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Présentation du dernier rapport du club de Rome « Le grand pillage »

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“Le grand pillage : comment nous épuisons les ressources de la planète", (Institut Veblen/Les petits matins, 2015), présenté par son auteur, Ugo Bardi, professeur de physique chimie à l'université de Florence, dans le cadre des Ateliers du Shfit le 10 septembre 2015.

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Présentation du dernier rapport du club de Rome « Le grand pillage »

  1. 1. Limits to Growth and Mineral Resources Ugo Bardi University of Florence, Department of Earth Sciences The Club of Rome
  2. 2. You can solve a problem, but you cannot solve a change (especially if it is an irreversible change)
  3. 3. Diamond mine of Mir, Siberia
  4. 4. "The Hope Diamond - SIA" by Unknown - http://siarchives.si.edu/collections/siris_sic_8819. Licensed under Public Domain via Commons https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:The_Hope_Diamond_-_SIA.jpg#/media/File:The_Hope_Diamond_-_SIA.jpg
  5. 5. Rosia Montana gold mine, Romania
  6. 6. Gold extraction costs
  7. 7. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Native_gold_nuggets.jpg Depletion: as you eat the cake, it becomes less and less tasty
  8. 8. Net Energy: the concept of EROEI
  9. 9. Hall and Day, 2009 EROEI
  10. 10. Image from “Fantazzini et al, 2011 http://energyskeptic.com/2015/global-oil-risks-in-the-early-21st-century-energy-policy-2011/financialsense.org”
  11. 11. Source: Ron Patterson: peak oil barrel http://peakoilbarrel.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/09/World2.jpg Crude oil + condensate
  12. 12. World oil production Dati ASPO (2008)
  13. 13. The Limits to Growth, 1972
  14. 14. World3 calculations 2004
  15. 15. Irreversibility: once you eat the cake, you don't have it any more
  16. 16. Solar energy arriving to the earth surface 87,000 TW Human generated primary energy from fossil fuels 15 TW Total greenhouse forcing 1500 TW Global warming: a few numbers 100 + 1 kW heaters per person
  17. 17. Archer et al. 2005 Irreversibility: persistence of CO2 in atmosphere
  18. 18. Unpropaganda: the other side of propaganda
  19. 19. Reversibility: With energy, almost any feat is possible....... W.S. Jevons Synthetic diamonds
  20. 20. 35 Energiewende Energy in truth stands not beside but entirely above all other commodities.... With energy almost any feat is possible or easy; without it we are thrown back into the laborious poverty of early times. William Stanley Jevons, 1866
  21. 21. Sgouridis, Bardi, Csala, http://arxiv.org/abs/1503.06832 The great sustainable transition
  22. 22. As a man himself sows, so he himself reaps... The fruit is of the same quality as the action. —Mahabharata, xii.291.22 Whoever sows sparingly will also reap sparingly, and whoever sows bountifully will also reap bountifully. Corinthians 9:6 The Sower's Strategy: Using today's Energy for the energy of tomorrow
  23. 23. 40 Substituting, recycling, reusing.....

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