What’s the chance your team will be able to deliver the next feature in time for the marketing campaign?
How much is it going to cost?
How long will it take?
These are tough questions to answer in a real world.
We need to deal with uncertainty and risk and challenge the current orthodoxy that recognizes that uncertainty can be eliminated by a more detailed planning.
This session will shine some light on modeling software development systems, running simulations and analyzing the probabilities in order to make robust decisions.
This session aims to challenge the traditional wisdom by introducing Montecarlo, which is a technique, used to understand the impact of uncertain parameters in financial, project management, cost, and other forecasting models.
I hope to give you some insights about how to identify and close the gap between what you modeled and what actually happens.