42.00 0.0 2,156.7 0.2
Mazaya Qatar Real Estate Dev. 18.85 (2.3) 1,771.7 (1.6)
Industries Qatar 148.10 (6.5) 1,412.5 (11.8)
Vodafone Qatar 15.10 (1.0) 754.1 (8.2)
QNB Group 210.00 0.0 491.6 (1.4)
Market Indicators 12 Jan 15 11 Jan 15 %Chg.
Value Traded (QR mn) 681.3 611.7 11.4
Exch. Market Cap. (QR mn) 653,259.1 659,079.4 (0.9)
Volume (mn) 10.7 9.5 11.8
Number of Transactions 7,535 6,050 24.5
Companies Traded 42 42 0.0
Market Breadth 12:22 8:32 –
Market Indices Close 1D% WTD% YTD% TTM P/E
Total Return 17,766.17 (0.9) (3.2) (3.0) N/A
All Share Index 3,064.33 (0.5) (2.8) (2.8) 14.6
Banks 3,171.65 0.3 (1.0) (1.0) 14.7
Industrials 3,779.83 (2.9) (8.1) (6.4) 13.2
Transportation 2,311.38 0.9 0.6 (0.3) 13.6
Real Estate 2,220.21 0.3 (1.0) (1.1) 19.4
Insurance 3,769.81 1.4 (0.8) (4.8) 11.6
Telecoms 1,378.28 (0.7) (2.5) (7.2) 19.1
Consumer 6,975.57 (0.1) (0.8) 1.0 28.0
Al Rayan Islamic Index 3,989.26 (1.1) (3.4) (2.7) 16.6
GCC Top Gainers##
Exchange Close#
1D% Vol. ‘000 YTD%
Qatar Gen. Ins. & Rein. Qatar 57.90 9.0 1.0 (1.9)
G.I. Shaker Co. Saudi Arabia 69.58 9.0 632.3 16.3
Ahli Bank Qatar 57.00 8.2 2.1 4.4
National Leasing Qatar 20.99 6.0 313.7 4.9
Saudi British Bank Saudi Arabia 57.95 5.5 246.2 (0.7)
GCC Top Losers##
Exchange Close#
1D% Vol. ‘000 YTD%
Industries Qatar Qatar 148.10 (6.5) 1,412.5 (11.8)
National Indust. Saudi Arabia 26.67 (3.9) 1,632.9 0.3
Ajman Bank Dubai 2.55 (3.8) 4.0 (8.9)
Dubai Investments Dubai 2.31 (2.9) 26,556.8 (2.9)
Dubai Financial Market Dubai 2.01 (2.9) 30,718.5 0.0
Source: Bloomberg (
#
in Local Currency) (
##
GCC Top gainers/losers derived from the Bloomberg GCC
200 Index comprising of the top 200 regional equities based on market capitalization and liquidity)
QSE Top Losers Close* 1D% Vol. ‘000 YTD%
Islamic Holding Group 101.90 (7.4) 325.6 (18.2)
Industries Qatar 148.10 (6.5) 1,412.5 (11.8)
Mazaya Qatar Real Estate Dev. 18.85 (2.3) 1,771.7 (1.6)
Medicare Group 124.00 (1.9) 25.5 6.0
Qatar Industrial Manufacturing Co. 43.35 (1.4) 5.4 0.0
QSE Top Value Trades Close* 1D% Val. ‘000 YTD%
Industries Qatar 148.10 (6.5) 213,730.7 (11.8)
QNB Group 210.00 0.0 103,283.6 (1.4)
Barwa Real Estate Co. 42.00 0.0 91,376.7 0.2
Gulf International Services 98.60 0.2 43,444.5 1.5
Islamic Holding Group 101.90 (7.4) 34,873.6 (18.2)
Source: Bloomberg (* in QR)
Regional Indices Close 1D% WTD% MTD% YTD%
Exch. Val. Traded
($ mn)
Exchange Mkt.
Cap. ($ mn)
P/E** P/B**
Dividend
Yield
Qatar* 11,911.69 (0.9) (3.2) (3.0) (3.0) 187.15 179,450.3 15.3 1.9 3.9
Dubai 3,749.37 (0.7) 2.0 (0.7) (0.7) 294.34 91,642.8 10.9 1.4 5.3
Abu Dhabi 4,449.43 (0.7) (0.7) (1.8) (1.8) 44.70 124,247.5 11.9 1.5 3.7
Saudi Arabia 8,436.71 (0.1) 1.8 1.2 1.2 2,399.58 485,752.4 15.9 2.0 3.2
Kuwait 6,561.02 (0.0) 1.1 0.4 0.4 77.84 99,751.0 16.5 1.1 3.8
Oman 6,438.91 0.6 3.0 1.5 1.5 19.04 24,341.6 9.0 1.4 4.4
Bahrain 1,430.24 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.47 53,630.2 10.4 0.9 4.8
Source: Bloomberg, Qatar Stock Exchange, Tadawul, Muscat Securities Exchange, Dubai Financial Market and Zawya (** TTM; * Value traded ($ mn) do not include special trades, if any)
11,850
11,900
11,950
12,000
12,050
12,100
9:30 10:00 10:30 11:00 11:30 12:00 12:30 13:00
Page 2 of 6
Qatar Market Commentary
 The QSE Index declined 0.9% to close at 11,911.7. The
Industrials and Telecoms indices led the losses. The index fell on
the back of selling pressure from non-Qatari shareholders
despite buying support from Qatari shareholders.
 Islamic Holding Group and Industries Qatar were the top losers,
declining 7.4% and 6.5%, respectively. Among the top gainers,
Qatar General Ins. and Reins. Co. rose 9.0%, while Ahli Bank
was up 8.2%.
 Volume of shares traded on Monday rose by 11.8% to 10.7mn
from 9.5mn on Sunday. Further, as compared to the 30-day
moving average of 15.5mn, volume for the day was 31.1% lower.
Barwa Real Estate Co. and Mazaya Qatar Real Estate Dev.
were the most active stocks, contributing 20.2% and 16.6% to
the total volume respectively.
Source: Qatar Stock Exchange (* as a % of traded value)
Ratings, Earnings and Global Economic Data
Ratings Updates
Company Agency Market Type* Old Rating New Rating Rating Change Outlook Outlook Change
Finance House
(FH)
Capital
Intelligence
Abu
Dhabi
LT CR/ST CR BBB-/A3 BBB-/A3 – Stable –
Source: News reports (* LT – Long Term, ST – Short Term, FSR- Financial Strength Rating, FCR – Foreign Currency Rating, LCR – Local Currency Rating, IDR – Issuer Default Rating, SR – Support Rating, LC
– Local Currency, CR – Corporate Ratings)
Earnings Releases
Company Market Currency
Revenue
(mn) 4Q2014
% Change
YoY
Operating Profit
(mn) 4Q2014
% Change
YoY
Net Profit (mn)
4Q2014
% Change
YoY
Saudi Arabia Fertilizers Co. Saudi SR – – 715.0 8.7% 779.0 -2.9%
Gulf Mushroom Products* Oman OMR 6.1 4.0% – – 0.3 -38.0%
Source: Company data, DFM, ADX, MSM (*FY2014 results)
Global Economic Data
Date Market Source Indicator Period Actual Consensus Previous
01/12 US US Treasury 3M High Yield Rate 12-January 0.03% – 0.03%
01/12 US US Treasury 6M High Yield Rate 12-January 0.09% – 0.11%
01/12 France Ministry of Economy 3M T-Bill Amount Sold 12-January EU2,991M – EU3,999M
01/12 France Ministry of Economy 3M T-Bill Average Yield 12-January -0.11% – -0.05%
01/12 France Ministry of Economy 3M T-Bill Bid/Cover Ratio 12-January 3.7 – 2.6
01/12 France Ministry of Economy 6M T-Bill Amount Sold 12-January EU1,594M – EU1,894M
01/12 France Ministry of Economy 6M T-Bill Average Yield 12-January -0.10% – -0.04%
01/12 France Ministry of Economy 6M T-Bill Bid/Cover Ratio 12-January 4.2 – 2.9
01/12 France Ministry of Economy 12M T-Bill Amount Sold 12-January EU1,995M – EU1,493M
01/12 France Ministry of Economy 12M T-Bill Average Yield 12-January -0.10% – -0.05%
01/12 France Ministry of Economy 12M T-Bill Bid/Cover Ratio 12-January 3.2 – 3.7
01/12 UK Lloyds Bank Lloyds Employment Confidence December -2.0 – 1.0
01/12 UK London Gold Market Fix. London Gold Market PM Fix 12-January 1,226.5 – 1,217.8
01/12 Spain INE House transactions YoY November 14.00% – 16.00%
Source: Bloomberg (s.a. = seasonally adjusted; n.s.a. = non-seasonally adjusted; w.d.a. = working day adjusted)
News
Qatar
 MEED: Qatar to see $30bn new project deals in 2015 –
According to the latest data from MEED Projects, Qatar's
infrastructure projects pipeline is set to soar with more than
$30bn worth of new projects deals happening in 2015. There will
be major project awards as part of the Public Works Authority’s
(Ashghal) expressway, local roads and drainage programs, as
well as significant investment in real estate and transport
projects such as Lusail and the New Port Project. This year will
be boosted by project awards on the Al Karaana petrochemical
complex worth more than $5bn, the rolling stock & systems
contract on the Doha Metro exceeding $2bn, and five multi-
billion dollar packages on the mega water reservoirs.
Meanwhile, the MEED Qatar Projects Conference will be held
on March 10 and 11, 2015 on the theme: The resilience of
Qatar’s economy and its commitment to the objectives of the
Qatar National Vision 2030. (Gulf-Times.com, Peninsula Qatar)
 MEC issues 629 commercial licenses in December – The
Ministry of Economy & Commerce (MEC) issued 629 new
commercial licenses in December 2014, registering a drop of
14.5% over November 2014. Al Rayyan Area got the largest
number of new licenses (279), followed by Doha (239). Both
municipalities constituted 82.4% of the newly issued commercial
licenses in December. Further, MEC issued 570 main
commercial registrations, and 559 branch commercial
Overall Activity Buy %* Sell %* Net (QR)
Qatari 67.18% 59.17% 54,556,856.09
Non-Qatari 32.82% 40.83% (54,556,856.09)
Page 3 of 6
registrations. The total number of new commercials registrations
dropped by 2% as compared to November. (Gulf-Times.com)
 Amwal: Qatar may see deficit if oil stays at $50 in 2015 –
According to Amwal, Qatar's leading independent asset
management firm, Qatar may see a budget deficit of $5-10bn in
2015 if crude remains at $50 in 2015, but massive sovereign
wealth fund (SWF) assets will provide cushion to support capital
spending. Oil prices currently hover around a five-and-a-half
year low with the possibility of dropping further to $40 a barrel.
Even at lower oil prices, Amwal does not expect current
expenditure to be immediately affected, since the GCC countries
have “significant” savings to weather a period of low oil prices.
(Gulf-Times.com)
 SIIS BoD to meet on February 1 – Salam International
Company’s (SIIS) board of directors will meet on February 1,
2015 to discuss and approve the financial results for the year
ended December 31, 2014. (QSE)
 ORDS to pay interest to bondholders – Ooredoo (ORDS)
announced that its wholly owned subsidiary, Ooredoo
International Finance Limited (OIFL) will pay its Global Medium
Term Note (GMTN) holders both principal and interest payments
amounting $11.3mn, on February 2, 2015. (QSE)
 MoE drafts new law to protect environment – The Minister of
Environment (MoE) HE Mr. Ahmed Amer Mohamed Al Humaidi
said that the Ministry has drafted a new law to protect wildlife
and end the growing violations that threaten Qatar’s
environment. The proposed law is ready and will be tabled
before the Cabinet soon for approval. The ministry set up a legal
committee to amend the existing environment law. Meanwhile,
Al Sharq has reported that the ministry cancelled the licenses of
10 winter camps on moral ground. The Minister said that the
violators have been blacklisted and will not get license next year
for camping. (Peninsula Qatar)
 Al Dhameen offers QR174mn aid to 69 SMEs in 2014 – Qatar
Development Bank’s (QDB) Al Dhameen Manager Jawaher al-
Noaimi said that ‘Al Dhameen’ program has guaranteed some
69 SME with a total value of QR174mn in 2014. Al Dhameen
has helped SMEs in Qatar overcome the challenges they face
when seeking commercial financing. The program has also
helped banks overcome reservations about financing SMEs due
to the high-risk ratio of some in the sector. Doha Bank (DHBK)
organized a SME customer meet related to the projects financed
under the Al Dhameen guarantee program of QDB. Doha Bank’s
Group CEO, Dr. R Seetharaman said that SMEs are expected to
play an important role in supporting Qatar’s economic
diversification. Doha Bank will participate in Qatar’s
diversification story by encouraging the SME sector. (Gulf-
Times.com, Peninsula Qatar)
International
 OECD indicator signals stable growth; Germany flagging –
The Organization for Economic Cooperation & Development
(OECD) said economic growth is set to remain stable across the
OECD area as a whole and in the Eurozone, despite signs that
Germany losing steam. The Paris-based organization’s monthly
leading indicator covering 33 countries, showed further signs of
slowing in Germany and Italy, but there was stability in the
Eurozone. France saw marginal improvement with the OECD's
index of growth, rising from 100.2 in October to 100.3 in
November. However, the index dipped in Germany to 99.5 in
November from 99.6 in October and in Italy to 101.0 in
November from 101.1 in October. The index remained stable at
100.6 for the Eurozone as a whole. For the broader OECD area,
it nudged up to 100.5 in November from 100.4 October. China's
reading ticked up to 99.3 in November from 99.2 in October and
India's to 99.5 from 99.3. The US reading remained at 100.4 and
Japan held steady at 99.8. Britain's reading dipped to 100.3
from 100.4 and Russia's dipped more notably, to 99.8 from
100.2. (Reuters, WSJ)
 ECB member calls for cap on possible QE program – The
European Central Bank’s (ECB) Governing Council Member
Christian Noyer said the ECB should cap the size of its
proposed government bond purchase plan, so as to avoid
crowding out private sector investors. The ECB Governing
Council meets on January 22 for its next policy meeting, when it
could decide to start printing money to buy large amounts of
government bonds, a step also known as Quantitative Easing
(QE) to prevent deflation. However, Noyer, who is also the
Governor of the French central bank, said nothing has been
decided so far. Meanwhile, ECB policymaker Ewald Nowotny
thinks that a Greek exit from the Eurozone would be a disaster
for Greece. The radical leftist Syriza Party is leading opinion
polls ahead of Greece's snap election on January 25, triggering
fears of a standoff with EU/IMF lenders that could result in
Greece leaving the Eurozone. (Reuters)
 Deutsche Bank to present strategy changes in 2Q2015 –
According to the Deutsche Bank's two Chief Executives, Anshu
Jain and Juergen Fitschen, the bank will provide details of a new
strategy plan to its investors in 2Q2015. They said the bank
would review its strategy and profit targets in 2015 and possibly
sell its Postbank-branded retail unit, which would be a major
reversal since a planned turnaround in profitability has fallen
short of hopes. Fitschen said the bank's management was
convinced that its universal strategy was the right one but it
would change course if tighter regulations made it sensible to do
so. Germany's largest universal bank currently offers a broad
array of financial services worldwide, covering everything from
retail accounts to merger advice. (Reuters)
 Japan can meet deficit-halving goal with FY2015-16 budget
– The Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe said the country is
on course to meet his promise of halving the primary budget
deficit – excluding new bond sales and debt servicing – in the
FY2015-16. Abe, who is about to decide on a record budget with
reduced new borrowing, made this remark at a meeting of
officials from the government where the annual draft budget for
the fiscal year beginning April 1 was put forward. The annual
budget, to be approved by the cabinet and sent to the
Parliament later in January, highlights the need for the PM to
sustain growth, while curbing the heaviest debt burden in the
industrial world. (Reuters)
 China’s December trade better than market forecasts – The
Chinese Customs Administration said the country’s exports rose
9.9% YoY in December, while imports fell 2.3%, which were
better than market expectations That left the country with a trade
surplus of CNY304.5bn for the month and has cushioned
pressure on the domestic economy from rising debt levels and a
soft property sector. Economists polled by Reuters had
estimated exports in December to accelerate to 6.8% YoY from
4.7% in November, while imports were forecast down 7.4%,
following a 6.7% drop in November. The official percentage
change figures were based on yuan, whereas previous changes
were calculated on a dollar basis. (Reuters)
 India’s inflation quickens less than predicted as output
grows – Retail inflation in India accelerated less than
economists predicted and factory output grew before the central
bank Governor Raghuram Rajan reviews interest rates in
February and the government presents its annual budget. The
Statistics Ministry said consumer prices rose 5% YoY in
Page 4 of 6
December 2014, which when compared with November’s
4.38%, was the slowest since the index was created in January
2012. The Bloomberg median of estimates had forecasted for a
5.35% gain. Meanwhile, industrial production rose 3.8% in
November. That compared well with a 2.3% predicted gain, after
output shrank 4.2% in December. Rajan has held the
benchmark rate unchanged for a fifth meeting in December after
Finance Minister Arun Jaitley called for lower borrowing costs.
Rajan has indicated that he may ease policy in 2015, depending
on the pace of inflation, as well as expectations about price
pressures being lowered and the government meeting its budget
goals. (Bloomberg)
Regional
 MENA M&A market sees $41bn deals in 2014 – According to
a report by Bureau van Dijk and MENA Research Partners, the
M&A market in the MENA region depicted strong activity during
4Q2014, prolonging its steady performance of the last two
years. The total number of M&A deals in the MENA region
climbed significantly in 4Q2014, with 137 deals worth an
aggregate $8.98bn. While the total number of completed deals
has been stabilizing at the low-end of its range since 2009, the
announced value of M&A reached $50bn in 2013 and $41bn in
2014, ahead of an average of $34bn during the previous three
years. From a geographic perspective, deal activity remains
driven by a strong performance in the GCC region, coupled with
an ongoing pick-up in selected Arab Spring countries like Egypt
and Morocco. The GCC region accounts for the bulk of the
deals, with 44% and 43%, respectively, of the announced value
and the volume of completed deals during 2014. (Zawya)
 Bank AlBilad to increase capital by 25% – The board of
directors of Bank AlBilad have recommended raising the bank’s
share capital by 25% through an issue of bonus shares at a rate
of one bonus share for every four shares held. The capital will
stand at SR5bn after the increase. Shareholders registered at
the end of the trading day of Extraordinary General Assembly
meeting will be eligible for bonus shares. (GulfBase.com)
 BSF reports 211% surge in 4Q2014 net profit – Banque Saudi
Fransi (BSF) reported a net profit of SR851mn in 4Q2014,
reflecting an increase of 210.6% YoY. EPS amounted to SR2.92
in 2014 as against SR2.0 a year earlier. The bank’s total assets
stood at SR188.8bn at the end of December 2014 as against
SR170.1bn a year ago. Loans & advances stood at SR116.5bn,
while customer deposits stood at SR145.3bn. (Tadawul)
 Saudi CMA imposes penalty on various companies – The
Saudi Capital Market Authority’s (Saudi CMA) announced the
issuance of a board resolution to impose penalty on various
Saudi companies due to the violation of clause (A) of Article (9)
of the Corporate Governance Regulations. The companies are:
Najran Cement Company with a penalty of SR30,000, Saudi
Airlines Catering Company (SR40,000), Gulf Union Cooperative
Insurance Company (SR20,000), National Gypsum Company
(SR80,000), the National Agriculture Marketing Co. (SR40,000),
Bawan Company (SR10,000), Wafrah for Industry &
Development (SR30,000), and Northern Region Cement
Company (SR20,000). The board of directors’ report of the
above companies for FY2013 did not include the provisions that
were not implemented as per the Corporate Governance
Regulations and the reasons behind that. (Tadawul)
 UAE to boost oil output even as prices drop – The UAE will
stick with its plan to increase its oil production capacity to 3.5mn
barrels a day by 2017, even as oversupply pushed global prices
to the lowest in more than five years. The UAE Energy Minister,
Suhail Al Mazrouei said that during this time of unstable oil
prices, the UAE remain dedicated to reach its long-term
production goals. (Reuters)
 DDF targets AED7.7bn sales in 2015 – Dubai Duty Free
(DDF), helped by its first major push into online retailing, aims to
achieve AED7.7bn sales in 2015, a 10% rise over the
AED6.99bn sales achieved in 2014. Part of the growth is
expected form a new online sales channel offering more than
3,500 products. The move online is intended to save travelers’
time in Dubai’s duty free shopping concourses by offering a pay-
and-pick-up service before travel. It also adds an additional
sales channel where customers can compare prices before
travelling. (GulfBase.com)
 DW reaches deal with creditors on $14.6bn debt – Dubai
World (DW) has reached a deal with a majority of its creditor
banks to amend and extend terms on debt worth about $14.6bn.
DW said the deal with lenders includes early repayment of 2015
maturities totaling $2.92bn and the extension of 2018 maturities
to 2022. DW said it would use a special law, ‘Decree 57’, issued
to help government-related companies push through debt
restructurings following the financial crisis, to process the new
extension and amendment. To use the law, companies must
have an approval from at least two thirds of creditors by value.
(WSJ)
 Nakheel, E&V to set up JV realty firm – Dubai-based real
estate developer Nakheel has signed a JV agreement with
Engel & Völkers (E&V), a Germany-based real estate brokerage
firm to create a new company specializing in selling and leasing
properties in Dubai. The agreement follows a letter of intent
signed between the two companies in 2014, which seeks global
opportunities by bringing together Nakheel’s Dubai real estate
expertise and E&V’s long-standing international brokerage
experience and network. The new company will operate under
the E&V brand. (Bloomberg)
 UAB opens new branch in Dubai – United Arab Bank (UAB)
has opened its 12th branch in Dubai on Jumeirah Beach Road,
extending its branch network to 31 locations across the UAE.
Earlier in December 2014, UAB opened three new branches in
Dubai: the Business Bay branch located in Executive Towers,
the Media City branch at the Media City Tram Station and the
TECOM branch, located in the Grosvenor Business Tower.
(Gulf-Base.com)
 CEO: Marka to turn profitable in 4Q2015 – Dubai-based retail
operator Marka’s CEO Nick Peel said that the company expects
to turn profitable in 4Q2015. Peel also said the firm was looking
at new acquisitions. He said that the company was also looking
at four asset purchases in the food & beverage sector. (Reuters)
 NBAD hires Head of Debt Origination for South East Asia –
The National Bank of Abu Dhabi (NBAD) has hired Wynce Low
as a new Head of Debt Origination for South East Asia. Wynce
Low will be based in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia and will be
responsible for the origination and distribution of conventional
and Islamic debt products in the area. He was previously head
of debt capital markets for HSBC in Malaysia. (Reuters)
 AIB soft launches branch in Salalah – Alizz Islamic Bank
(AIB) announced the soft launch of its branch in Salalah, Oman.
The launch is part of the AIB’s s strategic initiatives to reach new
customers with innovative and value added products and
services. (GulfBase.com)
 Ooredoo Oman signs 17 MoUs with government entities in
2014 – Omani Qatari Telecommunications Company (Ooredoo
Oman) has signed and completed 17 MoUs with a group of
ministries and government entities in 2014. The company
worked with the Ministry of Civil Service on the development of
Page 5 of 6
several training programs and workshops, while also working
with the Ministry of Awqaf & Religious Affairs and the Ministry of
Social Development on programs such as Istiqrar. Other
agreements included the Public Authority for Craft Industries,
the Oman Establishment for Press, Publishing & Advertising,
and the General Union of Workers of the Sultanate of Oman.
(Bloomberg)
 ORC: Center of excellence for railway sector in Oman soon
– Oman Railway Company (ORC) said that a major center of
excellence catering to the emerging requirements of
professionals in railway sector will be formed in the country
soon. The new center, which is being formed by ORC, is aimed
at ensuring high standards among professional colleges and
vocational training institutes for training professionals for the
railway sector. (Bloomberg)
 Oman's oil production rises in December – Oman's Ministry
of Oil & Gas said that the Sultanate's crude oil and condensate
production registered an increase in December 2014 by 1.15%
on a MoM basis, amounting to 28.9mn barrels, with an average
of 932,096 barrels a day (bpd). The Ministry added that the total
exported crude oil in December 2014 amounted to 24mn
barrels, an average of 774,189 bpd, which is decline of 3.45%
MoM. (Bloomberg)
 Alba sales up 1.3% in 2014 – Aluminium Bahrain (Alba) said
that the sale of its products rose 1.3% in 2014 to reach 931,526
tons versus 919,722 tons in 2013. Production increased by 2.1%
to reach 931,427 tons versus 912,700 tons in 2013. Sales were
up 2% YoY to 242,322 tons in 4Q2014. Alba will release its full-
year and 4Q2014 financial results on February 9, 2015.
(GulfBase.com)
 Armacell plans new manufacturing plant in Bahrain –
Armacell, a manufacturer of flexible insulation foams for the
equipment insulation market, announced that it will build a new
manufacturing facility in Bahrain. The new plant will produce
elastomeric rubber insulation for the heating, ventilating, and air
conditioning (HVAC) market in the GCC region, and will be
located at the Bahrain International Investment Park.
(GulfBase.com)
 SLRB: 2014 real estate trading sets record in Bahrain – The
Survey & Land Registration Bureau’s (SLRB) President, Shaikh
Salman bin Abdulla Al Khalifa said the real estate trading in
Bahrain had recorded unprecedented figures of BHD1,292.5mn
in 2014. He said the 2014 figures represent a great leap in terms
of the trading volume estate in Bahrain, rising 50% as compared
to 2013. He added that the huge increase in figures have been
attained due to the royal reforms, with its fruitful results collected
through the progress witnessed in various fields, including real
estate across Bahrain. (Bloomberg)
 Bahrain’s GDP growth reaches 5.1% in 3Q2014 – The
Bahrain Economic Development Board (EDB), in its latest
Bahrain Economic Quarterly (BEQ) report said the Kingdom's
GDP growth reached 5.1% YoY in 3Q2014, which continues the
momentum from earlier quarters. Overall growth is forecasted to
have been in excess of 4% in 2014, which reflects the positive
impact of the initiation of a number of significant infrastructure
projects. The BEQ also highlights the resilience of Bahrain's
non-oil growth. This was particularly apparent in the construction
sector, which experienced acceleration from 3.6% annual
growth in 2Q2014 to 12.3% in 3Q2014, making it the fastest
growing sector of the economy. The hotels & restaurants sector
also posted strong YoY growth of 7.4%. The hydrocarbons
sector in Bahrain has continued to expand throughout the year,
with a 4.7% YoY gain in 3Q2014. (Zawya)
Contacts
Saugata Sarkar Abdullah Amin, CFA Shahan Keushgerian
Head of Research Senior Research Analyst Senior Research Analyst
Tel: (+974) 4476 6534 Tel: (+974) 4476 6569 Tel: (+974) 4476 6509
saugata.sarkar@qnbfs.com.qa abdullah.amin@qnbfs.com.qa shahan.keushgerian@qnbfs.com.qa
Sahbi Kasraoui Ahmed Al-Khoudary QNB Financial Services SPC
Manager – HNWI Head of Sales Trading – Institutional Contact Center: (+974) 4476 6666
Tel: (+974) 4476 6544 Tel: (+974) 4476 6548 PO Box 24025
sahbi.alkasraoui@qnbfs.com.qa ahmed.alkhoudary@qnbfs.com.qa Doha, Qatar
Disclaimer and Copyright Notice: This publication has been prepared by QNB Financial Services SPC (“QNBFS”) a wholly-owned subsidiary of QNB SAQ (“QNB”). QNBFS is regulated by the
Qatar Financial Markets Authority and the Qatar Exchange QNB SAQ is regulated by the Qatar Central Bank. This publication expresses the views and opinions of QNBFS at a given time only.
It is not an offer, promotion or recommendation to buy or sell securities or other investments, nor is it intended to constitute legal, tax, accounting, or financial advice. QNBFS accepts no liability
whatsoever for any direct or indirect losses arising from use of this report. Any investment decision should depend on the individual circumstances of the investor and be based on specifically
engaged investment advice. We therefore strongly advise potential investors to seek independent professional advice before making any investment decision. Although the information in this
report has been obtained from sources that QNBFS believes to be reliable, we have not independently verified such information and it may not be accurate or complete. QNBFS does not make
any representations or warranties as to the accuracy and completeness of the information it may contain, and declines any liability in that respect. For reports dealing with Technical Analysis,
expressed opinions and/or recommendations may be different or contrary to the opinions/recommendations of QNBFS Fundamental Research as a result of depending solely on the historical
technical data (price and volume). QNBFS reserves the right to amend the views and opinions expressed in this publication at any time. It may also express viewpoints or make investment
decisions that differ significantly from, or even contradict, the views and opinions included in this report. This report may not be reproduced in whole or in part without permission from QNBFS
COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS.
Page 6 of 6
Rebased Performance Daily Index Performance
Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg
Source: Bloomberg (
#
Market closed on 13 January 2015) Source: Bloomberg (*$ adjusted returns;
#
Market closed on 13 January 2015)
80.0
100.0
120.0
140.0
160.0
180.0
200.0
220.0
Dec-10 Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 Dec-14
QSE Index S&P Pan Arab S&P GCC
(0.1%)
(0.9%)
(0.0%)
0.3%
0.6%
(0.7%) (0.7%)
(1.0%)
(0.6%)
(0.2%)
0.2%
0.6%
SaudiArabia
Qatar
Kuwait
Bahrain
Oman
AbuDhabi
Dubai
Asset/Currency Performance Close ($) 1D% WTD% YTD% Global Indices Performance Close 1D%* WTD%* YTD%*
Gold/Ounce 1,233.26 0.9 0.9 4.1 MSCI World Index 1,676.71 (0.4) (0.4) (1.9)
Silver/Ounce 16.58 0.5 0.5 5.6 DJ Industrial 17,640.84 (0.5) (0.5) (1.0)
Crude Oil (Brent)/Barrel (FM
Future)
47.43 (5.3) (5.3) (17.3) S&P 500 2,028.26 (0.8) (0.8) (1.5)
Crude Oil (WTI)/Barrel (FM
Future)
46.07 (4.7) (4.7) (13.5) NASDAQ 100 4,664.71 (0.8) (0.8) (1.5)
Natural Gas (Henry
Hub)/MMBtu
2.90 (1.9) (1.9) (3.3) STOXX 600 339.87 0.5 0.5 (3.0)
LPG Propane (Arab Gulf)/Ton#
45.25 0.0 0.0 (7.7) DAX 9,781.90 1.3 1.3 (3.0)
LPG Butane (Arab Gulf)/Ton 62.88 0.2 0.2 0.2 FTSE 100 6,501.42 0.1 0.1 (3.6)
Euro 1.18 (0.1) (0.1) (2.2) CAC 40 4,228.24 1.1 1.1 (3.3)
Yen 118.35 (0.1) (0.1) (1.2) Nikkei#
17,197.73 0.0 0.0 (0.7)
GBP 1.52 0.1 0.1 (2.6) MSCI EM 955.53 (0.6) (0.6) (0.1)
CHF 0.99 (0.1) (0.1) (2.0) SHANGHAI SE Composite 3,229.32 (1.6) (1.6) (0.1)
AUD 0.82 (0.6) (0.6) (0.2) HANG SENG 24,026.46 0.5 0.5 1.8
USD Index 91.98 0.1 0.1 1.9 BSE SENSEX 27,585.27 0.5 0.5 2.2
RUB 63.14 1.8 1.8 4.0 Bovespa 48,139.74 (2.2) (2.2) (4.3)
BRL 0.38 (1.1) (1.1) (0.6) RTS 756.63 (3.3) (3.3) (4.3)
171.2
132.4
121.3

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12 January Daily market report

  • 1. Page 1 of 6 QSE Intra-Day Movement Qatar Commentary The QSE Index declined 0.9% to close at 11,911.7. Losses were led by the Industrials and Telecoms indices, falling 2.9% and 0.7%, respectively. Top losers were Islamic Holding Group and Industries Qatar, declining 7.4% and 6.5%, respectively. Among the top gainers, Qatar General Ins. and Reins. Co. rose 9.0%, while Ahli Bank was up 8.2%. GCC Commentary Saudi Arabia: The TASI Index fell 0.1% to close at 8,436.7. Losses were led by the Agriculture & Food Ind. and Petrochemical Ind. indices, falling 2.0% and 1.7%, respectively. Alahli Takaful fell 8.4% while WAFA Ins. was down 7.8%. Dubai: The DFM Index declined 0.7% to close at 3,749.4. The Financial & Investment Services index fell 2.8%, while the Services index was down 0.9%. Al Salam Sudan fell 4.2%, while Ajman Bank was down 3.8%. Abu Dhabi: The ADX benchmark index fell 0.7% to close at 4,449.4. The Real Estate and Investment & Financial Services indices fell 2.1% each. National Takaful Co. declined 9.4%, while Gulf Cement Co. was down 6.1%. Kuwait: The KSE Index declined marginally to close at 6,561.0. The Telecommunication and Technology indices fell 0.8% each. Kuwait Financial Centre fell 8.2%, while Jeeran Holding Co. was down 7.8%. Oman: The MSM Index rose 0.6% to close at 6,438.9. Gains were led by the Services and Financial indices, rising 1.0% and 0.4%, respectively. Gulf International Chemical rose 4.3%, while Al Anwar Holding was up 4.0%. Bahrain: The BHB Index gained 0.3% to close at 1,430.2. The Commercial Bank index gained 0.7%, while other indices ended flat. Al Salam Bank rose 5.7%, while Al-Ahli United Bank was up 0.6%. QSE Top Gainers Close* 1D% Vol. ‘000 YTD% Qatar General Ins. and Reins. Co. 57.90 9.0 1.0 (1.9) Ahli Bank 57.00 8.2 2.1 4.4 National Leasing 20.99 6.0 313.7 4.9 Qatari Investors Group 39.30 2.5 161.4 (5.1) Al Khalij Commercial Bank 22.00 2.3 5.4 (0.2) QSE Top Volume Trades Close* 1D% Vol. ‘000 YTD% Barwa Real Estate Co. 42.00 0.0 2,156.7 0.2 Mazaya Qatar Real Estate Dev. 18.85 (2.3) 1,771.7 (1.6) Industries Qatar 148.10 (6.5) 1,412.5 (11.8) Vodafone Qatar 15.10 (1.0) 754.1 (8.2) QNB Group 210.00 0.0 491.6 (1.4) Market Indicators 12 Jan 15 11 Jan 15 %Chg. Value Traded (QR mn) 681.3 611.7 11.4 Exch. Market Cap. (QR mn) 653,259.1 659,079.4 (0.9) Volume (mn) 10.7 9.5 11.8 Number of Transactions 7,535 6,050 24.5 Companies Traded 42 42 0.0 Market Breadth 12:22 8:32 – Market Indices Close 1D% WTD% YTD% TTM P/E Total Return 17,766.17 (0.9) (3.2) (3.0) N/A All Share Index 3,064.33 (0.5) (2.8) (2.8) 14.6 Banks 3,171.65 0.3 (1.0) (1.0) 14.7 Industrials 3,779.83 (2.9) (8.1) (6.4) 13.2 Transportation 2,311.38 0.9 0.6 (0.3) 13.6 Real Estate 2,220.21 0.3 (1.0) (1.1) 19.4 Insurance 3,769.81 1.4 (0.8) (4.8) 11.6 Telecoms 1,378.28 (0.7) (2.5) (7.2) 19.1 Consumer 6,975.57 (0.1) (0.8) 1.0 28.0 Al Rayan Islamic Index 3,989.26 (1.1) (3.4) (2.7) 16.6 GCC Top Gainers## Exchange Close# 1D% Vol. ‘000 YTD% Qatar Gen. Ins. & Rein. Qatar 57.90 9.0 1.0 (1.9) G.I. Shaker Co. Saudi Arabia 69.58 9.0 632.3 16.3 Ahli Bank Qatar 57.00 8.2 2.1 4.4 National Leasing Qatar 20.99 6.0 313.7 4.9 Saudi British Bank Saudi Arabia 57.95 5.5 246.2 (0.7) GCC Top Losers## Exchange Close# 1D% Vol. ‘000 YTD% Industries Qatar Qatar 148.10 (6.5) 1,412.5 (11.8) National Indust. Saudi Arabia 26.67 (3.9) 1,632.9 0.3 Ajman Bank Dubai 2.55 (3.8) 4.0 (8.9) Dubai Investments Dubai 2.31 (2.9) 26,556.8 (2.9) Dubai Financial Market Dubai 2.01 (2.9) 30,718.5 0.0 Source: Bloomberg ( # in Local Currency) ( ## GCC Top gainers/losers derived from the Bloomberg GCC 200 Index comprising of the top 200 regional equities based on market capitalization and liquidity) QSE Top Losers Close* 1D% Vol. ‘000 YTD% Islamic Holding Group 101.90 (7.4) 325.6 (18.2) Industries Qatar 148.10 (6.5) 1,412.5 (11.8) Mazaya Qatar Real Estate Dev. 18.85 (2.3) 1,771.7 (1.6) Medicare Group 124.00 (1.9) 25.5 6.0 Qatar Industrial Manufacturing Co. 43.35 (1.4) 5.4 0.0 QSE Top Value Trades Close* 1D% Val. ‘000 YTD% Industries Qatar 148.10 (6.5) 213,730.7 (11.8) QNB Group 210.00 0.0 103,283.6 (1.4) Barwa Real Estate Co. 42.00 0.0 91,376.7 0.2 Gulf International Services 98.60 0.2 43,444.5 1.5 Islamic Holding Group 101.90 (7.4) 34,873.6 (18.2) Source: Bloomberg (* in QR) Regional Indices Close 1D% WTD% MTD% YTD% Exch. Val. Traded ($ mn) Exchange Mkt. Cap. ($ mn) P/E** P/B** Dividend Yield Qatar* 11,911.69 (0.9) (3.2) (3.0) (3.0) 187.15 179,450.3 15.3 1.9 3.9 Dubai 3,749.37 (0.7) 2.0 (0.7) (0.7) 294.34 91,642.8 10.9 1.4 5.3 Abu Dhabi 4,449.43 (0.7) (0.7) (1.8) (1.8) 44.70 124,247.5 11.9 1.5 3.7 Saudi Arabia 8,436.71 (0.1) 1.8 1.2 1.2 2,399.58 485,752.4 15.9 2.0 3.2 Kuwait 6,561.02 (0.0) 1.1 0.4 0.4 77.84 99,751.0 16.5 1.1 3.8 Oman 6,438.91 0.6 3.0 1.5 1.5 19.04 24,341.6 9.0 1.4 4.4 Bahrain 1,430.24 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.47 53,630.2 10.4 0.9 4.8 Source: Bloomberg, Qatar Stock Exchange, Tadawul, Muscat Securities Exchange, Dubai Financial Market and Zawya (** TTM; * Value traded ($ mn) do not include special trades, if any) 11,850 11,900 11,950 12,000 12,050 12,100 9:30 10:00 10:30 11:00 11:30 12:00 12:30 13:00
  • 2. Page 2 of 6 Qatar Market Commentary  The QSE Index declined 0.9% to close at 11,911.7. The Industrials and Telecoms indices led the losses. The index fell on the back of selling pressure from non-Qatari shareholders despite buying support from Qatari shareholders.  Islamic Holding Group and Industries Qatar were the top losers, declining 7.4% and 6.5%, respectively. Among the top gainers, Qatar General Ins. and Reins. Co. rose 9.0%, while Ahli Bank was up 8.2%.  Volume of shares traded on Monday rose by 11.8% to 10.7mn from 9.5mn on Sunday. Further, as compared to the 30-day moving average of 15.5mn, volume for the day was 31.1% lower. Barwa Real Estate Co. and Mazaya Qatar Real Estate Dev. were the most active stocks, contributing 20.2% and 16.6% to the total volume respectively. Source: Qatar Stock Exchange (* as a % of traded value) Ratings, Earnings and Global Economic Data Ratings Updates Company Agency Market Type* Old Rating New Rating Rating Change Outlook Outlook Change Finance House (FH) Capital Intelligence Abu Dhabi LT CR/ST CR BBB-/A3 BBB-/A3 – Stable – Source: News reports (* LT – Long Term, ST – Short Term, FSR- Financial Strength Rating, FCR – Foreign Currency Rating, LCR – Local Currency Rating, IDR – Issuer Default Rating, SR – Support Rating, LC – Local Currency, CR – Corporate Ratings) Earnings Releases Company Market Currency Revenue (mn) 4Q2014 % Change YoY Operating Profit (mn) 4Q2014 % Change YoY Net Profit (mn) 4Q2014 % Change YoY Saudi Arabia Fertilizers Co. Saudi SR – – 715.0 8.7% 779.0 -2.9% Gulf Mushroom Products* Oman OMR 6.1 4.0% – – 0.3 -38.0% Source: Company data, DFM, ADX, MSM (*FY2014 results) Global Economic Data Date Market Source Indicator Period Actual Consensus Previous 01/12 US US Treasury 3M High Yield Rate 12-January 0.03% – 0.03% 01/12 US US Treasury 6M High Yield Rate 12-January 0.09% – 0.11% 01/12 France Ministry of Economy 3M T-Bill Amount Sold 12-January EU2,991M – EU3,999M 01/12 France Ministry of Economy 3M T-Bill Average Yield 12-January -0.11% – -0.05% 01/12 France Ministry of Economy 3M T-Bill Bid/Cover Ratio 12-January 3.7 – 2.6 01/12 France Ministry of Economy 6M T-Bill Amount Sold 12-January EU1,594M – EU1,894M 01/12 France Ministry of Economy 6M T-Bill Average Yield 12-January -0.10% – -0.04% 01/12 France Ministry of Economy 6M T-Bill Bid/Cover Ratio 12-January 4.2 – 2.9 01/12 France Ministry of Economy 12M T-Bill Amount Sold 12-January EU1,995M – EU1,493M 01/12 France Ministry of Economy 12M T-Bill Average Yield 12-January -0.10% – -0.05% 01/12 France Ministry of Economy 12M T-Bill Bid/Cover Ratio 12-January 3.2 – 3.7 01/12 UK Lloyds Bank Lloyds Employment Confidence December -2.0 – 1.0 01/12 UK London Gold Market Fix. London Gold Market PM Fix 12-January 1,226.5 – 1,217.8 01/12 Spain INE House transactions YoY November 14.00% – 16.00% Source: Bloomberg (s.a. = seasonally adjusted; n.s.a. = non-seasonally adjusted; w.d.a. = working day adjusted) News Qatar  MEED: Qatar to see $30bn new project deals in 2015 – According to the latest data from MEED Projects, Qatar's infrastructure projects pipeline is set to soar with more than $30bn worth of new projects deals happening in 2015. There will be major project awards as part of the Public Works Authority’s (Ashghal) expressway, local roads and drainage programs, as well as significant investment in real estate and transport projects such as Lusail and the New Port Project. This year will be boosted by project awards on the Al Karaana petrochemical complex worth more than $5bn, the rolling stock & systems contract on the Doha Metro exceeding $2bn, and five multi- billion dollar packages on the mega water reservoirs. Meanwhile, the MEED Qatar Projects Conference will be held on March 10 and 11, 2015 on the theme: The resilience of Qatar’s economy and its commitment to the objectives of the Qatar National Vision 2030. (Gulf-Times.com, Peninsula Qatar)  MEC issues 629 commercial licenses in December – The Ministry of Economy & Commerce (MEC) issued 629 new commercial licenses in December 2014, registering a drop of 14.5% over November 2014. Al Rayyan Area got the largest number of new licenses (279), followed by Doha (239). Both municipalities constituted 82.4% of the newly issued commercial licenses in December. Further, MEC issued 570 main commercial registrations, and 559 branch commercial Overall Activity Buy %* Sell %* Net (QR) Qatari 67.18% 59.17% 54,556,856.09 Non-Qatari 32.82% 40.83% (54,556,856.09)
  • 3. Page 3 of 6 registrations. The total number of new commercials registrations dropped by 2% as compared to November. (Gulf-Times.com)  Amwal: Qatar may see deficit if oil stays at $50 in 2015 – According to Amwal, Qatar's leading independent asset management firm, Qatar may see a budget deficit of $5-10bn in 2015 if crude remains at $50 in 2015, but massive sovereign wealth fund (SWF) assets will provide cushion to support capital spending. Oil prices currently hover around a five-and-a-half year low with the possibility of dropping further to $40 a barrel. Even at lower oil prices, Amwal does not expect current expenditure to be immediately affected, since the GCC countries have “significant” savings to weather a period of low oil prices. (Gulf-Times.com)  SIIS BoD to meet on February 1 – Salam International Company’s (SIIS) board of directors will meet on February 1, 2015 to discuss and approve the financial results for the year ended December 31, 2014. (QSE)  ORDS to pay interest to bondholders – Ooredoo (ORDS) announced that its wholly owned subsidiary, Ooredoo International Finance Limited (OIFL) will pay its Global Medium Term Note (GMTN) holders both principal and interest payments amounting $11.3mn, on February 2, 2015. (QSE)  MoE drafts new law to protect environment – The Minister of Environment (MoE) HE Mr. Ahmed Amer Mohamed Al Humaidi said that the Ministry has drafted a new law to protect wildlife and end the growing violations that threaten Qatar’s environment. The proposed law is ready and will be tabled before the Cabinet soon for approval. The ministry set up a legal committee to amend the existing environment law. Meanwhile, Al Sharq has reported that the ministry cancelled the licenses of 10 winter camps on moral ground. The Minister said that the violators have been blacklisted and will not get license next year for camping. (Peninsula Qatar)  Al Dhameen offers QR174mn aid to 69 SMEs in 2014 – Qatar Development Bank’s (QDB) Al Dhameen Manager Jawaher al- Noaimi said that ‘Al Dhameen’ program has guaranteed some 69 SME with a total value of QR174mn in 2014. Al Dhameen has helped SMEs in Qatar overcome the challenges they face when seeking commercial financing. The program has also helped banks overcome reservations about financing SMEs due to the high-risk ratio of some in the sector. Doha Bank (DHBK) organized a SME customer meet related to the projects financed under the Al Dhameen guarantee program of QDB. Doha Bank’s Group CEO, Dr. R Seetharaman said that SMEs are expected to play an important role in supporting Qatar’s economic diversification. Doha Bank will participate in Qatar’s diversification story by encouraging the SME sector. (Gulf- Times.com, Peninsula Qatar) International  OECD indicator signals stable growth; Germany flagging – The Organization for Economic Cooperation & Development (OECD) said economic growth is set to remain stable across the OECD area as a whole and in the Eurozone, despite signs that Germany losing steam. The Paris-based organization’s monthly leading indicator covering 33 countries, showed further signs of slowing in Germany and Italy, but there was stability in the Eurozone. France saw marginal improvement with the OECD's index of growth, rising from 100.2 in October to 100.3 in November. However, the index dipped in Germany to 99.5 in November from 99.6 in October and in Italy to 101.0 in November from 101.1 in October. The index remained stable at 100.6 for the Eurozone as a whole. For the broader OECD area, it nudged up to 100.5 in November from 100.4 October. China's reading ticked up to 99.3 in November from 99.2 in October and India's to 99.5 from 99.3. The US reading remained at 100.4 and Japan held steady at 99.8. Britain's reading dipped to 100.3 from 100.4 and Russia's dipped more notably, to 99.8 from 100.2. (Reuters, WSJ)  ECB member calls for cap on possible QE program – The European Central Bank’s (ECB) Governing Council Member Christian Noyer said the ECB should cap the size of its proposed government bond purchase plan, so as to avoid crowding out private sector investors. The ECB Governing Council meets on January 22 for its next policy meeting, when it could decide to start printing money to buy large amounts of government bonds, a step also known as Quantitative Easing (QE) to prevent deflation. However, Noyer, who is also the Governor of the French central bank, said nothing has been decided so far. Meanwhile, ECB policymaker Ewald Nowotny thinks that a Greek exit from the Eurozone would be a disaster for Greece. The radical leftist Syriza Party is leading opinion polls ahead of Greece's snap election on January 25, triggering fears of a standoff with EU/IMF lenders that could result in Greece leaving the Eurozone. (Reuters)  Deutsche Bank to present strategy changes in 2Q2015 – According to the Deutsche Bank's two Chief Executives, Anshu Jain and Juergen Fitschen, the bank will provide details of a new strategy plan to its investors in 2Q2015. They said the bank would review its strategy and profit targets in 2015 and possibly sell its Postbank-branded retail unit, which would be a major reversal since a planned turnaround in profitability has fallen short of hopes. Fitschen said the bank's management was convinced that its universal strategy was the right one but it would change course if tighter regulations made it sensible to do so. Germany's largest universal bank currently offers a broad array of financial services worldwide, covering everything from retail accounts to merger advice. (Reuters)  Japan can meet deficit-halving goal with FY2015-16 budget – The Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe said the country is on course to meet his promise of halving the primary budget deficit – excluding new bond sales and debt servicing – in the FY2015-16. Abe, who is about to decide on a record budget with reduced new borrowing, made this remark at a meeting of officials from the government where the annual draft budget for the fiscal year beginning April 1 was put forward. The annual budget, to be approved by the cabinet and sent to the Parliament later in January, highlights the need for the PM to sustain growth, while curbing the heaviest debt burden in the industrial world. (Reuters)  China’s December trade better than market forecasts – The Chinese Customs Administration said the country’s exports rose 9.9% YoY in December, while imports fell 2.3%, which were better than market expectations That left the country with a trade surplus of CNY304.5bn for the month and has cushioned pressure on the domestic economy from rising debt levels and a soft property sector. Economists polled by Reuters had estimated exports in December to accelerate to 6.8% YoY from 4.7% in November, while imports were forecast down 7.4%, following a 6.7% drop in November. The official percentage change figures were based on yuan, whereas previous changes were calculated on a dollar basis. (Reuters)  India’s inflation quickens less than predicted as output grows – Retail inflation in India accelerated less than economists predicted and factory output grew before the central bank Governor Raghuram Rajan reviews interest rates in February and the government presents its annual budget. The Statistics Ministry said consumer prices rose 5% YoY in
  • 4. Page 4 of 6 December 2014, which when compared with November’s 4.38%, was the slowest since the index was created in January 2012. The Bloomberg median of estimates had forecasted for a 5.35% gain. Meanwhile, industrial production rose 3.8% in November. That compared well with a 2.3% predicted gain, after output shrank 4.2% in December. Rajan has held the benchmark rate unchanged for a fifth meeting in December after Finance Minister Arun Jaitley called for lower borrowing costs. Rajan has indicated that he may ease policy in 2015, depending on the pace of inflation, as well as expectations about price pressures being lowered and the government meeting its budget goals. (Bloomberg) Regional  MENA M&A market sees $41bn deals in 2014 – According to a report by Bureau van Dijk and MENA Research Partners, the M&A market in the MENA region depicted strong activity during 4Q2014, prolonging its steady performance of the last two years. The total number of M&A deals in the MENA region climbed significantly in 4Q2014, with 137 deals worth an aggregate $8.98bn. While the total number of completed deals has been stabilizing at the low-end of its range since 2009, the announced value of M&A reached $50bn in 2013 and $41bn in 2014, ahead of an average of $34bn during the previous three years. From a geographic perspective, deal activity remains driven by a strong performance in the GCC region, coupled with an ongoing pick-up in selected Arab Spring countries like Egypt and Morocco. The GCC region accounts for the bulk of the deals, with 44% and 43%, respectively, of the announced value and the volume of completed deals during 2014. (Zawya)  Bank AlBilad to increase capital by 25% – The board of directors of Bank AlBilad have recommended raising the bank’s share capital by 25% through an issue of bonus shares at a rate of one bonus share for every four shares held. The capital will stand at SR5bn after the increase. Shareholders registered at the end of the trading day of Extraordinary General Assembly meeting will be eligible for bonus shares. (GulfBase.com)  BSF reports 211% surge in 4Q2014 net profit – Banque Saudi Fransi (BSF) reported a net profit of SR851mn in 4Q2014, reflecting an increase of 210.6% YoY. EPS amounted to SR2.92 in 2014 as against SR2.0 a year earlier. The bank’s total assets stood at SR188.8bn at the end of December 2014 as against SR170.1bn a year ago. Loans & advances stood at SR116.5bn, while customer deposits stood at SR145.3bn. (Tadawul)  Saudi CMA imposes penalty on various companies – The Saudi Capital Market Authority’s (Saudi CMA) announced the issuance of a board resolution to impose penalty on various Saudi companies due to the violation of clause (A) of Article (9) of the Corporate Governance Regulations. The companies are: Najran Cement Company with a penalty of SR30,000, Saudi Airlines Catering Company (SR40,000), Gulf Union Cooperative Insurance Company (SR20,000), National Gypsum Company (SR80,000), the National Agriculture Marketing Co. (SR40,000), Bawan Company (SR10,000), Wafrah for Industry & Development (SR30,000), and Northern Region Cement Company (SR20,000). The board of directors’ report of the above companies for FY2013 did not include the provisions that were not implemented as per the Corporate Governance Regulations and the reasons behind that. (Tadawul)  UAE to boost oil output even as prices drop – The UAE will stick with its plan to increase its oil production capacity to 3.5mn barrels a day by 2017, even as oversupply pushed global prices to the lowest in more than five years. The UAE Energy Minister, Suhail Al Mazrouei said that during this time of unstable oil prices, the UAE remain dedicated to reach its long-term production goals. (Reuters)  DDF targets AED7.7bn sales in 2015 – Dubai Duty Free (DDF), helped by its first major push into online retailing, aims to achieve AED7.7bn sales in 2015, a 10% rise over the AED6.99bn sales achieved in 2014. Part of the growth is expected form a new online sales channel offering more than 3,500 products. The move online is intended to save travelers’ time in Dubai’s duty free shopping concourses by offering a pay- and-pick-up service before travel. It also adds an additional sales channel where customers can compare prices before travelling. (GulfBase.com)  DW reaches deal with creditors on $14.6bn debt – Dubai World (DW) has reached a deal with a majority of its creditor banks to amend and extend terms on debt worth about $14.6bn. DW said the deal with lenders includes early repayment of 2015 maturities totaling $2.92bn and the extension of 2018 maturities to 2022. DW said it would use a special law, ‘Decree 57’, issued to help government-related companies push through debt restructurings following the financial crisis, to process the new extension and amendment. To use the law, companies must have an approval from at least two thirds of creditors by value. (WSJ)  Nakheel, E&V to set up JV realty firm – Dubai-based real estate developer Nakheel has signed a JV agreement with Engel & Völkers (E&V), a Germany-based real estate brokerage firm to create a new company specializing in selling and leasing properties in Dubai. The agreement follows a letter of intent signed between the two companies in 2014, which seeks global opportunities by bringing together Nakheel’s Dubai real estate expertise and E&V’s long-standing international brokerage experience and network. The new company will operate under the E&V brand. (Bloomberg)  UAB opens new branch in Dubai – United Arab Bank (UAB) has opened its 12th branch in Dubai on Jumeirah Beach Road, extending its branch network to 31 locations across the UAE. Earlier in December 2014, UAB opened three new branches in Dubai: the Business Bay branch located in Executive Towers, the Media City branch at the Media City Tram Station and the TECOM branch, located in the Grosvenor Business Tower. (Gulf-Base.com)  CEO: Marka to turn profitable in 4Q2015 – Dubai-based retail operator Marka’s CEO Nick Peel said that the company expects to turn profitable in 4Q2015. Peel also said the firm was looking at new acquisitions. He said that the company was also looking at four asset purchases in the food & beverage sector. (Reuters)  NBAD hires Head of Debt Origination for South East Asia – The National Bank of Abu Dhabi (NBAD) has hired Wynce Low as a new Head of Debt Origination for South East Asia. Wynce Low will be based in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia and will be responsible for the origination and distribution of conventional and Islamic debt products in the area. He was previously head of debt capital markets for HSBC in Malaysia. (Reuters)  AIB soft launches branch in Salalah – Alizz Islamic Bank (AIB) announced the soft launch of its branch in Salalah, Oman. The launch is part of the AIB’s s strategic initiatives to reach new customers with innovative and value added products and services. (GulfBase.com)  Ooredoo Oman signs 17 MoUs with government entities in 2014 – Omani Qatari Telecommunications Company (Ooredoo Oman) has signed and completed 17 MoUs with a group of ministries and government entities in 2014. The company worked with the Ministry of Civil Service on the development of
  • 5. Page 5 of 6 several training programs and workshops, while also working with the Ministry of Awqaf & Religious Affairs and the Ministry of Social Development on programs such as Istiqrar. Other agreements included the Public Authority for Craft Industries, the Oman Establishment for Press, Publishing & Advertising, and the General Union of Workers of the Sultanate of Oman. (Bloomberg)  ORC: Center of excellence for railway sector in Oman soon – Oman Railway Company (ORC) said that a major center of excellence catering to the emerging requirements of professionals in railway sector will be formed in the country soon. The new center, which is being formed by ORC, is aimed at ensuring high standards among professional colleges and vocational training institutes for training professionals for the railway sector. (Bloomberg)  Oman's oil production rises in December – Oman's Ministry of Oil & Gas said that the Sultanate's crude oil and condensate production registered an increase in December 2014 by 1.15% on a MoM basis, amounting to 28.9mn barrels, with an average of 932,096 barrels a day (bpd). The Ministry added that the total exported crude oil in December 2014 amounted to 24mn barrels, an average of 774,189 bpd, which is decline of 3.45% MoM. (Bloomberg)  Alba sales up 1.3% in 2014 – Aluminium Bahrain (Alba) said that the sale of its products rose 1.3% in 2014 to reach 931,526 tons versus 919,722 tons in 2013. Production increased by 2.1% to reach 931,427 tons versus 912,700 tons in 2013. Sales were up 2% YoY to 242,322 tons in 4Q2014. Alba will release its full- year and 4Q2014 financial results on February 9, 2015. (GulfBase.com)  Armacell plans new manufacturing plant in Bahrain – Armacell, a manufacturer of flexible insulation foams for the equipment insulation market, announced that it will build a new manufacturing facility in Bahrain. The new plant will produce elastomeric rubber insulation for the heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) market in the GCC region, and will be located at the Bahrain International Investment Park. (GulfBase.com)  SLRB: 2014 real estate trading sets record in Bahrain – The Survey & Land Registration Bureau’s (SLRB) President, Shaikh Salman bin Abdulla Al Khalifa said the real estate trading in Bahrain had recorded unprecedented figures of BHD1,292.5mn in 2014. He said the 2014 figures represent a great leap in terms of the trading volume estate in Bahrain, rising 50% as compared to 2013. He added that the huge increase in figures have been attained due to the royal reforms, with its fruitful results collected through the progress witnessed in various fields, including real estate across Bahrain. (Bloomberg)  Bahrain’s GDP growth reaches 5.1% in 3Q2014 – The Bahrain Economic Development Board (EDB), in its latest Bahrain Economic Quarterly (BEQ) report said the Kingdom's GDP growth reached 5.1% YoY in 3Q2014, which continues the momentum from earlier quarters. Overall growth is forecasted to have been in excess of 4% in 2014, which reflects the positive impact of the initiation of a number of significant infrastructure projects. The BEQ also highlights the resilience of Bahrain's non-oil growth. This was particularly apparent in the construction sector, which experienced acceleration from 3.6% annual growth in 2Q2014 to 12.3% in 3Q2014, making it the fastest growing sector of the economy. The hotels & restaurants sector also posted strong YoY growth of 7.4%. The hydrocarbons sector in Bahrain has continued to expand throughout the year, with a 4.7% YoY gain in 3Q2014. (Zawya)
  • 6. Contacts Saugata Sarkar Abdullah Amin, CFA Shahan Keushgerian Head of Research Senior Research Analyst Senior Research Analyst Tel: (+974) 4476 6534 Tel: (+974) 4476 6569 Tel: (+974) 4476 6509 saugata.sarkar@qnbfs.com.qa abdullah.amin@qnbfs.com.qa shahan.keushgerian@qnbfs.com.qa Sahbi Kasraoui Ahmed Al-Khoudary QNB Financial Services SPC Manager – HNWI Head of Sales Trading – Institutional Contact Center: (+974) 4476 6666 Tel: (+974) 4476 6544 Tel: (+974) 4476 6548 PO Box 24025 sahbi.alkasraoui@qnbfs.com.qa ahmed.alkhoudary@qnbfs.com.qa Doha, Qatar Disclaimer and Copyright Notice: This publication has been prepared by QNB Financial Services SPC (“QNBFS”) a wholly-owned subsidiary of QNB SAQ (“QNB”). QNBFS is regulated by the Qatar Financial Markets Authority and the Qatar Exchange QNB SAQ is regulated by the Qatar Central Bank. This publication expresses the views and opinions of QNBFS at a given time only. It is not an offer, promotion or recommendation to buy or sell securities or other investments, nor is it intended to constitute legal, tax, accounting, or financial advice. QNBFS accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or indirect losses arising from use of this report. Any investment decision should depend on the individual circumstances of the investor and be based on specifically engaged investment advice. We therefore strongly advise potential investors to seek independent professional advice before making any investment decision. Although the information in this report has been obtained from sources that QNBFS believes to be reliable, we have not independently verified such information and it may not be accurate or complete. QNBFS does not make any representations or warranties as to the accuracy and completeness of the information it may contain, and declines any liability in that respect. For reports dealing with Technical Analysis, expressed opinions and/or recommendations may be different or contrary to the opinions/recommendations of QNBFS Fundamental Research as a result of depending solely on the historical technical data (price and volume). QNBFS reserves the right to amend the views and opinions expressed in this publication at any time. It may also express viewpoints or make investment decisions that differ significantly from, or even contradict, the views and opinions included in this report. This report may not be reproduced in whole or in part without permission from QNBFS COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS. Page 6 of 6 Rebased Performance Daily Index Performance Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg ( # Market closed on 13 January 2015) Source: Bloomberg (*$ adjusted returns; # Market closed on 13 January 2015) 80.0 100.0 120.0 140.0 160.0 180.0 200.0 220.0 Dec-10 Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 Dec-14 QSE Index S&P Pan Arab S&P GCC (0.1%) (0.9%) (0.0%) 0.3% 0.6% (0.7%) (0.7%) (1.0%) (0.6%) (0.2%) 0.2% 0.6% SaudiArabia Qatar Kuwait Bahrain Oman AbuDhabi Dubai Asset/Currency Performance Close ($) 1D% WTD% YTD% Global Indices Performance Close 1D%* WTD%* YTD%* Gold/Ounce 1,233.26 0.9 0.9 4.1 MSCI World Index 1,676.71 (0.4) (0.4) (1.9) Silver/Ounce 16.58 0.5 0.5 5.6 DJ Industrial 17,640.84 (0.5) (0.5) (1.0) Crude Oil (Brent)/Barrel (FM Future) 47.43 (5.3) (5.3) (17.3) S&P 500 2,028.26 (0.8) (0.8) (1.5) Crude Oil (WTI)/Barrel (FM Future) 46.07 (4.7) (4.7) (13.5) NASDAQ 100 4,664.71 (0.8) (0.8) (1.5) Natural Gas (Henry Hub)/MMBtu 2.90 (1.9) (1.9) (3.3) STOXX 600 339.87 0.5 0.5 (3.0) LPG Propane (Arab Gulf)/Ton# 45.25 0.0 0.0 (7.7) DAX 9,781.90 1.3 1.3 (3.0) LPG Butane (Arab Gulf)/Ton 62.88 0.2 0.2 0.2 FTSE 100 6,501.42 0.1 0.1 (3.6) Euro 1.18 (0.1) (0.1) (2.2) CAC 40 4,228.24 1.1 1.1 (3.3) Yen 118.35 (0.1) (0.1) (1.2) Nikkei# 17,197.73 0.0 0.0 (0.7) GBP 1.52 0.1 0.1 (2.6) MSCI EM 955.53 (0.6) (0.6) (0.1) CHF 0.99 (0.1) (0.1) (2.0) SHANGHAI SE Composite 3,229.32 (1.6) (1.6) (0.1) AUD 0.82 (0.6) (0.6) (0.2) HANG SENG 24,026.46 0.5 0.5 1.8 USD Index 91.98 0.1 0.1 1.9 BSE SENSEX 27,585.27 0.5 0.5 2.2 RUB 63.14 1.8 1.8 4.0 Bovespa 48,139.74 (2.2) (2.2) (4.3) BRL 0.38 (1.1) (1.1) (0.6) RTS 756.63 (3.3) (3.3) (4.3) 171.2 132.4 121.3