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paulbarter@riccentre.com paulbarter.com @barterpaul
First A Little Context
(How we arrived at our predictions)
1.
21st Century
Fortunes
General Purpose Technologies
2.
On an average day in the early
part of the twenty-first century,
human beings generate 2.5
million trillion bytes of data
Where all this data comes from
Innovation and The Changing Nature of
Competition
3.
Existing Direct Competition Adjacent
Competition
Start-ups
IT as a GPT Changes Competition From Incremental Innovators
To Disruptive Innovators
Existential Threats
Start-ups Existing Direct Competition Adjacent
Competition
Automotive Example
Existential Threats
Start-ups Existing Direct Competition Adjacent
Competition
Top 10
Technologies
of 2019
10. Renewable
energy
9. Quantum
Computing
8. Augmented Reality / Virtual Reality
7. Advanced Materials
6. Blockchain and Cryptocurrencies
5. Internet of Things
4. Personalized Medicine
3. Cybersecurity
?
2. Software enabled hardware platforms
Your Mind in a Machine Body
1. Artificial Intelligence (machine learning)
Artificial General Intelligence
What Is Machine Learning? ( Narrow AI)
Building systems that enable a computer system to
learn some intelligent behavior b...
90% of ML Algorithms Do One Thing
Takes an input A and delivers an output B
• Picture Is it you?
• Loan application Should...
On an average day in the early
part of the twenty-first century,
human beings generate 2.5
million trillion bytes of data
General Purpose Technologies
? ?
2019 tech forecast jan 2 2019
2019 tech forecast jan 2 2019
2019 tech forecast jan 2 2019
2019 tech forecast jan 2 2019
2019 tech forecast jan 2 2019
2019 tech forecast jan 2 2019
2019 tech forecast jan 2 2019
2019 tech forecast jan 2 2019
2019 tech forecast jan 2 2019
2019 tech forecast jan 2 2019
2019 tech forecast jan 2 2019
2019 tech forecast jan 2 2019
2019 tech forecast jan 2 2019
2019 tech forecast jan 2 2019
2019 tech forecast jan 2 2019
2019 tech forecast jan 2 2019
2019 tech forecast jan 2 2019
2019 tech forecast jan 2 2019
2019 tech forecast jan 2 2019
2019 tech forecast jan 2 2019
2019 tech forecast jan 2 2019
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2019 tech forecast jan 2 2019

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My yearend 2018 technology forecast for the coming year. I identify technologies that will transform business and society in the coming year. I also indicate important technologies that may not be broadly deployed for a number of years yet.

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2019 tech forecast jan 2 2019

  1. 1. paulbarter@riccentre.com paulbarter.com @barterpaul
  2. 2. First A Little Context (How we arrived at our predictions)
  3. 3. 1.
  4. 4. 21st Century Fortunes General Purpose Technologies 2.
  5. 5. On an average day in the early part of the twenty-first century, human beings generate 2.5 million trillion bytes of data
  6. 6. Where all this data comes from
  7. 7. Innovation and The Changing Nature of Competition 3.
  8. 8. Existing Direct Competition Adjacent Competition Start-ups IT as a GPT Changes Competition From Incremental Innovators
  9. 9. To Disruptive Innovators Existential Threats Start-ups Existing Direct Competition Adjacent Competition
  10. 10. Automotive Example Existential Threats Start-ups Existing Direct Competition Adjacent Competition
  11. 11. Top 10 Technologies of 2019
  12. 12. 10. Renewable energy
  13. 13. 9. Quantum Computing
  14. 14. 8. Augmented Reality / Virtual Reality
  15. 15. 7. Advanced Materials
  16. 16. 6. Blockchain and Cryptocurrencies
  17. 17. 5. Internet of Things
  18. 18. 4. Personalized Medicine
  19. 19. 3. Cybersecurity ?
  20. 20. 2. Software enabled hardware platforms
  21. 21. Your Mind in a Machine Body
  22. 22. 1. Artificial Intelligence (machine learning)
  23. 23. Artificial General Intelligence
  24. 24. What Is Machine Learning? ( Narrow AI) Building systems that enable a computer system to learn some intelligent behavior by training it on massive amounts of data. Said another way; Replacing systems where algorithm are programed in advance with systems where algorithms learn from data.
  25. 25. 90% of ML Algorithms Do One Thing Takes an input A and delivers an output B • Picture Is it you? • Loan application Should you get it? • Advertisement Will you click? • Audio Transcript • English French • Image, radar Position of the car
  26. 26. On an average day in the early part of the twenty-first century, human beings generate 2.5 million trillion bytes of data
  27. 27. General Purpose Technologies ? ?

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