Evolving connectivity

672 views

Published on

How is everything getting connected and where is it going

Published in: Technology, Education
0 Comments
0 Likes
Statistics
Notes
  • Be the first to comment

  • Be the first to like this

No Downloads
Views
Total views
672
On SlideShare
0
From Embeds
0
Number of Embeds
1
Actions
Shares
0
Downloads
22
Comments
0
Likes
0
Embeds 0
No embeds

No notes for slide

Evolving connectivity

  1. 1. Evolving Connectivity Peter Cochrane ca-global.org cochrane.org.uk COCHRANE a s s o c i a t e s Thursday, 11 November 2010
  2. 2. Possible subtitle: When machines… …come to our rescue! Thursday, 11 November 2010
  3. 3. A few axiomatic things I need to get off my chest… ….that may give you a wider perspective(?) Thursday, 11 November 2010
  4. 4. We build top down to create complex things to complete simple tasks…   Mother Nature builds bottom up to create simple things to achieve the complex! Thursday, 11 November 2010
  5. 5. We are now the limiters of progress… technology is advancing faster than we can respond... ..but it may not be that way forever! Thursday, 11 November 2010
  6. 6. No individual can ever understand these! Thursday, 11 November 2010
  7. 7. Everybody is on line... Soon it will be everything! >4Bn people have mobile phones and >50% are internet ready! Thursday, 11 November 2010
  8. 8. Everything in the universe is governed by non-linearity and chaotic actions…. …but we are linear and limited thinkers devoid of tools & techniques to help us comprehend… If we have a long-term future it lies with our technology and machines and their ability to help us extend our knowledge & understanding Thursday, 11 November 2010
  9. 9. A false sense of confidence! The known The unknown The unknown The known Our educational Our post-education perception experience Thursday, 11 November 2010
  10. 10. No human leader, from the past, present or future has the wisdom & ability to govern a complex planet! Thursday, 11 November 2010
  11. 11. No human scientist, past, present or future has the wisdom & ability to understand a complex planet! Thursday, 11 November 2010
  12. 12. There are lots of simple solutions to complex problems… …and they are all wrong! Single issue thinking is now dead or dangerous Thursday, 11 November 2010
  13. 13. People look at problems through one of these: When they actually need one of these: Thursday, 11 November 2010
  14. 14. The changing shape of societies… Inherently linear & well Hunter Early Industrial behaved… Gatherer Civilizations Revolution Optimizing individual parts can optimize the whole Intuition Connectivity ∝ N and does not scale mostly works Thursday, 11 November 2010
  15. 15. The changing shape of societies…Inherently Connectivity non-linear & not well Phone ∝N 2 Information behaved… Society Internet∝N n Optimizing individual parts never optimizes the whole Intuition mostly fails Thursday, 11 November 2010
  16. 16. The changing shape of societies… Semantic Society This all gets very much worse as everything becomes mobile and intelligent and sensory Thursday, 11 November 2010
  17. 17. Web 3.0...4.0...5.0... Autonomous: Sensors Computing power Artificial Intelligence Human Augmentation Decision Making System Control People Support Society Support Commercial Support Thursday, 11 November 2010
  18. 18. How will we deal with the complex ? Thursday, 11 November 2010
  19. 19. Hypothesis The combined intelligence of all humanity is insufficient Thursday, 11 November 2010
  20. 20. Hypothesis Our only hope is The combined the combined intelligence of all humanity is intelligence insufficient of our machines Thursday, 11 November 2010
  21. 21. Connected Population Social Networks Dynamic Network Growth Static Network Growth Time Thursday, 11 November 2010
  22. 22. Connections My LinkedIn 20% of total M Population Growth 8 7 Model 6 5 Measured 4 Points 3 2 1 Time 06/07 07/08 08/09 Thursday, 11 November 2010
  23. 23. How many people in your network, and how many things/devices? Thursday, 11 November 2010
  24. 24. Human v Futures Machines # Machines Chips Computers # Humans Robots Nano-Bots Bio-Bots # Robots Time Thursday, 11 November 2010
  25. 25. Our very recent awakening... All life systems Chaotic Creativity Linear Non-Linear Behaviours Systems Problem solving +++++ Human abilities & knowledge Machine abilities & knowledge Thursday, 11 November 2010
  26. 26. Our very recent awakening... All life systems Chaotic Creativity Linear Non-Linear Behaviours Systems Problem solving +++++ Human abilities & knowledge Machine abilities & knowledge Thursday, 11 November 2010
  27. 27. So why isn’t my laptop intelligent? How about: - sensors? - adaptability? Thursday, 11 November 2010
  28. 28. But we are rolling out intelligent sensors! And our machines will see, hear, smell…. …detect and communicate in a way and at a rate we cannot! Thursday, 11 November 2010
  29. 29. The sociology of people & animals will be overtaken by the sociology of fixed & mobile things Thursday, 11 November 2010
  30. 30. What can machines do now? Thursday, 11 November 2010
  31. 31. What can machines do now? Thursday, 11 November 2010
  32. 32. Genetically ~99.4% human If ~0.6% matters so much… no wonder IT systems are so dumb! Thursday, 11 November 2010
  33. 33. Gradually our machines are sensing more than us! Communication with others Experience?? Experience Wisdom Intelligence? Intelligence Knowledge Processing Processing Information Sensors Senses Data Thursday, 11 November 2010
  34. 34. Thank you…. ca-global.org cochrane.org.uk COCHRANE a s s o c i a t e s Thursday, 11 November 2010

×