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Patricio Mansilla - PPPs in Power Generation


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Patricio Mansilla - PPPs in Power Generation

  1. 1. PPPs in Power Generation Patricio Mansilla Infrastructure Director Chemonics International Washington DC April 2011
  2. 2. Agenda g 1. 1 Useful Concepts for PPPs in Power Generation 2. Selected Case studies A. Chilean Case B. Peruvian Case C. Mongolian Case
  3. 3. 1. Useful Concepts for PPPs in Power Generation
  4. 4. Energy System• Generation: Process of creating electricity from others forms of energy. It is normally generated at a power station (power plant) by electromechanical generators normally driven by heat engines fueled by chemical combustion or nuclear fission but also by kinetic energy or flowing water and wind. Others technologies to generate electricity are solar and geothermal.• Transmission: is the movement of energy from its place of generation to a location where it is applied to performing useful work. Watt = Joule/second = Newton*Meter/second• Distribution: is the final stage in the delivery of electricity (before retail) to end users It carries electricity from the transmission system users. and delivers it to consumers.
  5. 5. Energy System
  6. 6. Power Station or Power Plant• Centralized power generation is possible because alternating current power lines can transport electricity at low cost raising and lowering the voltage using power transformers.• Central Stations, Power Station or Power Plant normally , y use: coal, nuclear, natural gas, hydroelectric and petroleum.• Power Plants also rely on solar energy, tidal harnesses, energy harnesses wind generators and geothermal sources.
  7. 7. Coal- Coal-Fired Power Plant• A coal-fired power plant produces electricity by burning coal to boil water, producing steam which drives a steam turbine, which turns an electrical generator.• The Th combustion of any fuel, including coal, emits large amounts of carbon b ti f f l i l di l it l t f b dioxide and other pollutants into the atmosphere, contributing to global warming.• The largest coal-fired power station is Kendal Power Station, South Africa coal fired Station and the most efficient is in Denmark.
  8. 8. Combined Heat and Power (CHP) Plant• Combined heat and Power (CHP) plant or Cogeneration Plant use heat engine or power station to simultaneously generate both electricity and heat.
  9. 9. Hydroelectric Plant• Hydroelectric Plants produce power through use of the gravitational force of falling or flowing water. Most hydroelectric power comes from the dammed water driving a water turbine and generator.• Pumped storage hydroelectricity p p g y y produces electricity to supply high p y pp y g peak demands by movingy g water between reservoirs at different elevations. At times of low electrical demand, excess generation capacity is used to pump water into the thigher reservoir. When there is higher demand, water is release back into the lower reservoir through a turbine.• Hydroelectric p y plants with no reservoir capacity are called run-of- the-river plants, since it is not p y p , then possible to store water• A tidal power plant makes use of the daily rise and fall if water due to tides, such sources are highly predictable and if conditions permit construction of reservoirs, can also be dispatchable to generate power during high demand periods. g p g g p
  10. 10. PPP Schemes for Power Generation• Design, Build, Operate.• Design, Build, Operate and Finance.• Build, Operate and Finance• Normally different schemes of PPPs for Power Generation rely on a Power Purchase Agreement (PPA), were the power purchaser is a local utility, public service provider or operator that sell the energy to the market.• PPA is normally a long term contract with a dual payment system.• Dual payment system: capacity or availability charge and a usage or offtake charge. ff k h• In some cases there are Tolling Agreements: the purchaser delivers fuel to the concessionaire and it turn the fuel into electricity.
  11. 11. Typical PPA (1)• A typical PPA may contain the following:• (1) Preamble (2) Definitions and interpretation, (3) Conditions Preamble, interpretation precedent, (4) Development stage, (5) Construction period, (6) Commissioning and entry into commercial service, (7) Plant operation, maintenance and fuel management, (8) Dedication of capacity, g ,( ) p y, availability declaration, (9) Measurement of capacity, availability and energy metering, (10) Capacity charge and payment provisions, (11) Fuel Price provisions, (12) Billing procedures, terms of payment, (13) Insurance, (14) Changes in tax, changes in law, (15) Force Majeure, 6) Termination and buy out provisions, (17) Governing law/dispute resolution, (18) Liability and indemnity, (19) Confidentiality, (20) Representations/warranties/covenants and (21) Mi R t ti / ti / t d Miscellaneous. ll
  12. 12. Typical PPA (2)• A typical PPA may contain the following Schedules:• (1) Description of Power Station, (2) Clearances, (3) Development milestones, (4) Interconnection and transmission facilities, ( ) Commissioning and testing ( ) , (5) g g (6) Metering standards and testing, (7) Despatch procedures (8) Capacity payment and (9) Energy payments.
  13. 13. Options for PPPs• Option A: Public sector develop the project using its own resources and then privatizes it or prepare a PPP• Option B: The public sector completes the feasibility studies and invites to the private sector to finance, construct and operate the PPP project finance• Option C: The private sector conducts all feasibility studies and prepare the project under a design, finance, construct and operate the PPP project j d d i fi d h j
  14. 14. Projec Cycle of HPP PPPs Stage Activities Site Selection Identification of potential sites Prefeasibility Scheme concept. Preliminary estimate of cost and benefitsShort Feasibility Preliminary optimization of main project parameters based largely on existing dataFull Feasibility Detailed site mapping and geological investigation. investigation Full Environmental Impact Assesment.Tender Design Business model preparation and contract regulation based on Short or Full FeasibilityDetailed Design Adjudication and detailed design of each element of civil works.
  15. 15. Risks in Power Generation PPPs• Site-specific nature of projects• Long period of construction and high construction risk• Capital intensive• Hydrological risk river flows make volatile output. Important water risk, output management• Flow of revenues need to be predicted under real scenarios.• Operation risks
  16. 16. Risks Allocation HPP PPPsRisk AllocationHydrology Temporary deficits: Conces and Gov. Long Term deficits:Util-Gov Flood damage: Contractor and ConcesCostruction Cost overrun and delayed completion: Concess and contractor. Unforeseen ground conditions: Util-Gov- concessPerformance Equipment and project performance: concess Transmission: Utility companyMarket Utility company through take or pay or PPAPolitical GovernmentFinancial Increasing costs: utility company or govEnvironmentalE i t l Land L d acquisition and resetlement: G Utilit company i iti d tl t Gov-Utility
  17. 17. MarketFailure 1 PUBLIC GOODMarketFailure 2 MONOPOLYMarket EXTERNALITIESFailure 3Market ASSIMETRICFailure 4 INFORMATION
  18. 18. ¿Do we have a Monopoly? ¿Is it large the loss in Market no yes Economic efficiency Competition From First Best to Second Best? AC AC P P MgC MgC D D Q yes no Q - Lump sum Subsidy ¿Regulation - No Lineal Tarification By Competition? - Price Discrimination no y yes • Demsetz Competition • Ramsey Tarification (bidding) • RPI-X RPI- • Contestable Markets • R t of Return Rate f R t
  19. 19. PRICE CAPS (RPI, RPI-X, RPI-X+K) RPI- RPI-X K)Profitability or Rate of Return Regulatory Models Tariffs Ramsey-Boiteaux Ramsey- for PPP o YARDSTICK Competition DEMSETZ Competition (Bidding)
  20. 20. Characteristics in LAC countriesCharacteristics Brazil Chile PeruCapacity ( p y (MW) ) 90,733 10,367 6,016Energy (GWh) 387,451 51,640 24,267Hydropower 80% 41% 71%generationNuclear 3% 0% 0%Generation
  21. 21. Large Hydropower ProjectsProject Capacity (MW) CountryThree Gorges 18,200 18 200 ChinaErtan 3300 ChinaCaruachi 2,160 VenezuelaPorto Primavera 1,818 , BrazilIta 1,450 BrazilSerra de Mesa 1,293 BrazilSalto Caxias 1,240 BrazilRio Baker-Aysen 800 Chile
  22. 22. A. Chilean Case
  23. 23. Power Systems in Chile (1)Systems Generation Transmission Distribution Edelnor, Electroandina, Edelnor, Electroandina, Emelari, Eliqsa, ElecdaSING Celta, Norgener Gener, Celta Norgener, Gener Norgener Gasatacama Arauco, Petropower, Transelec Chilectra, CGE,SIC Gener, San Isidro, STS Chilquinta, Rio Maipo, Endesa, Colbun, Transnet Saesa, Frontel, Emec, Guacolda, E. Verde, Guacolda E Verde Conafe, Emelectric Conafe Emelectric, Santiago, Pangue, Transquillota Emelat, Puente Alto, Pehuenche, Copelec, Litoral, Luzagro, Pilmaiquen,Aconcagua, Emetal, Colina, Luzpar. Maipo, Vieja, Valpo, Capullo, Andes, Carbomet Edelaysen Edalaysen EdelaysenAysen Edelmag g Edelmag g Edelmag gMagallanes
  24. 24. Power System in Chile (2)Type of Contracts CharacteristicsGenerator-Generator Generator without contract with distribution company or free client sell energy to the spot market at marginal cost set up by CDEC.Generator – Free client No regulation of transactions with clients with g capacity of 2000 kw or more. Free to negotiate prices because of the negotiation power. Codelco case.Generator – Distribution companies p High risk for g g generators if marginal cost of g operation is higher than the price. By law distribution companies must to contract through public tendering process.
  25. 25. Codelco- Codelco-Chile (1)• Corporación Nacional del Cobre (or “Codelco Chile”) is the National Copper Codelco-Chile ) Corporation that manage the cupper production in Chile as a State owned copper mining company. It is the largest copper producer company in the world.• Codelco decided in 2007 to tender to one or more independent power producers its future electricity supply requirements in Salvador, Andina, Ventanas and El Teniente Divisions, located in Chile´s central region and connected to Chile´s SIC, the central interconnected transmission Chilean grid
  26. 26. Codelco- Codelco-Chile (2)• The power plants in Chile (combined cycle gas- fired thermoelectric plants) usually use Argentine natural gas as a fuel and because of the shortage of it Codelco decide to initiate the process to have safe and reliable electricity supply.• The SIC in Chile extends over 2000 kms and some 326.000 km2 with 11.700 km of transmission lines, serving 93% of the population• The total capacity of SIC is 8,512 MW (2006) generating 40,334 GWh in 2006, 55.8% is hydrolectric and 44.2% is thermal.
  27. 27. Codelco- Codelco-Chile (3)• The project called Long-term electricity supply for Codelco- Long term Codelco Chile´s Divisions in central Chile, was recently adjudicated in September of this year to Colbun and it includes two contracts for 15 and 30 years.• The concessionaire will design, build and operate power plants of any kind, as well as the construction of any other investment y , y necessary to operate them and to connect them to the trunk transmission system of the SIC (3-10 regions)• The concessionaire will design, build start-up and maintain the design build, start up maintain, new transmission system or expansions of the existing that might be required to connect the power plant to the trunk transmission system of the SIC.
  28. 28. Codelco- Codelco-Chile (4)• The concessionaire will design, develop and construct a port design terminal, if necessary, for the uploading of fuel that will be needed for the power plant, or otherwise, reach and agreement with the operator of an existing port.• The demand to be supplied over the period of the agreement shall pp p g be from 450 MW up to a capacity of approximately 900 MW.
  29. 29. A project with Low Risk• Long term contract with minimum commercial risks: Codelco has 20% of the total existing copper reserves in the world, around 77 million metric tons. Codelco accounts for 15% of the total Chilean electricity consumption.• Adequate credit rating: Codelco has a rating of A according to Standard & Poor´s.• Chilean Regulation: It does not contemplate any specific license, only construction and environmental studies. t ti d i t l t di• Selling of remaining power: the concessionaire can sell to SIC the remaining power if the plant has excess of capacity. SIC requires annual capacity additions of approx. 500 MW in order to match supply and demand. Average approx demand annual growth of 6.9% in the last ten years.• Chile is an investment grade country: Chile is the most solid economy in Latin America and it is rated A by S&P. y
  30. 30. Bidding Characteristics• Free cost to be charged t C d l I F tt b h d to Codelco: Investment, operation and maintenance t t ti d i t fixed costs does not have a maximum in the bidding process. The variable costs are recovered via a pass through mechanism with certain efficiency.• Codelco included provisions to make the project bankable: sharing the risks on fuels and fluctuation in the international fuel prices.• Option for bidders: Codelco had set-up a new special purpose company (Newco) that own all the studies, licenses and a project. The concessionaire has the option to develop its own p j or to buy Newco at a price equal to p p project y p q the incurred costs by Codelco.
  31. 31. Economic Characteristics• Bidding Variable: Codelco ill Biddi V i bl C d l will pay fi d monthly charges i U it d St t fixed thl h in United States Dollars (US$) to cover the investments and the fixed operating expenses associated with the service.• Provisions: The contract will also include provisions for the transfer of variable costs, except hydro plants for which no variable costs will be paid, as well as charges for transmission fees (on a pass through basis, with certain efficiency signals).• Winner: Colbun was the winner offering a supply of up to 510 MW and g pp y p energy for 4000 GWh annually. The electricity supply will start on March 1st of 2013 with 328 MW and it will reach 510 MW on January 1st of 2015. The power stations will use coal and hydroelectricity. Investment US$7 billion.
  32. 32. B. Peruvian Case
  33. 33. Power System in Peru (1)Generation Transmission DistributionCahua, Edegel, Egenor, Piura,Cahua Edegel Egenor Piura Mantaro-Socabaya, Mantaro-Socabaya Edelnor, Edelnor Luz del Sur Ede Sur, Ede,Cahua y Electroandes Reforzamiento Sur, Oroya, Etevensa, Cañete, Electro Sur Etecen y Etesur.Policy Regulation CompetitionMinistry of Energy Osinerg Indecopi
  34. 34. Yuncan Hydroelectric Plant (1)• First Intent to bid: In 2003 the bid was suspended because of a dispute with Pasco department authorities over ownership of the project. The agreement is that Pasco will receive payments from j Th i h P ill i f the concession through a social trust fund.• Hydro Power Plant built by the Government: The State power y y p company Egecen ( Empresa de Generación de Energía Eléctrica del Centro) was building the plant with 75% of the total investment of $262 million finance by JBIC (Japan Bank for International Cooperation) and in same moment it had to stop works because lack of funds from the 25% committed to the project from the Peruvian government. Finally the project was j f h P i Fi ll h j completed in 2006. The plant has a capacity of 130 MW.
  35. 35. Yuncan Hydroelectric Plant (2)• Construction companies: Skanska, Cosapi and Chizaki• Equipment suppliers: Vatech Hydrovevey, Alstom France and Toshiba T hib• LOM Project: The concessionaire will operate, maintain and usufruct the project under a lease of the power plant built by the p j p p y State power company.• Term of Concession: 30 years since the take over of the power plant from the concessionaire. Egecen will transfer the plant in concessionaire perfect operating conditions for the operation and usufruct of the concessionaire.
  36. 36. Bidding Results• One Bidder: Peruvian Government received just one offer from Enersur, local subsidiary of the Belgian energy company Tractebel.• Bidding mechanism: Higher payment to the Peruvian Government.• Result of the Bidding: Enersur offered $57.5 million paid over the first 17 months of the concession and a semi-annual usufruct fee during the first 17 h f h i d i l f f d i h fi years of the contract and once the concessionaire receive the power plant from Egecen. The total amount is $124.5 million.• Social Trust Fund: In addition Enersur has to pay to the Social Trust Fund under a payment schedule a total of $6.9 million
  37. 37. Guarantees• Concessionairea) Contract Rights and first-second social payment: $10 million valid until 15 d days after the reception of the power plant by the concessionaire. ft th ti f th l t b th i ib) Usufruct Rights and periodic payments: $10 million valid until the last payment for this concept.c) Completion: $2 million valid until 90 days after finish the contract period. period• Peruvian Governmenta) Multilateral guarantee or commercial bank for $50 million valid since the first payment of the concessionaire and until Peruvian Government transfer to the concessionaire the power plant to the concessionaire. p pb) Peruvian government assumes the performance risk of the power plant for the first 12 months and the concessionaire will receive a compensation.
  38. 38. C. Mongolian Case
  39. 39. CHP5 Power Plant• Energy in Mongolia is a relevant sector where five coal-fired cogeneration power plants are managed by a central power system, but it is necessary to prepare more projects in urban cities and rural areas that have diesel generators.• One interesting project in development is the CHP5 project which anticipates to implement a build, own and operate model for a cogeneration power plant and th modification of th existing sub stations t produce electricity and heat d the difi ti f the i ti b t ti to d l t i it dh t energy for Ulan Bator.• The capacity of the plant must be 300 MW for power and 700 Gcal for heat energy. energy The project finally was not adjudicated this year. Mongolian year government decided does not accept the unique proposal submitted by a Chinese corporation.• ADB will be supporting the new intent to adjudicate succesfully this project pp g j y p j
  40. 40. Secure Fuel Supply and Bankable PPA• Secured fuel supply and Bankable PPA – Generation cost: 60% of the retail tariff – Fuel cost: 60-65% of the generation cost – Government’s control over prices of coal used for generation of energy, – Coal mines are in bad financial shape; – Long term coal supply to Darhan and Erdenet CHPs must be secured, – Not clear sources of revenues – Coal C l supply was not completely resolved i th CHP 5 t d d l t l t l l d in the CHP-5 tender documents t
  41. 41. 4. Future Projects in Power Generation
  42. 42. Coal deposits Choir Ch i Copper and gold deposits Shivee ovoo JSC Lime stone deposits Copper Dalanjargalan Khokh tsav Mongolian Gold LLC Mandakh Tsagaan suvarga Tsogt Tsetsgii Mongolian Gold LLC UhaahudagGurvan TesG T TAvantolgoi Khanbogd Nariin Sukhait Energy Resource LLC Oyutolgoi Erdes MGL LLC Ivanhoe Mines Mongolia LLC Tavantolgoi JSCSGS LLC QGX LLCChinhua-MAK-Nariin SukhaitChi h MAK N ii S kh it LLCMongolian Gold MAK LLC Minerals deposits 42
  43. 43. New Projects in Mongolia The ever-increasing electricity demand of the Southern Gobi shall be supplied as the following:• Construct the UB-Mandalgobi- Tavantolgoi-Oyutolgoi 670 km power and heat station with 220 kW, with two reinforced concrete pillars and with two linked AC-400 transformations• Facilitate to build 12 mW small size power station with the private sector initiatives near the group of the coal mines of Tavantolgoi and implement the plan to build the power station with the capacity not less than 300 mW through the government integrated regulation and the PPP principles
  44. 44. Thank you y